Executive Summary

The combined signal is Mixed / Defensive. The regime label is Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On: Leadership is concentrated in growth/technology rather than broad sector participation. Breadth, price momentum, and credit/rates context are combined to decide whether the week argues for broader beta, selective leadership, or more defensive positioning.

Leadership: UFO, XTL, SPHB, AIQ Risk watch: IHI, BTC-USD, GLD, BJK Credit cushion: tight Regime: Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On

Top-down read: the strongest group stack is Factors / Style, Major Indexes, Thematic Growth / Tech. The weakest group stack is Financial / Health Care Industries, Metals / Miners, Commodities / Crypto / USD. Start the weekly meeting with index beta, then decide sector exposure, then use the smaller industry/theme ETFs only where they add information beyond the sector proxies.

Breadth Read

Participation is good enough to stay engaged, but not broad enough to ignore rotation risk.

Avg 20 / 50 / 200 DMA50.2% / 55.2% / 61.3%
Avg Health Score52.90
Avg Damage Breadth46.5%
Best 1W health changeCOAL

ETF Momentum

Price leadership ranks the strongest ETFs from the cached price universe.

Latest price date2026-05-28
Top 1W leaderCOAL
Top 1M leaderUFO
Worst 1M laggardURA

Rates / Credit Overlay

The yield curve deck is used as the portfolio risk governor.

Credit stanceComplacent / tight risk premium
HY OAS2.72 / 12 pctile
IG OAS0.74 / 2 pctile

Positioning / Crowding

The CFTC deck checks whether price and breadth leadership are confirmed by futures positioning or vulnerable to crowding reversal.

Primary useCrowding and sponsorship check
Weekly focusLargest 1W/4W positioning changes
Risk flagCrowded long plus weakening breadth

Top-Down Heatmap Table

Green cells are stronger readings, red cells are weaker readings. For damage breadth, lower damage is treated as better.

Group1W1M3M6M1YHealthHealth ChgTrendLeadershipDamage>50DMA>200DMA
Factors / Style1.0%3.0%14.2%9.6%14.5%79.930.47100.0%61.3%26.1%100.0%100.0%
Major Indexes0.8%2.6%16.5%8.6%13.9%75.361.3992.0%57.0%14.8%100.0%100.0%
Thematic Growth / Tech1.2%5.9%24.8%12.5%19.9%69.612.5588.1%64.4%49.6%92.9%85.7%
Rates / Credit0.5%0.0%2.8%1.2%2.9%56.45-1.2564.3%37.1%28.9%64.3%78.6%
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing1.3%2.3%10.1%12.0%27.3%55.284.4865.9%54.9%61.2%52.9%82.4%
International Equity0.7%-0.7%7.8%3.4%12.5%53.190.0460.0%46.8%48.8%50.0%75.0%
US Sectors / Key Industry Proxies0.4%1.3%7.5%4.5%9.8%33.54-0.3452.3%9.4%15.9%58.3%75.0%
Financial / Health Care Industries-0.3%0.5%6.5%-3.5%7.0%47.87-5.7254.0%43.2%55.4%60.0%50.0%
Metals / Miners1.4%-3.5%7.3%-7.3%32.5%31.265.4728.0%44.4%81.8%20.0%40.0%
Commodities / Crypto / USD-1.1%-3.4%6.8%1.3%26.9%33.20-8.8038.3%32.6%74.2%25.0%58.3%

Weekly Review

This Week's Price Leaders

TickerName1W1M3MAbove 50DMA
COALCOAL8.0%4.3%-3.1%True
UFOUFO7.7%30.6%45.5%True
JETSJETS7.2%5.4%16.3%True
XMEXME5.0%2.0%17.1%True
XTLXTL4.2%10.4%28.5%True
XTNXTN4.2%5.7%19.8%True
URNMURNM3.9%-9.7%2.1%False
CARZCARZ3.8%8.5%48.6%True
EEMEEM3.8%2.7%23.3%True
NXTGNXTG3.8%11.2%40.2%True

This Week's Price Laggards

TickerName1W1M3MAbove 50DMA
USOOil-7.0%-2.9%11.7%False
FCGFCG-5.7%-2.0%-11.6%False
XOPXOP-5.0%-1.6%-11.8%False
XESXES-4.7%0.9%3.7%False
BUGBUG-4.5%11.8%30.2%True
XLEEnergy-4.2%1.9%-7.4%False
OIHOIH-4.2%1.9%3.0%False
GSGGSG-4.0%-2.9%3.1%False
DBCDBC-3.4%-2.5%3.7%False
BTC-USDBTC-USD-2.9%-7.0%8.2%False

Strategist Checklist

Decision PointCurrent EvidenceImplication
Market betaMajor index weekly leadership and % above moving averages are reviewed first.Determines whether to lean into broad equity risk or keep beta selective.
Sector allocationSector/key-industry table shows where participation and price action confirm.Determines where to overweight or underweight within US equity exposure.
Theme/industry expressionNon-sector themes are used after the sector view is set.Prevents double-counting SMH/XHB-style proxies that already appear in the sector layer.
Risk governorCredit spread and rates-vol backdrop remains the check on how aggressive the equity view should be.Strong tape plus tight credit argues for selectivity rather than indiscriminate beta.

Methodology

This page defines the language used throughout the packet so the weekly read is explainable in a client or investment-committee setting.

Health Score

Composite breadth score from the individual ETF breadth metric files. It answers: are the holdings inside the ETF broadly confirming the price move?

35%Trend Breadth: average % of holdings above 20DMA, 50DMA, and 200DMA
20%Leadership Breadth: average % making new highs or sitting near 52-week highs
15%Positive 20D Return: % of holdings with positive 20-day return
20%Relative Strength: average % outperforming across 30D, 60D, 90D, 6M, and 1Y
-10%Damage Breadth: penalizes new lows and holdings more than 20% below 52-week highs

Weekly Change

Health 1W Change is the 5-trading-day change in the Health Score. This matters because a strong ETF with falling internal health is different from a strong ETF whose internals are still broadening.

ImproverHealth score rising over the last 5 trading days
DeterioratorHealth score falling over the last 5 trading days
ConfirmationPrice return and breadth health moving in the same direction
DivergencePrice return and breadth health moving in opposite directions

Price Proxy Health

For ETFs without constituent breadth files, the packet uses a technical proxy so group summaries are complete instead of blank.

40%Trend proxy: above 50DMA, above 200DMA, and positive 1M return
35%Leadership proxy: percentile rank of 1W, 1M, and 3M returns
25%Damage proxy: penalty for drawdown from the trailing 1-year high
Health SourceTables mark each row as Breadth or Price proxy

Trend Breadth

Measures whether holdings are above key moving averages. This is the cleanest internal trend confirmation signal.

Above 20DMAShort-term trend participation
Above 50DMAIntermediate trend participation
Above 200DMALong-term trend participation

Damage Breadth

Measures internal stress. High damage breadth means the ETF price can look stable while many constituents remain impaired.

20D New LowsFresh short-term breakdowns
52W New LowsLong-term breakdowns
>20% Below HighDrawdown damage below the ETF surface

ETF Group Definitions

These groupings drive the top-down tables and charts. XLK is the broad technology sector proxy; SMH is classified inside Thematic Growth / Tech because semiconductors behave more like a focused tech leadership expression than a broad sector allocation.

GroupETF CountETFs
Major Indexes11SPY, QQQ, IWM, IWF, IWD, RSP, OEF, XLG, MAGS, XMAG, SPXT
US Sectors / Key Industry Proxies12XLK, XLY, XLP, XLC, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLRE, XLU, XHB
Factors / Style6SPHD, SPHB, SPLV, MTUM, QUAL, VO
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing17XTL, SOCL, HERO, NXTG, XES, XOP, OIH, CRAK, FCG, COAL, NUKZ, JETS, PAVE, ITA, XTN, CARZ, ITB
Thematic Growth / Tech14SMH, IGV, CLOU, BUG, GRID, PINK, ARKK, UFO, BJK, AIQ, QTUM, PEJ, PNQI, ROBO
Financial / Health Care Industries10KRE, IAK, PSP, IYG, IAI, XBI, IBB, IHF, IHI, IHE
Rates / Credit14STIP, SHY, TIP, IEF, TLT, AGG, CWB, EMLC, EMB, HYG, LQD, BKLN, MBB, PFF
Metals / Miners10GSG, GDX, GDXJ, SIL, SILJ, COPX, URNM, XME, HAP, WOOD
International Equity8EWA, EWZ, FXI, EEM, EZU, INDA, DXJ, EWU
Commodities / Crypto / USD12DBA, DBB, BTC-USD, DBC, USO, GLD, SLV, URA, PLTM, PALL, CPER, UUP

Cross-Analysis

This page compares the four decks directly: breadth tells us if participation confirms, ETF technicals tell us where leadership sits, rates/credit tell us whether risk is being compensated, and CFTC positioning tells us whether sponsorship is crowded, washed out, or confirming the price move.

QuestionBreadthETF TechnicalsRates / CreditPositioningStrategy Read
Is the rally healthy?Average health is 52.90 with strongest confirmation in UFO, XTL, SPHB, AIQ.1W leadership is COAL, UFO, JETS, XME, XTL; 1M leadership is UFO, BUG, NXTG, QTUM, XTL.Spreads are tight, so the backdrop is calm but not cheap.Check whether index futures positioning is confirming price strength or already crowded.Stay constructive, but keep the view selective.
Where is risk hiding?Weakest breadth is in IHI, BTC-USD, GLD, BJK; weekly deterioration is led by XLE, USO, FCG, XOP.Weak 1W price action is in USO, FCG, XOP, XES, BUG.Tight HY/IG spreads leave little cushion if volatility rises.Crowded longs with weakening price/breadth are the highest-risk setup.Avoid weak breadth plus weak momentum plus low credit compensation.
What upgrades the view?50DMA and 200DMA breadth expands across lagging sectors.Leadership broadens beyond the current winners.MOVE stays contained and spreads do not widen.Positioning broadens without moving into extreme crowding.Move from selective risk-on to broader risk-on.
What invalidates the view?Health scores roll over and damage breadth rises.Top momentum groups fail while defensives lead for stress reasons.HY OAS widens and rates volatility rises.Leveraged money exits risk assets or crowded longs unwind against price.Raise quality, cut beta, and prioritize drawdown control.

Breadth Deck Extract

Average breadth health is 52.90 with 55.2% of ETFs above their 50DMA and 61.3% above their 200DMA. Damage breadth is 46.5%, so the key weekly test is whether participation keeps broadening while damage stays contained. Strongest current health is in UFO, XTL, SPHB, AIQ, EEM; weakest health is in IHI, BTC-USD, GLD, BJK, PLTM. The biggest one-week breadth improvers are COAL, UFO, JETS, XME, XTL, while deterioration is led by XLE, USO, FCG, XOP, XES.

ETF Deck Extract

ETF price leadership is led by COAL, UFO, JETS, XME, XTL over one week and UFO, BUG, NXTG, QTUM, XTL over one month. Current laggards are USO, FCG, XOP, XES, BUG. The strongest top-down groups are Factors / Style, Major Indexes, Thematic Growth / Tech; the weakest groups are Financial / Health Care Industries, Metals / Miners, Commodities / Crypto / USD. This is the rotation layer: use it to separate price leadership that is confirmed by breadth from moves that are narrow, extended, or unsupported by internal participation.

