Daily PM Market Tape

Daily Market Look

All ETF sleeves in the established deck order. Daily candlesticks use a rolling two-year window with 50/200 DMA and RSI 14. Weekly candlesticks use a rolling five-year window with 50/200 week moving averages and weekly RSI.

PM decision surface

Daily Market Read

Start here after the close: breadth, return dispersion, trend support, and RSI temperature across the ETF universe.

Risk Regime
Mixed

Risk ladder checks: 6 pass / 3 watch / 2 fail.

Breadth
53.1% / 68.1%

ETF universe above 50DMA / 200DMA.

Leadership
Commodities / Crypto / USD (4.3%)

59.3% outperforming SPY over 1M.

Median Drawdown
-6.7%

Median distance from trailing 1Y highs.

Prior Snapshot
2026-07-29

Used for changed-since-prior-run table.

Primary Market Date
2026-07-30

113/113 ETFs at primary market date; fresh yfinance update

5D Breadth
63.7%

Positive 5D returns across the universe; best HERO 11.3%, worst USO -8.6%

1M Breadth
53.1%

Positive 1M returns; best GDXJ 93.0%, worst SMH -17.8%

Trend Breadth
53.1% / 68.1%

Share above 50DMA / 200DMA.

Median RSI
50.8

Daily RSI 14; 30 is washed out, 70 is extended.

Data Rows
436,766

Shared OHLCV history updates incrementally on each run.

USD
US Dollar Index
100.0
vs 50D-0.4%
vs 200D0.9%
30D ret+0.5%
60D ret+1.6%
30D Z0.22
60D Z0.54

Latest 2026-07-30 | DX-Y.NYB

Oil
WTI Crude Oil
83.96
vs 50D1.6%
vs 200D11.0%
30D ret+10.4%
60D ret-21.1%
30D Z0.69
60D Z-1.19

Latest 2026-07-30 | CL=F

10Y
10Y Treasury Yield
4.66%
vs 50D+13.6 bp
vs 200D+38.7 bp
30D chg+23.5 bp
60D chg+21.7 bp
30D Z0.73
60D Z0.39

Latest 2026-07-30 | ^TNX

Alpha Vantage index tape

SPY Candlestick With Dispersion, Correlation, And Tail-Risk Lines

Each card keeps the same structure: SPY candlestick with 50D/200D moving averages on top and one Alpha Vantage index line underneath. The second compact chart removes SPY and compares the index directly against VIX so dispersion, skew, and surface signals can be checked for volatility divergence. This risk tape starts in 2023-01-01 where history is available.

Single-Stock Vol Proxy
VIXEQ / DSPX / COR1M / COR3M

VIXEQ is the direct constituent-volatility read. DSPX and the correlation pair explain whether single-stock volatility is turning into dispersion or broad index co-movement.

Index-Tail Demand
SKEW / LTV / VVIX

These help separate a calm index tape from hidden protection demand. Rising tail gauges or vol-of-vol while SPY holds trend is a fragility warning.

Option Surface
SPOTVOL / SMILE / BFLY / PPUT

Useful for spotting current-vol, convexity, range-premium, and protective-put regimes that VIX alone can miss.

Forward Vol Curve
UZF / UZG / ... / UZZ

The monthly VIX futures mark indexes are converted into a curve so PMs can see contango, flattening, or backwardation like a rates curve.

Forward volatility curve

VIX Futures Term Structure

The UZ monthly CBOE VIX futures 4pm mark indexes are plotted like a yield curve. Curves are aligned by forward tenor, so prior snapshots compare front-to-back shape instead of today's calendar-month labels. Hover and the audit table show the exact month and symbol behind each point.

Front
Jul (UZN)
17.05

Nearest listed contract month in the current run-month order.

3M - Front
3.55

Positive means term structure is upward sloping by the third contract.

Back - Front
5.60

Back point is the farthest live contract in the curve: Apr (UZJ).

Curve State
Contango / carry

Coverage 10/12; as of 2026-07-29.

Current Curve Versus Prior Curves
Rolling Curve Slope History

Curve Inputs

Latest, one-week, and one-month changes are level-point changes for each monthly VIX futures mark index, not percent returns.

TenorMonthSymbolLatest1W Chg1M ChgDate
1JulUZN17.10.0n/a2026-07-21
2AugUZQ20.31.81.92026-07-29
3SepUZU20.61.01.32026-07-29
4OctUZV21.10.61.12026-07-29
5NovUZX21.20.50.52026-07-29
6DecUZZ21.20.30.22026-07-29
7JanUZF22.20.31.22026-07-29
8FebUZG22.60.20.72026-07-29
9MarUZH22.70.20.72026-07-29
10AprUZJ22.6n/a0.42026-07-29
11MayUZKn/an/an/an/a
12JunUZMn/an/an/an/a
Risk dashboard rail

SPY, VIX, MOVE, And Index-Tape Risk Read

SPY rows show percent returns; VIX, MOVE, and Alpha Vantage index rows show level changes. Movement and moving-average gap cells are colored against that row's own historical distribution, so a large VIX increase reads as stress while a large SPY gain reads as constructive.

TickerNameTypeLatest1D5D21D63D1Y Z1Y Pctl50D Gap200D GapRisk ReadDate
SPYS&P 500Equity tape741.691.7%0.5%-0.7%4.5%1.5088.1%-0.3%6.4%Neutral equity tape2026-07-30
VIXCBOE Volatility IndexVolatility / risk17.09-3.57-1.610.640.20-0.3348.0%-1.8%-8.7%Pressure rebuilding2026-07-30
MOVEICE BofA MOVE IndexVolatility / risk77.092.918.938.317.210.3467.1%6.4%6.9%Pressure rebuilding2026-07-30
VIXEQCboe S&P 500 Constituent Volatility IndexConstituent Vol47.880.08-2.300.394.331.5994.0%2.9%15.5%Stress rising from elevated level2026-07-29
DSPXCboe S&P 500 Dispersion IndexDispersion43.37-0.80-3.89-0.763.621.5390.1%0.6%18.1%High stress percentile2026-07-29
COR1MImplied Correlation 1M 50 Delta1M Implied Correlation11.974.217.674.411.79-0.2350.8%44.9%-14.3%Pressure rebuilding2026-07-29
COR3MImplied Correlation 3M Delta Relative3M Implied Correlation12.992.915.454.01-1.18-0.4329.4%35.1%-12.7%Pressure rebuilding2026-07-29
SKEWCboe SKEW IndexTail Skew139.55-3.43-10.64-4.911.39-1.2012.7%-3.0%-3.8%Pressure cooling2026-07-29
LTVCboe S&P 500 Left Tail IndexLeft Tail11.781.571.452.643.690.4679.8%18.5%8.3%Pressure rebuilding2026-07-29
VVIXCboe VIX of VIX IndexVol-of-Vol109.4710.9613.9220.7618.440.8282.1%17.1%7.6%Pressure elevated2026-07-29
SPOTVOLCBOE S&P 500 Spot Volatility IndexSpot Vol15.524.787.825.534.371.6492.1%49.3%43.9%Stress rising from elevated level2026-07-29
SMILECboe S&P 500 SMILE IndexOption Smile2,505.70-10.20-4.1221.3084.351.2195.2%0.6%2.6%High stress percentile2026-07-29
BFLYCboe S&P 500 Iron Butterfly IndexIron Butterfly408.96-0.502.2615.2020.501.3088.9%4.8%3.7%Stress rising from elevated level2026-07-29
PPUTThe CBOE S&P 500 5 Put Protection IndexPut Protection2,120.87-25.38-44.77-35.3536.260.9377.8%-2.1%2.5%Pressure elevated2026-07-29

VIXEQ Constituent Vol

Cboe S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index

Latest47.88 21D chg0.39 63D chg4.33 1Y Z1.59

Single-stock volatility proxy for S&P 500 constituents. Higher readings mean the average underlying stock-vol tape is heating up even if index volatility is muted. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: VIXEQ vs VIX

DSPX Dispersion

Cboe S&P 500 Dispersion Index

Latest43.37 21D chg-0.76 63D chg3.62 1Y Z1.53

Single-name volatility versus index volatility. Higher dispersion means stock-specific risk and selection matter more. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: DSPX vs VIX

COR1M 1M Implied Correlation

Implied Correlation 1M 50 Delta

Latest11.97 21D chg4.41 63D chg1.79 1Y Z-0.23

Macro co-movement gauge. Higher correlation means the index is behaving more like one block; lower correlation usually pairs with more idiosyncratic stock action. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: COR1M vs VIX

COR3M 3M Implied Correlation

Implied Correlation 3M Delta Relative

Latest12.99 21D chg4.01 63D chg-1.18 1Y Z-0.43

Medium-term co-movement gauge. Useful confirmation when 1M correlation is moving but the broader options surface has not fully repriced. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: COR3M vs VIX

SKEW Tail Skew

Cboe SKEW Index

Latest139.55 21D chg-4.91 63D chg1.39 1Y Z-1.20

Crash-tail pricing. Rising skew says investors are paying more for far-left-tail protection even if spot is calm. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: SKEW vs VIX

LTV Left Tail

Cboe S&P 500 Left Tail Index

Latest11.78 21D chg2.64 63D chg3.69 1Y Z0.46

Left-tail stress proxy. Useful for spotting whether protection demand is confirming or diverging from the SPY tape. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: LTV vs VIX

VVIX Vol-of-Vol

Cboe VIX of VIX Index

Latest109.47 21D chg20.76 63D chg18.44 1Y Z0.82

Volatility-of-volatility gauge. Higher VVIX says options on VIX are becoming more expensive, often an early warning that hedging demand is spreading beneath spot VIX. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: VVIX vs VIX

SPOTVOL Spot Vol

CBOE S&P 500 Spot Volatility Index

Latest15.52 21D chg5.53 63D chg4.37 1Y Z1.64

Spot volatility reference point. Helpful cross-check for whether the index-vol read is a current tape issue or mostly term-structure noise. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: SPOTVOL vs VIX

SMILE Option Smile

Cboe S&P 500 SMILE Index

Latest2,505.70 21D chg21.30 63D chg84.35 1Y Z1.21

Option-surface shape. Helps identify whether convexity demand is broadening beyond vanilla index volatility. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: SMILE vs VIX

BFLY Iron Butterfly

Cboe S&P 500 Iron Butterfly Index

Latest408.96 21D chg15.20 63D chg20.50 1Y Z1.30

Range-premium / short-vol structure proxy. Helpful when SPY is grinding but option markets are pricing a tight tape. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: BFLY vs VIX

PPUT Put Protection

The CBOE S&P 500 5 Put Protection Index

Latest2,120.87 21D chg-35.35 63D chg36.26 1Y Z0.93

Protective-put strategy proxy. This is not a put/call ratio; it helps show whether hedged equity exposure is holding up versus the unhedged SPY tape. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.

VIX Divergence Line Check: PPUT vs VIX
Blow-off risk monitor

ETF Blow-Off Screen

This screen uses the warning profile selected from the internal threshold sweep: 5-year return at least 175%, 6-month return above 20%, price at least 2 standard deviations above that ETF's own prior 200DMA gap history, and price at an all-time high. All four tests must be true on the same trading date. Red condition cells mean that trigger test is active; green means it is still below the trigger point.

Triggering Today
0

All four blow-off tests are currently true on the latest trading date.

One Condition Away
0

Three of four tests are true, so this is the highest-priority watchlist.

Close Watch
1

Two tests are true and the remaining shortfall is not large.

Top Screen Name
CRAK

Close watch

Coverage
113

ETFs with enough local price history to evaluate the blow-off checklist.

DistanceLower is closer. Missing long-history inputs are penalized, so newer ETFs do not crowd out mature ETFs with a real five-year sample.
Post-Signal RiskAvg 6M Max DD is the average worst drawdown over the next 126 trading days after that ETF's own historical trigger starts. The sample count is shown in the cell.
Drawdown PanelThe lower panel uses drawdown from all-time high, not rolling one-year high, so it is aligned with the all-time-high condition.
TickerNameGroupStatusMetDistanceClose5Y >= 175%6M > 20%200D >= 2zAt ATHLast TriggerDays SinceTrigger DaysAvg 6M Max DDPM Read
CRAKRefinersIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingClose watch20.355.82141.2%33.2%1.8z / 25.1%0.0%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)Momentum extended but incomplete
IHEPharmaFinancial / Health Care IndustriesNot close00.8102.574.8%18.9%1.8z / 17.3%-1.4%2015-04-234,11613-9.4% (n=7)No blow-off setup
IWDValueStyle / Market StructureNot close01.2250.772.5%14.8%1.4z / 13.1%-0.5%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
DXJJapan HedgedInternational EquityNot close11.2174.9235.6%14.5%0.7z / 11.3%-2.7%2026-02-2515513-2.5% (n=2)No blow-off setup
XLEEnergyCyclical SectorsNot close11.258.96186.4%17.1%0.8z / 13.5%-5.1%2026-03-271256n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
IHFHealth ProvidersFinancial / Health Care IndustriesNot close11.456.7511.1%25.1%1.6z / 16.3%-2.3%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
IAKInsuranceFinancial / Health Care IndustriesNot close01.6147.6110.2%13.0%0.9z / 11.4%-2.9%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
EWUUnited KingdomInternational EquityNot close11.848.6880.4%7.0%0.9z / 8.8%0.0%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
DBCCommoditiesCommodities / Crypto / USDNot close11.829.3272.8%20.0%1.1z / 12.5%-7.5%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
NXTG5G / Digital InfraGrowth / Tech LeadershipNot close11.9145.9110.3%29.3%1.5z / 17.8%-12.6%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
EWAAustraliaInternational EquityNot close01.929.8242.1%9.0%0.8z / 8.3%-0.1%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
XLKTechnologyGrowth / Tech LeadershipNot close11.9175.7137.9%22.4%0.8z / 13.4%-11.2%2026-06-025829-5.7% (n=11)No blow-off setup
RSPEqual Weight S&PCore Index BetaNot close02.0215.453.3%9.6%0.6z / 8.7%-1.1%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
PEJLeisureThematic / Speculative GrowthNot close02.067.0539.0%11.8%0.6z / 10.0%-1.2%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
IWMRussell 2000Core Index BetaNot close02.0292.640.9%13.2%0.7z / 10.5%-2.6%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
VOMid CapStyle / Market StructureNot close02.080.9945.4%10.2%0.5z / 7.9%-0.4%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
QUALQualityFactors / Risk AppetiteNot close02.0218.969.1%8.6%0.4z / 7.6%-0.8%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
EZUEurozoneInternational EquityNot close02.169.6561.3%6.4%0.6z / 7.9%-0.3%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
XLFFinancialsCyclical SectorsNot close02.157.0070.2%7.6%0.5z / 8.6%-1.0%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
KRERegional BanksFinancial / Health Care IndustriesNot close02.175.9039.1%11.6%0.7z / 12.9%-2.6%n/an/a0n/a (n=0)No blow-off setup
CRAK Refiners

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | history starts 2015-08-20; chart view starts 2015-08-20. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Close watch 2/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
IHE Pharma

Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
IWD Value

Style / Market Structure | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
DXJ Japan Hedged

International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 1/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
XLE Energy

Cyclical Sectors | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 1/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
IHF Health Providers

Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 1/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
IAK Insurance

Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
EWU United Kingdom

International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 1/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
DBC Commodities

Commodities / Crypto / USD | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 1/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
NXTG 5G / Digital Infra

Growth / Tech Leadership | history starts 2011-02-18; chart view starts 2011-02-18. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 1/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
EWA Australia

International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
XLK Technology

Growth / Tech Leadership | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 1/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
RSP Equal Weight S&P

Core Index Beta | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
PEJ Leisure

Thematic / Speculative Growth | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
IWM Russell 2000

Core Index Beta | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
VO Mid Cap

Style / Market Structure | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
QUAL Quality

Factors / Risk Appetite | history starts 2013-07-18; chart view starts 2013-07-18. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
EZU Eurozone

International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
XLF Financials

Cyclical Sectors | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
KRE Regional Banks

Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.

Not close 0/4 met
Price, Blow-Off Trigger Bands, And All-Time-High Drawdown
Change detection

Changed Since Prior Run

Compared with prior run date 2026-07-29.

TickerNameGroup1DΔ 5DΔ RS 1MΔ RSIΔ DDDriver
SILJJunior Silver MinersMetals / Miners5.1%8.5%3.4%7.73.0%RSI 7.7; RS 3.4%; drawdown 3.0%
GDXJJunior Gold MinersMetals / Miners4.3%7.0%3.9%2.74.0%RS 3.9%; drawdown 4.0%
SMHSemiconductorsGrowth / Tech Leadership6.9%7.0%1.7%9.35.2%RSI 9.3; drawdown 5.2%
PALLPalladiumCommodities / Crypto / USD4.2%7.4%3.8%7.42.6%RSI 7.4; RS 3.8%; drawdown 2.6%
QTUMQuantum/AIGrowth / Tech Leadership6.1%6.5%1.9%11.94.8%RSI 11.9; drawdown 4.8%
CARZAutosIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing5.8%7.6%1.1%10.94.6%RSI 10.9; drawdown 4.6%
URAUraniumCommodities / Crypto / USD5.9%5.0%4.8%10.13.6%RSI 10.1; RS 4.8%; drawdown 3.6%
GRIDSmart GridGrowth / Tech Leadership5.4%5.4%2.4%15.34.6%RSI 15.3; drawdown 4.6%
SILSilver MinersMetals / Miners4.5%7.0%3.3%7.62.8%RSI 7.6; RS 3.3%; drawdown 2.8%
GDXGold MinersMetals / Miners4.4%6.4%3.7%7.62.8%RSI 7.6; RS 3.7%; drawdown 2.8%
XLKTechnologyGrowth / Tech Leadership5.5%6.1%1.6%12.64.6%RSI 12.6; drawdown 4.6%; volume 1.6x
NUKZNuclearIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing5.0%4.2%3.8%13.64.0%RSI 13.6; RS 3.8%; drawdown 4.0%
MTUMMomentumFactors / Risk Appetite5.5%5.1%2.2%10.74.5%RSI 10.7; drawdown 4.5%
URNMUranium MinersMetals / Miners4.9%4.6%4.6%8.62.8%RSI 8.6; RS 4.6%; drawdown 2.8%
COPXCopper MinersMetals / Miners4.4%6.3%1.9%6.93.5%RSI 6.9; drawdown 3.5%
AIQAI ThemeGrowth / Tech Leadership4.8%5.8%1.5%10.03.9%RSI 10.0; drawdown 3.9%
PLTMPlatinumCommodities / Crypto / USD3.0%6.0%3.7%6.51.8%RSI 6.5; RS 3.7%
XMEMetals & MiningMetals / Miners4.4%4.5%2.9%9.43.2%RSI 9.4; RS 2.9%; drawdown 3.2%
ARKKSpeculative TechThematic / Speculative Growth3.3%5.9%1.9%7.32.5%RSI 7.3; drawdown 2.5%
EEMEmerging MarketsInternational Equity4.1%4.5%1.6%10.63.5%RSI 10.6; drawdown 3.5%
USOOilCommodities / Crypto / USD-1.4%-6.8%-2.1%-1.8-1.2%Incremental tape change
SLVSilverCommodities / Crypto / USD3.3%6.8%0.9%6.31.6%RSI 6.3
EWZBrazilInternational Equity3.0%4.1%2.3%8.52.6%RSI 8.5; drawdown 2.6%
SPHBHigh BetaFactors / Risk Appetite3.8%4.4%1.2%9.43.3%RSI 9.4; drawdown 3.3%
NXTG5G / Digital InfraGrowth / Tech Leadership3.3%4.6%1.4%9.82.8%RSI 9.8; drawdown 2.8%
XESOil ServicesIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing3.1%4.5%2.0%7.52.4%RSI 7.5
QQQNasdaq 100Core Index Beta3.3%5.0%0.6%10.82.9%RSI 10.8; drawdown 2.9%; volume 1.6x
MAGSMagnificent 7Style / Market Structure2.2%6.7%0.0%7.31.9%RSI 7.3
CWBConvertiblesRates / Credit3.2%3.8%1.5%12.82.8%RSI 12.8; drawdown 2.8%
EZUEurozoneInternational Equity2.9%4.6%0.6%11.22.8%RSI 11.2; drawdown 2.8%
Can risk be pressed?

Risk Ladder

This condenses index trend, equal-weight confirmation, credit appetite, volatility, USD, rates, cyclicals, and breadth into one pre-chart checklist.

CheckStatusDetail
SPY trend confirmedWatchSPY Fading | RSI 49.4
QQQ trend confirmedWatchQQQ Fading | RSI 43.2
IWM risk appetitePassIWM Above 50/200 | RSI 49.1
Equal weight vs cap weightPassRSP 1M RS 1.9%
Credit risk appetitePassHYG minus LQD 1M 1.9%
VIX not pressuring riskPassVIX 17.1 | 30D 4.1%
MOVE not pressuring ratesFailMOVE 77.1 | 30D 0.1%
USD not surgingPassUSD 30D 0.5% | Z 0.22
10Y move orderlyPass10Y 30D +23.5 bp
Cyclicals vs defensivesFail1M median spread -3.9%
ETF breadth above 50DWatch53.1% above 50DMA
Sleeve dashboard

Median Returns And Trend Breadth

Sleeve-level medians reduce single-ticker noise. Percent above 50D and 200D separates price strength from durable trend confirmation.

SleeveETFs1D Median5D Median1M Median6M Median1Y Median% > 50D% > 200D% RS > SPYMedian RSIMedian DD
Core Index Beta6.01.9%0.3%-1.2%8.7%18.2%33.3%100.0%33.3%49.2-2.9%
Style / Market Structure6.00.9%0.9%-0.0%6.4%14.3%66.7%66.7%66.7%48.9-2.3%
Factors / Risk Appetite5.01.4%0.0%-0.2%8.6%19.3%60.0%100.0%60.0%53.0-2.1%
Growth / Tech Leadership11.03.7%-0.0%-7.8%20.5%26.1%36.4%81.8%27.3%46.7-13.0%
Thematic / Speculative Growth4.01.1%1.2%-4.5%3.8%24.7%50.0%50.0%50.0%49.9-11.4%
Cyclical Sectors7.00.5%1.1%-0.5%5.7%9.8%57.1%57.1%57.1%46.3-5.1%
Defensive Sectors4.0-1.5%1.0%2.9%5.6%10.2%75.0%100.0%75.0%53.4-3.0%
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing16.01.8%-1.6%-2.8%10.1%27.8%43.8%68.8%43.8%45.7-16.6%
Financial / Health Care Industries10.00.2%1.1%4.3%10.9%23.9%100.0%80.0%90.0%56.3-3.5%
Rates / Credit14.00.1%0.3%-0.8%-0.2%3.1%21.4%50.0%50.0%44.6-2.0%
Metals / Miners9.04.4%1.2%1.8%-14.1%49.4%33.3%44.4%55.6%51.5-23.3%
International Equity8.02.0%3.6%3.2%6.7%23.7%87.5%75.0%87.5%58.5-6.4%
Commodities / Crypto / USD13.01.3%0.6%4.3%4.3%26.0%61.5%53.8%84.6%52.3-16.7%
Leadership check

Relative Strength Vs SPY

Absolute charts show whether price is working; this table shows whether the ETF is earning capital versus SPY.

Top Relative Leaders

TickerNameGroupRS 5DRS 1MRS 50DRS Trend
GDXJJunior Gold MinersMetals / Miners1.0%56.2%43.2%Outperforming
CRAKRefinersIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing-0.3%22.0%12.8%Outperforming
USOOilCommodities / Crypto / USD-9.0%20.6%3.3%Outperforming
FXIChina Large CapInternational Equity5.5%16.4%7.1%RS repairing
XOPOil E&PIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing-0.9%14.1%6.9%Outperforming
GSGCommoditiesCommodities / Crypto / USD-4.0%12.5%3.4%Outperforming
XLEEnergyCyclical Sectors-1.2%11.8%4.6%Outperforming
BTC-USDBitcoinCommodities / Crypto / USD-1.0%11.2%-0.8%Underperforming
DBCCommoditiesCommodities / Crypto / USD-3.7%10.7%2.5%Outperforming
CLOUCloudGrowth / Tech Leadership9.8%10.0%6.8%Outperforming
HEROVideo GamesIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing10.8%9.9%8.2%RS repairing
WOODTimberMetals / Miners4.7%9.6%7.3%RS repairing
FCGNatural Gas EquitiesIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing-2.1%9.0%2.6%Outperforming
PALLPalladiumCommodities / Crypto / USD4.2%8.8%2.7%RS repairing
PSPPrivate EquityFinancial / Health Care Industries3.5%8.3%4.1%RS repairing
PNQIInternetGrowth / Tech Leadership5.8%7.5%3.2%RS repairing
IHIMedical DevicesFinancial / Health Care Industries6.2%7.5%5.3%RS repairing
IAIBroker DealersFinancial / Health Care Industries-0.7%7.3%1.9%RS repairing
PLTMPlatinumCommodities / Crypto / USD3.3%7.1%-3.2%Underperforming
XLFFinancialsCyclical Sectors1.6%7.1%5.9%Outperforming

Relative Laggards

TickerNameGroupRS 5DRS 1MRS 50DRS Trend
SMHSemiconductorsGrowth / Tech Leadership-7.6%-17.3%-9.3%RS fading
QTUMQuantum/AIGrowth / Tech Leadership-2.7%-14.6%-8.6%RS fading
CARZAutosIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing-2.1%-13.0%-8.2%RS fading
UFOSpaceThematic / Speculative Growth-0.2%-12.9%-14.2%Underperforming
MTUMMomentumFactors / Risk Appetite-5.3%-12.3%-5.3%RS fading
AIQAI ThemeGrowth / Tech Leadership-1.5%-9.9%-6.6%RS fading
SPHBHigh BetaFactors / Risk Appetite-3.0%-9.5%-4.4%RS fading
XTLTelecomIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing-2.8%-9.3%-7.2%RS fading
ARKKSpeculative TechThematic / Speculative Growth-1.7%-9.2%-5.7%Underperforming
XHBHomebuildersCyclical Sectors-2.5%-8.9%-2.1%Underperforming
URAUraniumCommodities / Crypto / USD-3.9%-8.5%-10.6%Underperforming
ITBHome ConstructionIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing0.5%-8.0%-0.9%Underperforming
ROBORoboticsGrowth / Tech Leadership-0.1%-7.6%-5.3%Underperforming
GRIDSmart GridGrowth / Tech Leadership-2.2%-7.2%-4.8%Underperforming
XLKTechnologyGrowth / Tech Leadership-2.0%-7.1%-3.6%RS fading
QQQNasdaq 100Core Index Beta-1.7%-6.5%-4.1%Underperforming
EEMEmerging MarketsInternational Equity-2.0%-6.4%-4.0%RS fading
NUKZNuclearIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing-2.4%-5.7%-5.2%Underperforming
URNMUranium MinersMetals / Miners-3.6%-5.3%-8.7%Underperforming
CWBConvertiblesRates / Credit-2.1%-5.1%-3.5%Underperforming
Sponsorship / pressure

Volume And Range Confirmation

Upside confirmation requires expanded participation and a close near the high of the daily range. Downside pressure flags wide-range closes near the low.

Upside Confirmation

TickerNameGroup1DVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc
SPXTEx-Tech S&PStyle / Market Structure-0.3%2.279.4%84.5%
HEROVideo GamesIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing1.3%1.877.0%68.7%
IHFHealth ProvidersFinancial / Health Care Industries-0.5%1.875.8%74.1%
EMLCEM Local DebtRates / Credit0.8%1.786.5%80.0%
OEFS&P 100Core Index Beta2.0%1.795.2%90.0%
QQQNasdaq 100Core Index Beta3.3%1.696.8%86.7%
XLKTechnologyGrowth / Tech Leadership5.5%1.698.8%90.8%
RSPEqual Weight S&PCore Index Beta-0.2%1.674.6%80.9%
NUKZNuclearIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing5.0%1.594.4%99.0%
CRAKRefinersIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing2.9%1.593.7%88.7%
ITAAerospace & DefenseIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing0.8%1.573.0%100.0%
EEMEmerging MarketsInternational Equity4.1%1.495.6%96.3%
PALLPalladiumCommodities / Crypto / USD4.2%1.471.8%97.2%
SPYS&P 500Core Index Beta1.7%1.487.7%90.3%
DBBBase MetalsCommodities / Crypto / USD1.3%1.466.7%73.7%
QUALQualityFactors / Risk Appetite1.4%1.382.5%85.8%
XMEMetals & MiningMetals / Miners4.4%1.379.4%95.5%
XLCCommunication ServicesCyclical Sectors-2.7%1.3100.0%94.0%

Downside Pressure

TickerNameGroup1DVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc
IAKInsuranceFinancial / Health Care Industries-2.3%1.298.4%36.2%
XLREReal EstateDefensive Sectors-1.4%1.497.6%33.0%
UUPUS DollarCommodities / Crypto / USD-1.0%2.297.2%8.3%
XLUUtilitiesDefensive Sectors-0.6%1.384.9%34.5%
XHBHomebuildersCyclical Sectors-0.2%1.577.4%37.2%
XLBMaterialsCyclical Sectors-0.2%0.975.8%35.3%
ITBHome ConstructionIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing-1.1%0.672.6%34.0%
Heat tables

Returns, RSI, And Moving-Average Distance By Sleeve

Green cells mark positive return or trend distance; red cells mark drawdowns, underperformance, or broken moving-average structure. RSI is blue below 40, neutral green in the middle, and orange/red as it gets extended.

Sleeve return heat table

Core Index Beta

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
SPYS&P 5001.7%0.5%-0.7%-0.7%10.0%7.8%18.2%0.0%49.4-0.3%6.4%1.487.7%
QQQNasdaq 1003.3%-1.2%-7.2%-7.2%14.8%10.2%20.9%-6.5%43.2-4.4%6.2%1.696.8%
IWMRussell 20001.4%0.2%-2.6%-2.6%14.8%13.2%33.4%-1.9%49.10.2%10.5%1.040.1%
OEFS&P 1002.0%0.7%-0.1%-0.1%9.5%6.9%17.8%0.6%49.6-0.5%5.7%1.795.2%
RSPEqual Weight S&P-0.2%1.6%1.2%1.2%9.4%9.6%18.1%1.9%57.52.2%8.7%1.674.6%
XLGMega Cap2.5%0.0%-1.8%-1.8%5.3%2.3%12.4%-1.1%45.8-2.4%1.6%0.997.6%
10-session return tape

Core Index Beta Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
SPYS&P 500-1.0%-0.2%+0.8%-0.1%-1.2%+0.1%0.0%+0.2%-1.5%+1.7%-1.2%
QQQNasdaq 100-1.5%+0.1%+1.9%-0.5%-1.9%-1.1%-0.3%-1.0%-2.0%+3.3%-3.2%
IWMRussell 2000-0.5%-0.6%+1.4%-0.9%-0.6%-0.3%+0.6%+0.2%-1.6%+1.4%-1.0%
OEFS&P 100-1.2%0.0%+0.8%-0.2%-1.5%0.0%0.0%+0.3%-1.6%+2.0%-1.5%
RSPEqual Weight S&P-0.8%-0.4%+0.2%0.0%-0.4%+0.8%+0.8%+1.2%-0.9%-0.2%+0.1%
XLGMega Cap-1.2%0.0%+1.1%-0.2%-1.9%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%-1.8%+2.5%-2.1%
Sleeve return heat table

Style / Market Structure

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
MAGSMagnificent 72.2%1.1%-0.6%-0.6%1.8%-3.4%12.2%0.1%43.9-3.5%-1.3%0.777.8%
XMAGEx-Mag 71.3%-0.3%-2.7%-2.7%11.8%10.7%18.8%-2.1%49.00.1%8.2%0.474.2%
VOMid Cap0.5%0.8%0.5%0.5%11.0%10.2%14.6%1.2%56.71.6%7.9%0.774.2%
IWFGrowth3.0%-1.0%-5.4%-5.4%5.5%1.0%7.1%-4.8%43.3-3.9%-0.2%0.896.8%
IWDValue0.5%1.8%3.4%3.4%14.3%14.8%29.3%4.1%61.63.3%13.1%0.964.7%
SPXTEx-Tech S&P-0.3%1.0%0.5%0.5%2.8%2.6%13.9%1.2%48.80.5%3.8%2.279.4%
10-session return tape

Style / Market Structure Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
MAGSMagnificent 7-1.8%0.0%0.0%-1.0%-4.6%-0.1%-0.2%+0.7%-1.4%+2.2%-6.2%
XMAGEx-Mag 7-0.3%-0.7%+1.4%+0.3%-0.4%-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%-1.7%+1.3%+0.1%
VOMid Cap-0.5%-0.4%+0.7%0.0%-0.2%+0.3%+0.6%+0.4%-0.9%+0.5%+0.5%
IWFGrowth-1.5%+0.1%+1.6%-0.3%-1.9%-0.8%-0.4%-0.6%-2.1%+3.0%-3.1%
IWDValue-0.6%-0.4%+0.2%0.0%-0.5%+0.8%+0.6%+0.9%-1.0%+0.5%+0.5%
SPXTEx-Tech S&P-1.0%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%-1.3%+0.6%+0.6%+1.1%-1.0%-0.3%-1.9%
Sleeve return heat table

Factors / Risk Appetite

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
SPHBHigh Beta3.8%-2.5%-10.2%-10.2%19.0%15.8%35.0%-9.5%43.6-4.7%10.1%1.392.1%
MTUMMomentum5.5%-4.8%-12.9%-12.9%22.6%17.0%24.7%-12.3%43.9-5.6%10.1%1.199.2%
QUALQuality1.4%1.4%-0.2%-0.2%10.3%8.6%19.3%0.5%55.11.3%7.6%1.382.5%
SPHDHigh Dividend Low Vol-1.8%0.7%3.6%3.6%5.2%7.0%14.5%4.3%54.53.0%7.5%1.4100.0%
SPLVLow Vol-1.5%0.0%2.2%2.2%3.4%4.9%7.3%2.9%53.02.4%4.8%1.3100.0%
10-session return tape

Factors / Risk Appetite Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
SPHBHigh Beta-1.4%-0.2%+3.1%-0.2%-0.9%-1.6%+0.1%-1.6%-3.2%+3.8%-2.2%
MTUMMomentum-0.4%+0.2%+3.9%-0.1%-0.1%-2.4%-1.3%-3.3%-3.2%+5.5%-1.5%
QUALQuality-1.3%-0.4%+0.5%-0.4%-0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.6%-1.1%+1.4%-0.8%
SPHDHigh Dividend Low Vol-0.6%-0.5%-0.3%+0.3%-0.6%+1.3%+0.2%+1.3%-0.2%-1.8%-1.0%
SPLVLow Vol-0.5%-0.4%-0.5%+0.6%+0.2%+1.1%0.0%+1.0%-0.6%-1.5%-0.5%
Sleeve return heat table

Growth / Tech Leadership

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
XLKTechnology5.5%-1.5%-7.8%-7.8%29.9%22.4%33.5%-7.1%46.7-3.9%13.4%1.698.8%
SMHSemiconductors6.9%-7.1%-17.8%-17.8%41.4%33.6%82.5%-17.3%42.3-9.6%20.0%1.098.0%
IGVSoftware1.0%7.1%3.0%3.0%17.1%3.3%-17.2%3.7%55.00.5%-1.6%0.932.9%
CLOUCloud0.4%10.3%9.3%9.3%31.4%20.5%7.3%10.0%62.46.5%13.7%1.146.4%
BUGCybersecurity1.2%0.7%-1.8%-1.8%42.8%31.0%6.5%-1.1%47.72.1%20.1%0.552.0%
GRIDSmart Grid5.4%-1.8%-7.9%-7.9%7.1%7.6%24.3%-7.2%44.7-5.1%3.8%0.999.6%
AIQAI Theme4.8%-1.1%-10.5%-10.5%21.1%12.9%31.1%-9.9%44.3-6.9%7.9%0.996.4%
QTUMQuantum/AI6.1%-2.2%-15.2%-15.2%27.9%21.5%51.4%-14.6%42.5-8.8%11.9%0.997.6%
ROBORobotics3.7%0.3%-8.3%-8.3%9.8%8.6%26.1%-7.6%45.1-5.6%4.2%0.694.8%
NXTG5G / Digital Infra3.3%-0.0%-4.9%-4.9%30.2%29.3%52.4%-4.2%47.1-3.7%17.8%0.694.4%
PNQIInternet-0.4%6.3%6.8%6.8%2.0%-5.1%-6.8%7.5%56.52.8%-2.3%0.654.0%
10-session return tape

Growth / Tech Leadership Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
XLKTechnology-1.1%+0.1%+2.9%-0.3%-1.0%-1.4%-0.9%-1.8%-2.6%+5.5%-1.0%
SMHSemiconductors-2.2%+0.4%+4.5%+0.5%-1.1%-3.3%-2.3%-3.5%-4.8%+6.9%-5.3%
IGVSoftware-1.0%+0.2%-1.2%-3.0%-2.2%+1.0%+3.3%+1.0%+0.6%+1.0%-0.4%
CLOUCloud-0.4%+0.7%-1.7%-3.0%-2.8%+2.4%+3.3%+1.9%+1.9%+0.4%+2.6%
BUGCybersecurity+0.4%-1.2%-2.8%-2.5%-2.6%+1.5%+0.6%-1.4%-1.1%+1.2%-7.9%
GRIDSmart Grid+0.1%-0.4%+1.7%+0.2%-0.4%-1.3%-0.5%-2.2%-2.9%+5.4%-0.6%
AIQAI Theme-1.0%+0.7%+3.1%-1.4%-1.3%-2.3%+0.6%-1.8%-2.2%+4.8%-1.0%
QTUMQuantum/AI-0.8%-0.4%+2.8%-0.3%-0.9%-2.7%+0.9%-2.8%-3.4%+6.1%-1.8%
ROBORobotics-1.9%-0.7%+2.7%0.0%-1.4%-0.6%+1.0%-1.4%-2.2%+3.7%-1.0%
NXTG5G / Digital Infra-0.2%-0.5%+2.3%+0.8%-1.5%-0.6%+0.4%-1.2%-1.9%+3.3%+0.9%
PNQIInternet-1.4%+0.4%-0.8%-2.1%-3.0%+1.2%+2.8%+2.3%+0.2%-0.4%-0.9%
Sleeve return heat table

Thematic / Speculative Growth

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
PINKHealth Innovators0.0%2.2%1.0%1.0%13.1%10.2%33.8%1.7%59.43.4%9.7%0.442.9%
ARKKSpeculative Tech3.3%-1.3%-9.8%-9.8%9.9%-2.6%-3.6%-9.2%41.7-6.0%-5.8%1.058.7%
UFOSpace2.2%0.2%-13.5%-13.5%4.2%-3.4%46.8%-12.9%38.9-14.5%-3.2%0.540.1%
PEJLeisure-1.2%3.9%0.7%0.7%13.4%11.8%15.5%1.4%58.13.6%9.9%0.577.4%
10-session return tape

Thematic / Speculative Growth Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
PINKHealth Innovators-0.1%-1.8%+1.5%-1.3%+1.1%-0.2%+0.6%+1.9%-0.1%0.0%+1.5%
ARKKSpeculative Tech-1.9%-0.3%+3.7%-2.1%-2.9%-2.6%+0.9%-0.1%-2.6%+3.3%-4.9%
UFOSpace-0.1%-1.4%+2.2%-0.6%-0.1%-1.7%+2.2%-0.1%-2.2%+2.2%+0.3%
PEJLeisure-0.8%+0.1%-0.2%-0.5%-1.1%+0.8%+2.5%+1.7%+0.1%-1.2%+1.2%
Sleeve return heat table

Cyclical Sectors

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
XLYConsumer Discretionary0.7%3.3%-4.2%-4.2%-4.0%-6.9%1.5%-3.5%44.2-3.1%-3.7%0.927.0%
XLCCommunication Services-2.7%1.1%-0.5%-0.5%-7.8%-10.7%1.4%0.2%40.8-3.8%-6.4%1.3100.0%
XLEEnergy0.5%-0.7%11.0%11.0%14.5%17.1%38.7%11.8%61.04.3%13.5%0.849.6%
XLFFinancials0.6%2.1%6.3%6.3%7.9%7.6%9.8%7.1%63.05.6%8.6%0.969.4%
XLIIndustrials1.0%-2.0%-3.7%-3.7%6.5%8.4%18.9%-3.0%46.30.2%7.2%1.172.6%
XLBMaterials-0.2%2.7%1.6%1.6%3.1%5.7%18.4%2.3%54.61.3%6.3%0.975.8%
XHBHomebuilders-0.2%-2.0%-9.6%-9.6%-9.0%-3.1%2.3%-8.9%41.4-2.4%-1.9%1.577.4%
10-session return tape

Cyclical Sectors Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
XLYConsumer Discretionary-1.6%-0.7%+0.2%-0.7%-4.6%+0.6%+1.3%+1.5%-0.8%+0.7%-4.2%
XLCCommunication Services-1.8%+0.1%-0.7%-0.8%-3.5%+0.9%+1.3%+1.9%-0.1%-2.7%-5.4%
XLEEnergy+1.2%+0.5%+1.0%+1.2%+0.3%+0.4%-2.1%-1.4%+1.9%+0.5%+3.4%
XLFFinancials-0.9%-0.4%+0.1%-0.1%-0.4%+0.9%+1.0%+1.3%-1.6%+0.6%+0.4%
XLIIndustrials-0.4%-0.7%+0.3%+0.1%+1.7%+0.4%+0.3%-0.4%-3.2%+1.0%-1.0%
XLBMaterials-0.7%-1.0%+0.1%+1.4%-1.0%+1.9%+0.3%+1.8%-1.1%-0.2%+1.5%
XHBHomebuilders-2.3%-2.0%-0.1%+0.9%-0.2%+1.6%+0.7%+0.4%-4.5%-0.2%-5.7%
Sleeve return heat table

Defensive Sectors

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
XLPConsumer Staples-2.2%2.7%2.9%2.9%-0.4%3.6%9.2%3.6%53.41.7%5.0%1.498.0%
XLVHealth Care-1.6%1.3%3.1%3.1%6.5%6.6%24.0%3.8%57.65.0%8.1%1.296.4%
XLUUtilities-0.6%-3.3%-1.5%-1.5%5.0%4.6%7.7%-0.8%43.4-0.5%0.6%1.384.9%
XLREReal Estate-1.4%0.8%2.9%2.9%11.6%11.0%11.2%3.6%53.51.8%7.7%1.497.6%
10-session return tape