Yield/Credit Deck Extract

Yield Curve Credit Strategy Chartdeck Yield Curve Credit Strategy Command Center Generated from FRED rates, credit spreads, yfinance proxies, and breadth ETF prices. Credit Summary CIO View Trade Dashboard Methodology Data Guardrails Forward Returns Executive Summary Macro Dashboard Curve Risk Policy / Inflation Credit Deep Dive Quality Premium Cross-Asset Yield Curve Credit Strategy Chartdeck Institutional rates and credit analysis using FRED Treasury, inflation, term-premium, corporate spread, recession, and Yahoo Finance market-proxy data. Latest Data 2026-05-28 Chart Start 2012-01-01 Charts 13 Series 60 Credit Summary Top-of-deck credit strategy page with spread compensation, curve press

CFTC Positioning Extract

CFTC Positioning Dashboard An institutional view of who is long, who is short, where positioning is crowded, and whether futures behavior confirms or conflicts with price. Includes net spec, asset manager, hedge fund/leveraged money, retail/non-reportable, commercial/dealer, open interest, gross crowding, z-score, percentile, and week-over-week change lenses. Assets Covered 16 CFTC Range 2026-05-26 to 2026-05-26 Core Lens Asset Managers + Hedge Funds Most Crowded Long Highest 3-year percentile for Asset Manager + Leveraged Money net positioning. 5-Year Treasury Notes 100.0% Copper 96.2% 2-Year Treasury Notes 94.9% Most Crowded Short Lowest 3-year percentile for Asset Manager + Leveraged Money net positioning. Natural Gas 2.6% Russell 2000 3.2% Japanese Yen 12.8% Price / Positioning Confirmation Assets where 13-week price action and institutional/HF positioning are moving together. S&P 500 9.5% price / 8.1K pos Crude Oil 69.6% price / 12.2K pos Copper 7.5% price / 19.5K pos US Dollar 2.

Confirmation / Divergence Matrix

Signal PairWhat To Look ForCurrent Use
Price up + breadth up1W/1M returns positive while Health 1W Change improves.Highest-quality leadership; candidates for overweight or add-on exposure.
Price up + breadth downETF rallying while internal participation deteriorates.Late-stage or narrowing leadership; keep position size disciplined.
Price down + breadth upETF weak on price but internals repair.Early repair watchlist; useful for rotation candidates.
Price down + breadth downWeak returns, weak health, rising damage.Avoid, underweight, or require a cleaner reversal signal.

Weekly Changes

This page compares the current run against the prior saved command-center snapshot. The first time you run the packet, prior-week changes will be blank; after that, this becomes the weekly change log.

Biggest Group Upgrades

GroupPrior DateStrategy ScoreStrategy Score ChangeHealthHealth ChangeTrend_BreadthTrend_Breadth ChangeDamage_BreadthDamage_Breadth Change
Factors / Style2026-05-2947.706.5879.938.38100.0%16.7%26.1%-1.8%
International Equity2026-05-2921.645.6153.196.4860.0%10.0%48.8%-2.2%
US Sectors / Key Industry Proxies2026-05-2921.121.1133.540.0052.3%0.0%15.9%-0.0%
Commodities / Crypto / USD2026-05-29-1.151.0933.201.8338.3%0.0%74.2%-1.0%
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing2026-05-2925.160.8855.281.5865.9%0.0%61.2%-2.2%

Biggest Group Downgrades

GroupPrior DateStrategy ScoreStrategy Score ChangeHealthHealth ChangeTrend_BreadthTrend_Breadth ChangeDamage_BreadthDamage_Breadth Change
Metals / Miners2026-05-29-0.54-11.8231.26-6.3228.0%-12.0%81.8%1.8%
Thematic Growth / Tech2026-05-2940.51-10.5269.61-5.9888.1%0.0%49.6%8.6%
Rates / Credit2026-05-2927.81-7.2856.45-8.0464.3%-17.1%28.9%0.9%
Financial / Health Care Industries2026-05-2916.37-5.6047.87-6.3954.0%-14.0%55.4%-2.0%
Major Indexes2026-05-2946.03-0.0375.361.4392.0%1.8%14.8%-1.1%

How to use: focus on groups where Strategy Score improves while Damage Breadth falls, or where Strategy Score deteriorates while Damage Breadth rises. Those are the cleanest week-over-week confirmation signals.

Historical Regime Label

Current regime: Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On. Leadership is concentrated in growth/technology rather than broad sector participation.

Regime Inputs

MetricReadingInterpretation
Major Index Health75.36Broad market beta quality
Sector Health33.54Participation across sector proxies
Growth/Tech Health69.61Leadership concentration in growth
Rates/Credit Health56.45Credit and duration tone
Avg Damage Breadth46.52Lower is better
% ETFs Above 50DMA61.40Intermediate trend participation
% ETFs Above 200DMA74.56Long-term trend participation
Average 1W Return0.61Current weekly impulse

Regime Framework

RegimeTypical SetupStrategy Bias
Broad Risk-OnMajor indexes and sectors both have strong health with low damage.Own broad beta, add cyclicals selectively, reduce cash drag.
Narrow Growth-Led Risk-OnGrowth/tech health dominates while sector breadth is less convincing.Favor quality growth and tech leadership, avoid pretending the whole tape is equally strong.
Constructive Carry / Quality RiskMajor indexes are firm and rates/credit tone is stable.Participate, but emphasize quality and avoid weak-credit beta.
Commodity / Inflation-Led RotationCommodity and real-asset groups lead while growth weakens.Shift toward real assets, energy/materials, inflation hedges.
Defensive / RepairDamage rises or fewer ETFs remain above 50DMA.Cut beta, raise quality, focus on repair candidates.
Mixed / SelectiveSignals are strong in pockets but uneven across the whole map.Use the dashboard to choose exposures surgically.

Rates / Credit Overview

This page translates the yield-curve institutional chartdeck into the equity strategy process. Rates and credit are the risk governor: they decide whether strong equity breadth should be chased, sized normally, or faded because compensation is poor.

Rates / Credit Group Score

Live ETF behavior from the Rates / Credit sleeve in prices.csv.

Group Health56.45
1W Return0.5%
1M Return0.0%
Trend Breadth64.3%
Damage Breadth28.9%

Yield Deck CIO Read

One-Page CIO View Portfolio-level read-through: what changed this week, what matters now, what to watch next, and best/worst risk expressions. CIO Read This is the one-page portfolio translation: what changed, what matters now, what to watch next, and the best/worst risk expressions implied by the rates-credit regime. What Changed This Week MOVE -8.69 10Y Yield -11 bps 2s10s 3 bps HY OAS -2 bps What Matters Now HY OAS 2.72 / 12 pctile IG OAS 0.73 / 1 pctile MOVE 69.74 / 15 pctile 10Y Real 2.06 / 73 pctile What To Watch Next Rates vol MOVE rising while spreads stay tight Curve confirmation 2s10s vs 3m10y signal divergence Quality cliff BBB/BB and CCC spread gaps Forward analogs Whether curren

Trade Translation Extract

Trade Dashboard Methodology Data Guardrails Forward Returns Executive Summary Macro Dashboard Curve Risk Policy / Inflation Credit Deep Dive Quality Premium Cross-Asset Yield Curve Credit Strategy Chartdeck Institutional rates and credit analysis using FRED Treasury, inflation, term-premium, corporate spread, recession, and Yahoo Finance market-proxy data. Latest Data 2026-05-28 Chart Start 2012-01-01 Charts 13 Series 60 Credit Summary Top-of-deck credit strategy page with spread compensation, curve pressure, real-rate pressure, and volatility stress markers. Credit Strategy Summary Current stance: Complacent / Tight-Risk Premium. HY OAS is 2.72 with a 12 percentile reading; IG OAS is 0.73 with a 1 percentile reading. The 10Y real yield is 2.06%, 2s10s is 46 bps, and 3m10y is 76 bps. What matters for credit: spread compensation, real-rate pressure, curve inversion persistence, and rates volatility are pulled onto one page before the full deck drills into the components. Credit Risk Pre

Rates / Credit Dashboard Logic

AreaSignalCurrent Read
Credit Risk PremiumHY and IG spreads from the yield-curve deck frame whether credit beta is being paid enough.Tight spread compensation; favor quality over lower-quality beta.
Rates Pressure2Y, 10Y, real yield, breakevens, and curve shape determine the duration/risk-asset discount-rate backdrop.Real-yield pressure matters for equity duration and growth leadership.
Curve / Recession Signal2s10s and 3m10y show whether the curve is steepening, inverted, or normalizing.Use curve shifts as a macro confirmation or warning signal.
Volatility StressMOVE and spread widening flag whether calm credit conditions are breaking.If MOVE rises while spreads remain tight, reduce credit complacency.
Trade TranslationThe yield deck converts rates, credit, curve, and volatility into candidate expressions.Quality credit and duration are the governor on equity beta.

Rates / Credit ETF Sleeve

TickerNameHealth SourceHealth ScoreHealth 1W Change1W1M3M6M1YTrend BreadthLeadership BreadthDamage BreadthAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
STIPSTIPPrice proxy71.35-6.320.2%0.0%1.2%1.8%2.1%100.0%31.3%18.4%TrueTrue
SHY1-3 Year TreasuryPrice proxy61.56-7.370.1%-0.0%0.6%0.5%1.6%80.0%28.1%21.1%TrueTrue
TIPTIPSPrice proxy62.82-1.050.5%-0.1%1.5%1.3%1.1%80.0%34.8%25.4%TrueTrue
IEF7-10 Year TreasuryPrice proxy24.25-0.700.5%-0.4%0.4%-0.3%0.1%0.0%29.8%44.7%FalseFalse
TLT20+ Year TreasuryPrice proxy22.404.210.7%-0.4%-0.2%-1.3%-1.5%0.0%33.9%57.9%FalseFalse
AGGAGGPrice proxy26.86-3.160.4%-0.2%0.9%0.1%1.1%0.0%31.0%36.0%FalseFalse
CWBCWBPrice proxy89.516.321.2%2.5%17.2%14.0%19.9%100.0%72.2%3.1%TrueTrue
EMLCEMLCPrice proxy43.270.350.5%-0.6%3.2%-0.8%3.6%40.0%36.5%42.1%FalseTrue
EMBEMBPrice proxy75.005.610.9%0.1%3.6%1.2%4.4%100.0%47.4%26.3%TrueTrue
HYGHigh Yield CreditPrice proxy75.47-4.910.3%0.3%2.6%0.7%2.6%100.0%37.4%10.5%TrueTrue
LQDInvestment Grade CreditPrice proxy70.480.700.5%0.2%1.8%-0.2%0.4%100.0%39.5%33.3%TrueTrue
BKLNBKLNPrice proxy61.47-7.020.1%-0.3%1.1%0.1%2.3%80.0%27.2%20.2%TrueTrue
MBBMBBPrice proxy42.77-3.860.3%-0.2%1.1%0.4%2.2%40.0%30.1%35.1%FalseTrue
PFFPFFPrice proxy63.14-0.350.5%-0.4%4.3%-0.2%1.2%80.0%39.5%30.7%TrueTrue

Rates / Credit Group Snapshot

GroupETFsStrategy ScoreHealthHealth_1W_ChgReturn_1WReturn_1MReturn_3MTrend_BreadthDamage_BreadthAbove_50DMAAbove_200DMA
Rates / Credit1427.8156.45-1.250.5%0.0%2.8%64.3%28.9%64.3%78.6%
Rates/Credit ConditionEquity Strategy ImplicationPortfolio Translation
Spreads tight + breadth strongRisk-on can continue, but forward compensation is less forgiving.Participate through quality leadership, avoid weak-credit beta chase.
Spreads widening + breadth deterioratingEquity signal is being invalidated by credit stress.Cut beta, raise quality, increase cash/duration ballast.
Yields falling + defensives leadingCould be duration relief or growth scare; breadth decides which.Check whether cyclicals confirm before adding broad beta.
Real yields rising + growth extendedHigher discount-rate pressure can hit long-duration equity leadership.Keep tech/growth exposure selective and watch breadth divergence.