Defensive Sectors Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
XLPConsumer Staples-0.7%-0.4%-0.9%+0.4%-1.4%+1.1%+1.5%+2.0%+0.3%-2.2%-0.4%
XLVHealth Care-0.4%-1.1%+0.6%-0.5%+1.3%+0.7%+0.5%+2.4%-0.6%-1.6%+1.1%
XLUUtilities-0.7%-0.5%0.0%+2.2%+0.6%+0.2%-1.3%-0.4%-1.3%-0.6%-1.8%
XLREReal Estate-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%+2.2%-0.4%+0.5%-0.1%-1.4%-0.4%
Sleeve return heat table

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
XTLTelecom2.8%-2.4%-9.9%-9.9%28.4%24.7%72.9%-9.3%40.6-7.5%10.5%1.168.3%
SOCLSocial Media0.1%4.0%5.4%5.4%-9.5%-17.2%-13.4%6.1%54.21.5%-7.9%1.422.2%
HEROVideo Games1.3%11.3%9.2%9.2%0.2%-8.0%-11.7%9.9%71.97.9%-2.5%1.877.0%
XESOil Services3.1%-5.1%-3.8%-3.8%9.0%9.6%61.1%-3.1%41.8-7.3%4.4%0.573.0%
XOPOil E&P1.6%-0.4%13.4%13.4%24.7%25.8%38.0%14.1%61.86.6%16.4%0.569.4%
OIHOil Services2.1%-1.9%1.0%1.0%6.9%7.9%54.0%1.7%45.3-5.7%4.6%0.636.9%
CRAKRefiners2.9%0.2%21.1%21.1%29.3%33.2%67.7%22.0%70.312.5%25.1%1.593.7%
FCGNatural Gas Equities0.4%-1.7%8.2%8.2%13.5%13.0%22.6%9.0%56.82.3%7.9%1.138.5%
COALCoal1.1%-3.7%0.6%0.6%-8.8%-10.5%21.9%1.3%44.7-5.6%-5.8%0.240.9%
NUKZNuclear5.0%-1.9%-6.4%-6.4%-4.5%-8.1%6.3%-5.7%45.3-5.5%-7.0%1.594.4%
JETSAirlines2.3%8.0%-4.6%-4.6%7.5%13.3%32.8%-4.0%55.24.6%14.8%0.555.2%
PAVEInfrastructure2.0%-2.5%-4.8%-4.8%6.4%10.7%22.8%-4.1%45.9-1.4%6.8%0.681.3%
ITAAerospace & Defense0.8%-0.0%-1.8%-1.8%5.4%2.6%20.5%-1.1%51.61.4%5.7%1.573.0%
XTNTransportation-0.6%-3.5%-5.4%-5.4%6.3%14.2%32.8%-4.8%35.3-3.3%10.2%0.970.2%
CARZAutos5.8%-1.6%-13.6%-13.6%24.3%21.1%60.8%-13.0%43.6-8.5%12.3%0.397.6%
ITBHome Construction-1.1%1.0%-8.6%-8.6%-11.4%-6.1%-2.1%-8.0%45.5-1.1%-3.3%0.672.6%
10-session return tape

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
XTLTelecom+0.4%+0.2%+2.8%-0.9%-1.5%-1.1%+0.4%-0.8%-3.6%+2.8%-1.3%
SOCLSocial Media-1.9%+1.2%-0.1%-3.3%-0.8%-0.6%+3.4%+1.1%0.0%+0.1%-1.0%
HEROVideo Games-0.4%+0.2%+0.1%-1.6%-1.6%+0.7%+3.5%+2.1%+3.3%+1.3%+7.8%
XESOil Services+0.7%-0.9%+3.0%+1.0%-1.8%-0.6%-2.6%-3.7%-1.3%+3.1%-3.3%
XOPOil E&P+2.2%-0.1%+2.2%+1.6%-0.5%-0.9%-2.9%-1.6%+3.4%+1.6%+5.1%
OIHOil Services+0.5%-1.0%+2.2%+1.3%-1.4%+2.3%-1.5%-3.7%-0.9%+2.1%-0.3%
CRAKRefiners+1.2%+1.0%+1.6%-0.2%+0.3%-1.0%-2.6%-0.7%+1.7%+2.9%+4.1%
FCGNatural Gas Equities+1.9%-0.2%+1.9%+2.7%0.0%-0.5%-4.0%-1.3%+3.8%+0.4%+4.7%
COALCoal+0.1%+1.6%+0.4%+1.6%+0.8%-1.3%-1.7%-2.0%+0.1%+1.1%+0.7%
NUKZNuclear-0.5%-0.2%+3.1%+0.8%+0.5%-1.3%+0.2%-2.5%-3.1%+5.0%+1.7%
JETSAirlines-2.5%+0.4%-0.2%-1.3%-2.6%+2.7%+2.9%+2.9%-2.8%+2.3%+1.4%
PAVEInfrastructure-0.8%-1.1%+0.9%+0.7%+1.6%+0.3%-0.4%-0.7%-3.7%+2.0%-1.2%
ITAAerospace & Defense-0.1%-0.6%+0.2%+0.6%+3.1%+0.8%+1.6%+0.4%-3.6%+0.8%+3.1%
XTNTransportation-1.3%-0.6%+0.8%-1.0%-1.6%+0.2%-0.6%0.0%-2.7%-0.6%-7.1%
CARZAutos-1.1%0.0%+3.4%0.0%-2.4%-2.6%-0.4%-1.5%-2.7%+5.8%-1.7%
ITBHome Construction-2.9%-2.0%-0.5%+0.5%-0.9%+2.7%+0.9%+2.4%-3.7%-1.1%-4.7%
Sleeve return heat table

Financial / Health Care Industries

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
KRERegional Banks-0.4%1.0%1.4%1.4%6.2%11.6%27.9%2.1%55.54.1%12.9%0.613.5%
IAKInsurance-2.3%1.7%5.0%5.0%9.9%13.0%19.8%5.7%56.56.0%11.4%1.298.4%
PSPPrivate Equity1.4%4.0%7.6%7.6%-2.3%-9.4%-9.8%8.3%62.33.7%-1.5%0.261.1%
IYGFinancial Services1.1%1.7%5.5%5.5%6.7%6.4%10.0%6.2%60.04.8%7.9%0.366.3%
IAIBroker Dealers1.4%-0.2%6.6%6.6%8.2%2.0%7.2%7.3%50.51.6%5.8%0.450.4%
XBIBiotech2.4%-0.5%-4.3%-4.3%25.6%21.5%76.4%-3.6%50.94.5%17.8%0.785.7%
IBBBiotech Large Cap0.8%0.5%-0.1%-0.1%11.8%10.3%42.4%0.6%56.05.2%10.9%1.177.8%
IHFHealth Providers-0.5%1.1%2.6%2.6%27.5%25.1%34.0%3.3%55.34.7%16.3%1.875.8%
IHIMedical Devices-1.1%6.7%6.7%6.7%-8.8%-12.0%-13.7%7.5%59.35.0%-6.3%0.877.4%
IHEPharma-1.0%0.5%3.5%3.5%16.8%18.9%55.0%4.2%59.86.3%17.3%0.871.4%
10-session return tape

Financial / Health Care Industries Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
KRERegional Banks-1.6%-1.0%+0.1%-0.5%-0.6%+0.8%-0.3%+1.7%-0.8%-0.4%-2.6%
IAKInsurance+2.2%+0.2%-0.5%-1.0%+0.6%+2.1%+0.6%+2.0%-0.6%-2.3%+3.2%
PSPPrivate Equity-0.4%-1.7%+0.7%-0.3%-0.2%+1.5%+0.8%+1.2%-1.0%+1.4%+2.0%
IYGFinancial Services-1.3%-0.5%+0.3%+0.1%-0.6%+0.7%+0.9%+1.0%-1.9%+1.1%-0.3%
IAIBroker Dealers-2.0%-0.3%+0.5%+0.6%-1.3%-0.2%+0.9%+0.1%-2.4%+1.4%-2.8%
XBIBiotech+1.5%-2.2%+2.4%-1.5%+0.1%-1.1%+0.1%-0.5%-1.2%+2.4%-0.4%
IBBBiotech Large Cap+0.1%-1.7%+1.5%-1.2%+1.1%-0.4%+0.1%+1.2%-1.0%+0.8%+0.2%
IHFHealth Providers+0.4%-0.3%+1.6%-1.5%-0.7%+0.7%+0.4%+2.5%-1.8%-0.5%+0.6%
IHIMedical Devices-3.2%+0.1%-1.2%-1.1%+0.1%+1.6%+2.3%+2.6%+1.2%-1.1%+1.0%
IHEPharma+0.8%-2.1%+2.1%-0.3%+1.3%+0.4%+0.5%+1.0%-0.4%-1.0%+2.3%
Sleeve return heat table

Rates / Credit

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
STIPShort TIPS0.0%0.2%0.2%0.2%1.4%1.3%3.4%0.9%56.30.1%1.0%0.820.6%
SHY1-3Y Treasury0.0%0.3%0.2%0.2%0.4%0.6%3.0%0.9%58.50.2%0.6%1.130.2%
TIPTIPS-0.0%0.2%-0.6%-0.6%0.0%0.1%2.4%0.1%44.6-0.4%-0.2%1.326.2%
IEF7-10Y Treasury0.0%0.4%-1.1%-1.1%-1.4%-0.9%2.1%-0.4%44.3-0.5%-1.1%0.815.1%
TLT20Y Treasury-0.1%-0.4%-3.8%-3.8%-3.6%-2.8%-0.3%-3.2%35.2-2.3%-3.6%1.714.3%
AGGAggregate Bonds0.1%0.3%-1.0%-1.0%-1.2%-0.9%2.7%-0.4%42.5-0.7%-0.8%1.012.7%
CWBConvertibles3.2%-1.6%-5.8%-5.8%11.8%9.3%21.4%-5.1%44.0-3.8%5.3%0.897.6%
EMLCEM Local Debt0.8%1.4%0.4%0.4%-0.5%-0.5%8.5%1.1%55.60.5%1.2%1.786.5%
EMBEM USD Debt0.2%0.3%-1.3%-1.3%0.0%0.3%7.0%-0.6%41.4-0.9%0.3%1.120.2%
HYGHigh Yield0.3%0.3%-0.2%-0.2%1.2%0.9%4.9%0.5%49.2-0.0%1.1%1.067.9%
LQDIG Credit0.2%0.1%-2.1%-2.1%-1.9%-1.6%2.0%-1.4%37.9-1.3%-1.5%1.029.0%
BKLNBank Loans0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%0.3%2.9%0.7%52.5-0.0%0.3%0.841.3%
MBBMBS0.1%0.4%-0.9%-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%4.5%-0.3%44.7-0.5%-0.3%0.933.3%
PFFPreferreds1.1%1.0%0.3%0.3%-0.4%-1.5%3.1%1.0%49.8-0.7%-0.3%1.195.2%
10-session return tape

Rates / Credit Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
STIPShort TIPS+0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.1%0.0%-0.1%+0.1%+0.2%0.0%+0.1%
SHY1-3Y Treasury0.0%0.0%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%+0.1%0.0%+0.1%+0.1%0.0%0.0%
TIPTIPS+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%0.0%-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%0.0%-0.2%
IEF7-10Y Treasury+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%-0.4%0.0%-0.5%
TLT20Y Treasury+0.4%-0.7%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%+0.1%+0.6%+0.6%-1.7%-0.1%-1.7%
AGGAggregate Bonds+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%-0.4%+0.1%-0.5%
CWBConvertibles0.0%+0.3%+1.8%+0.3%-0.8%-1.6%-0.1%-1.0%-1.9%+3.2%0.0%
EMLCEM Local Debt-0.4%0.0%0.0%-0.1%-0.8%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%+0.8%+0.2%
EMBEM USD Debt-0.1%-0.2%0.0%-0.3%-0.6%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%-0.7%+0.2%-0.8%
HYGHigh Yield-0.2%0.0%0.0%-0.2%-0.4%0.0%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%+0.3%-0.4%
LQDIG Credit+0.1%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%0.0%+0.3%+0.3%-0.6%+0.2%-1.0%
BKLNBank Loans0.0%+0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%+0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.1%0.0%+0.1%
MBBMBS0.0%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%-0.5%+0.1%-0.5%
PFFPreferreds-0.1%-0.1%0.0%+0.4%-1.0%+0.1%+0.4%+0.3%-0.9%+1.1%+0.2%
Sleeve return heat table

Metals / Miners

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
XMEMetals & Mining4.4%-1.3%-4.7%-4.7%-11.8%-14.1%38.8%-4.1%45.0-8.4%-7.6%1.379.4%
COPXCopper Miners4.4%1.4%3.3%3.3%-2.2%-6.3%89.6%4.0%53.2-1.4%3.6%1.277.4%
HAPHard Assets1.9%0.8%4.6%4.6%5.8%6.7%39.7%5.3%61.32.0%7.3%0.385.3%
WOODTimber1.4%5.2%8.8%8.8%-5.2%-2.6%0.7%9.6%67.27.0%2.7%1.076.2%
GDXGold Miners4.4%2.3%1.8%1.8%-16.9%-18.5%49.4%2.5%51.5-2.8%-12.1%1.164.3%
GDXJJunior Gold Miners4.3%1.5%94.5%93.0%114.7%93.0%93.0%56.2%75.363.5%104.2%1.184.5%
SILSilver Miners4.5%1.2%-1.6%-1.6%-17.0%-19.1%60.9%-1.0%48.8-5.3%-11.6%0.861.1%
SILJJunior Silver Miners5.1%0.5%-3.7%-3.7%-18.4%-21.5%73.2%-3.1%47.4-6.6%-13.2%1.056.7%
URNMUranium Miners4.9%-3.1%-6.0%-6.0%-24.8%-33.5%10.2%-5.3%43.8-9.0%-18.8%0.964.3%
10-session return tape

Metals / Miners Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
XMEMetals & Mining-0.6%-0.6%+3.9%+1.9%-0.3%-1.4%+1.3%-1.6%-3.8%+4.4%+2.9%
COPXCopper Miners-1.8%+0.7%+5.9%+2.2%-2.0%-0.8%+0.2%-1.8%-0.5%+4.4%+6.5%
HAPHard Assets+0.5%-0.5%+1.7%+1.5%-0.4%+0.1%-0.6%-0.6%0.0%+1.9%+3.8%
WOODTimber+0.3%-1.1%+0.3%+1.9%-2.0%+1.2%+1.0%+2.0%-0.6%+1.4%+4.5%
GDXGold Miners-0.1%-0.8%+4.9%+3.4%-2.2%+0.3%+0.7%-2.0%-0.9%+4.4%+7.5%
GDXJJunior Gold Miners-0.5%-0.6%+5.9%+3.6%-2.9%+0.2%+1.2%-2.2%-1.9%+4.3%+6.9%
SILSilver Miners-0.2%-0.5%+5.8%+2.5%-2.7%+0.2%+0.5%-2.4%-1.4%+4.5%+6.0%
SILJJunior Silver Miners-0.1%-0.3%+5.6%+3.0%-3.8%-0.2%+0.6%-3.1%-1.7%+5.1%+4.7%
URNMUranium Miners-1.1%+0.1%+4.0%+1.8%-0.1%-3.2%+1.2%-3.3%-2.5%+4.9%+1.4%
Sleeve return heat table

International Equity

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
EWAAustralia2.4%4.7%5.9%5.9%8.6%9.0%17.6%6.6%66.94.7%8.3%1.091.3%
EWZBrazil3.0%1.0%5.9%5.9%-0.1%-0.4%42.0%6.6%58.84.2%4.8%1.086.1%
FXIChina Large Cap1.1%6.0%15.6%15.6%-3.7%-7.1%-1.6%16.4%72.46.8%-1.2%0.836.1%
EEMEmerging Markets4.1%-1.6%-7.0%-7.0%9.2%8.2%32.8%-6.4%45.4-4.3%6.3%1.495.6%
EZUEurozone2.9%3.0%0.2%0.2%7.2%6.4%21.7%0.9%58.12.3%7.9%1.094.4%
INDAIndia1.1%4.3%0.6%0.6%-6.1%-3.9%-5.7%1.3%58.12.1%-2.6%1.375.0%
DXJJapan Hedged0.9%-0.3%0.8%0.8%10.8%14.5%47.7%1.5%50.81.0%11.3%0.578.6%
EWUUnited Kingdom1.6%4.2%5.5%5.5%7.5%7.0%25.7%6.2%69.04.8%8.7%0.783.7%
10-session return tape

International Equity Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/177/207/217/227/237/247/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
EWAAustralia+0.4%-0.8%+0.6%+0.6%-1.3%+0.8%+0.6%+1.5%-0.7%+2.4%+4.2%
EWZBrazil-0.3%+0.7%+0.4%+2.8%-1.2%-1.2%+0.4%+0.5%-1.6%+3.0%+3.4%
FXIChina Large Cap-1.2%+2.7%-1.2%-0.6%+0.1%+0.3%+2.0%+1.0%+1.3%+1.1%+5.8%
EEMEmerging Markets-1.4%+0.4%+2.8%-0.5%-0.6%-2.0%+0.5%-2.0%-2.1%+4.1%-0.9%
EZUEurozone-0.4%-0.7%+1.6%+0.4%-1.8%+0.5%+0.5%-0.1%-0.7%+2.9%+2.1%
INDAIndia+0.5%-0.7%+0.5%-1.1%-1.2%+0.8%+1.8%+1.0%-0.4%+1.1%+2.1%
DXJJapan Hedged-2.0%+0.1%+2.6%0.0%-0.6%+0.9%+0.3%-1.6%-0.7%+0.9%-0.3%
EWUUnited Kingdom-0.1%-1.2%+0.8%+1.0%-1.1%+1.1%+0.3%+0.9%+0.2%+1.6%+3.6%
Sleeve return heat table

Commodities / Crypto / USD

Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.

TickerName1D5D21D1M120D6M1YRS 1MRSI50D Gap200D GapVol x20DRange Pctl
DBAAgriculture-0.0%-2.7%3.0%3.0%6.6%7.1%9.7%3.7%48.00.9%3.8%1.548.8%
DBBBase Metals1.3%1.4%3.9%3.9%7.7%4.3%32.9%4.6%57.10.0%6.1%1.466.7%
BTC-USDBitcoin1.2%0.6%2.4%10.5%-5.0%-23.1%-45.1%11.2%52.32.0%-9.7%1.129.0%
DBCCommodities-0.3%-3.3%10.0%10.0%23.4%20.0%33.9%10.7%55.62.2%12.5%0.67.9%
GSGCommodities-0.6%-3.6%11.7%11.7%29.4%25.4%38.6%12.5%56.43.1%15.1%0.913.9%
USOOil-1.4%-8.6%19.8%19.8%66.2%60.3%57.3%20.6%54.23.0%27.6%0.525.4%
GLDGold1.6%1.5%2.4%2.4%-14.6%-15.2%25.3%3.1%50.3-2.3%-8.4%0.956.3%
SLVSilver3.3%2.8%0.1%0.1%-19.8%-29.1%59.7%0.7%47.3-8.2%-15.8%1.048.4%
URAUranium5.9%-3.4%-9.1%-9.1%-19.1%-27.8%3.8%-8.5%42.7-10.9%-18.5%1.078.2%
PLTMPlatinum3.0%3.8%6.4%6.4%-17.4%-22.7%26.0%7.1%51.2-3.5%-13.6%1.160.7%
PALLPalladium4.2%4.7%8.0%8.0%-20.5%-22.5%10.0%8.8%55.62.4%-13.0%1.471.8%
CPERCopper2.6%2.9%4.3%4.3%11.6%8.0%39.3%5.0%57.82.4%10.5%1.077.8%
UUPUS Dollar-1.0%-1.5%-1.0%-1.0%3.9%4.8%4.5%-0.3%40.1-0.2%2.4%2.297.2%
10-session return tape

Commodities / Crypto / USD Daily Return Map

Latest 2026-07-30

Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.

TickerName7/217/227/237/247/257/267/277/287/29Latest7/30CUM
DBAAgriculture+0.5%+0.3%0.0%0.0%n/an/a-2.2%+0.8%-1.3%0.0%-1.9%
DBBBase Metals+1.6%0.0%-0.9%0.0%n/an/a+0.6%-1.0%+0.5%+1.3%+2.1%
BTC-USDBitcoin+2.0%-0.6%-1.6%-1.5%+0.3%+1.6%-2.5%+0.2%+0.1%+1.2%-0.8%
DBCCommodities+1.5%+1.0%+1.5%-0.7%n/an/a-3.6%-1.4%+2.9%-0.3%+0.6%
GSGCommodities+1.7%+0.9%+2.1%-1.1%n/an/a-3.9%-1.3%+3.3%-0.6%+1.0%
USOOil+2.7%+2.2%+5.9%-2.0%n/an/a-8.7%-3.4%+7.3%-1.4%+1.6%
GLDGold+2.0%+1.1%-2.0%+0.1%n/an/a+0.7%-1.4%+0.5%+1.6%+2.6%
SLVSilver+4.1%+1.6%-3.4%+1.0%n/an/a+0.6%-2.3%+0.1%+3.3%+4.9%
URAUranium+4.1%+1.8%+0.4%-3.0%n/an/a+1.1%-3.4%-3.7%+5.9%+2.7%
PLTMPlatinum+2.7%+0.4%-2.9%-0.1%n/an/a+2.1%-1.5%+0.3%+3.0%+3.9%
PALLPalladium+2.1%+1.0%-3.1%-1.0%n/an/a+3.8%-2.2%-0.1%+4.2%+4.6%
CPERCopper+2.9%-0.7%-2.6%+0.3%n/an/a+1.1%-1.1%+0.1%+2.6%+2.4%
UUPUS Dollar+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%+0.1%n/an/a+0.1%-0.1%-0.6%-1.0%-0.9%
RSI and run control

RSI / Trend Tables By Sleeve

This helps distinguish early recovery, broad trend support, and extended chase risk before drilling into the candles.

RSI / trend control

Core Index Beta

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
SPYS&P 50049.4n/an/aNeutralFadingRS fading20.6%-2.1%0.0%1.487.7%90.3%12.4%
QQQNasdaq 10043.239.1-1.3 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming24.0%-8.3%-6.5%1.696.8%86.7%24.2%
IWMRussell 200049.149.5-2.6 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming37.6%-2.6%-1.9%1.040.1%93.6%13.5%
OEFS&P 10049.650.7+6.0 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming20.1%-3.1%0.6%1.795.2%90.0%14.1%
RSPEqual Weight S&P57.556.7+0.6 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming20.6%-1.1%1.9%1.674.6%80.9%10.2%
XLGMega Cap45.840.3+2.4 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming14.6%-6.7%-1.1%0.997.6%84.9%17.4%
RSI / trend control

Style / Market Structure

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
MAGSMagnificent 743.940.7+4.4 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming15.4%-9.9%0.1%0.777.8%85.2%25.8%
XMAGEx-Mag 749.049.4-7.7 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming21.4%-2.7%-2.1%0.474.2%92.3%12.6%
VOMid Cap56.757.4-3.1 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming17.8%-0.4%1.2%0.774.2%77.6%7.4%
IWFGrowth43.338.4-1.5 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming14.4%-8.7%-4.8%0.896.8%95.7%22.8%
IWDValue61.661.3+1.5 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming32.2%-0.5%4.1%0.964.7%89.2%10.1%
SPXTEx-Tech S&P48.849.5+1.1 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing15.9%-1.9%1.2%2.279.4%84.5%11.5%
RSI / trend control

Factors / Risk Appetite

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
SPHBHigh Beta43.641.2-4.9 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading39.5%-10.8%-9.5%1.392.1%93.8%33.0%
MTUMMomentum43.942.9-7.6 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading29.6%-13.5%-12.3%1.199.2%83.4%39.9%
QUALQuality55.161.8+6.5 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming21.2%-0.8%0.5%1.382.5%85.8%10.2%
SPHDHigh Dividend Low Vol54.553.4-4.2 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming16.0%-2.1%4.3%1.4100.0%49.0%16.5%
SPLVLow Vol53.052.2-5.1 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing10.5%-2.0%2.9%1.3100.0%40.3%15.6%
RSI / trend control

Growth / Tech Leadership

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
XLKTechnology46.745.9-1.7 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading38.0%-11.2%-7.1%1.698.8%90.8%34.3%
SMHSemiconductors42.340.9-6.9 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading90.4%-19.4%-17.3%1.098.0%71.4%52.2%
IGVSoftware55.055.7+19.0 ptsNeutralRepairingRS repairing25.0%-20.8%3.7%0.932.9%90.7%23.7%
CLOUCloud62.461.7+18.5 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming41.2%-5.8%10.0%1.146.4%96.5%26.9%
BUGCybersecurity47.747.9+0.3 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming61.0%-10.7%-1.1%0.552.0%94.8%38.1%
GRIDSmart Grid44.743.4-1.2 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming26.8%-11.2%-7.2%0.999.6%86.9%31.3%
AIQAI Theme44.342.7+1.3 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading35.1%-16.3%-9.9%0.996.4%96.0%37.1%
QTUMQuantum/AI42.540.7+1.7 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading56.7%-16.7%-14.6%0.997.6%89.7%40.3%
ROBORobotics45.143.0+4.1 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming27.7%-13.0%-7.6%0.694.8%81.3%34.4%
NXTG5G / Digital Infra47.146.1+0.6 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading54.6%-12.6%-4.2%0.694.4%98.3%24.3%
PNQIInternet56.556.1+14.8 ptsNeutralRepairingRS repairing13.5%-14.7%7.5%0.654.0%98.3%22.6%
RSI / trend control

Thematic / Speculative Growth

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
PINKHealth Innovators59.457.3+3.1 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming40.0%-1.5%1.7%0.442.9%92.8%16.3%
ARKKSpeculative Tech41.739.0+0.5 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming14.8%-21.2%-9.2%1.058.7%93.6%35.7%
UFOSpace38.937.6+2.7 ptsSoftBelow 50/200Underperforming49.3%-35.3%-12.9%0.540.1%94.4%27.9%
PEJLeisure58.156.8+8.6 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming20.8%-1.2%1.4%0.577.4%45.2%16.8%
RSI / trend control

Cyclical Sectors

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
XLYConsumer Discretionary44.243.1+16.6 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming6.6%-9.4%-3.5%0.927.0%69.7%22.4%
XLCCommunication Services40.841.9+7.1 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming1.7%-10.7%0.2%1.3100.0%94.0%22.3%
XLEEnergy61.058.3-8.2 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming44.3%-5.1%11.8%0.849.6%86.6%20.8%
XLFFinancials63.063.7+1.0 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming19.6%-1.0%7.1%0.969.4%94.2%14.4%
XLIIndustrials46.346.3-14.3 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming21.7%-3.9%-3.0%1.172.6%77.3%16.7%
XLBMaterials54.654.9+5.6 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing23.9%-2.9%2.3%0.975.8%35.3%19.0%
XHBHomebuilders41.441.5-6.9 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming10.3%-13.5%-8.9%1.577.4%37.2%26.9%
RSI / trend control

Defensive Sectors

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
XLPConsumer Staples53.452.8+3.3 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing15.4%-3.8%3.6%1.498.0%44.5%21.5%
XLVHealth Care57.655.9-2.5 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming29.0%-2.2%3.8%1.296.4%79.7%21.4%
XLUUtilities43.445.6-13.7 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming11.1%-5.2%-0.8%1.384.9%34.5%16.2%
XLREReal Estate53.552.4-3.0 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming15.3%-1.5%3.6%1.497.6%33.0%15.9%
RSI / trend control

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
XTLTelecom40.638.1-4.3 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading77.3%-16.9%-9.3%1.168.3%93.8%30.9%
SOCLSocial Media54.254.4+10.6 ptsNeutralRepairingRS repairing11.4%-25.9%6.1%1.422.2%100.0%22.4%
HEROVideo Games71.971.8+30.5 ptsExtendedRepairingRS repairing15.2%-20.2%9.9%1.877.0%68.7%22.2%
XESOil Services41.841.3-10.1 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming71.3%-19.1%-3.1%0.573.0%88.1%31.4%
XOPOil E&P61.860.7-7.3 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming46.9%-6.6%14.1%0.569.4%93.6%29.5%
OIHOil Services45.345.1-5.0 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming63.7%-17.2%1.7%0.636.9%90.1%27.1%
CRAKRefiners70.368.7-10.6 ptsExtendedAbove 50/200Outperforming72.6%0.0%22.0%1.593.7%88.7%22.5%
FCGNatural Gas Equities56.855.4-8.1 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming32.7%-12.0%9.0%1.138.5%98.3%31.1%
COALCoal44.745.5-9.8 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming25.0%-18.6%1.3%0.240.9%62.5%25.9%
NUKZNuclear45.344.3-3.2 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming13.5%-16.3%-5.7%1.594.4%99.0%32.8%
JETSAirlines55.256.7+18.4 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming38.1%-5.0%-4.0%0.555.2%84.1%32.0%
PAVEInfrastructure45.945.0-13.4 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading25.7%-6.3%-4.1%0.681.3%68.4%21.4%
ITAAerospace & Defense51.652.1-4.8 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing23.9%-5.0%-1.1%1.573.0%100.0%25.6%
XTNTransportation35.334.5-15.2 ptsSoftFadingRS fading38.9%-7.1%-4.8%0.970.2%48.7%19.8%
CARZAutos43.642.0+1.2 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading67.0%-16.9%-13.0%0.397.6%100.0%43.0%
ITBHome Construction45.545.6+1.4 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming10.9%-18.0%-8.0%0.672.6%34.0%30.9%
RSI / trend control

Financial / Health Care Industries

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
KRERegional Banks55.555.2-1.8 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming32.9%-2.6%2.1%0.613.5%11.9%19.8%
IAKInsurance56.555.0-1.8 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming20.5%-2.9%5.7%1.298.4%36.2%24.9%
PSPPrivate Equity62.366.3+11.2 ptsStrongRepairingRS repairing11.9%-13.0%8.3%0.261.1%100.0%17.3%
IYGFinancial Services60.062.6+1.1 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming19.4%-0.9%6.2%0.366.3%89.4%16.3%
IAIBroker Dealers50.551.3-4.3 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing18.4%-4.8%7.3%0.450.4%83.1%23.4%
XBIBiotech50.951.5-2.3 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming78.7%-7.8%-3.6%0.785.7%92.6%27.6%
IBBBiotech Large Cap56.056.2-1.4 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming45.1%-4.2%0.6%1.177.8%95.0%20.8%
IHFHealth Providers55.355.0-1.8 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming40.6%-2.3%3.3%1.875.8%74.1%17.2%
IHIMedical Devices59.357.5+9.7 ptsNeutralRepairingRS repairing11.1%-17.9%7.5%0.877.4%52.7%34.0%
IHEPharma59.857.7-4.3 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming58.6%-1.4%4.2%0.871.4%67.6%22.3%
RSI / trend control

Rates / Credit

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
STIPShort TIPS56.351.2-3.6 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing3.5%-0.2%0.9%0.820.6%53.2%1.3%
SHY1-3Y Treasury58.551.5-3.2 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing3.0%0.0%0.9%1.130.2%25.0%1.3%
TIPTIPS44.649.3-2.4 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming2.6%-1.2%0.1%1.326.2%33.3%2.6%
IEF7-10Y Treasury44.348.4-1.4 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming2.1%-3.3%-0.4%0.815.1%47.5%4.1%
TLT20Y Treasury35.240.6-4.4 ptsSoftBelow 50/200Underperforming0.5%-7.1%-3.2%1.714.3%74.0%8.5%
AGGAggregate Bonds42.548.1-1.9 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming2.7%-2.4%-0.4%1.012.7%49.5%3.6%
CWBConvertibles44.041.6-5.5 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming22.7%-8.4%-5.1%0.897.6%95.7%20.9%
EMLCEM Local Debt55.655.3+6.4 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing8.6%-2.0%1.1%1.786.5%80.0%6.6%
EMBEM USD Debt41.446.1-1.4 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming7.0%-2.0%-0.6%1.120.2%91.8%5.0%
HYGHigh Yield49.250.5-2.6 ptsNeutralFadingRS repairing4.9%-0.5%0.5%1.067.9%81.4%2.8%
LQDIG Credit37.945.3-1.5 ptsSoftBelow 50/200Underperforming2.0%-3.0%-1.4%1.029.0%45.1%4.9%
BKLNBank Loans52.550.9-4.5 ptsNeutralFadingRS repairing3.0%-0.9%0.7%0.841.3%0.0%1.7%
MBBMBS44.748.5-1.1 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming4.6%-2.0%-0.3%0.933.3%14.1%4.4%
PFFPreferreds49.850.8+4.4 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming3.8%-3.2%1.0%1.195.2%100.0%9.2%
RSI / trend control

Metals / Miners

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
XMEMetals & Mining45.044.2-0.7 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming41.2%-23.3%-4.1%1.379.4%95.5%36.5%
COPXCopper Miners53.253.9+2.0 ptsNeutralFadingUnderperforming90.3%-16.9%4.0%1.277.4%91.4%48.5%
HAPHard Assets61.362.0-1.4 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming40.6%-3.7%5.3%0.385.3%96.1%13.8%
WOODTimber67.271.1+12.4 ptsStrongAbove 50/200RS repairing12.6%-11.8%9.6%1.076.2%60.0%18.7%
GDXGold Miners51.551.9+4.0 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming49.8%-33.7%2.5%1.164.3%98.8%43.6%
GDXJJunior Gold Miners75.375.0-3.5 ptsExtendedAbove 50/200Outperforming192.5%-1.5%56.2%1.184.5%97.9%306.8%
SILSilver Miners48.848.7+2.4 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming62.9%-35.4%-1.0%0.861.1%95.7%46.0%
SILJJunior Silver Miners47.447.2+1.7 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming75.1%-38.1%-3.1%1.056.7%99.6%51.7%
URNMUranium Miners43.843.0-2.6 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming15.8%-41.1%-5.3%0.964.3%93.8%47.9%
RSI / trend control

International Equity

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
EWAAustralia66.973.5+17.2 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming23.3%-0.1%6.6%1.091.3%100.0%14.7%
EWZBrazil58.862.4+0.2 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing43.8%-11.6%6.6%1.086.1%96.5%23.9%
FXIChina Large Cap72.469.7+11.1 ptsExtendedRepairingRS repairing15.6%-10.9%16.4%0.836.1%91.5%18.2%
EEMEmerging Markets45.444.2-2.2 ptsNeutralFadingRS fading34.5%-10.7%-6.4%1.495.6%96.3%32.2%
EZUEurozone58.163.7+13.9 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming24.5%-0.3%0.9%1.094.4%97.6%17.7%
INDAIndia58.159.7+19.2 ptsNeutralRepairingRS repairing9.4%-10.1%1.3%1.375.0%44.9%14.6%
DXJJapan Hedged50.851.4-6.7 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming49.4%-2.7%1.5%0.578.6%85.5%21.5%
EWUUnited Kingdom69.070.8+13.7 ptsStrongAbove 50/200Outperforming26.4%0.0%6.2%0.783.7%94.8%15.5%
RSI / trend control

Commodities / Crypto / USD

ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.

TickerNameRSIETF/SPY RSIETF/SPY 5D DeltaRSI StateTrendRS TrendRun From 1Y LowDrawdown From 1Y HighRS 1MVol x20DRange PctlClose Loc20D Vol
DBAAgriculture48.048.9-16.4 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing10.9%-4.4%3.7%1.548.8%9.5%16.8%
DBBBase Metals57.157.6+2.0 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200RS repairing34.0%-6.0%4.6%1.466.7%73.7%12.2%
BTC-USDBitcoin52.351.5-2.5 ptsNeutralRepairingUnderperforming10.5%-33.3%11.2%1.129.0%75.9%25.5%
DBCCommodities55.654.5-15.9 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming40.2%-7.5%10.7%0.67.9%48.3%24.9%
GSGCommodities56.455.4-16.0 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming44.8%-8.1%12.5%0.913.9%42.1%28.8%
USOOil54.253.9-17.8 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming92.7%-16.7%20.6%0.525.4%23.1%63.2%
GLDGold50.350.7+4.6 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming25.3%-23.9%3.1%0.956.3%82.9%22.0%
SLVSilver47.347.2+6.0 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming60.6%-49.3%0.7%1.048.4%96.3%39.1%
URAUranium42.741.5-1.8 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming14.2%-35.7%-8.5%1.078.2%93.2%47.7%
PLTMPlatinum51.251.6+9.1 ptsNeutralBelow 50/200Underperforming27.4%-40.5%7.1%1.160.7%87.5%32.6%
PALLPalladium55.656.6+8.4 ptsNeutralRepairingRS repairing19.5%-35.9%8.8%1.471.8%97.2%41.2%
CPERCopper57.859.9+6.5 ptsNeutralAbove 50/200Outperforming44.6%-3.1%5.0%1.077.8%89.3%22.4%
UUPUS Dollar40.146.9-11.7 ptsNeutralFadingRS repairing7.3%-1.6%-0.3%2.297.2%8.3%5.8%
Relative strength tape

ETF/SPY Ratio Candlestick Wall

This replaces the old top-side USD correlation tables with a cleaner visual read of ETF leadership versus SPY. Ratios are ETF price divided by SPY and scaled by 100; the 50D and 200D moving averages are calculated on full ratio history before the rolling 1.5-year chart window is displayed.

ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Core Index Beta

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

QQQ

Nasdaq 100

QQQ/SPY x100

IWM

Russell 2000

IWM/SPY x100

OEF

S&P 100

OEF/SPY x100

RSP

Equal Weight S&P

RSP/SPY x100

XLG

Mega Cap

XLG/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Style / Market Structure

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

MAGS

Magnificent 7

MAGS/SPY x100

XMAG

Ex-Mag 7

XMAG/SPY x100

VO

Mid Cap

VO/SPY x100

IWF

Growth

IWF/SPY x100

IWD

Value

IWD/SPY x100

SPXT

Ex-Tech S&P

SPXT/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Factors / Risk Appetite

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

SPHB

High Beta

SPHB/SPY x100

MTUM

Momentum

MTUM/SPY x100

QUAL

Quality

QUAL/SPY x100

SPHD

High Dividend Low Vol

SPHD/SPY x100

SPLV

Low Vol

SPLV/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Growth / Tech Leadership

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

XLK

Technology

XLK/SPY x100

SMH

Semiconductors

SMH/SPY x100

IGV

Software

IGV/SPY x100

CLOU

Cloud

CLOU/SPY x100

BUG

Cybersecurity

BUG/SPY x100

GRID

Smart Grid

GRID/SPY x100

AIQ

AI Theme

AIQ/SPY x100

QTUM

Quantum/AI

QTUM/SPY x100

ROBO

Robotics

ROBO/SPY x100

NXTG

5G / Digital Infra

NXTG/SPY x100

PNQI

Internet

PNQI/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Thematic / Speculative Growth

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

PINK

Health Innovators

PINK/SPY x100

ARKK

Speculative Tech

ARKK/SPY x100

UFO

Space

UFO/SPY x100

PEJ

Leisure

PEJ/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Cyclical Sectors

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

XLY

Consumer Discretionary

XLY/SPY x100

XLC

Communication Services

XLC/SPY x100

XLE

Energy

XLE/SPY x100

XLF

Financials

XLF/SPY x100

XLI

Industrials

XLI/SPY x100

XLB

Materials

XLB/SPY x100

XHB

Homebuilders

XHB/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Defensive Sectors

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

XLP

Consumer Staples

XLP/SPY x100

XLV

Health Care

XLV/SPY x100

XLU

Utilities

XLU/SPY x100

XLRE

Real Estate

XLRE/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

XTL

Telecom

XTL/SPY x100

SOCL

Social Media

SOCL/SPY x100

HERO

Video Games

HERO/SPY x100

XES

Oil Services

XES/SPY x100

XOP

Oil E&P

XOP/SPY x100

OIH

Oil Services

OIH/SPY x100

CRAK

Refiners

CRAK/SPY x100

FCG

Natural Gas Equities

FCG/SPY x100

COAL

Coal

COAL/SPY x100

NUKZ

Nuclear

NUKZ/SPY x100

JETS

Airlines

JETS/SPY x100

PAVE

Infrastructure

PAVE/SPY x100

ITA

Aerospace & Defense

ITA/SPY x100

XTN

Transportation

XTN/SPY x100

CARZ

Autos

CARZ/SPY x100

ITB

Home Construction

ITB/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Financial / Health Care Industries

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

KRE

Regional Banks

KRE/SPY x100

IAK

Insurance

IAK/SPY x100

PSP

Private Equity

PSP/SPY x100

IYG

Financial Services

IYG/SPY x100

IAI

Broker Dealers

IAI/SPY x100

XBI

Biotech

XBI/SPY x100

IBB

Biotech Large Cap

IBB/SPY x100

IHF

Health Providers

IHF/SPY x100

IHI

Medical Devices

IHI/SPY x100

IHE

Pharma

IHE/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Rates / Credit

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

STIP

Short TIPS

STIP/SPY x100

SHY

1-3Y Treasury

SHY/SPY x100

TIP

TIPS

TIP/SPY x100

IEF

7-10Y Treasury

IEF/SPY x100

TLT

20Y Treasury

TLT/SPY x100

AGG

Aggregate Bonds

AGG/SPY x100

CWB

Convertibles

CWB/SPY x100

EMLC

EM Local Debt

EMLC/SPY x100

EMB

EM USD Debt

EMB/SPY x100

HYG

High Yield

HYG/SPY x100

LQD

IG Credit

LQD/SPY x100

BKLN

Bank Loans

BKLN/SPY x100

MBB

MBS

MBB/SPY x100

PFF

Preferreds

PFF/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Metals / Miners

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

XME

Metals & Mining

XME/SPY x100

COPX

Copper Miners

COPX/SPY x100

HAP

Hard Assets

HAP/SPY x100

WOOD

Timber

WOOD/SPY x100

GDX

Gold Miners

GDX/SPY x100

GDXJ

Junior Gold Miners

GDXJ/SPY x100

SIL

Silver Miners

SIL/SPY x100

SILJ

Junior Silver Miners

SILJ/SPY x100

URNM

Uranium Miners

URNM/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

International Equity

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

EWA

Australia

EWA/SPY x100

EWZ

Brazil

EWZ/SPY x100

FXI

China Large Cap

FXI/SPY x100

EEM

Emerging Markets

EEM/SPY x100

EZU

Eurozone

EZU/SPY x100

INDA

India

INDA/SPY x100

DXJ

Japan Hedged

DXJ/SPY x100

EWU

United Kingdom

EWU/SPY x100
ETF/SPY ratio sleeve

Commodities / Crypto / USD

Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.