Positioning Overview

This page translates the CFTC positioning deck into the weekly strategy process without embedding the full source deck. Positioning is the sponsorship and crowding layer: it helps decide whether price and breadth strength are still early, well-owned, or vulnerable to a positioning unwind.

CFTC Dashboard Read

CFTC Positioning Dashboard An institutional view of who is long, who is short, where positioning is crowded, and whether futures behavior confirms or conflicts with price. Includes net spec, asset manager, hedge fund/leveraged money, retail/non-reportable, commercial/dealer, open interest, gross crowding, z-score, percentile, and week-over-week change lenses. Assets Covered 16 CFTC Range 2026-05-26 to 2026-05-26 Core Lens Asset Managers + Hedge Funds Most Crowded Long Highest 3-year percentile for Asset Manager + Leveraged Money net positioning. 5-Year Treasury Notes 100.0% Copper 96.2% 2-Year Treasury Notes 94.9% Most Crowded Short Lowest 3-year percentile for Asset Manager + Leveraged Money net positioning. Natural Gas 2.6% Russell 2000 3.2% Japanese Yen 12.8% Price / Positioning Confirmation Assets where 13-week price action and institutional/HF positioning are moving together. S&P 500 9.5% price / 8.1K pos Crude Oil 69.6% price / 12.2K pos Copper 7.5% price / 19.5K pos US Dollar 2.

Weekly Tactical Highlights

Weekly And Tactical Highlights Largest one-week positioning moves, plus the 4-week and 13-week context that separates noise from a real allocation shift. Asset WoW Inst/HF 4W Inst/HF 13W Inst/HF 13W Price Read 10-Year Treasury Notes -250.2K -97.5K -108.6K -3.1% Risk-Off Confirmation 5-Year Treasury Notes 70.5K 374.9K 327.6K -2.3% Buying Into Weakness S&P 500 -58.0K -41.5K 8.1K 9.5% Trend Confirmed 2-Year Treasury Notes -43.3K -3.2K 227.9K -1.0% Buying Into Weakness Natural Gas -38.1K -37.2K -58.6K -4.8% Risk-Off Confirmation Japanese Yen -22.4K -26.9K -133.9K -2.3% Risk-Off Confirmation Crude Oil -18.3K -407.0 12.2K 69.6% Trend Confirmed Nasdaq 100 -13.5K -9.4K -19.4K 20.3% Price Up / Positioning Fading Euro FX -9.9K -25.3K -154.9K -1.1% Risk-Off Confirmation VIX -4.8K 2.9K 2.2K -13.0% Buying Into Weakness

Cross-Asset Positioning Snapshot

Cross-Asset Dashboard Weekly Highlights Full Metric Library S&P 500 Nasdaq 100 Russell 2000 Natural Gas Crude Oil Gold Silver Copper Bitcoin US Dollar Euro FX Japanese Yen VIX 2-Year Treasury Notes 5-Year Treasury Notes 10-Year Treasury Notes Positioning data is sourced directly from the official CFTC Public Reporting API. Prices use Yahoo Finance. Apex Macro Research CFTC Positioning Dashboard An institutional view of who is long, who is short, where positioning is crowded, and whether futures behavior confirms or conflicts with price. Includes net spec, asset manager, hedge fund/leveraged money, retail/non-reportable, commercial/dealer, open interest, gross crowding, z-score, percentile, and week-over-week change lenses. Assets Covered 16 CFTC Range 2026-05-26 to 2026-05-26 Core Lens Asset Managers + Hedge Funds Most Crowded Long Highest 3-year percentile for Asset Manager + Leveraged Money net positioning. 5-Year Treasury Notes 100.0% Copper 96.2% 2-Year Treasury Notes 94.9% Most Cr

Actionable Positioning Playbook

SetupSignalAction
Crowded long + price/breadth confirmationHigh positioning percentile, positive 13W price, and supportive breadth.Maintain exposure, but add only on clean pullbacks or fresh breadth expansion.
Crowded long + positioning fadingPrice rises while institutional/HF positioning rolls over.Treat as narrowing sponsorship; reduce chase risk and watch for reversal.
Crowded short + price stabilizationLow positioning percentile while price and/or breadth stop deteriorating.Add to repair watchlist; squeeze risk can be favorable if macro backdrop confirms.
Large WoW positioning addOne-week institutional/HF flow is one of the largest in the table.Check whether this is confirmation of a trend or late crowding into an extended move.
Large WoW positioning cutOne-week institutional/HF selling is concentrated in an asset.Use as a risk warning when price is also weak; use as contrarian fuel only if price holds.

Positioning Visual Dashboard

Use these visuals first. They condense the long CFTC tables into three questions: what is crowded, what is confirming price, and where did positioning change most this week?

AssetPrice 13WOI 13WInst/HF %OIInst/HF 3Y %ileInst/HF 13WCOT ReadPressure Read
S&P 5009.5%3.8%26.1%48.1%8.1KBalancedTrend Confirmed
Nasdaq 10020.3%12.0%11.0%41.0%-19.4KBalancedPrice Up / Positioning Fading
Russell 200010.5%7.2%-17.5%3.2%-93.7KCrowded ShortPrice Up / Positioning Fading
Natural Gas-4.8%1.3%-8.2%2.6%-58.6KCrowded ShortRisk-Off Confirmation
Crude Oil69.6%-4.7%4.0%30.1%12.2KShort TiltTrend Confirmed
Gold-12.8%-15.9%27.6%30.1%1.5KShort TiltBuying Into Weakness
Silver-11.8%-18.9%9.9%22.4%1.5KShort TiltBuying Into Weakness
Copper7.5%1.9%26.5%96.2%19.5KCrowded LongTrend Confirmed
Bitcoin18.3%-5.6%-19.8%51.3%-1.8KBalancedPrice Up / Positioning Fading
US Dollar2.4%61.3%8.6%48.7%6.3KBalancedTrend Confirmed
Euro FX-1.1%-9.6%33.6%28.8%-154.9KShort TiltRisk-Off Confirmation
Japanese Yen-2.3%15.6%-30.2%12.8%-133.9KCrowded ShortRisk-Off Confirmation
VIX-13.0%7.0%12.7%73.7%2.2KLong TiltBuying Into Weakness
2-Year Treasury Notes-1.0%6.9%4.4%94.9%227.9KCrowded LongBuying Into Weakness
5-Year Treasury Notes-2.3%-7.2%9.3%100.0%327.6KCrowded LongBuying Into Weakness
10-Year Treasury Notes-3.1%4.8%1.0%66.7%-108.6KLong TiltRisk-Off Confirmation

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Asset-By-Asset Strategist Takeaways

This table is meant to be enough for the weekly meeting: what price did, how crowded institutional/HF positioning is, whether the pressure read confirms or diverges, and the resulting strategy implication.

Asset13W PricePositioning PercentileCOT ReadPressure ReadStrategist Takeaway
S&P 5009.5%48.1%BalancedTrend ConfirmedBalanced / mid-range. Trend is confirmed by positioning; maintain bias while monitoring crowding.
Nasdaq 10020.3%41.0%BalancedPrice Up / Positioning FadingBalanced / mid-range. Price and positioning are diverging; treat sponsorship as weaker than price alone implies.
Russell 200010.5%3.2%Crowded ShortPrice Up / Positioning FadingCrowded short. Price and positioning are diverging; treat sponsorship as weaker than price alone implies.
Natural Gas-4.8%2.6%Crowded ShortRisk-Off ConfirmationCrowded short. Watch for squeeze/repair if price stabilizes.
Crude Oil69.6%30.1%Short TiltTrend ConfirmedBalanced / mid-range. Trend is confirmed by positioning; maintain bias while monitoring crowding.
Gold-12.8%30.1%Short TiltBuying Into WeaknessBalanced / mid-range. Positioning is not the binding constraint.
Silver-11.8%22.4%Short TiltBuying Into WeaknessBalanced / mid-range. Positioning is not the binding constraint.
Copper7.5%96.2%Crowded LongTrend ConfirmedCrowded long. Trend is confirmed by positioning; maintain bias while monitoring crowding.
Bitcoin18.3%51.3%BalancedPrice Up / Positioning FadingBalanced / mid-range. Price and positioning are diverging; treat sponsorship as weaker than price alone implies.
US Dollar2.4%48.7%BalancedTrend ConfirmedBalanced / mid-range. Trend is confirmed by positioning; maintain bias while monitoring crowding.
Euro FX-1.1%28.8%Short TiltRisk-Off ConfirmationBalanced / mid-range. Positioning is not the binding constraint.
Japanese Yen-2.3%12.8%Crowded ShortRisk-Off ConfirmationCrowded short. Watch for squeeze/repair if price stabilizes.
VIX-13.0%73.7%Long TiltBuying Into WeaknessBalanced / mid-range. Positioning is not the binding constraint.
2-Year Treasury Notes-1.0%94.9%Crowded LongBuying Into WeaknessCrowded long. Do not chase without fresh breadth or price confirmation.
5-Year Treasury Notes-2.3%100.0%Crowded LongBuying Into WeaknessCrowded long. Do not chase without fresh breadth or price confirmation.
10-Year Treasury Notes-3.1%66.7%Long TiltRisk-Off ConfirmationBalanced / mid-range. Positioning is not the binding constraint.

Cross-Asset CFTC Dashboard

This is the highest-level positioning table from the source deck: price trend, open interest, institutional/HF positioning percentile, net positioning, and pressure read.