DBA

Agriculture

DBA/SPY x100

DBB

Base Metals

DBB/SPY x100

BTC-USD

Bitcoin

BTC-USD/SPY x100

DBC

Commodities

DBC/SPY x100

GSG

Commodities

GSG/SPY x100

USO

Oil

USO/SPY x100

GLD

Gold

GLD/SPY x100

SLV

Silver

SLV/SPY x100

URA

Uranium

URA/SPY x100

PLTM

Platinum

PLTM/SPY x100

PALL

Palladium

PALL/SPY x100

CPER

Copper

CPER/SPY x100

UUP

US Dollar

UUP/SPY x100
Saved daily snapshots

Recent Regime History

Each run appends one snapshot per ETF to the local history file, then this table summarizes the last 20 run dates.

Run DateMarket Date% > 50D% > 200D% RS > SPYMedian RSIMedian DD
2026-07-022026-07-0251.3%74.3%48.7%49.1-6.0%
2026-07-062026-07-0663.7%75.2%46.9%52.2-5.0%
2026-07-072026-07-0747.8%72.6%43.4%50.4-6.1%
2026-07-082026-07-0846.0%69.0%39.8%48.3-6.4%
2026-07-092026-07-0953.1%71.7%37.2%50.6-5.6%
2026-07-102026-07-1056.6%71.7%31.0%51.8-5.3%
2026-07-122026-07-1056.6%71.7%31.9%51.8-5.3%
2026-07-132026-07-1346.0%69.9%31.0%49.5-6.3%
2026-07-142026-07-1454.9%70.8%26.5%51.1-6.0%
2026-07-152026-07-1554.9%71.7%40.7%51.1-5.9%
2026-07-162026-07-1654.0%69.9%42.5%53.2-6.0%
2026-07-172026-07-1746.0%68.1%43.4%48.8-7.1%
2026-07-202026-07-2042.5%67.3%51.3%47.1-7.4%
2026-07-212026-07-2146.9%68.1%48.7%50.2-6.4%
2026-07-222026-07-2245.1%69.0%46.0%49.7-6.2%
2026-07-232026-07-2339.8%67.3%44.2%46.2-7.0%
2026-07-272026-07-2750.4%68.1%41.6%49.6-7.8%
2026-07-282026-07-2850.4%69.9%42.5%49.7-7.7%
2026-07-292026-07-2946.9%65.5%61.9%46.7-7.2%
2026-07-302026-07-3053.1%68.1%59.3%50.8-6.7%
Dollar / breadth regime

Inverted USD And ETF Trend Breadth

The teal line is ETF breadth. Macro overlays are rebased to 100 on the first available October 2024 observation. USD, 10Y, and WTI are inverted, so a rising macro line means weaker dollar, lower yield pressure, or lower oil pressure.

Inverted USD vs ETF % Above 50DMA
Inverted USD vs ETF % Above 200DMA
Inverted 10Y vs ETF % Above 50DMA
Inverted 10Y vs ETF % Above 200DMA
Inverted WTI Oil vs ETF % Above 50DMA
Inverted WTI Oil vs ETF % Above 200DMA
Retail sentiment

AAII Bull-Bear Spread And Weekly Shock

This recreates the AAII sentiment view in the house style: SPY price on top, AAII bull-bear spread in the middle, and the 1-week percentage-point change below. The component charts underneath show bullish and bearish sentiment with 4-week moving averages so the PM can separate one-week noise from trend.

Bull-Bear Spread
-10.9 pts

Latest survey week: 2026-07-02

1W Change
-19.7 pts

Week-over-week change in bull minus bear spread.

Bulls / 4W MA
31.4 / 35.8

Bullish respondents, percent of survey.

Bears / 4W MA
42.3 / 41.4

Bearish respondents, percent of survey.

Source
AAII sentiment history

History starts 1987-08-07; 2,028 rows.

SPY Price + AAII Bull-Bear Spread + 1W Change
AAII Bulls + 4W Moving Average
AAII Bears + 4W Moving Average
Data warnings

Cache / Download Notes

Macro tape

USD, Oil, And 10Y Before Volatility

Macro drivers are shown before VIX/MOVE so the ETF tape is framed by dollar pressure, crude impulse, and rates direction first.

USD US Dollar Index

DX-Y.NYB | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses price returns.

USD Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
USD Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
Oil WTI Crude Oil

CL=F | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses price returns.

Oil Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
Oil Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
10Y 10Y Treasury Yield

^TNX | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses basis-point yield changes.

10Y Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
10Y Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
Dollar / rates positioning

DXY, USD Futures Positioning, And SOFR Positioning

This recreates the institutional dollar-positioning read in the house style: DXY price on top, broad USD futures positioning in the middle, and 3-month SOFR leveraged-money positioning underneath. Positive USD positioning means non-commercial futures are net long USD after FX legs are converted to USD notional and sign-flipped. Negative SOFR positioning means leveraged accounts are short SOFR futures, typically a hawkish/rate-up bet.

Dollar Index + Total USD Futures Net + SOFR 3M Leveraged-Money Net

Current Read

Latest broad USD net 43.3B as of 2026-07-21; SOFR leveraged-money net -2.69M as of 2026-07-21.

USD Panel

Broad USD net aggregates major FX futures, converts contracts into USD notional, and flips foreign-currency longs into USD shorts.

SOFR Panel

SOFR uses CFTC leveraged-money long minus short contracts. Large negative readings flag heavy short-rate-futures exposure.

Risk monitors

VIX And MOVE Before The ETF Tape

A quick volatility and rates-volatility check before the sleeve chart run. These are candle-only views with RSI context, no moving-average overlays or right-side return panel.

VIX CBOE Volatility Index

Daily and weekly volatility/risk tape. These charts intentionally exclude moving-average overlays and stat panels.

VIX Daily Candlestick + RSI 14
VIX Weekly Candlestick + Weekly RSI 14
MOVE ICE BofA MOVE Index

Daily and weekly volatility/risk tape. These charts intentionally exclude moving-average overlays and stat panels.

MOVE Daily Candlestick + RSI 14
MOVE Weekly Candlestick + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Core Index Beta

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

SPY S&P 500

Core Index Beta | latest close 741.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 49.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
QQQ Nasdaq 100

Core Index Beta | latest close 683.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 43.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IWM Russell 2000

Core Index Beta | latest close 292.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 49.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
OEF S&P 100

Core Index Beta | latest close 365.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 49.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
RSP Equal Weight S&P

Core Index Beta | latest close 215.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 57.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLG Mega Cap

Core Index Beta | latest close 60.13 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 45.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Style / Market Structure

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

MAGS Magnificent 7

Style / Market Structure | latest close 63.92 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 43.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XMAG Ex-Mag 7

Style / Market Structure | latest close 25.37 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 49.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
VO Mid Cap

Style / Market Structure | latest close 80.99 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 56.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IWF Growth

Style / Market Structure | latest close 117.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 43.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IWD Value

Style / Market Structure | latest close 250.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 61.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SPXT Ex-Tech S&P

Style / Market Structure | latest close 108.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 48.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Factors / Risk Appetite

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

SPHB High Beta

Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 139.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 43.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
MTUM Momentum

Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 298.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 43.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
QUAL Quality

Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 218.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 55.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SPHD High Dividend Low Vol

Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 52.45 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 54.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SPLV Low Vol

Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 76.38 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 53.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Growth / Tech Leadership

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

XLK Technology

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 175.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 46.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SMH Semiconductors

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 538.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 42.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IGV Software

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 93.31 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 55.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
CLOU Cloud

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 24.85 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 62.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
BUG Cybersecurity

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 37.51 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 47.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
GRID Smart Grid

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 176.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 44.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
AIQ AI Theme

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 58.69 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 44.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
QTUM Quantum/AI

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 140.3 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 42.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ROBO Robotics

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 78.58 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 45.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
NXTG 5G / Digital Infra

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 145.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 47.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
PNQI Internet

Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 48.68 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 56.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Thematic / Speculative Growth

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

PINK Health Innovators

Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 39.54 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 59.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ARKK Speculative Tech

Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 72.90 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 41.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
UFO Space

Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 43.82 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 38.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
PEJ Leisure

Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 67.05 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 58.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Cyclical Sectors

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

XLY Consumer Discretionary

Cyclical Sectors | latest close 112.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 44.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLC Communication Services

Cyclical Sectors | latest close 106.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 40.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLE Energy

Cyclical Sectors | latest close 58.96 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 61.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLF Financials

Cyclical Sectors | latest close 57.00 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 63.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLI Industrials

Cyclical Sectors | latest close 178.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 46.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLB Materials

Cyclical Sectors | latest close 51.64 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 54.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XHB Homebuilders

Cyclical Sectors | latest close 104.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 41.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Defensive Sectors

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

XLP Consumer Staples

Defensive Sectors | latest close 85.47 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 53.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLV Health Care

Defensive Sectors | latest close 163.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 57.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLU Utilities

Defensive Sectors | latest close 44.66 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 43.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XLRE Real Estate

Defensive Sectors | latest close 45.30 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 53.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

XTL Telecom

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 204.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 40.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SOCL Social Media

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 46.19 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 54.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
HERO Video Games

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 27.04 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 71.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XES Oil Services

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 107.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 41.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XOP Oil E&P

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 174.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 61.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
OIH Oil Services

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 375.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 45.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
CRAK Refiners

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 55.82 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 70.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
FCG Natural Gas Equities

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 28.80 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 56.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
COAL Coal

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 23.10 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 44.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
NUKZ Nuclear

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 63.81 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 45.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
JETS Airlines

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 31.68 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 55.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
PAVE Infrastructure

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 56.10 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 45.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ITA Aerospace & Defense

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 238.1 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 51.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XTN Transportation

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 109.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 35.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
CARZ Autos

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 102.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 43.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ITB Home Construction

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 95.47 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 45.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Financial / Health Care Industries

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

KRE Regional Banks

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 75.90 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 55.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IAK Insurance

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 147.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 56.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
PSP Private Equity

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 59.92 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 62.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IYG Financial Services

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 95.46 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 60.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IAI Broker Dealers

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 186.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 50.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
XBI Biotech

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 151.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 50.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IBB Biotech Large Cap

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 190.0 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 56.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IHF Health Providers

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 56.75 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 55.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IHI Medical Devices

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 52.74 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 59.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IHE Pharma

Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 102.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 59.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Rates / Credit

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

STIP Short TIPS

Rates / Credit | latest close 101.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 56.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SHY 1-3Y Treasury

Rates / Credit | latest close 82.01 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 58.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
TIP TIPS

Rates / Credit | latest close 107.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 44.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
IEF 7-10Y Treasury

Rates / Credit | latest close 93.21 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 44.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
TLT 20Y Treasury

Rates / Credit | latest close 82.80 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 35.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
AGG Aggregate Bonds

Rates / Credit | latest close 97.62 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 42.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
CWB Convertibles

Rates / Credit | latest close 101.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 44.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
EMLC EM Local Debt

Rates / Credit | latest close 25.51 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 55.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
EMB EM USD Debt

Rates / Credit | latest close 94.79 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 41.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
HYG High Yield

Rates / Credit | latest close 79.47 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 49.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
LQD IG Credit

Rates / Credit | latest close 106.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 37.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
BKLN Bank Loans

Rates / Credit | latest close 20.38 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 52.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
MBB MBS

Rates / Credit | latest close 93.29 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 44.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
PFF Preferreds

Rates / Credit | latest close 30.44 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 49.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Metals / Miners

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

XME Metals & Mining

Metals / Miners | latest close 101.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 45.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
COPX Copper Miners

Metals / Miners | latest close 79.50 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 53.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
HAP Hard Assets

Metals / Miners | latest close 71.78 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 61.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
WOOD Timber

Metals / Miners | latest close 72.08 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 67.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
GDX Gold Miners

Metals / Miners | latest close 76.78 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 51.5
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
GDXJ Junior Gold Miners

Metals / Miners | latest close 99.04 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 75.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SIL Silver Miners

Metals / Miners | latest close 76.19 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 48.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SILJ Junior Silver Miners

Metals / Miners | latest close 24.95 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 47.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
URNM Uranium Miners

Metals / Miners | latest close 49.45 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 43.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

International Equity

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

EWA Australia

International Equity | latest close 29.82 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 66.9
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
EWZ Brazil

International Equity | latest close 36.53 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 58.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
FXI China Large Cap

International Equity | latest close 36.52 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 72.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
EEM Emerging Markets

International Equity | latest close 63.59 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 45.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
EZU Eurozone

International Equity | latest close 69.65 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 58.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
INDA India

International Equity | latest close 49.70 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 58.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
DXJ Japan Hedged

International Equity | latest close 174.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 50.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
EWU United Kingdom

International Equity | latest close 48.68 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 69.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
ETF charts

Commodities / Crypto / USD

Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.

DBA Agriculture

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 27.48 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 48.0
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
DBB Base Metals

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 25.04 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 57.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
BTC-USD Bitcoin

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 64,679.0 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 52.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
DBC Commodities

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 29.32 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 55.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
GSG Commodities

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 31.95 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 56.4
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
USO Oil

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 127.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 54.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
GLD Gold

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 377.2 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 50.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
SLV Silver

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 53.50 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 47.3
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
URA Uranium

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 39.72 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 42.7
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
PLTM Platinum

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 15.89 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Below 50/200 RSI 51.2
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
PALL Palladium

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 23.85 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Repairing RSI 55.6
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
CPER Copper

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 39.34 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Above 50/200 RSI 57.8
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
UUP US Dollar

Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 28.14 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.

Fading RSI 40.1
Daily Candlestick + 50 / 200 DMA + RSI 14
6M Daily Candlestick Focus
Rolling Drawdown From Trailing 1Y High
Weekly Candlestick + 50 / 200 Week Moving Averages + Weekly RSI 14
Correlation appendix

Correlation And Factor Regime Appendix

This section asks whether each ETF is trading on its own sleeve theme or simply behaving like market beta, growth beta, credit risk, USD, rates, oil, gold, VIX, or MOVE. Correlations use daily returns except 10Y/VIX/MOVE, where daily level changes are used. Z-scores compare the current 63D correlation against each ETF's own rolling history.

Diversification Failure
1 ETFs

ETFs with 63D correlation to SPY at or above +0.85. High counts mean the tape is behaving more like one macro block.

Strongest Linkage
OEF / SPY

63D corr 0.97 | High positive SPY linkage

Biggest Shift
IHI / QQQ

3M change -0.83 | current corr -0.28

Most Unusual Link
GDXJ / Gold

Correlation z-score -6.49 | Gold relationship shifted

Sleeve factor medians

Current 63D Factor Correlation By Sleeve

Sleeve medians reduce single-ETF noise and show which parts of the book are currently most exposed to macro factors.

SleeveETFsSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
Core Index Beta60.920.880.74-0.08-0.40-0.43-0.350.60-0.78-0.34
Style / Market Structure60.790.660.71-0.15-0.36-0.47-0.350.57-0.68-0.33
Factors / Risk Appetite50.750.810.71-0.05-0.27-0.26-0.200.47-0.60-0.20
Growth / Tech Leadership110.810.890.72-0.07-0.29-0.31-0.150.53-0.65-0.20
Thematic / Speculative Growth40.440.370.52-0.23-0.36-0.43-0.350.41-0.36-0.37
Cyclical Sectors70.520.330.61-0.23-0.24-0.46-0.410.29-0.43-0.37
Defensive Sectors4-0.11-0.350.10-0.08-0.05-0.15-0.180.010.07-0.18
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing160.450.330.48-0.06-0.28-0.30-0.160.32-0.37-0.21
Financial / Health Care Industries100.250.070.42-0.11-0.21-0.27-0.300.21-0.23-0.23
Rates / Credit140.580.470.68-0.45-0.47-0.75-0.500.48-0.49-0.60
Metals / Miners90.680.640.65-0.11-0.55-0.41-0.210.69-0.58-0.40
International Equity80.610.490.62-0.12-0.49-0.43-0.300.58-0.56-0.33
Commodities / Crypto / USD130.550.440.550.04-0.40-0.25-0.130.57-0.45-0.27

Most Unusual Correlation Links

Largest absolute 63D correlation z-scores across the ETF universe. This is the fastest way to spot factor relationships that are unusually strong or unusually inverse versus each ETF's own history.

TickerNameFactor63DZΔ3M21D126DBetaNPM Read
GDXJJunior Gold MinersGold-0.18-6.49-0.99-0.36-0.01-2.063Gold relationship shifted
PNQIInternetQQQ0.14-5.53-0.64-0.100.420.163QQQ relationship shifted
PNQIInternetSPY0.35-5.06-0.410.230.580.663SPY relationship shifted
RSPEqual Weight S&PIWM0.69-4.97-0.190.380.800.463Extreme positive IWM linkage
SPXTEx-Tech S&PSPY0.50-4.81-0.400.440.720.463Extreme positive SPY linkage
MAGSMagnificent 7QQQ0.66-4.57-0.260.580.760.663Extreme positive QQQ linkage
PEJLeisureIWM0.41-4.49-0.410.130.650.463IWM relationship shifted
SPXTEx-Tech S&PIWM0.46-4.29-0.340.330.650.363Extreme positive IWM linkage
PEJLeisureSPY0.24-4.28-0.560.020.570.363SPY relationship shifted
XLCCommunication ServicesQQQ0.12-4.21-0.50-0.120.330.163QQQ relationship shifted
SPXTEx-Tech S&PQQQ0.20-4.10-0.62-0.010.480.163QQQ relationship shifted
PEJLeisureQQQ0.06-3.75-0.65-0.270.370.063QQQ relationship shifted
XLFFinancialsIWM0.27-3.74-0.400.460.510.263IWM relationship shifted
XLCCommunication ServicesSPY0.37-3.73-0.320.190.520.563Moderate positive SPY linkage
IYGFinancial ServicesIWM0.39-3.66-0.330.600.590.363Moderate positive IWM linkage
IWFGrowthQQQ0.89-3.63-0.080.980.920.763Extreme positive QQQ linkage
OEFS&P 100QQQ0.89-3.60-0.070.830.910.563Extreme positive QQQ linkage
IHIMedical DevicesQQQ-0.28-3.55-0.83-0.420.01-0.363QQQ relationship shifted
IHIMedical DevicesSPY-0.04-3.49-0.67-0.110.24-0.163SPY relationship shifted
XLVHealth CareSPY-0.13-3.46-0.70-0.280.20-0.263SPY relationship shifted
HEROVideo GamesIWM0.18-3.42-0.410.080.420.263IWM relationship shifted
XLGMega CapQQQ0.88-3.40-0.070.920.900.663Extreme positive QQQ linkage
PNQIInternetIWM0.17-3.38-0.430.170.410.263IWM relationship shifted
IAKInsuranceVIX0.433.380.590.440.130.063VIX relationship shifted
IGVSoftwareQQQ0.24-3.36-0.290.110.370.363Moderate positive QQQ linkage
HEROVideo GamesQQQ0.25-3.35-0.42-0.000.440.263QQQ relationship shifted
PEJLeisureVIX-0.233.330.46-0.05-0.52-0.063VIX relationship shifted
SPLVLow VolIWM-0.12-3.27-0.42-0.330.07-0.163IWM relationship shifted
XLVHealth CareQQQ-0.35-3.15-0.80-0.60-0.04-0.363QQQ relationship shifted
SPLVLow VolVIX0.223.140.490.26-0.030.063VIX relationship shifted
IAKInsuranceIWM-0.26-3.13-0.45-0.34-0.05-0.363IWM relationship shifted
IAKInsuranceSPY-0.42-3.12-0.63-0.42-0.13-0.663SPY relationship shifted
GDXJJunior Gold MinersUSD0.063.110.490.25-0.021.663USD relationship shifted
IHIMedical DevicesIWM-0.00-3.08-0.61-0.070.26-0.063IWM relationship shifted
IAIBroker DealersIWM0.44-3.07-0.280.490.600.563Moderate positive IWM linkage
SPXTEx-Tech S&PVIX-0.463.050.33-0.42-0.65-0.063Extreme negative VIX linkage
STIPShort TIPSHYG/LQD-0.113.050.26-0.07-0.25-0.163Low factor linkage
HEROVideo GamesVIX-0.203.040.35-0.06-0.42-0.063Low factor linkage
SPLVLow VolSPY-0.28-3.02-0.55-0.32-0.04-0.363SPY relationship shifted
SPHDHigh Dividend Low VolIWM0.01-3.01-0.29-0.270.140.063Low factor linkage
XLFFinancialsVIX-0.233.010.38-0.44-0.47-0.063VIX relationship shifted
XLREReal EstateVIX0.122.990.570.24-0.200.063VIX relationship shifted
XLFFinancialsSPY0.25-2.98-0.450.480.510.363SPY relationship shifted
KRERegional BanksIWM0.48-2.98-0.170.410.580.563Extreme positive IWM linkage
CLOUCloudQQQ0.16-2.97-0.26-0.120.260.263Low factor linkage
IWFGrowthSPY0.89-2.96-0.080.910.931.363Extreme positive SPY linkage
HEROVideo GamesSPY0.32-2.96-0.300.060.500.563Moderate positive SPY linkage
PNQIInternetVIX-0.362.960.26-0.20-0.51-0.063Moderate negative VIX linkage
XLREReal EstateSPY-0.10-2.96-0.59-0.260.19-0.163SPY relationship shifted
XLVHealth CareVIX0.022.950.560.23-0.260.063VIX relationship shifted
XLVHealth CareIWM0.07-2.95-0.46-0.100.280.163IWM relationship shifted
IGVSoftwareSPY0.31-2.93-0.190.270.410.863Moderate positive SPY linkage
XLPConsumer StaplesIWM-0.25-2.93-0.41-0.37-0.04-0.263IWM relationship shifted
BTC-USDBitcoinGold0.502.890.340.650.240.763Extreme positive Gold linkage
CLOUCloudIWM0.10-2.89-0.240.050.230.263Low factor linkage
PEJLeisureHYG/LQD-0.42-2.86-0.55-0.21-0.08-2.563HYG/LQD relationship shifted
SPLVLow VolQQQ-0.54-2.86-0.66-0.66-0.30-0.363Extreme negative QQQ linkage
XLREReal EstateQQQ-0.34-2.85-0.69-0.58-0.05-0.263QQQ relationship shifted
CLOUCloudMOVE0.132.810.340.22-0.080.063Low factor linkage
JETSAirlinesHYG/LQD-0.46-2.80-0.56-0.35-0.14-5.563Extreme negative HYG/LQD linkage

Primary Factor By ETF

Primary factor is the highest absolute current 63D correlation for each ETF. The table keeps 21D, 63D, and 126D side by side so the PM can see whether the relationship is new, persistent, or fading.

TickerNameGroupPrimary21D63D126DZΔ3MBetaNPM Read
SPYS&P 500Core Index BetaQQQ0.870.920.92-1.17-0.050.563High positive QQQ linkage
XLYConsumer DiscretionaryCyclical SectorsSPY0.660.710.79-1.97-0.151.163Moderate positive SPY linkage
XLPConsumer StaplesDefensive SectorsQQQ-0.63-0.51-0.28-2.59-0.56-0.463Extreme negative QQQ linkage
XLCCommunication ServicesCyclical SectorsOil-0.54-0.38-0.31-1.49-0.08-0.163Moderate negative Oil linkage
XLEEnergyCyclical SectorsOil0.800.740.621.320.200.363Moderate positive Oil linkage
XLFFinancialsCyclical SectorsOil-0.61-0.41-0.35-1.53-0.11-0.163Moderate negative Oil linkage
XLVHealth CareDefensive SectorsQQQ-0.60-0.35-0.04-3.15-0.80-0.363QQQ relationship shifted
XLIIndustrialsCyclical SectorsIWM0.590.700.76-2.60-0.120.863Extreme positive IWM linkage
XLKTechnologyGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.960.960.960.110.001.363High positive QQQ linkage
XLBMaterialsCyclical SectorsIWM0.210.610.62-1.51-0.020.763Moderate positive IWM linkage
XLREReal EstateDefensive SectorsQQQ-0.58-0.34-0.05-2.85-0.69-0.263QQQ relationship shifted
XLUUtilitiesDefensive SectorsMOVE-0.02-0.21-0.23-0.030.06-0.063Moderate negative MOVE linkage
SPHDHigh Dividend Low VolFactors / Risk AppetiteQQQ-0.63-0.46-0.26-2.51-0.52-0.363Extreme negative QQQ linkage
IWFGrowthStyle / Market StructureSPY0.910.890.93-2.96-0.081.363Extreme positive SPY linkage
SPHBHigh BetaFactors / Risk AppetiteQQQ0.960.940.931.190.031.363High positive QQQ linkage
SPLVLow VolFactors / Risk AppetiteQQQ-0.66-0.54-0.30-2.86-0.66-0.363Extreme negative QQQ linkage
OEFS&P 100Core Index BetaSPY0.980.970.98-0.82-0.011.163High positive SPY linkage
QQQNasdaq 100Core Index BetaSPY0.870.920.92-1.17-0.051.763High positive SPY linkage
VOMid CapStyle / Market StructureIWM0.780.850.90-2.05-0.080.563Extreme positive IWM linkage
MTUMMomentumFactors / Risk AppetiteQQQ0.890.900.900.14-0.011.463High positive QQQ linkage
QUALQualityFactors / Risk AppetiteSPY0.870.920.94-2.63-0.050.863Extreme positive SPY linkage
IWMRussell 2000Core Index BetaSPY0.830.790.85-0.04-0.101.163Moderate positive SPY linkage
IWDValueStyle / Market StructureIWM0.400.780.84-2.80-0.120.563Extreme positive IWM linkage
EWAAustraliaInternational EquityUSD-0.62-0.70-0.70-1.08-0.01-2.863Moderate negative USD linkage
EWZBrazilInternational EquityIWM0.450.580.640.64-0.110.863Moderate positive IWM linkage
FXIChina Large CapInternational EquityUSD-0.17-0.43-0.48-1.010.09-1.963Moderate negative USD linkage
EEMEmerging MarketsInternational EquityQQQ0.930.910.881.660.091.363High positive QQQ linkage
EZUEurozoneInternational EquitySPY0.780.790.810.70-0.051.263Moderate positive SPY linkage
INDAIndiaInternational EquityIWM0.650.650.631.200.040.663Moderate positive IWM linkage
DXJJapan HedgedInternational EquityQQQ0.650.680.590.940.160.563Moderate positive QQQ linkage
EWUUnited KingdomInternational EquityUSD-0.58-0.69-0.59-1.19-0.16-2.463Moderate negative USD linkage
STIPShort TIPSRates / CreditUSD-0.59-0.48-0.25-0.54-0.41-0.263USD relationship shifted
SHY1-3Y TreasuryRates / Credit10Y-0.72-0.75-0.810.360.10-0.063Moderate negative 10Y linkage
TIPTIPSRates / Credit10Y-0.73-0.75-0.771.100.04-0.063Moderate negative 10Y linkage
IEF7-10Y TreasuryRates / Credit10Y-0.87-0.93-0.940.810.01-0.163High negative 10Y linkage
TLT20Y TreasuryRates / Credit10Y-0.70-0.86-0.860.63-0.01-0.163High negative 10Y linkage
AGGAggregate BondsRates / Credit10Y-0.81-0.89-0.911.070.03-0.163High negative 10Y linkage
CWBConvertiblesRates / CreditQQQ0.920.870.861.080.020.763High positive QQQ linkage
EMLCEM Local DebtRates / CreditSPY0.800.770.731.820.070.463Moderate positive SPY linkage
EMBEM USD DebtRates / Credit10Y-0.60-0.81-0.77-0.61-0.06-0.163High negative 10Y linkage
HYGHigh YieldRates / CreditIWM0.670.820.800.940.020.263High positive IWM linkage
LQDIG CreditRates / Credit10Y-0.75-0.86-0.830.03-0.05-0.163High negative 10Y linkage
BKLNBank LoansRates / CreditVIX-0.16-0.51-0.590.520.12-0.063Moderate negative VIX linkage
MBBMBSRates / Credit10Y-0.79-0.89-0.900.390.02-0.163High negative 10Y linkage
PFFPreferredsRates / CreditSPY0.830.790.811.13-0.040.563Moderate positive SPY linkage
DBAAgricultureCommodities / Crypto / USDOil0.080.180.240.19-0.160.063Low factor linkage
DBBBase MetalsCommodities / Crypto / USDGold0.610.650.661.65-0.030.563Moderate positive Gold linkage
BTC-USDBitcoinCommodities / Crypto / USDGold0.650.500.242.890.340.763Extreme positive Gold linkage
DBCCommoditiesCommodities / Crypto / USDOil0.930.890.770.750.180.463High positive Oil linkage
USOOilCommodities / Crypto / USDOil0.970.950.900.180.090.963High positive Oil linkage
GLDGoldCommodities / Crypto / USDSPY0.510.650.431.950.331.263Moderate positive SPY linkage
UUPUS DollarCommodities / Crypto / USDUSD0.980.960.95-0.140.011.163High positive USD linkage
MAGSMagnificent 7Style / Market StructureSPY0.770.770.84-1.22-0.131.463Moderate positive SPY linkage
XMAGEx-Mag 7Style / Market StructureQQQ0.810.850.850.50-0.010.563High positive QQQ linkage
XLGMega CapCore Index BetaSPY0.970.950.96-0.55-0.021.163High positive SPY linkage
RSPEqual Weight S&PCore Index BetaSPY0.340.690.78-1.98-0.160.663Moderate positive SPY linkage
SPXTEx-Tech S&PStyle / Market StructureOil-0.69-0.57-0.54-1.89-0.04-0.163Moderate negative Oil linkage
SMHSemiconductorsGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.940.940.921.200.042.163High positive QQQ linkage
GSGCommoditiesCommodities / Crypto / USDOil0.940.910.860.520.090.463High positive Oil linkage
GDXGold MinersMetals / MinersGold0.880.890.861.680.041.963High positive Gold linkage
GDXJJunior Gold MinersMetals / MinersOil0.510.450.361.650.222.063Moderate positive Oil linkage
SILSilver MinersMetals / MinersGold0.860.870.861.820.012.163High positive Gold linkage
COPXCopper MinersMetals / MinersGold0.770.790.741.740.061.863Moderate positive Gold linkage
URNMUranium MinersMetals / MinersGold0.730.680.651.910.041.563Moderate positive Gold linkage
XMEMetals & MiningMetals / MinersIWM0.660.760.750.260.011.763Moderate positive IWM linkage
HAPHard AssetsMetals / MinersGold0.620.630.700.98-0.120.463Moderate positive Gold linkage
WOODTimberMetals / Miners10Y-0.51-0.64-0.55-1.67-0.17-0.263Moderate negative 10Y linkage
XTLTelecomIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingIWM0.720.720.72-0.40-0.021.363Moderate positive IWM linkage
SOCLSocial MediaIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingSPY0.290.560.69-0.82-0.251.163Moderate positive SPY linkage
HEROVideo GamesIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingUSD-0.28-0.40-0.47-0.440.12-1.663Moderate negative USD linkage
NXTG5G / Digital InfraGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.910.890.880.970.021.263High positive QQQ linkage
XESOil ServicesIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingOil0.410.460.27-0.250.360.363Oil relationship shifted
XOPOil E&PIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingOil0.830.770.681.420.130.463Moderate positive Oil linkage
OIHOil ServicesIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingOil0.300.420.19-0.320.430.263Oil relationship shifted
CRAKRefinersIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingOil0.620.570.501.190.090.263Moderate positive Oil linkage
FCGNatural Gas EquitiesIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingOil0.830.760.691.360.100.463Moderate positive Oil linkage
COALCoalIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingUSD-0.35-0.33-0.17-1.51-0.29-2.163Moderate negative USD linkage
NUKZNuclearIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingIWM0.690.800.811.14-0.031.563High positive IWM linkage
JETSAirlinesIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingOil-0.88-0.78-0.66-2.12-0.20-0.563Extreme negative Oil linkage
KRERegional BanksFinancial / Health Care IndustriesIWM0.410.480.58-2.98-0.170.563Extreme positive IWM linkage
IAKInsuranceFinancial / Health Care IndustriesQQQ-0.64-0.60-0.36-2.74-0.65-0.563Extreme negative QQQ linkage
PSPPrivate EquityFinancial / Health Care IndustriesUSD-0.36-0.61-0.47-1.07-0.24-2.763Moderate negative USD linkage
IYGFinancial ServicesFinancial / Health Care IndustriesOil-0.62-0.45-0.37-1.73-0.14-0.163Moderate negative Oil linkage
IAIBroker DealersFinancial / Health Care IndustriesSPY0.660.550.65-1.80-0.180.863Moderate positive SPY linkage
PAVEInfrastructureIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingIWM0.650.750.78-2.64-0.071.063Extreme positive IWM linkage
ITAAerospace & DefenseIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingIWM0.420.540.61-0.58-0.140.863Moderate positive IWM linkage
XTNTransportationIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingIWM0.600.640.66-2.07-0.040.963Extreme positive IWM linkage
CARZAutosIndustries / Infrastructure / HousingQQQ0.960.960.931.560.061.763High positive QQQ linkage
IGVSoftwareGrowth / Tech LeadershipSPY0.270.310.41-2.93-0.190.863Moderate positive SPY linkage
CLOUCloudGrowth / Tech LeadershipSPY0.020.220.30-2.74-0.160.663Moderate positive SPY linkage
BUGCybersecurityGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.240.310.34-2.22-0.080.563Moderate positive QQQ linkage
GRIDSmart GridGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.900.870.841.130.081.163High positive QQQ linkage
PINKHealth InnovatorsThematic / Speculative GrowthIWM0.420.460.66-1.91-0.350.463Moderate positive IWM linkage
XBIBiotechFinancial / Health Care IndustriesIWM0.460.540.65-1.62-0.210.963Moderate positive IWM linkage
IBBBiotech Large CapFinancial / Health Care IndustriesIWM0.350.460.61-2.15-0.290.663Extreme positive IWM linkage
IHFHealth ProvidersFinancial / Health Care IndustriesOil-0.31-0.21-0.15-0.96-0.11-0.163Moderate negative Oil linkage
IHIMedical DevicesFinancial / Health Care IndustriesQQQ-0.42-0.280.01-3.55-0.83-0.363QQQ relationship shifted
IHEPharmaFinancial / Health Care Industries10Y-0.09-0.25-0.35-0.420.22-0.163Moderate negative 10Y linkage
XHBHomebuildersCyclical Sectors10Y-0.44-0.74-0.63-1.68-0.23-0.463Moderate negative 10Y linkage
ITBHome ConstructionIndustries / Infrastructure / Housing10Y-0.50-0.73-0.63-1.53-0.20-0.463Moderate negative 10Y linkage
ARKKSpeculative TechThematic / Speculative GrowthSPY0.800.790.810.35-0.032.263Moderate positive SPY linkage
UFOSpaceThematic / Speculative GrowthIWM0.630.590.63-1.50-0.121.763Moderate positive IWM linkage
AIQAI ThemeGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.940.950.950.120.011.563High positive QQQ linkage
QTUMQuantum/AIGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.920.920.920.850.001.663High positive QQQ linkage
PEJLeisureThematic / Speculative Growth10Y-0.46-0.65-0.50-1.94-0.26-0.263Moderate negative 10Y linkage
PNQIInternetGrowth / Tech LeadershipOil-0.63-0.37-0.31-1.60-0.10-0.263Moderate negative Oil linkage
ROBORoboticsGrowth / Tech LeadershipQQQ0.870.900.871.360.081.263High positive QQQ linkage
SLVSilverCommodities / Crypto / USDGold0.940.850.871.05-0.021.863High positive Gold linkage
SILJJunior Silver MinersMetals / MinersGold0.870.860.851.800.012.263High positive Gold linkage
CPERCopperCommodities / Crypto / USDGold0.670.720.661.880.080.963Moderate positive Gold linkage
URAUraniumCommodities / Crypto / USDIWM0.630.730.741.44-0.012.163Moderate positive IWM linkage
PLTMPlatinumCommodities / Crypto / USDGold0.790.830.811.960.031.463High positive Gold linkage
PALLPalladiumCommodities / Crypto / USDGold0.800.750.721.710.031.363Moderate positive Gold linkage
63D factor heatmap

Core Index Beta

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
SPYS&P 500n/a0.920.79-0.09-0.44-0.45-0.340.65-0.83-0.35
QQQNasdaq 1000.92n/a0.75-0.04-0.35-0.34-0.210.59-0.76-0.28
IWMRussell 20000.790.75n/a-0.27-0.39-0.63-0.440.58-0.69-0.48
OEFS&P 1000.970.890.74-0.07-0.43-0.41-0.350.67-0.84-0.36
RSPEqual Weight S&P0.690.460.69-0.24-0.38-0.55-0.420.43-0.56-0.33
XLGMega Cap0.950.880.64-0.01-0.42-0.32-0.290.62-0.80-0.29
63D factor heatmap

Style / Market Structure

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
MAGSMagnificent 70.770.660.48-0.02-0.34-0.33-0.380.51-0.67-0.36
XMAGEx-Mag 70.850.850.84-0.16-0.36-0.45-0.250.59-0.72-0.27
VOMid Cap0.810.670.85-0.18-0.40-0.54-0.350.59-0.69-0.29
IWFGrowth0.890.890.64-0.06-0.35-0.34-0.290.58-0.77-0.25
IWDValue0.720.540.78-0.14-0.43-0.49-0.350.57-0.62-0.39
SPXTEx-Tech S&P0.500.200.46-0.16-0.33-0.49-0.570.40-0.46-0.41
63D factor heatmap

Factors / Risk Appetite

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
SPHBHigh Beta0.860.940.82-0.15-0.33-0.41-0.260.59-0.72-0.28
MTUMMomentum0.750.900.71-0.04-0.27-0.26-0.080.47-0.60-0.19
QUALQuality0.920.810.78-0.10-0.43-0.46-0.380.54-0.78-0.33
SPHDHigh Dividend Low Vol-0.19-0.460.01-0.05-0.11-0.17-0.20-0.070.13-0.20
SPLVLow Vol-0.28-0.54-0.12-0.040.05-0.08-0.18-0.180.22-0.07
63D factor heatmap

Growth / Tech Leadership

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
XLKTechnology0.840.960.69-0.04-0.29-0.26-0.120.53-0.68-0.18
SMHSemiconductors0.790.940.72-0.04-0.26-0.28-0.110.49-0.65-0.24
IGVSoftware0.310.240.12-0.02-0.14-0.12-0.090.25-0.250.08
CLOUCloud0.220.160.10-0.03-0.16-0.14-0.050.15-0.130.13
BUGCybersecurity0.310.310.12-0.07-0.11-0.160.000.23-0.180.07
GRIDSmart Grid0.810.870.78-0.12-0.43-0.36-0.170.59-0.64-0.25
AIQAI Theme0.820.950.73-0.07-0.32-0.33-0.160.55-0.68-0.20
QTUMQuantum/AI0.820.920.78-0.10-0.32-0.33-0.160.54-0.67-0.21
ROBORobotics0.850.900.78-0.10-0.38-0.37-0.260.62-0.69-0.30
NXTG5G / Digital Infra0.810.890.78-0.12-0.36-0.39-0.150.58-0.66-0.23
PNQIInternet0.350.140.17-0.08-0.20-0.31-0.370.29-0.36-0.16
63D factor heatmap

Thematic / Speculative Growth

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
PINKHealth Innovators0.310.180.46-0.30-0.29-0.40-0.360.36-0.31-0.43
ARKKSpeculative Tech0.790.770.72-0.16-0.45-0.45-0.350.64-0.69-0.38
UFOSpace0.570.550.59-0.16-0.42-0.41-0.180.46-0.41-0.29
PEJLeisure0.240.060.41-0.42-0.18-0.65-0.610.24-0.23-0.36
63D factor heatmap

Cyclical Sectors

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
XLYConsumer Discretionary0.710.560.62-0.23-0.38-0.60-0.630.47-0.66-0.46
XLCCommunication Services0.370.120.21-0.06-0.23-0.37-0.380.26-0.29-0.37
XLEEnergy-0.37-0.34-0.370.440.090.570.74-0.280.190.47
XLFFinancials0.25-0.050.27-0.09-0.24-0.24-0.410.29-0.23-0.09
XLIIndustrials0.660.570.70-0.26-0.29-0.46-0.370.48-0.48-0.28
XLBMaterials0.520.330.61-0.33-0.38-0.54-0.460.54-0.43-0.43
XHBHomebuilders0.530.400.66-0.48-0.20-0.74-0.560.29-0.46-0.48
63D factor heatmap

Defensive Sectors

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
XLPConsumer Staples-0.30-0.51-0.25-0.080.00-0.09-0.19-0.260.20-0.10
XLVHealth Care-0.13-0.350.07-0.15-0.03-0.14-0.18-0.000.02-0.15
XLUUtilities-0.04-0.200.14-0.04-0.07-0.16-0.120.01-0.02-0.21
XLREReal Estate-0.10-0.340.15-0.08-0.18-0.26-0.300.060.12-0.29
63D factor heatmap