AssetLatest DatePrice 13WOI 13WInst/HF %OIInst/HF 3Y %ileInst/HF 13WAsset Manager NetLev Money NetCOT ReadPressure Read
S&P 5002026-05-269.5%3.8%26.1%48.1%8.1K1.0M-457.8KBalancedTrend Confirmed
Nasdaq 1002026-05-2620.3%12.0%11.0%41.0%-19.4K85.1K-51.7KBalancedPrice Up / Positioning Fading
Russell 20002026-05-2610.5%7.2%-17.5%3.2%-93.7K-6.1K-68.2KCrowded ShortPrice Up / Positioning Fading
Natural Gas2026-05-26-4.8%1.3%-8.2%2.6%-58.6Knan-134.4KCrowded ShortRisk-Off Confirmation
Crude Oil2026-05-2669.6%-4.7%4.0%30.1%12.2Knan79.9KShort TiltTrend Confirmed
Gold2026-05-26-12.8%-15.9%27.6%30.1%1.5Knan97.4KShort TiltBuying Into Weakness
Silver2026-05-26-11.8%-18.9%9.9%22.4%1.5Knan10.1KShort TiltBuying Into Weakness
Copper2026-05-267.5%1.9%26.5%96.2%19.5Knan70.5KCrowded LongTrend Confirmed
Bitcoin2026-05-2618.3%-5.6%-19.8%51.3%-1.8K4.4K-8.6KBalancedPrice Up / Positioning Fading
US Dollar2026-05-262.4%61.3%8.6%48.7%6.3K16.2K-12.5KBalancedTrend Confirmed
Euro FX2026-05-26-1.1%-9.6%33.6%28.8%-154.9K269.9K7.3KShort TiltRisk-Off Confirmation
Japanese Yen2026-05-26-2.3%15.6%-30.2%12.8%-133.9K-58.7K-70.5KCrowded ShortRisk-Off Confirmation
VIX2026-05-26-13.0%7.0%12.7%73.7%2.2K-367.049.3KLong TiltBuying Into Weakness
2-Year Treasury Notes2026-05-26-1.0%6.9%4.4%94.9%227.9K2.0M-1.8MCrowded LongBuying Into Weakness
5-Year Treasury Notes2026-05-26-2.3%-7.2%9.3%100.0%327.6K2.7M-2.1MCrowded LongBuying Into Weakness
10-Year Treasury Notes2026-05-26-3.1%4.8%1.0%66.7%-108.6K2.1M-2.0MLong TiltRisk-Off Confirmation

Most Crowded Longs

AssetPrice 13WInst/HF %OIInst/HF 3Y %ileInst/HF 13WCOT ReadPressure Read
5-Year Treasury Notes-2.3%9.3%100.0%327.6KCrowded LongBuying Into Weakness
Copper7.5%26.5%96.2%19.5KCrowded LongTrend Confirmed
2-Year Treasury Notes-1.0%4.4%94.9%227.9KCrowded LongBuying Into Weakness
VIX-13.0%12.7%73.7%2.2KLong TiltBuying Into Weakness
10-Year Treasury Notes-3.1%1.0%66.7%-108.6KLong TiltRisk-Off Confirmation
Bitcoin18.3%-19.8%51.3%-1.8KBalancedPrice Up / Positioning Fading

Most Crowded Shorts

AssetPrice 13WInst/HF %OIInst/HF 3Y %ileInst/HF 13WCOT ReadPressure Read
Natural Gas-4.8%-8.2%2.6%-58.6KCrowded ShortRisk-Off Confirmation
Russell 200010.5%-17.5%3.2%-93.7KCrowded ShortPrice Up / Positioning Fading
Japanese Yen-2.3%-30.2%12.8%-133.9KCrowded ShortRisk-Off Confirmation
Silver-11.8%9.9%22.4%1.5KShort TiltBuying Into Weakness
Euro FX-1.1%33.6%28.8%-154.9KShort TiltRisk-Off Confirmation
Crude Oil69.6%4.0%30.1%12.2KShort TiltTrend Confirmed

Week-Over-Week Positioning Changes

Largest institutional/HF positioning adds and cuts. Use these to separate fresh sponsorship from crowded late-cycle chasing.

Largest WoW Buying

AssetWoW Inst/HF4W Inst/HF13W Inst/HF13W PriceRead
5-Year Treasury Notes70.5K374.9K327.6K-2.3%Buying Into Weakness
VIX-4.8K2.9K2.2K-13.0%Buying Into Weakness
Euro FX-9.9K-25.3K-154.9K-1.1%Risk-Off Confirmation
Nasdaq 100-13.5K-9.4K-19.4K20.3%Price Up / Positioning Fading
Crude Oil-18.3K-407.012.2K69.6%Trend Confirmed
Japanese Yen-22.4K-26.9K-133.9K-2.3%Risk-Off Confirmation

Largest WoW Selling

AssetWoW Inst/HF4W Inst/HF13W Inst/HF13W PriceRead
10-Year Treasury Notes-250.2K-97.5K-108.6K-3.1%Risk-Off Confirmation
S&P 500-58.0K-41.5K8.1K9.5%Trend Confirmed
2-Year Treasury Notes-43.3K-3.2K227.9K-1.0%Buying Into Weakness
Natural Gas-38.1K-37.2K-58.6K-4.8%Risk-Off Confirmation
Japanese Yen-22.4K-26.9K-133.9K-2.3%Risk-Off Confirmation
Crude Oil-18.3K-407.012.2K69.6%Trend Confirmed

Confirmation And Divergence

Trend Confirmed

AssetPrice 13WInst/HF 13WInst/HF 3Y %ileCOT ReadPressure Read
S&P 5009.5%8.1K48.1%BalancedTrend Confirmed
Crude Oil69.6%12.2K30.1%Short TiltTrend Confirmed
Copper7.5%19.5K96.2%Crowded LongTrend Confirmed
US Dollar2.4%6.3K48.7%BalancedTrend Confirmed

Price Up / Positioning Fading

AssetPrice 13WInst/HF 13WInst/HF 3Y %ileCOT ReadPressure Read
Nasdaq 10020.3%-19.4K41.0%BalancedPrice Up / Positioning Fading
Russell 200010.5%-93.7K3.2%Crowded ShortPrice Up / Positioning Fading
Bitcoin18.3%-1.8K51.3%BalancedPrice Up / Positioning Fading

Important Weekly Positioning Charts

Chart / TableWeekly Question
Cross-Asset DashboardWhich assets are crowded long, crowded short, or trend confirmed?
Weekly And Tactical HighlightsWhere did institutional/HF positioning change most over 1W, 4W, and 13W?
S&P 500 PositioningIs broad equity beta sponsored by positioning or exposed to a crowding unwind?
Nasdaq 100 PositioningIs growth leadership still supported or becoming a crowded long?
Russell 2000 PositioningIs small-cap exposure washed out enough to support repair or still structurally weak?
2Y / 5Y / 10Y Treasury PositioningIs the rates view being driven by front-end policy expectations, belly duration, or long-end duration?
US Dollar, Euro FX, And Japanese YenAre FX futures flows confirming or challenging the dollar/liquidity backdrop?
Crude Oil And Natural GasAre energy positioning flows confirming inflation-sensitive commodity pressure or fading it?
Gold, Silver, Copper, And BitcoinAre real-asset and liquidity-sensitive positioning flows supporting the macro risk read?

Selected Full Metric Library

Condensed source-table fields that matter most for weekly strategy: price, open interest, institutional/HF net exposure, z-score, percentile, and positioning changes over 1W, 4W, and 13W.

AssetLatest DateLatest PricePrice 4WPrice 13WOpen InterestOI 4WOI 13WInst/HF NetInst/HF %OIInst/HF 1Y ZInst/HF 3Y %ileInst/HF WoWInst/HF 4WInst/HF 13W
S&P 5002026-05-26750.65.5%9.5%2.1M6.8%3.8%545.8K26.1%0.348.1%-58.0K-41.5K8.1K
Nasdaq 1002026-05-26730.311.1%20.3%303.0K9.8%12.0%33.4K11.0%-0.8941.0%-13.5K-9.4K-19.4K
Russell 20002026-05-26290.56.1%10.5%424.7K3.1%7.2%-74.3K-17.5%-1.063.2%-4.8K-28.9K-93.7K
Natural Gas2026-05-2610.95.6%-4.8%1.6M3.9%1.3%-134.4K-8.2%-2.392.6%-38.1K-37.2K-58.6K
Crude Oil2026-05-26137.0-1.9%69.6%2.0M-0.7%-4.7%79.9K4.0%0.4130.1%-18.3K-407.012.2K
Gold2026-05-26414.0-1.9%-12.8%353.5K-4.3%-15.9%97.4K27.6%-0.9230.1%3.9K7.7K1.5K
Silver2026-05-2669.75.3%-11.8%101.7K0.5%-18.9%10.1K9.9%-0.9422.4%-1.5K-551.01.5K
Copper2026-05-2639.07.7%7.5%266.2K15.5%1.9%70.5K26.5%1.2896.2%-3.7K9.6K19.5K
Bitcoin2026-05-2675.8K-0.7%18.3%21.6K-0.3%-5.6%-4.3K-19.8%0.9351.3%-142.0653.0-1.8K
US Dollar2026-05-2627.80.8%2.4%42.3K38.1%61.3%3.6K8.6%1.1448.7%760.0-1.1K6.3K
Euro FX2026-05-26107.3-0.6%-1.1%824.2K2.8%-9.6%277.2K33.6%-1.7728.8%-9.9K-25.3K-154.9K
Japanese Yen2026-05-2657.60.2%-2.3%427.3K14.6%15.6%-129.3K-30.2%-2.0912.8%-22.4K-26.9K-133.9K
VIX2026-05-2617.0-4.6%-13.0%384.6K6.1%7.0%49.0K12.7%-0.2873.7%-4.8K2.9K2.2K
2-Year Treasury Notes2026-05-26103.3-0.4%-1.0%5.0M4.7%6.9%218.7K4.4%1.094.9%-43.3K-3.2K227.9K
5-Year Treasury Notes2026-05-26107.1-0.8%-2.3%6.8M5.6%-7.2%636.5K9.3%1.88100.0%70.5K374.9K327.6K
10-Year Treasury Notes2026-05-26109.8-0.9%-3.1%6.3M16.4%4.8%64.4K1.0%0.3866.7%-250.2K-97.5K-108.6K

Trader Category Split

Use this to see whether the move is asset-manager led, leveraged-money led, retail-supported, or being absorbed by commercials.

AssetAsset Manager NetLev Money NetRetail NetRetail %OICommercial NetCommercial 3Y %ileAsset Mgr L/SLev Money L/SBroad Spec Gross %OIInstitutional/HF Gross %OI
S&P 5001.0M-457.8K110.9K5.3%-677.0K48.7%5.990.25109.4%103.3%
Nasdaq 10085.1K-51.7K6.6K2.2%-45.0K62.8%3.630.51105.5%101.4%
Russell 2000-6.1K-68.2K5.8K1.4%68.8K95.5%0.960.48123.2%118.3%
Natural Gasnan-134.4K13.0K0.8%-10.7K82.7%nan0.5740.5%30.2%
Crude Oilnan79.9K34.5K1.7%366.1K99.4%nan1.6629.7%16.0%
Goldnan97.4K31.5K8.9%-19.5K94.9%nan4.6369.9%42.7%
Silvernan10.1K18.7K18.3%-19.5K90.4%nan2.5242.6%22.9%
Coppernan70.5K10.7K4.0%-110.9K1.9%nan5.6751.9%37.8%
Bitcoin4.4K-8.6K108.00.5%4.1K53.8%3.720.35121.5%118.0%
US Dollar16.2K-12.5K1.6K3.7%-7.0K36.5%8.880.48143.6%131.3%
Euro FX269.9K7.3K36.1K4.4%-322.1K69.9%2.591.07104.7%99.9%
Japanese Yen-58.7K-70.5K7.0K1.6%73.4K71.8%0.540.55116.9%103.5%
VIX-367.049.3K2.7K0.7%-51.6K23.7%1.010.5782.6%81.9%
2-Year Treasury Notes2.0M-1.8M54.6K1.1%-379.4K12.8%4.180.17126.3%115.8%
5-Year Treasury Notes2.7M-2.1M64.3K0.9%-696.5K26.9%3.410.18121.9%115.9%
10-Year Treasury Notes2.1M-2.0M291.8K4.7%-459.0K3.2%3.330.17114.0%106.6%
Positioning SetupCross-CheckStrategy Translation
Crowded long + strong breadthPrice trend, ETF health, and CFTC positioning all agree.Maintain exposure, but avoid chasing if weekly breadth momentum fades.
Crowded long + weak breadthPositioning is extended while internal confirmation deteriorates.Reduce position size, tighten stops, or shift toward less crowded expressions.
Crowded short + improving breadthPositioning is washed out while price/breadth repair begins.Potential squeeze or early rotation candidate.
Neutral positioning + improving pricePrice and breadth improve before the crowd has fully moved in.Cleaner entry setup if rates/credit are not deteriorating.

VAMS Signal

This page pulls the current VAMS flip tape directly into the strategist deck. It focuses on the fresh weekly buys and sells, then shows the individual price/VAMS chart and VAMS strategy backtest for each new buy first and each new sell underneath.

Current VAMS Tape

Volatility-adjusted momentum signal state across the ETF universe.

As of2026-05-29
Buy rate56%
Fresh buys13
Fresh sells5

How To Use

Fresh buys are candidates where momentum has improved enough to flip into risk-on state. Fresh sells identify exposures where VAMS has moved into risk-withheld state. The backtest panel underneath each signal shows whether the model has historically improved the buy-and-hold profile for that specific ticker.

Source

Generated from the weekly VAMS Signal Chartdeck without embedding the whole HTML deck.

Deck fileVAMS_Signal_Chartdeck.html
Signal logicVAMS plus volume confirmation

Fresh Signal Flip Tables

Fresh VAMS Buys

TickerNameGroupWoW Signal ChangeCurrent SignalCurrent VAMSVAMS 5D ChangeSignal Since5D Return1M Return3M ReturnSignal Strength
ARGTArgentinaInternational EquityNew BuyBuy0.830.472026-05-276.3%7.3%9.9%9.05
XLKTechnologyUS SectorNew BuyBuy0.56-0.032026-05-263.6%6.5%43.8%6.37
LQDInvestment Grade Corporate BondsBonds / CreditNew BuyBuy0.54-0.172026-05-260.8%0.1%1.5%6.23
QQQNasdaq 100US Index / SizeNew BuyBuy0.530.102026-05-262.5%3.4%30.8%6.09
TLT20+ Year Treasury BondsBonds / CreditNew BuyBuy0.53-0.262026-05-251.3%-0.4%0.1%6.08
XLYConsumer DiscretionaryUS SectorNew BuyBuy0.48-0.162026-05-272.4%1.5%15.5%5.58
XLBMaterialsUS SectorNew BuyBuy0.45-0.062026-05-262.1%-0.4%5.0%5.30
SMHSemiconductorsIndustriesNew BuyBuy0.41-0.152026-05-264.1%5.9%60.3%4.90
SHY1-3 Year Treasury NotesBonds / CreditNew BuyBuy0.380.192026-05-280.2%-0.0%-0.2%4.67
ACWXWorld Ex. U.S.International EquityNew BuyBuy0.32-0.032026-05-261.8%0.9%15.3%4.06
VOMidcapsUS Index / SizeNew BuyBuy0.27-0.392026-05-260.9%2.1%11.5%3.58
XLIIndustrialsUS SectorNew BuyBuy0.21-0.092026-05-271.2%0.3%9.2%3.00
EWJJapanInternational EquityNew BuyBuy0.21-0.022026-05-261.2%0.5%13.8%2.96

Fresh VAMS Sells

TickerNameGroupWoW Signal ChangeCurrent SignalCurrent VAMSVAMS 5D ChangeSignal Since5D Return1M Return3M ReturnSignal Strength
IAKInsuranceIndustriesNew SellSell-0.93-0.932026-05-26-3.4%-0.5%3.2%10.00
XLEEnergyUS SectorNew SellSell-0.62-0.202026-05-27-4.3%2.2%-9.0%6.94
XLFFinancialsUS SectorNew SellSell-0.37-0.792026-05-27-1.3%0.1%7.2%4.51
XLVHealthcareUS SectorNew SellSell0.16-0.272026-05-270.7%5.2%5.3%2.53
XLPConsumer StaplesUS SectorNew SellSell-0.120.302026-05-26-0.4%0.3%3.2%2.10

Fresh Buy Individual Charts And Backtests

ARGT - Argentina

International Equity | New Buy

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XLK - Technology

US Sector | New Buy

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LQD - Investment Grade Corporate Bonds

Bonds / Credit | New Buy

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QQQ - Nasdaq 100

US Index / Size | New Buy

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TLT - 20+ Year Treasury Bonds

Bonds / Credit | New Buy

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XLY - Consumer Discretionary

US Sector | New Buy

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XLB - Materials

US Sector | New Buy

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SMH - Semiconductors

Industries | New Buy

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SHY - 1-3 Year Treasury Notes

Bonds / Credit | New Buy

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ACWX - World Ex. U.S.

International Equity | New Buy

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VO - Midcaps

US Index / Size | New Buy

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XLI - Industrials

US Sector | New Buy

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EWJ - Japan

International Equity | New Buy

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Fresh Sell Individual Charts And Backtests

IAK - Insurance

Industries | New Sell

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XLE - Energy

US Sector | New Sell

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XLF - Financials

US Sector | New Sell

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XLV - Healthcare

US Sector | New Sell

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XLP - Consumer Staples

US Sector | New Sell

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Model Allocation

A signal-driven model allocation based on the current group scores and regime. It is a strategy translation layer, not a position-sizing recommendation.

SleeveProxyViewModel WeightSignalRationale
US Index BetaSPY / QQQ / RSPNeutral38.9%46.03Neutral based on group signal score 46.0 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.
US Sector LeadersXLK / strongest sector proxiesUnderweight18.6%21.12Underweight based on group signal score 21.1 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.
Thematic Growth / TechSMH / AIQ / QTUM / IGV basketNeutral16.1%40.51Neutral based on group signal score 40.5 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.
Industries / InfrastructurePAVE / ITA / XTL / CARZ basketUnderweight6.8%25.16Underweight based on group signal score 25.2 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.
International EquityEEM / EZU / INDA / DXJUnderweight6.4%21.64Underweight based on group signal score 21.6 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.
Quality Credit / DurationAGG / LQD / IEF / TLTUnderweight12.0%27.81Underweight based on group signal score 27.8 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.
Commodities / Real AssetsGLD / DBC / USO / minersUnderweight1.2%-0.54Underweight based on group signal score -0.5 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.
Cash / Dry PowderCash / T-billsUnderweight0.0%3.97Underweight based on group signal score 4.0 under Narrow Growth-Led Risk-On.

Interpretation: weights are normalized to 100%. Overweights come from stronger group strategy scores and a constructive regime. Underweights come from weak group scores, elevated damage, or a defensive regime.

Top-Down Map

Starts with broad indexes, then sectors, then industry/theme groups. This is the decision path: first decide market beta, then sector exposure, then the smaller expressions.

Group Heatmap Table

This replaces the old single-scale chart heatmap. Each column is colored in a way that fits the metric, so returns, breadth scores, and damage can be read together without distorting the colors.

Group1W1M3M6M1YHealthHealth ChgTrendLeadershipDamage>50DMA>200DMA
Factors / Style1.0%3.0%14.2%9.6%14.5%79.930.47100.0%61.3%26.1%100.0%100.0%
Major Indexes0.8%2.6%16.5%8.6%13.9%75.361.3992.0%57.0%14.8%100.0%100.0%
Thematic Growth / Tech1.2%5.9%24.8%12.5%19.9%69.612.5588.1%64.4%49.6%92.9%85.7%
Rates / Credit0.5%0.0%2.8%1.2%2.9%56.45-1.2564.3%37.1%28.9%64.3%78.6%
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing1.3%2.3%10.1%12.0%27.3%55.284.4865.9%54.9%61.2%52.9%82.4%
International Equity0.7%-0.7%7.8%3.4%12.5%53.190.0460.0%46.8%48.8%50.0%75.0%
US Sectors / Key Industry Proxies0.4%1.3%7.5%4.5%9.8%33.54-0.3452.3%9.4%15.9%58.3%75.0%
Financial / Health Care Industries-0.3%0.5%6.5%-3.5%7.0%47.87-5.7254.0%43.2%55.4%60.0%50.0%
Metals / Miners1.4%-3.5%7.3%-7.3%32.5%31.265.4728.0%44.4%81.8%20.0%40.0%
Commodities / Crypto / USD-1.1%-3.4%6.8%1.3%26.9%33.20-8.8038.3%32.6%74.2%25.0%58.3%

Group Summary

GroupETFsStrategy ScoreHealthHealth_1W_ChgReturn_1WReturn_1MReturn_3MTrend_BreadthDamage_BreadthAbove_50DMAAbove_200DMA
Factors / Style647.7079.930.471.0%3.0%14.2%100.0%26.1%100.0%100.0%
Major Indexes1146.0375.361.390.8%2.6%16.5%92.0%14.8%100.0%100.0%
Thematic Growth / Tech1440.5169.612.551.2%5.9%24.8%88.1%49.6%92.9%85.7%
Rates / Credit1427.8156.45-1.250.5%0.0%2.8%64.3%28.9%64.3%78.6%
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing1725.1655.284.481.3%2.3%10.1%65.9%61.2%52.9%82.4%
International Equity821.6453.190.040.7%-0.7%7.8%60.0%48.8%50.0%75.0%
US Sectors / Key Industry Proxies1221.1233.54-0.340.4%1.3%7.5%52.3%15.9%58.3%75.0%
Financial / Health Care Industries1016.3747.87-5.72-0.3%0.5%6.5%54.0%55.4%60.0%50.0%
Metals / Miners10-0.5431.265.471.4%-3.5%7.3%28.0%81.8%20.0%40.0%
Commodities / Crypto / USD12-1.1533.20-8.80-1.1%-3.4%6.8%38.3%74.2%25.0%58.3%

Major Indexes

TickerNameHealth SourceHealth ScoreHealth 1W Change1W1M3M6M1YTrend BreadthDamage BreadthAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
SPYS&P 500Breadth32.24-0.010.6%2.6%16.3%9.2%14.3%54.5%15.7%TrueTrue
QQQNasdaq 100Breadth36.63-0.091.7%5.0%27.1%17.7%23.0%57.8%15.5%TrueTrue
IWMRussell 2000Price proxy90.259.471.8%2.9%17.3%7.8%19.2%100.0%7.9%TrueTrue
IWFRussell 1000 GrowthPrice proxy86.301.400.6%2.4%19.1%8.0%8.5%100.0%11.4%TrueTrue
IWDRussell 1000 ValuePrice proxy84.532.460.7%2.5%12.0%8.7%18.2%100.0%13.2%TrueTrue
RSPS&P 500 Equal WeightPrice proxy82.35-1.400.4%1.9%8.6%4.4%10.9%100.0%8.8%TrueTrue
OEFS&P 100Price proxy90.024.560.7%2.8%18.7%10.0%13.9%100.0%3.1%TrueTrue
XLGS&P Top 50Price proxy79.58-5.260.3%2.1%18.1%9.4%12.1%100.0%28.1%TrueTrue
MAGSMagnificent 7Price proxy83.646.671.4%2.1%23.3%8.3%11.0%100.0%29.8%TrueTrue
XMAGEx-Magnificent 7Price proxy85.853.160.7%3.3%12.5%8.1%13.2%100.0%14.0%TrueTrue
SPXTS&P 500 Ex-TechnologyPrice proxy77.53-5.610.2%0.5%8.3%2.8%8.6%100.0%15.8%TrueTrue