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
XTLTelecom0.670.710.72-0.05-0.30-0.31-0.130.39-0.56-0.17
SOCLSocial Media0.560.500.41-0.01-0.35-0.28-0.190.38-0.48-0.24
HEROVideo Games0.320.250.180.12-0.40-0.18-0.140.26-0.20-0.05
XESOil Services0.190.290.220.33-0.180.210.460.20-0.260.24
XOPOil E&P-0.34-0.26-0.350.390.070.540.77-0.280.160.48
OIHOil Services0.210.260.200.32-0.250.150.420.25-0.270.20
CRAKRefiners0.040.07-0.010.27-0.260.240.570.04-0.080.21
FCGNatural Gas Equities-0.36-0.29-0.360.420.080.550.76-0.260.160.44
COALCoal0.280.310.32-0.08-0.33-0.120.230.25-0.22-0.07
NUKZNuclear0.770.770.80-0.17-0.44-0.43-0.270.66-0.63-0.32
JETSAirlines0.570.450.65-0.46-0.27-0.69-0.780.43-0.48-0.44
PAVEInfrastructure0.650.620.75-0.30-0.29-0.48-0.330.43-0.50-0.34
ITAAerospace & Defense0.490.350.54-0.37-0.39-0.53-0.460.53-0.34-0.37
XTNTransportation0.530.430.64-0.27-0.21-0.55-0.530.42-0.43-0.43
CARZAutos0.830.960.78-0.07-0.37-0.35-0.190.58-0.69-0.26
ITBHome Construction0.420.250.55-0.47-0.17-0.73-0.600.23-0.40-0.48
63D factor heatmap

Financial / Health Care Industries

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
KRERegional Banks0.200.030.48-0.14-0.17-0.46-0.460.11-0.20-0.37
IAKInsurance-0.42-0.60-0.260.030.220.05-0.09-0.240.430.15
PSPPrivate Equity0.590.400.61-0.12-0.61-0.43-0.360.52-0.49-0.31
IYGFinancial Services0.390.110.39-0.11-0.31-0.29-0.450.38-0.36-0.17
IAIBroker Dealers0.550.380.44-0.01-0.37-0.19-0.290.55-0.49-0.23
XBIBiotech0.380.370.54-0.29-0.29-0.37-0.330.38-0.32-0.27
IBBBiotech Large Cap0.300.200.46-0.30-0.25-0.36-0.320.31-0.26-0.30
IHFHealth Providers0.06-0.100.09-0.080.03-0.05-0.210.09-0.05-0.08
IHIMedical Devices-0.04-0.28-0.00-0.02-0.05-0.15-0.230.03-0.07-0.17
IHEPharma-0.02-0.170.23-0.20-0.11-0.25-0.220.09-0.04-0.22
63D factor heatmap

Rates / Credit

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
STIPShort TIPS0.350.310.28-0.11-0.48-0.370.100.36-0.31-0.39
SHY1-3Y Treasury0.490.390.58-0.40-0.59-0.75-0.440.53-0.50-0.67
TIPTIPS0.500.420.53-0.51-0.48-0.75-0.280.41-0.39-0.60
IEF7-10Y Treasury0.530.410.67-0.67-0.44-0.93-0.590.44-0.44-0.66
TLT20Y Treasury0.430.340.58-0.80-0.20-0.86-0.560.25-0.31-0.53
AGGAggregate Bonds0.580.460.70-0.64-0.46-0.89-0.580.47-0.49-0.65
CWBConvertibles0.810.870.71-0.13-0.32-0.28-0.160.54-0.63-0.21
EMLCEM Local Debt0.770.640.69-0.25-0.70-0.64-0.510.73-0.65-0.51
EMBEM USD Debt0.760.620.79-0.50-0.47-0.81-0.610.59-0.61-0.62
HYGHigh Yield0.780.680.82-0.24-0.56-0.70-0.490.61-0.66-0.60
LQDIG Credit0.590.490.72-0.75-0.44-0.86-0.570.44-0.46-0.63
BKLNBank Loans0.490.430.390.02-0.23-0.20-0.090.35-0.51-0.01
MBBMBS0.580.480.69-0.64-0.46-0.89-0.600.48-0.45-0.67
PFFPreferreds0.790.700.64-0.28-0.50-0.55-0.380.61-0.67-0.48
63D factor heatmap

Metals / Miners

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
XMEMetals & Mining0.700.710.76-0.20-0.48-0.41-0.190.69-0.59-0.31
COPXCopper Miners0.750.750.70-0.06-0.55-0.40-0.190.79-0.64-0.40
HAPHard Assets0.570.510.560.04-0.57-0.210.110.63-0.51-0.19
WOODTimber0.590.430.59-0.31-0.47-0.64-0.540.55-0.52-0.45
GDXGold Miners0.680.620.65-0.11-0.63-0.44-0.310.89-0.58-0.40
GDXJJunior Gold Miners-0.02-0.080.010.090.060.060.45-0.180.040.26
SILSilver Miners0.700.640.65-0.11-0.61-0.43-0.300.87-0.59-0.40
SILJJunior Silver Miners0.710.670.67-0.11-0.59-0.42-0.280.86-0.59-0.40
URNMUranium Miners0.640.640.64-0.11-0.47-0.34-0.210.68-0.56-0.29
63D factor heatmap

International Equity

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
EWAAustralia0.640.520.66-0.22-0.70-0.57-0.330.63-0.60-0.38
EWZBrazil0.480.400.58-0.09-0.54-0.37-0.280.54-0.47-0.25
FXIChina Large Cap0.320.260.250.18-0.43-0.11-0.070.30-0.20-0.17
EEMEmerging Markets0.810.910.78-0.12-0.39-0.40-0.230.58-0.68-0.31
EZUEurozone0.790.730.78-0.17-0.61-0.56-0.390.70-0.64-0.41
INDAIndia0.570.450.65-0.30-0.38-0.60-0.650.48-0.52-0.35
DXJJapan Hedged0.650.680.58-0.00-0.20-0.20-0.250.58-0.59-0.27
EWUUnited Kingdom0.500.310.54-0.11-0.69-0.47-0.310.58-0.43-0.39
63D factor heatmap

Commodities / Crypto / USD

Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.

TickerNameSPYQQQIWMHYG/LQDUSD10YOilGoldVIXMOVE
DBAAgriculture0.090.090.030.13-0.070.050.180.10-0.07-0.03
DBBBase Metals0.550.550.600.07-0.40-0.25-0.010.65-0.45-0.25
BTC-USDBitcoin0.410.350.350.03-0.39-0.13-0.140.50-0.38-0.29
DBCCommodities-0.19-0.08-0.300.460.020.480.89-0.060.130.31
GSGCommodities-0.24-0.11-0.340.470.100.520.91-0.150.180.35
USOOil-0.35-0.22-0.450.460.200.580.95-0.290.290.39
GLDGold0.650.590.58-0.04-0.60-0.39-0.30n/a-0.62-0.39
SLVSilver0.630.600.570.04-0.56-0.31-0.200.85-0.52-0.35
URAUranium0.730.720.73-0.13-0.49-0.40-0.260.71-0.63-0.33
PLTMPlatinum0.560.440.55-0.01-0.65-0.35-0.270.83-0.48-0.38
PALLPalladium0.590.500.56-0.03-0.66-0.34-0.280.75-0.50-0.27
CPERCopper0.700.670.680.02-0.49-0.36-0.130.72-0.58-0.28
UUPUS Dollar-0.48-0.39-0.420.120.960.420.18-0.630.460.40
Moving-average tail appendix

50DMA And 200DMA Current-Deviation Studies

These appendix charts answer whether each ETF is unusually stretched or depressed versus its own moving averages. Tail frequency still uses the latest deviation as the rarity threshold; forward returns and spell survival use the latest deviation's historical decile so the comparison set is stable and easier to audit.

Current-deviation tail table

Core Index Beta

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
SPYS&P 500-0.3%324.3%11.02.03.00.9%2.1%65.6%-5.4%4073.9%78.2%6.6%77.8%14.6%91.2%
QQQNasdaq 100-4.4%18.9%52.07.013.73.1%2.9%67.7%-6.2%4087.9%75.5%14.0%79.8%25.5%89.3%
IWMRussell 20000.2%463.9%11.02.03.01.3%2.2%65.8%-6.5%4102.1%62.7%4.3%65.5%8.0%67.2%
OEFS&P 100-0.5%323.4%11.02.03.71.1%2.0%69.0%-4.9%4104.3%80.8%7.3%80.2%15.5%92.3%
RSPEqual Weight S&P2.2%643.5%11.02.03.00.4%0.9%61.9%-3.8%4091.7%71.9%4.8%73.9%10.9%80.3%
XLGMega Cap-2.4%213.7%12.03.05.02.1%3.0%69.3%-4.8%4015.3%80.2%10.3%86.8%17.9%91.0%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
SPYS&P 5006.4%550.9%12.03.05.01.4%2.1%71.8%-3.2%4004.2%83.9%6.3%77.8%13.4%86.9%
QQQNasdaq 1006.2%463.0%12.03.05.02.3%3.2%78.8%-4.0%4016.1%80.3%8.9%78.9%19.7%90.3%
IWMRussell 200010.5%821.2%22.03.05.00.3%0.2%51.5%-4.7%4021.6%60.1%5.0%70.9%8.9%73.4%
OEFS&P 1005.7%557.1%12.03.05.01.8%2.1%77.1%-2.1%4015.0%88.7%7.4%84.6%15.3%91.3%
RSPEqual Weight S&P8.7%821.4%12.03.05.0-0.0%0.8%61.7%-4.6%394-0.2%59.9%4.5%78.3%10.6%84.9%
XLGMega Cap1.6%280.1%52.06.08.01.4%3.0%67.5%-6.4%4005.2%78.1%10.2%84.7%17.6%90.3%
Current-deviation tail table

Style / Market Structure

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
MAGSMagnificent 7-3.5%214.4%12.03.04.02.6%3.0%58.7%-5.7%7513.4%95.6%24.8%97.7%46.7%100.0%
XMAGEx-Mag 70.1%376.6%11.02.03.81.2%2.1%71.4%-3.3%353.2%71.4%8.6%100.0%14.9%100.0%
VOMid Cap1.6%551.5%21.02.03.00.8%1.7%70.2%-4.7%4061.7%69.4%3.4%69.8%8.9%79.8%
IWFGrowth-3.9%19.6%53.06.016.22.8%2.3%64.0%-6.0%4087.5%76.5%14.0%80.4%21.9%88.4%
IWDValue3.3%823.9%21.02.03.00.7%1.1%62.6%-3.6%4061.7%68.6%4.5%77.8%9.7%78.1%
SPXTEx-Tech S&P0.4%468.2%21.02.04.01.1%1.6%72.1%-3.6%2653.4%84.4%5.6%84.6%10.4%84.9%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
MAGSMagnificent 7-1.3%210.6%12.55.88.90.6%0.1%50.8%-9.0%5912.5%100.0%28.3%100.0%46.1%100.0%
XMAGEx-Mag 78.2%822.5%11.01.22.01.0%1.0%78.1%-2.1%321.6%77.8%8.5%100.0%n/an/a
VOMid Cap7.9%828.8%12.03.05.00.1%0.3%55.4%-3.7%3921.1%65.0%5.4%74.0%11.8%82.3%
IWFGrowth-0.2%216.2%63.06.011.00.7%1.6%59.4%-7.5%3996.2%80.7%11.5%88.9%18.8%92.1%
IWDValue13.1%104.9%342.05.013.81.2%1.7%70.3%-2.8%3844.4%85.1%6.5%84.1%11.7%87.6%
SPXTEx-Tech S&P3.8%462.4%12.03.05.01.8%2.1%79.5%-0.7%2584.4%89.3%6.5%84.6%13.2%90.6%
Current-deviation tail table

Factors / Risk Appetite

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
SPHBHigh Beta-4.7%212.8%12.03.05.01.8%2.6%61.8%-9.0%3746.2%66.3%6.6%69.4%15.1%71.3%
MTUMMomentum-5.6%15.2%43.07.014.03.4%3.3%65.1%-6.0%3247.2%73.8%11.7%81.7%15.7%76.1%
QUALQuality1.3%558.1%11.02.03.01.0%1.7%71.2%-3.8%3203.3%78.4%5.5%77.7%12.4%90.4%
SPHDHigh Dividend Low Vol3.0%823.5%11.03.04.00.4%0.1%53.4%-3.3%3351.4%60.6%2.7%67.6%6.8%77.3%
SPLVLow Vol2.4%829.1%11.02.03.60.3%0.5%60.2%-3.1%3721.8%70.4%3.7%76.4%9.7%85.8%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
SPHBHigh Beta10.1%730.7%12.03.05.00.8%0.6%56.4%-5.7%3692.6%64.0%8.5%73.4%15.0%73.1%
MTUMMomentum10.1%827.2%12.03.06.01.4%2.0%64.7%-3.5%3203.5%74.4%8.2%87.9%19.7%89.5%
QUALQuality7.6%731.8%12.03.05.00.2%0.4%56.0%-3.8%3073.3%88.4%4.8%77.7%11.3%89.3%
SPHDHigh Dividend Low Vol7.5%821.8%12.04.07.00.2%-0.2%46.2%-3.4%3201.7%65.0%4.0%72.4%6.6%83.6%
SPLVLow Vol4.8%648.1%12.03.05.01.1%1.4%71.7%-2.4%3642.4%75.0%4.6%82.2%10.1%84.2%
Current-deviation tail table

Growth / Tech Leadership

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XLKTechnology-3.9%210.3%12.03.04.03.0%3.4%71.8%-5.9%4088.3%77.7%12.7%85.7%22.0%91.6%
SMHSemiconductors-9.6%13.6%53.06.012.44.0%2.6%63.3%-8.2%40611.0%77.8%18.5%72.8%41.2%90.8%
IGVSoftware0.5%464.3%11.02.03.01.9%2.8%69.4%-6.1%4084.7%70.8%7.6%78.6%19.4%91.3%
CLOUCloud6.5%918.7%22.04.06.6-0.8%0.0%50.3%-11.0%177-1.2%40.4%8.0%64.3%12.7%61.4%
BUGCybersecurity2.1%645.2%31.02.03.01.5%0.7%54.3%-7.3%1623.2%60.9%4.1%65.8%13.0%71.6%
GRIDSmart Grid-5.1%19.7%53.06.013.03.7%3.8%64.9%-6.4%4058.1%70.9%14.9%86.1%29.0%94.0%
AIQAI Theme-6.9%18.1%63.09.017.23.3%2.1%57.7%-7.9%1949.1%67.5%14.8%62.4%29.4%77.1%
QTUMQuantum/AI-8.8%14.5%73.06.28.14.5%3.5%64.3%-6.9%18512.4%74.1%20.0%74.2%40.6%84.4%
ROBORobotics-5.5%212.5%12.04.06.00.9%2.1%59.9%-9.5%3093.7%67.6%4.9%75.3%8.9%63.7%
NXTG5G / Digital Infra-3.7%213.1%12.03.05.01.4%2.2%62.3%-6.8%3774.8%69.5%6.1%66.0%13.1%72.7%
PNQIInternet2.8%643.8%31.02.03.01.9%2.5%66.8%-5.9%4104.3%65.9%7.8%77.0%17.8%79.9%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XLKTechnology13.4%919.7%12.04.07.80.7%0.7%53.9%-5.6%3993.0%66.7%8.7%82.2%11.6%73.0%
SMHSemiconductors20.0%916.6%12.05.09.01.2%1.4%59.1%-7.3%4037.1%73.2%18.1%83.6%29.9%71.8%
IGVSoftware-1.6%217.6%53.06.59.82.7%3.8%66.0%-7.3%3859.9%86.9%15.3%88.0%22.9%89.6%
CLOUCloud13.7%820.1%42.54.08.7-1.9%-1.4%45.6%-12.2%158-4.5%39.6%-3.6%46.1%-2.5%45.5%
BUGCybersecurity20.1%910.5%32.05.07.41.7%1.4%56.2%-8.6%1534.8%59.7%7.4%64.4%14.5%66.4%
GRIDSmart Grid3.8%559.2%12.03.06.02.0%2.9%67.0%-5.4%3973.6%68.8%6.4%73.1%10.2%63.7%
AIQAI Theme7.9%557.1%12.03.05.03.3%3.7%79.6%-2.8%1916.1%83.2%8.6%74.6%17.4%68.1%
QTUMQuantum/AI11.9%646.3%12.03.05.01.8%1.8%61.8%-6.7%1836.7%75.4%11.6%74.7%27.0%75.4%
ROBORobotics4.2%648.3%12.04.07.0-0.1%-0.2%48.3%-6.5%302-0.4%43.7%-1.1%44.8%5.5%53.1%
NXTG5G / Digital Infra17.8%103.7%772.05.516.01.4%0.8%57.0%-4.7%3566.0%85.4%11.2%99.3%14.4%94.8%
PNQIInternet-2.3%217.7%213.06.013.12.5%2.9%63.3%-6.5%3848.7%79.7%12.9%92.4%22.9%94.5%
Current-deviation tail table

Thematic / Speculative Growth

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
PINKHealth Innovators3.4%828.4%31.02.03.40.1%-0.3%46.4%-5.2%1121.4%53.8%3.6%56.7%8.3%58.0%
ARKKSpeculative Tech-6.0%218.9%52.03.05.00.3%1.0%53.7%-13.1%2875.7%71.4%6.5%65.2%15.6%72.2%
UFOSpace-14.5%12.8%183.58.011.52.3%2.5%61.1%-8.6%16212.7%78.1%16.7%55.5%30.1%56.6%
PEJLeisure3.6%829.0%11.53.04.00.2%0.0%49.9%-5.7%407-0.2%55.4%3.4%65.7%8.4%73.7%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
PINKHealth Innovators9.7%821.9%22.03.05.32.5%2.8%76.5%-2.3%984.3%77.0%3.2%65.8%-1.3%24.3%
ARKKSpeculative Tech-5.8%219.2%52.05.810.07.1%8.3%82.0%-9.5%27813.7%78.7%14.8%74.6%26.1%77.8%
UFOSpace-3.2%437.6%113.05.08.00.8%0.2%50.9%-7.9%1610.5%42.9%5.3%42.2%20.5%60.2%
PEJLeisure10.0%824.3%12.03.86.91.1%0.7%56.3%-4.3%3961.3%57.4%4.2%68.0%12.7%79.9%
Current-deviation tail table

Cyclical Sectors

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XLYConsumer Discretionary-3.1%212.8%32.03.05.01.4%2.2%65.5%-6.4%4065.2%85.2%10.5%91.5%18.2%93.0%
XLCCommunication Services-3.9%212.7%12.03.05.0-0.1%0.0%50.0%-8.2%194-0.6%44.6%1.6%53.8%7.9%72.0%
XLEEnergy4.3%825.9%21.03.04.0-0.2%0.3%51.1%-8.8%409-1.9%41.1%0.1%49.6%4.9%58.2%
XLFFinancials5.6%912.3%22.04.05.10.6%0.9%57.5%-4.4%4021.5%65.6%3.6%71.1%10.6%66.8%
XLIIndustrials0.2%466.5%11.02.03.60.7%1.0%60.9%-4.2%4122.8%67.0%6.0%71.0%11.5%78.1%
XLBMaterials1.3%649.9%21.02.03.00.5%0.6%56.6%-4.2%4101.6%62.5%3.8%70.3%7.6%66.4%
XHBHomebuilders-2.4%323.0%21.02.03.00.7%1.7%62.6%-8.6%4122.3%64.5%5.8%63.2%12.9%74.7%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XLYConsumer Discretionary-3.7%210.1%12.55.07.71.3%2.3%64.7%-6.8%3886.7%85.4%12.5%88.5%17.2%89.0%
XLCCommunication Services-6.4%215.5%83.010.215.00.6%1.7%57.1%-11.2%1771.1%54.9%3.5%55.3%13.8%60.2%
XLEEnergy13.5%914.8%112.56.012.00.2%-1.2%42.9%-6.7%3925.0%54.8%6.9%55.1%9.2%49.9%
XLFFinancials8.6%730.5%22.04.06.00.2%-0.0%49.4%-4.6%3912.5%73.9%4.7%77.0%10.4%77.3%
XLIIndustrials7.2%644.3%11.03.04.00.6%1.1%58.3%-4.1%4032.0%67.3%5.1%78.5%11.9%77.6%
XLBMaterials6.3%738.8%21.52.24.7-0.1%0.3%53.1%-4.6%4010.4%62.6%2.2%64.4%7.5%70.7%
XHBHomebuilders-1.9%324.4%22.04.08.00.4%0.5%55.0%-7.4%4002.6%60.1%5.9%60.4%13.2%78.0%
Current-deviation tail table

Defensive Sectors

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XLPConsumer Staples1.7%642.4%11.02.03.00.8%1.0%65.5%-2.9%4092.8%77.0%5.3%79.0%11.0%92.9%
XLVHealth Care5.0%109.0%62.04.09.00.2%0.5%55.8%-3.4%3981.1%66.9%4.5%70.7%12.3%84.7%
XLUUtilities-0.4%329.7%11.02.04.02.0%2.2%75.8%-2.9%4133.6%72.7%7.1%80.4%13.6%90.8%
XLREReal Estate1.8%641.3%11.02.03.00.5%0.7%58.2%-4.3%2631.8%65.9%3.2%66.1%8.3%72.8%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XLPConsumer Staples5.0%644.5%11.02.54.00.6%1.0%65.0%-3.3%3972.6%72.2%4.7%76.3%8.2%82.2%
XLVHealth Care8.1%731.9%12.03.05.01.1%1.6%69.2%-3.0%3962.8%70.8%5.3%66.8%14.5%82.6%
XLUUtilities0.6%376.0%22.03.05.01.1%1.1%60.2%-4.6%4003.8%69.2%7.2%77.5%12.4%85.4%
XLREReal Estate7.7%823.4%12.03.05.0-0.1%0.2%51.4%-6.4%2492.1%66.2%5.6%64.7%6.9%70.5%
Current-deviation tail table