Sectors And Key Industry Proxies

TickerNameHealth SourceHealth ScoreHealth 1W Change1W1M3M6M1YTrend BreadthLeadership BreadthDamage BreadthAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
XLKTechnologyBreadth51.916.812.2%8.7%39.2%27.5%34.1%75.8%29.7%11.9%TrueTrue
XLYConsumer DiscretionaryBreadth31.5810.712.0%1.4%11.7%-0.7%1.7%51.4%10.4%21.5%TrueTrue
XLPConsumer StaplesBreadth30.87-3.94-0.3%0.7%4.2%3.4%8.5%50.0%5.6%21.3%TrueTrue
XLCCommunication ServicesBreadth29.490.610.7%-1.0%6.8%0.3%-1.3%44.9%4.3%10.1%FalseTrue
XLEEnergyBreadth24.97-25.59-4.2%1.9%-7.4%17.3%30.1%41.3%0.0%14.3%FalseTrue
XLFFinancialsBreadth32.07-6.65-1.0%-0.3%4.8%-4.0%-3.9%46.5%12.3%15.4%FalseFalse
XLVHealth CareBreadth36.345.55-0.7%2.8%2.1%-5.6%9.6%54.8%9.6%21.5%TrueFalse
XLIIndustrialsBreadth33.065.771.5%0.2%8.1%5.6%15.3%54.4%11.4%15.2%TrueTrue
XLBMaterialsBreadth33.008.401.8%-0.4%4.3%3.8%14.3%52.6%10.3%17.9%FalseTrue
XLREReal EstateBreadth44.67-8.340.2%0.5%10.8%9.2%8.8%68.8%11.8%10.8%TrueTrue
XLUUtilitiesBreadth26.46-6.89-0.5%0.0%-0.4%6.4%9.2%37.6%4.3%8.6%FalseTrue
XHBHomebuildersBreadth28.109.473.3%0.6%5.4%-8.8%-9.3%50.0%2.9%22.5%TrueFalse

Non-Sector Industries And Themes

TickerNameGroupHealth SourceHealth ScoreHealth 1W Change1W1M3M6M1YTrend BreadthLeadership BreadthDamage Breadth
UFOUFOThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy98.9319.657.7%30.6%45.5%42.3%93.9%100.0%99.1%3.1%
XTLXTLIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy97.3918.604.2%10.4%28.5%48.9%74.9%100.0%94.7%3.1%
AIQAIQThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy94.7816.493.6%8.5%40.3%24.1%33.6%100.0%93.9%12.3%
NXTGNXTGIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy92.6616.843.8%11.2%40.2%38.1%50.0%100.0%95.3%22.8%
CARZCARZIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy91.5617.543.8%8.5%48.6%36.6%67.4%100.0%95.3%27.2%
QTUMQTUMThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy88.5110.532.0%10.9%45.2%31.4%51.3%100.0%90.4%32.5%
ROBOROBOThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy86.138.421.6%5.8%28.6%19.6%34.2%100.0%84.8%34.2%
IHEIHEFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy85.01-2.460.4%3.6%7.7%5.2%31.2%100.0%59.4%3.1%
PINKPINKThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy82.349.821.9%5.3%14.0%-2.5%19.7%100.0%78.4%40.4%
XTNXTNIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy81.3918.254.2%5.7%19.8%11.3%29.9%100.0%90.1%60.5%
JETSJETSIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy79.4719.307.2%5.4%16.3%0.7%13.2%100.0%87.7%64.9%
PEJPEJThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy79.1114.393.2%1.9%8.0%2.5%1.5%100.0%67.3%37.7%
GRIDGRIDThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy78.085.960.9%0.7%20.2%22.0%30.6%100.0%68.7%43.9%
IHFIHFFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy77.21-9.12-0.4%3.0%19.8%1.1%5.6%100.0%64.3%41.2%
XBIXBIFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy74.8511.232.1%0.6%8.5%2.2%39.6%100.0%62.0%47.4%
ITAITAIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy71.6411.932.3%3.6%4.7%-2.2%13.6%100.0%67.8%68.4%
COALCOALIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy71.4220.008.0%4.3%-3.1%-1.9%24.7%100.0%63.5%63.2%
BUGBUGThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy69.72-18.25-4.5%11.8%30.2%10.6%-6.9%100.0%65.5%72.8%
PAVEPAVEIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy69.0815.093.2%-0.2%13.1%9.8%21.6%80.0%65.2%43.0%
ARKKARKKThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy66.6710.882.0%0.0%15.7%-5.2%-6.3%100.0%64.9%84.2%
IAIIAIFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy63.96-14.04-1.3%0.6%9.3%-5.2%1.4%100.0%41.5%62.3%
CLOUCLOUThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy62.82-15.79-2.7%0.1%14.3%4.1%-6.6%100.0%43.3%69.3%
IGVIGVThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy61.99-13.33-1.0%2.4%16.7%-4.0%-19.4%100.0%54.7%88.6%
SMHSemiconductorsThematic Growth / TechBreadth61.351.363.3%10.3%56.4%47.8%88.5%93.3%29.3%2.7%
NUKZNUKZIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy58.977.721.5%-2.4%8.6%1.1%15.2%80.0%48.2%59.6%
KREKREFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy56.56-4.210.3%-0.5%7.9%0.1%7.1%80.0%39.5%57.0%
OIHOIHIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy45.21-17.54-4.2%1.9%3.0%24.6%67.6%60.0%33.0%61.4%
XESXESIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy43.47-18.60-4.7%0.9%3.7%28.7%73.8%60.0%32.5%67.5%
PSPPSPFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy39.603.510.7%-0.3%10.3%-11.8%-13.1%40.0%51.8%78.1%
PNQIPNQIThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy35.21-1.750.4%-2.0%9.7%-6.8%-14.7%40.0%43.0%83.3%
ITBITBIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy31.6813.682.9%0.7%3.6%-12.4%-15.2%20.0%57.0%85.1%
IAKIAKFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy30.75-15.44-2.2%0.5%2.4%1.7%1.8%20.0%28.7%49.1%
CRAKCRAKIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy26.60-15.09-2.1%-3.3%-2.5%15.8%31.4%40.0%10.2%71.9%
IBBIBBFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy26.291.750.6%-0.1%2.8%-4.3%18.5%0.0%40.6%51.8%
FCGFCGIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy24.46-19.30-5.7%-2.0%-11.6%18.0%23.4%40.0%7.9%77.2%
XOPXOPIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy24.44-18.95-5.0%-1.6%-11.8%21.9%25.1%40.0%9.1%78.9%
SOCLSOCLIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy18.2212.632.6%-3.3%7.6%-19.4%-27.1%0.0%47.7%93.9%
IYGIYGFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy17.94-12.28-0.8%-0.3%5.7%-4.5%-3.2%0.0%32.5%73.7%
HEROHEROIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy12.02-5.960.2%-1.5%2.3%-15.2%-24.7%0.0%28.1%91.2%
BJKBJKThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy8.87-12.63-0.9%-3.0%2.0%-10.6%-20.6%0.0%17.8%89.5%
IHIIHIFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy6.51-16.14-2.8%-1.7%-9.4%-19.0%-18.7%0.0%11.7%90.4%

Charts

Visual packet for weekly review: breadth health, weekly return leadership, weekly breadth change, signal heatmap, and breadth-versus-return cross-section.

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Group Heatmap Table

Column-aware coloring: returns are centered around zero, breadth/health use higher-is-better, and damage uses lower-is-better.

Group1W1M3M6M1YHealthHealth ChgTrendLeadershipDamage>50DMA>200DMA
Factors / Style1.0%3.0%14.2%9.6%14.5%79.930.47100.0%61.3%26.1%100.0%100.0%
Major Indexes0.8%2.6%16.5%8.6%13.9%75.361.3992.0%57.0%14.8%100.0%100.0%
Thematic Growth / Tech1.2%5.9%24.8%12.5%19.9%69.612.5588.1%64.4%49.6%92.9%85.7%
Rates / Credit0.5%0.0%2.8%1.2%2.9%56.45-1.2564.3%37.1%28.9%64.3%78.6%
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing1.3%2.3%10.1%12.0%27.3%55.284.4865.9%54.9%61.2%52.9%82.4%
International Equity0.7%-0.7%7.8%3.4%12.5%53.190.0460.0%46.8%48.8%50.0%75.0%
US Sectors / Key Industry Proxies0.4%1.3%7.5%4.5%9.8%33.54-0.3452.3%9.4%15.9%58.3%75.0%
Financial / Health Care Industries-0.3%0.5%6.5%-3.5%7.0%47.87-5.7254.0%43.2%55.4%60.0%50.0%
Metals / Miners1.4%-3.5%7.3%-7.3%32.5%31.265.4728.0%44.4%81.8%20.0%40.0%
Commodities / Crypto / USD-1.1%-3.4%6.8%1.3%26.9%33.20-8.8038.3%32.6%74.2%25.0%58.3%

ETF Signal Heatmap Table

ETF1W1M3M6M1YHealthHealth ChgTrendLeadershipDamage
UFO7.7%30.6%45.5%42.3%93.9%98.9319.65100.0%99.1%3.1%
XTL4.2%10.4%28.5%48.9%74.9%97.3918.60100.0%94.7%3.1%
SPHB3.0%5.4%26.2%19.0%32.8%95.0414.04100.0%88.0%3.1%
AIQ3.6%8.5%40.3%24.1%33.6%94.7816.49100.0%93.9%12.3%
EEM3.8%2.7%23.3%16.5%30.6%93.3517.19100.0%85.4%6.1%
MTUM3.2%6.6%31.5%22.5%23.5%93.1014.74100.0%90.9%14.9%
NXTG3.8%11.2%40.2%38.1%50.0%92.6616.84100.0%95.3%22.8%
CARZ3.8%8.5%48.6%36.6%67.4%91.5617.54100.0%95.3%27.2%
IWM1.8%2.9%17.3%7.8%19.2%90.259.47100.0%77.8%7.9%
OEF0.7%2.8%18.7%10.0%13.9%90.024.56100.0%73.7%3.1%
CWB1.2%2.5%17.2%14.0%19.9%89.516.32100.0%72.2%3.1%
QTUM2.0%10.9%45.2%31.4%51.3%88.5110.53100.0%90.4%32.5%
IWF0.6%2.4%19.1%8.0%8.5%86.301.40100.0%69.0%11.4%
ROBO1.6%5.8%28.6%19.6%34.2%86.138.42100.0%84.8%34.2%
XMAG0.7%3.3%12.5%8.1%13.2%85.853.16100.0%69.6%14.0%
IHE0.4%3.6%7.7%5.2%31.2%85.01-2.46100.0%59.4%3.1%
IWD0.7%2.5%12.0%8.7%18.2%84.532.46100.0%65.2%13.2%
EZU1.4%2.7%13.1%4.5%13.8%84.397.02100.0%71.1%21.9%
MAGS1.4%2.1%23.3%8.3%11.0%83.646.67100.0%74.6%29.8%
QUAL0.4%2.8%13.2%6.5%12.7%82.69-2.11100.0%64.3%19.3%
DXJ0.8%3.3%9.4%10.6%32.1%82.604.91100.0%67.8%24.6%
RSP0.4%1.9%8.6%4.4%10.9%82.35-1.40100.0%55.8%8.8%
PINK1.9%5.3%14.0%-2.5%19.7%82.349.82100.0%78.4%40.4%
XTN4.2%5.7%19.8%11.3%29.9%81.3918.25100.0%90.1%60.5%
VO0.4%1.3%9.5%4.8%8.5%79.97-2.81100.0%54.7%16.7%
XLG0.3%2.1%18.1%9.4%12.1%79.58-5.26100.0%61.7%28.1%
JETS7.2%5.4%16.3%0.7%13.2%79.4719.30100.0%87.7%64.9%
PEJ3.2%1.9%8.0%2.5%1.5%79.1114.39100.0%67.3%37.7%
GRID0.9%0.7%20.2%22.0%30.6%78.085.96100.0%68.7%43.9%
SPXT0.2%0.5%8.3%2.8%8.6%77.53-5.61100.0%47.1%15.8%
XME5.0%2.0%17.1%-5.9%38.4%77.2418.95100.0%80.7%64.0%
IHF-0.4%3.0%19.8%1.1%5.6%77.21-9.12100.0%64.3%41.2%
COPX3.3%4.2%21.4%4.7%67.3%76.5415.44100.0%86.8%75.4%
HYG0.3%0.3%2.6%0.7%2.6%75.47-4.91100.0%37.4%10.5%
DBB-0.7%2.6%12.8%7.8%30.8%75.23-10.53100.0%55.6%36.8%
EMB0.9%0.1%3.6%1.2%4.4%75.005.61100.0%47.4%26.3%
XBI2.1%0.6%8.5%2.2%39.6%74.8511.23100.0%62.0%47.4%
ITA2.3%3.6%4.7%-2.2%13.6%71.6411.93100.0%67.8%68.4%
COAL8.0%4.3%-3.1%-1.9%24.7%71.4220.00100.0%63.5%63.2%
STIP0.2%0.0%1.2%1.8%2.1%71.35-6.32100.0%31.3%18.4%
EWU0.3%2.1%6.8%4.8%15.6%71.18-4.56100.0%50.9%46.5%
CPER-1.1%3.0%15.5%7.9%35.8%70.82-13.68100.0%56.7%56.1%
LQD0.5%0.2%1.8%-0.2%0.4%70.480.70100.0%39.5%33.3%
BUG-4.5%11.8%30.2%10.6%-6.9%69.72-18.25100.0%65.5%72.8%
UUP-0.1%1.2%-0.2%2.2%4.9%69.33-7.72100.0%33.0%28.9%

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Group Scatter Panels

Same framework as the all-ETF scatter, split by group so the outliers and clusters are readable. Marker size reflects trend breadth; color reflects damage breadth.

Signal Details

Tables generated directly from prices.csv and the breadth metric files in the Breadth folder.

Detailed Signal Matrix

TickerNameGroupHealth SourceHealth ScoreHealth 1W Change1W1M3M6M1YTrend BreadthLeadership BreadthDamage BreadthAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
UFOUFOThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy98.9319.657.7%30.6%45.5%42.3%93.9%100.0%99.1%3.1%TrueTrue
XTLXTLIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy97.3918.604.2%10.4%28.5%48.9%74.9%100.0%94.7%3.1%TrueTrue
SPHBHigh BetaFactors / StylePrice proxy95.0414.043.0%5.4%26.2%19.0%32.8%100.0%88.0%3.1%TrueTrue
AIQAIQThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy94.7816.493.6%8.5%40.3%24.1%33.6%100.0%93.9%12.3%TrueTrue
EEMEEMInternational EquityPrice proxy93.3517.193.8%2.7%23.3%16.5%30.6%100.0%85.4%6.1%TrueTrue
MTUMMomentum FactorFactors / StylePrice proxy93.1014.743.2%6.6%31.5%22.5%23.5%100.0%90.9%14.9%TrueTrue
NXTGNXTGIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy92.6616.843.8%11.2%40.2%38.1%50.0%100.0%95.3%22.8%TrueTrue
CARZCARZIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy91.5617.543.8%8.5%48.6%36.6%67.4%100.0%95.3%27.2%TrueTrue
IWMRussell 2000Major IndexesPrice proxy90.259.471.8%2.9%17.3%7.8%19.2%100.0%77.8%7.9%TrueTrue
OEFS&P 100Major IndexesPrice proxy90.024.560.7%2.8%18.7%10.0%13.9%100.0%73.7%3.1%TrueTrue
CWBCWBRates / CreditPrice proxy89.516.321.2%2.5%17.2%14.0%19.9%100.0%72.2%3.1%TrueTrue
QTUMQTUMThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy88.5110.532.0%10.9%45.2%31.4%51.3%100.0%90.4%32.5%TrueTrue
IWFRussell 1000 GrowthMajor IndexesPrice proxy86.301.400.6%2.4%19.1%8.0%8.5%100.0%69.0%11.4%TrueTrue
ROBOROBOThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy86.138.421.6%5.8%28.6%19.6%34.2%100.0%84.8%34.2%TrueTrue
XMAGEx-Magnificent 7Major IndexesPrice proxy85.853.160.7%3.3%12.5%8.1%13.2%100.0%69.6%14.0%TrueTrue
IHEIHEFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy85.01-2.460.4%3.6%7.7%5.2%31.2%100.0%59.4%3.1%TrueTrue
IWDRussell 1000 ValueMajor IndexesPrice proxy84.532.460.7%2.5%12.0%8.7%18.2%100.0%65.2%13.2%TrueTrue
EZUEZUInternational EquityPrice proxy84.397.021.4%2.7%13.1%4.5%13.8%100.0%71.1%21.9%TrueTrue
MAGSMagnificent 7Major IndexesPrice proxy83.646.671.4%2.1%23.3%8.3%11.0%100.0%74.6%29.8%TrueTrue
QUALQuality FactorFactors / StylePrice proxy82.69-2.110.4%2.8%13.2%6.5%12.7%100.0%64.3%19.3%TrueTrue
DXJDXJInternational EquityPrice proxy82.604.910.8%3.3%9.4%10.6%32.1%100.0%67.8%24.6%TrueTrue
RSPS&P 500 Equal WeightMajor IndexesPrice proxy82.35-1.400.4%1.9%8.6%4.4%10.9%100.0%55.8%8.8%TrueTrue
PINKPINKThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy82.349.821.9%5.3%14.0%-2.5%19.7%100.0%78.4%40.4%TrueTrue
XTNXTNIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy81.3918.254.2%5.7%19.8%11.3%29.9%100.0%90.1%60.5%TrueTrue
VOVOFactors / StylePrice proxy79.97-2.810.4%1.3%9.5%4.8%8.5%100.0%54.7%16.7%TrueTrue
XLGS&P Top 50Major IndexesPrice proxy79.58-5.260.3%2.1%18.1%9.4%12.1%100.0%61.7%28.1%TrueTrue
JETSJETSIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy79.4719.307.2%5.4%16.3%0.7%13.2%100.0%87.7%64.9%TrueTrue
PEJPEJThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy79.1114.393.2%1.9%8.0%2.5%1.5%100.0%67.3%37.7%TrueTrue
GRIDGRIDThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy78.085.960.9%0.7%20.2%22.0%30.6%100.0%68.7%43.9%TrueTrue
SPXTS&P 500 Ex-TechnologyMajor IndexesPrice proxy77.53-5.610.2%0.5%8.3%2.8%8.6%100.0%47.1%15.8%TrueTrue
XMEXMEMetals / MinersPrice proxy77.2418.955.0%2.0%17.1%-5.9%38.4%100.0%80.7%64.0%TrueTrue
IHFIHFFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy77.21-9.12-0.4%3.0%19.8%1.1%5.6%100.0%64.3%41.2%TrueTrue
COPXCOPXMetals / MinersPrice proxy76.5415.443.3%4.2%21.4%4.7%67.3%100.0%86.8%75.4%TrueTrue
HYGHigh Yield CreditRates / CreditPrice proxy75.47-4.910.3%0.3%2.6%0.7%2.6%100.0%37.4%10.5%TrueTrue
DBBDBBCommodities / Crypto / USDPrice proxy75.23-10.53-0.7%2.6%12.8%7.8%30.8%100.0%55.6%36.8%TrueTrue
EMBEMBRates / CreditPrice proxy75.005.610.9%0.1%3.6%1.2%4.4%100.0%47.4%26.3%TrueTrue
XBIXBIFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy74.8511.232.1%0.6%8.5%2.2%39.6%100.0%62.0%47.4%TrueTrue
ITAITAIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy71.6411.932.3%3.6%4.7%-2.2%13.6%100.0%67.8%68.4%TrueTrue
COALCOALIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy71.4220.008.0%4.3%-3.1%-1.9%24.7%100.0%63.5%63.2%TrueTrue
STIPSTIPRates / CreditPrice proxy71.35-6.320.2%0.0%1.2%1.8%2.1%100.0%31.3%18.4%TrueTrue
EWUEWUInternational EquityPrice proxy71.18-4.560.3%2.1%6.8%4.8%15.6%100.0%50.9%46.5%TrueTrue
CPERCPERCommodities / Crypto / USDPrice proxy70.82-13.68-1.1%3.0%15.5%7.9%35.8%100.0%56.7%56.1%TrueTrue
LQDInvestment Grade CreditRates / CreditPrice proxy70.480.700.5%0.2%1.8%-0.2%0.4%100.0%39.5%33.3%TrueTrue
BUGBUGThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy69.72-18.25-4.5%11.8%30.2%10.6%-6.9%100.0%65.5%72.8%TrueTrue
UUPUS DollarCommodities / Crypto / USDPrice proxy69.33-7.72-0.1%1.2%-0.2%2.2%4.9%100.0%33.0%28.9%TrueTrue
PAVEPAVEIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy69.0815.093.2%-0.2%13.1%9.8%21.6%80.0%65.2%43.0%TrueTrue
ARKKARKKThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy66.6710.882.0%0.0%15.7%-5.2%-6.3%100.0%64.9%84.2%TrueTrue
SPHDHigh Dividend Low VolFactors / StylePrice proxy66.04-9.82-0.5%1.2%2.9%3.3%5.9%100.0%37.4%48.2%TrueTrue
IAIIAIFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy63.96-14.04-1.3%0.6%9.3%-5.2%1.4%100.0%41.5%62.3%TrueTrue
PFFPFFRates / CreditPrice proxy63.14-0.350.5%-0.4%4.3%-0.2%1.2%80.0%39.5%30.7%TrueTrue
CLOUCLOUThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy62.82-15.79-2.7%0.1%14.3%4.1%-6.6%100.0%43.3%69.3%TrueTrue
TIPTIPSRates / CreditPrice proxy62.82-1.050.5%-0.1%1.5%1.3%1.1%80.0%34.8%25.4%TrueTrue
SPLVLow VolatilityFactors / StylePrice proxy62.76-11.23-0.7%0.8%1.7%1.8%3.5%100.0%32.5%54.4%TrueTrue
IGVIGVThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy61.99-13.33-1.0%2.4%16.7%-4.0%-19.4%100.0%54.7%88.6%TrueTrue
SHY1-3 Year TreasuryRates / CreditPrice proxy61.56-7.370.1%-0.0%0.6%0.5%1.6%80.0%28.1%21.1%TrueTrue
BKLNBKLNRates / CreditPrice proxy61.47-7.020.1%-0.3%1.1%0.1%2.3%80.0%27.2%20.2%TrueTrue
SMHSemiconductorsThematic Growth / TechBreadth61.351.363.3%10.3%56.4%47.8%88.5%93.3%29.3%2.7%TrueTrue
NUKZNUKZIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy58.977.721.5%-2.4%8.6%1.1%15.2%80.0%48.2%59.6%TrueTrue
KREKREFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy56.56-4.210.3%-0.5%7.9%0.1%7.1%80.0%39.5%57.0%TrueTrue
XLKTechnologyUS Sectors / Key Industry ProxiesBreadth51.916.812.2%8.7%39.2%27.5%34.1%75.8%29.7%11.9%TrueTrue
OIHOIHIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy45.21-17.54-4.2%1.9%3.0%24.6%67.6%60.0%33.0%61.4%FalseTrue
XLREReal EstateUS Sectors / Key Industry ProxiesBreadth44.67-8.340.2%0.5%10.8%9.2%8.8%68.8%11.8%10.8%TrueTrue
XESXESIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy43.47-18.60-4.7%0.9%3.7%28.7%73.8%60.0%32.5%67.5%FalseTrue
EMLCEMLCRates / CreditPrice proxy43.270.350.5%-0.6%3.2%-0.8%3.6%40.0%36.5%42.1%FalseTrue
MBBMBBRates / CreditPrice proxy42.77-3.860.3%-0.2%1.1%0.4%2.2%40.0%30.1%35.1%FalseTrue
EWAEWAInternational EquityPrice proxy41.641.050.5%-1.9%6.5%6.9%9.4%40.0%40.1%53.5%FalseTrue
PSPPSPFinancial / Health Care IndustriesPrice proxy39.603.510.7%-0.3%10.3%-11.8%-13.1%40.0%51.8%78.1%TrueFalse
HAPHAPMetals / MinersPrice proxy37.71-10.88-0.7%-0.3%2.2%8.2%31.8%40.0%26.3%50.0%FalseTrue
QQQNasdaq 100Major IndexesBreadth36.63-0.091.7%5.0%27.1%17.7%23.0%57.8%20.1%15.5%TrueTrue
XLVHealth CareUS Sectors / Key Industry ProxiesBreadth36.345.55-0.7%2.8%2.1%-5.6%9.6%54.8%9.6%21.5%TrueFalse
DBADBACommodities / Crypto / USDPrice proxy36.03-8.77-0.3%-1.2%1.3%7.3%5.1%40.0%23.4%52.6%FalseTrue
PNQIPNQIThematic Growth / TechPrice proxy35.21-1.750.4%-2.0%9.7%-6.8%-14.7%40.0%43.0%83.3%TrueFalse
URAURACommodities / Crypto / USDPrice proxy34.2212.282.5%-10.8%7.4%-11.3%14.9%40.0%43.3%87.7%FalseTrue
XLIIndustrialsUS Sectors / Key Industry ProxiesBreadth33.065.771.5%0.2%8.1%5.6%15.3%54.4%11.4%15.2%TrueTrue
XLBMaterialsUS Sectors / Key Industry ProxiesBreadth33.008.401.8%-0.4%4.3%3.8%14.3%52.6%10.3%17.9%FalseTrue
SPYS&P 500Major IndexesBreadth32.24-0.010.6%2.6%16.3%9.2%14.3%54.5%12.2%15.7%TrueTrue
XLFFinancialsUS Sectors / Key Industry ProxiesBreadth32.07-6.65-1.0%-0.3%4.8%-4.0%-3.9%46.5%12.3%15.4%FalseFalse
ITBITBIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingPrice proxy31.6813.682.9%0.7%3.6%-12.4%-15.2%20.0%57.0%85.1%FalseFalse
XLYConsumer DiscretionaryUS Sectors / Key Industry ProxiesBreadth31.5810.712.0%1.4%11.7%-0.7%1.7%51.4%10.4%21.5%TrueTrue
DBCDBCCommodities / Crypto / USDPrice proxy31.29-16.84-3.4%-2.5%3.7%24.2%35.8%40.0%19.9%66.7%FalseTrue

Highest Breadth Health

TickerNameHealth ScoreHealth 1W ChangeTrend BreadthLeadership BreadthDamage Breadth
UFOUFO98.9319.65100.0%99.1%3.1%
XTLXTL97.3918.60100.0%94.7%3.1%
SPHBHigh Beta95.0414.04100.0%88.0%3.1%
AIQAIQ94.7816.49100.0%93.9%12.3%
EEMEEM93.3517.19100.0%85.4%6.1%

Lowest Breadth Health

TickerNameHealth ScoreHealth 1W ChangeTrend BreadthLeadership BreadthDamage Breadth
IHIIHI6.51-16.140.0%11.7%90.4%
BTC-USDBTC-USD7.68-16.490.0%21.9%100.0%
GLDGold8.52-14.740.0%14.3%86.0%
BJKBJK8.87-12.630.0%17.8%89.5%
PLTMPLTM10.18-8.070.0%27.2%97.4%

Weekly Breadth Improvers

TickerNameHealth 1W ChangeHealth ScoreTrend BreadthDamage Breadth
COALCOAL20.0071.42100.0%63.2%
UFOUFO19.6598.93100.0%3.1%
JETSJETS19.3079.47100.0%64.9%
XMEXME18.9577.24100.0%64.0%
XTLXTL18.6097.39100.0%3.1%
XTNXTN18.2581.39100.0%60.5%
URNMURNM17.8914.800.0%96.5%
CARZCARZ17.5491.56100.0%27.2%
EEMEEM17.1993.35100.0%6.1%
NXTGNXTG16.8492.66100.0%22.8%

Weekly Breadth Deteriorators

TickerNameHealth 1W ChangeHealth ScoreTrend BreadthDamage Breadth
XLEEnergy-25.5924.9741.3%14.3%
USOOil-19.6530.5540.0%80.7%
FCGFCG-19.3024.4640.0%77.2%
XOPXOP-18.9524.4440.0%78.9%
XESXES-18.6043.4760.0%67.5%
BUGBUG-18.2569.72100.0%72.8%
OIHOIH-17.5445.2160.0%61.4%
GSGGSG-17.1929.6040.0%70.2%
DBCDBC-16.8431.2940.0%66.7%
BTC-USDBTC-USD-16.497.680.0%100.0%

This Week's ETF Price Leaders

TickerName1W1M3M6MAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
COALCOAL8.0%4.3%-3.1%-1.9%TrueTrue
UFOUFO7.7%30.6%45.5%42.3%TrueTrue
JETSJETS7.2%5.4%16.3%0.7%TrueTrue
XMEXME5.0%2.0%17.1%-5.9%TrueTrue
XTLXTL4.2%10.4%28.5%48.9%TrueTrue
XTNXTN4.2%5.7%19.8%11.3%TrueTrue
URNMURNM3.9%-9.7%2.1%-19.7%FalseFalse
CARZCARZ3.8%8.5%48.6%36.6%TrueTrue
EEMEEM3.8%2.7%23.3%16.5%TrueTrue
NXTGNXTG3.8%11.2%40.2%38.1%TrueTrue

This Week's ETF Price Laggards

TickerName1W1M3M6MAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
USOOil-7.0%-2.9%11.7%82.4%FalseTrue
FCGFCG-5.7%-2.0%-11.6%18.0%FalseTrue
XOPXOP-5.0%-1.6%-11.8%21.9%FalseTrue
XESXES-4.7%0.9%3.7%28.7%FalseTrue
BUGBUG-4.5%11.8%30.2%10.6%TrueTrue
XLEEnergy-4.2%1.9%-7.4%17.3%FalseTrue
OIHOIH-4.2%1.9%3.0%24.6%FalseTrue
GSGGSG-4.0%-2.9%3.1%31.5%FalseTrue
DBCDBC-3.4%-2.5%3.7%24.2%FalseTrue
BTC-USDBTC-USD-2.9%-7.0%8.2%-16.8%FalseFalse

1M ETF Price Leaders

TickerName1W1M3M6M1YAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
UFOUFO7.7%30.6%45.5%42.3%93.9%TrueTrue
BUGBUG-4.5%11.8%30.2%10.6%-6.9%TrueTrue
NXTGNXTG3.8%11.2%40.2%38.1%50.0%TrueTrue
QTUMQTUM2.0%10.9%45.2%31.4%51.3%TrueTrue
XTLXTL4.2%10.4%28.5%48.9%74.9%TrueTrue
SMHSemiconductors3.3%10.3%56.4%47.8%88.5%TrueTrue
XLKTechnology2.2%8.7%39.2%27.5%34.1%TrueTrue
AIQAIQ3.6%8.5%40.3%24.1%33.6%TrueTrue
CARZCARZ3.8%8.5%48.6%36.6%67.4%TrueTrue
MTUMMomentum Factor3.2%6.6%31.5%22.5%23.5%TrueTrue

1M ETF Price Laggards

TickerName1W1M3M6M1YAbove 50DMAAbove 200DMA
URAURA2.5%-10.8%7.4%-11.3%14.9%FalseTrue
URNMURNM3.9%-9.7%2.1%-19.7%11.2%FalseFalse
GDXJGDXJ0.8%-8.1%6.3%-20.8%31.5%FalseFalse
BTC-USDBTC-USD-2.9%-7.0%8.2%-16.8%-36.5%FalseFalse
EWZEWZ-0.7%-6.9%-1.9%0.4%21.3%FalseTrue
GDXGDX0.5%-6.8%3.7%-18.8%25.1%FalseFalse
PALLPALL2.7%-6.7%2.9%-28.4%19.4%FalseFalse
SILSIL0.7%-5.8%9.4%-18.3%39.9%FalseFalse
SLVSilver-1.3%-5.7%11.1%-22.5%77.7%FalseFalse
PLTMPLTM-0.2%-5.6%5.4%-27.5%37.9%FalseFalse

Allocation Playbook

Signal-based views translated into strategist-style portfolio tilts. These are not position sizes.

Asset / SleeveViewWhyRisk To Watch
US Large Cap / Mega CapOverweightETF momentum and breadth leadership remain supportive.Credit widening or narrowing participation.
Technology / SemiconductorsOverweightAppears in the healthiest breadth and price-leadership stack.Rising real yields or overextension.
Weak Breadth SectorsUnderweightIHI, BTC-USD, GLD, BJK screen weaker on internal health.Upgrade only if breadth repair is sustained.
HY Credit BetaUnderweightCredit spread compensation is tight relative to history.Can improve after spread widening creates better entry.
Quality CreditOverweightYield curve deck favors quality up over lower-quality credit beta.IG spreads can still widen from tight levels.
DurationNeutral+Real yields offer compensation, but rates volatility is the guardrail.Bear steepening or term-premium shock.