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XTLTelecom-7.5%15.0%63.08.015.03.4%3.3%67.3%-5.7%3769.3%77.4%14.0%80.0%24.2%68.5%
SOCLSocial Media1.5%649.4%11.02.03.01.2%2.5%61.5%-8.4%3613.8%60.3%7.9%63.6%17.1%65.8%
HEROVideo Games7.9%911.0%22.03.05.00.9%1.0%54.9%-8.2%1646.1%78.0%15.4%82.3%24.4%73.0%
XESOil Services-7.3%321.4%12.03.05.0-0.2%-0.7%47.2%-16.7%405-0.1%45.4%-2.2%45.4%-2.2%46.1%
XOPOil E&P6.6%821.3%21.02.24.00.6%0.3%51.2%-9.4%410-0.2%46.9%-0.3%51.9%0.8%51.8%
OIHOil Services-5.7%324.3%12.03.04.00.9%0.5%52.4%-12.6%4080.6%44.7%-1.6%42.3%-1.2%41.8%
CRAKRefiners12.5%102.2%131.04.012.00.4%-0.1%48.9%-7.8%2603.2%61.8%5.5%58.5%15.2%75.4%
FCGNatural Gas Equities2.3%738.6%11.02.03.0-1.1%-0.9%41.7%-10.4%410-2.3%40.9%-4.0%46.0%-5.0%46.2%
COALCoal-5.6%323.4%12.03.04.0-1.3%-1.0%47.2%-11.0%531.6%59.5%3.4%48.7%11.4%52.9%
NUKZNuclear-5.5%212.1%12.02.04.06.3%4.1%64.7%-6.0%5117.1%83.7%32.1%100.0%77.1%100.0%
JETSAirlines4.7%827.8%12.03.04.0-0.4%-0.2%49.3%-9.7%276-2.0%38.7%-3.0%36.7%1.8%52.8%
PAVEInfrastructure-1.4%325.5%11.02.04.01.7%1.8%64.3%-5.8%2275.3%73.6%9.3%84.8%14.8%75.4%
ITAAerospace & Defense1.4%556.3%11.02.03.01.2%2.0%65.7%-4.2%4112.5%70.0%7.4%75.0%15.2%80.1%
XTNTransportation-3.3%217.4%12.03.05.01.5%1.3%60.9%-6.8%3862.3%63.2%4.4%63.9%4.5%53.4%
CARZAutos-8.5%15.5%62.04.810.03.4%3.2%66.2%-7.3%3707.6%69.5%14.0%74.7%28.6%80.2%
ITBHome Construction-1.1%431.8%21.02.04.00.8%0.8%53.9%-8.1%4081.4%55.6%3.0%52.8%12.1%68.6%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XTLTelecom10.5%821.8%23.06.08.40.1%0.3%52.9%-5.2%3762.6%60.9%7.5%73.4%14.3%81.6%
SOCLSocial Media-7.9%218.8%213.58.013.02.1%1.8%59.4%-8.2%3375.7%63.9%9.2%80.2%23.1%87.2%
HEROVideo Games-2.5%434.4%23.07.010.8-0.6%-0.8%46.8%-7.9%156-1.3%55.1%-3.8%49.4%-0.4%61.8%
XESOil Services4.4%738.2%12.04.06.41.1%0.9%53.6%-7.8%4011.8%57.6%2.5%55.6%-11.2%37.1%
XOPOil E&P16.4%914.8%22.05.014.6-0.1%-1.1%43.8%-10.6%3974.2%56.0%-2.2%45.2%-7.6%29.9%
OIHOil Services4.6%736.9%12.05.07.0-0.0%0.1%51.6%-9.7%3952.2%62.2%6.5%70.0%-6.3%39.6%
CRAKRefiners25.1%103.0%134.514.028.50.6%1.0%55.8%-7.1%2514.3%70.8%9.5%73.7%3.5%62.4%
FCGNatural Gas Equities7.9%827.7%22.54.07.30.7%0.1%50.6%-8.6%3991.2%44.8%-1.0%45.6%-13.6%22.9%
COALCoal-5.8%434.6%52.05.07.8-1.5%-0.8%47.1%-11.4%345.0%75.9%-9.4%13.8%-0.5%34.5%
NUKZNuclear-7.0%11.8%242.02.810.511.5%14.0%76.7%-6.5%3047.8%100.0%74.8%100.0%89.7%100.0%
JETSAirlines14.8%914.7%42.56.010.0-0.9%-0.2%49.6%-10.3%258-3.8%33.3%1.0%56.4%1.8%54.3%
PAVEInfrastructure6.8%648.1%12.03.05.0-0.1%1.3%59.5%-8.1%2172.1%66.7%3.6%62.6%15.2%68.1%
ITAAerospace & Defense5.7%557.1%12.03.05.00.8%1.6%67.7%-4.4%3990.2%61.7%3.0%62.1%11.2%78.1%
XTNTransportation10.2%826.6%22.04.08.01.2%0.8%55.9%-5.7%3763.6%63.4%8.3%72.3%11.5%65.8%
CARZAutos12.2%821.7%12.04.88.31.2%0.1%51.5%-5.9%3674.0%58.0%6.5%64.4%6.7%48.3%
ITBHome Construction-3.3%323.8%22.05.07.00.5%1.8%60.5%-10.4%3902.6%61.9%5.0%66.4%15.7%74.9%
Current-deviation tail table

Financial / Health Care Industries

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
KRERegional Banks4.1%829.0%21.02.04.00.4%0.8%56.1%-7.0%4082.3%61.4%5.5%69.2%8.8%64.5%
IAKInsurance6.0%108.0%52.06.012.00.7%1.3%64.7%-4.5%3973.5%74.6%8.2%78.4%17.4%96.7%
PSPPrivate Equity3.8%827.5%11.02.03.00.5%0.9%59.8%-4.6%4131.4%70.8%2.9%67.0%4.3%56.5%
IYGFinancial Services4.9%820.4%21.02.03.00.6%0.7%57.1%-5.1%4062.2%68.2%6.4%79.8%12.7%73.2%
IAIBroker Dealers1.6%552.9%11.02.03.02.0%2.5%68.9%-4.8%4125.3%74.9%8.6%66.7%17.0%64.8%
XBIBiotech4.5%733.9%11.02.03.01.4%1.1%59.0%-7.8%4104.9%66.2%10.6%72.7%17.8%71.6%
IBBBiotech Large Cap5.2%822.1%21.02.03.01.3%1.1%62.0%-4.7%4083.7%62.4%9.3%74.2%13.6%73.8%
IHFHealth Providers4.8%918.5%22.03.05.00.5%1.6%61.0%-4.7%4082.9%65.4%4.8%61.9%10.2%73.2%
IHIMedical Devices5.0%915.8%12.02.04.00.4%0.9%60.0%-5.1%4101.2%60.2%4.8%74.2%11.6%82.8%
IHEPharma6.3%106.5%82.06.014.00.7%0.8%59.1%-3.5%3941.0%59.0%4.8%66.8%10.9%81.6%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
KRERegional Banks12.9%916.0%102.05.011.0-0.0%0.4%52.3%-6.7%3860.9%55.8%2.2%62.2%6.9%69.5%
IAKInsurance11.4%917.6%13.07.010.30.9%1.3%62.6%-4.9%3933.1%63.9%5.8%86.0%10.6%80.2%
PSPPrivate Equity-1.5%326.1%42.04.010.30.3%1.0%56.0%-6.7%4002.0%61.6%6.2%69.8%12.8%79.3%
IYGFinancial Services7.9%738.5%12.03.56.01.2%1.1%58.5%-4.4%4003.4%67.0%4.4%67.2%10.4%69.0%
IAIBroker Dealers5.8%550.7%22.04.07.00.7%1.4%61.0%-8.3%4002.9%67.9%7.0%65.5%13.5%67.3%
XBIBiotech17.8%917.6%13.05.09.00.8%0.6%54.7%-7.7%3954.6%67.4%9.5%77.9%12.0%79.7%
IBBBiotech Large Cap10.9%828.4%12.04.07.00.2%0.7%58.3%-8.1%3962.7%61.4%9.3%77.2%21.3%83.9%
IHFHealth Providers16.3%105.1%242.09.528.80.4%1.4%59.9%-3.4%3840.4%65.9%-0.2%50.4%6.6%63.2%
IHIMedical Devices-6.2%210.5%33.06.013.00.4%1.2%55.7%-7.9%4022.5%64.9%9.0%79.0%13.5%75.7%
IHEPharma17.3%103.5%262.06.013.60.4%0.4%55.2%-4.4%3842.3%70.0%5.1%72.6%8.6%67.0%
Current-deviation tail table

Rates / Credit

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
STIPShort TIPS0.1%460.3%21.02.03.00.2%0.2%69.3%-0.4%3840.4%69.4%0.6%73.4%1.6%74.6%
SHY1-3Y Treasury0.2%829.1%12.03.05.00.2%0.2%63.2%-0.2%4080.7%81.3%1.1%83.8%2.3%93.0%
TIPTIPS-0.4%323.8%31.02.04.00.1%0.3%59.4%-1.5%3990.7%69.0%1.2%73.0%2.7%74.7%
IEF7-10Y Treasury-0.5%329.1%21.02.04.0-0.0%0.0%52.6%-2.3%4070.3%56.5%1.1%55.1%1.9%55.5%
TLT20Y Treasury-2.3%320.6%21.02.03.00.2%0.3%53.4%-4.0%4080.5%56.4%1.9%54.5%4.0%58.8%
AGGAggregate Bonds-0.7%215.3%22.03.56.0-0.0%0.2%57.8%-1.8%4050.4%61.9%1.2%69.0%2.9%80.3%
CWBConvertibles-3.8%17.2%54.09.019.22.1%2.0%65.9%-4.4%4054.7%73.6%8.4%73.5%13.9%75.3%
EMLCEM Local Debt0.5%647.5%11.02.03.00.3%1.0%62.6%-3.9%3930.2%57.7%0.2%62.1%0.3%53.1%
EMBEM USD Debt-0.9%321.6%12.03.05.00.3%0.5%57.8%-2.5%4081.6%71.5%2.3%72.3%6.6%81.4%
HYGHigh Yield-0.0%328.1%61.02.04.00.5%0.9%70.8%-1.6%4081.1%69.3%1.9%74.2%3.3%68.7%
LQDIG Credit-1.4%213.0%92.04.06.00.0%0.4%61.0%-2.7%4030.9%63.1%1.9%64.4%5.0%84.8%
BKLNBank Loans-0.0%324.8%92.03.05.0-0.2%0.4%69.1%-1.4%3750.6%78.7%1.1%75.5%2.5%80.9%
MBBMBS-0.5%216.0%22.03.06.00.1%0.2%58.0%-1.3%4070.4%65.8%0.9%70.5%1.9%74.1%
PFFPreferreds-0.8%219.8%182.04.06.0-0.3%0.1%52.0%-4.3%3941.0%63.9%3.4%78.0%6.3%82.6%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
STIPShort TIPS1.0%645.6%22.05.09.40.1%0.1%62.5%-0.5%3630.4%67.0%0.8%80.7%1.7%79.5%
SHY1-3Y Treasury0.6%736.7%32.06.012.70.1%0.1%62.3%-0.2%3900.4%78.4%0.8%80.6%1.6%86.3%
TIPTIPS-0.2%325.7%92.04.06.00.3%0.4%67.9%-1.2%3930.4%64.2%0.8%64.7%2.2%76.8%
IEF7-10Y Treasury-1.1%323.1%93.05.08.00.2%0.5%59.0%-1.6%3880.6%61.0%1.3%62.3%3.6%63.9%
TLT20Y Treasury-3.6%323.1%22.04.07.00.6%0.7%57.3%-3.2%3960.6%67.3%2.2%62.4%6.8%69.6%
AGGAggregate Bonds-0.8%216.7%92.06.013.00.2%0.3%64.3%-1.5%3950.8%77.7%1.5%84.5%2.9%84.0%
CWBConvertibles5.3%642.8%12.03.06.01.0%1.1%65.2%-2.7%4021.8%67.9%4.6%82.0%10.7%84.2%
EMLCEM Local Debt1.2%552.0%42.05.07.00.9%1.4%70.0%-1.9%3762.6%80.8%2.4%72.1%2.8%68.4%
EMBEM USD Debt0.2%370.8%22.05.08.00.5%0.5%59.1%-2.3%4010.6%61.1%0.9%60.7%3.2%71.0%
HYGHigh Yield1.1%371.1%62.05.08.00.3%0.3%56.4%-1.6%3990.9%65.7%0.7%65.8%3.2%62.9%
LQDIG Credit-1.5%215.7%82.05.09.40.4%0.5%62.6%-1.8%3961.8%79.2%3.1%83.3%6.5%87.3%
BKLNBank Loans0.3%281.0%22.07.012.80.0%0.4%60.6%-2.0%3600.7%58.9%1.2%66.0%3.2%69.8%
MBBMBS-0.3%321.7%42.04.07.00.2%0.2%60.5%-0.8%3970.3%52.3%0.2%52.5%0.3%61.7%
PFFPreferreds-0.4%324.0%13.05.010.0-0.0%0.4%54.2%-4.2%3891.7%74.9%3.8%81.6%7.1%91.1%
Current-deviation tail table

Metals / Miners

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XMEMetals & Mining-8.4%212.1%12.03.05.0-1.1%-0.7%46.0%-12.9%4090.4%50.2%5.3%54.8%13.3%56.8%
COPXCopper Miners-1.4%540.5%11.02.03.01.7%1.0%54.4%-9.6%4066.4%58.3%7.9%55.5%9.0%50.9%
HAPHard Assets2.0%641.9%11.02.03.00.8%1.6%62.5%-4.9%4131.7%60.0%3.3%57.9%6.1%62.2%
WOODTimber7.0%106.9%13.08.513.80.4%0.6%55.8%-5.7%4123.0%61.2%5.0%54.1%14.4%73.7%
GDXGold Miners-2.8%437.5%11.02.03.0-0.5%-1.3%44.1%-11.3%4134.4%60.7%3.5%48.6%4.8%45.1%
GDXJJunior Gold Miners63.5%100.3%142.05.213.62.3%2.5%59.3%-12.8%3666.0%49.2%6.4%52.6%-1.6%41.8%
SILSilver Miners-5.3%329.4%11.02.03.0-0.0%-0.4%46.9%-12.2%4033.4%55.8%4.0%37.1%5.2%37.2%
SILJJunior Silver Miners-6.6%329.7%11.02.03.0-0.0%-0.9%46.1%-13.8%3364.9%58.9%5.8%36.7%17.2%43.2%
URNMUranium Miners-9.0%216.9%12.03.05.04.1%1.3%53.9%-12.5%15222.1%78.7%33.1%73.9%71.7%84.5%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
XMEMetals & Mining-7.6%325.9%13.05.07.00.4%0.9%53.3%-10.9%3901.2%50.5%6.6%49.5%12.9%51.3%
COPXCopper Miners3.6%645.5%12.04.06.0-0.2%-0.4%48.1%-11.7%387-5.0%42.1%-3.9%33.2%0.4%39.8%
HAPHard Assets7.3%823.5%12.04.07.00.6%0.9%60.8%-4.7%4001.6%63.1%3.5%53.8%6.2%58.6%
WOODTimber2.7%648.0%12.03.06.00.4%0.4%52.2%-5.0%4040.2%57.9%1.6%62.2%1.9%53.1%
GDXGold Miners-12.1%219.0%82.06.09.0-0.1%-0.7%47.6%-14.7%3896.3%63.2%14.1%64.8%5.1%52.0%
GDXJJunior Gold Miners104.2%100.2%144.08.019.22.0%0.1%50.1%-11.3%3573.0%45.4%-1.0%37.4%-7.6%23.7%
SILSilver Miners-11.6%324.2%12.04.07.0-0.6%-1.2%47.0%-15.2%383-2.2%45.3%-0.3%39.5%1.9%37.6%
SILJJunior Silver Miners-13.2%325.7%12.04.06.00.4%-1.8%41.8%-12.9%3233.1%51.1%9.9%51.4%18.0%42.1%
URNMUranium Miners-18.9%15.2%143.08.520.56.5%7.2%58.8%-8.5%13621.0%92.4%30.2%80.9%55.5%95.4%
Current-deviation tail table

International Equity

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
EWAAustralia4.7%915.8%12.03.05.00.2%0.7%55.9%-5.2%413-0.1%57.4%1.0%59.3%4.2%55.8%
EWZBrazil4.2%731.0%12.02.04.01.3%1.4%56.7%-8.2%4090.5%49.6%0.1%54.9%0.8%44.1%
FXIChina Large Cap6.8%1010.0%13.07.814.0-2.1%-2.6%31.7%-10.0%413-4.5%31.5%-3.6%41.9%-2.4%46.3%
EEMEmerging Markets-4.3%213.1%12.03.04.00.8%0.9%57.2%-7.1%4070.9%52.3%1.8%62.7%5.3%57.4%
EZUEurozone2.3%738.2%11.02.03.00.5%0.6%55.0%-4.3%4110.7%63.9%2.4%64.3%3.7%53.2%
INDAIndia2.1%640.2%11.02.03.00.6%0.8%57.3%-5.1%3560.3%51.4%0.4%48.1%4.8%60.2%
DXJJapan Hedged1.0%556.5%11.02.03.00.5%0.9%57.5%-5.9%4122.4%63.7%7.6%74.1%12.8%72.0%
EWUUnited Kingdom4.9%910.5%11.03.04.00.1%0.3%55.2%-4.2%4130.6%62.0%1.2%60.7%5.1%64.4%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
EWAAustralia8.3%918.9%12.04.06.1-0.5%-0.6%44.1%-4.9%4040.1%52.4%3.2%71.2%2.5%65.1%
EWZBrazil4.8%739.9%12.03.05.00.8%0.6%53.3%-7.0%403-0.3%54.7%-3.6%41.3%-6.7%33.7%
FXIChina Large Cap-1.2%540.4%12.03.85.00.4%0.5%54.5%-7.6%404-0.0%45.9%-0.7%49.9%4.3%56.7%
EEMEmerging Markets6.3%732.4%12.03.85.9-0.1%0.3%51.1%-6.6%4010.0%52.4%1.1%48.0%6.5%55.1%
EZUEurozone7.9%732.4%12.03.06.00.8%0.8%59.4%-4.3%3940.9%67.0%2.8%61.0%7.5%62.6%
INDAIndia-2.6%325.9%32.03.05.00.8%1.3%64.6%-6.9%3451.9%60.2%2.7%56.8%9.4%73.4%
DXJJapan Hedged11.3%826.9%112.05.07.82.1%2.4%67.0%-3.6%3914.0%71.1%8.5%70.2%10.6%72.7%
EWUUnited Kingdom8.8%918.3%12.04.87.30.2%0.4%54.9%-3.4%4042.1%65.9%4.3%79.6%6.0%62.0%
Current-deviation tail table

Commodities / Crypto / USD

Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.

50DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
DBAAgriculture0.9%738.8%21.02.03.00.2%0.2%51.1%-4.2%4030.3%47.4%2.1%52.3%2.6%47.6%
DBBBase Metals0.0%552.2%11.02.03.60.1%-0.1%49.4%-5.5%4131.8%56.7%1.5%52.6%3.4%49.0%
BTC-USDBitcoin2.0%649.1%12.03.04.03.6%1.2%53.5%-14.4%42216.8%57.6%39.3%65.5%123.4%74.9%
DBCCommodities2.2%733.0%22.03.04.00.1%-0.2%48.4%-5.1%4110.4%49.0%1.8%40.1%-0.1%40.3%
GSGCommodities3.1%827.9%22.02.04.00.3%0.6%53.2%-6.2%4100.1%50.1%1.5%42.4%3.1%47.4%
USOOil3.0%737.3%21.02.03.3-0.2%-0.5%46.5%-9.1%411-0.4%49.6%-1.6%43.5%-0.6%44.2%
GLDGold-2.3%219.9%12.03.05.0-0.1%0.1%51.3%-5.9%4110.7%49.6%2.6%61.5%4.7%60.0%
SLVSilver-8.2%18.1%303.06.015.22.6%2.4%65.0%-8.0%3923.5%63.1%6.5%52.9%6.1%50.1%
URAUranium-10.9%211.3%12.03.05.01.2%-0.5%48.1%-12.5%3897.1%64.0%5.4%56.4%6.6%42.4%
PLTMPlatinum-3.5%328.0%11.02.03.0-0.1%-0.2%47.4%-6.9%2092.6%60.2%5.5%58.8%15.4%68.9%
PALLPalladium2.4%641.3%11.02.03.00.7%-0.1%49.4%-10.0%4132.5%57.6%5.0%52.8%6.4%58.3%
CPERCopper2.4%731.8%11.02.03.00.8%0.2%51.1%-6.2%364-0.0%43.9%0.3%45.6%2.8%43.9%
UUPUS Dollar-0.2%540.1%11.02.03.00.3%0.3%55.0%-2.0%4131.1%65.5%2.0%65.6%3.4%64.9%

200DMA Decile Study

TickerNameGapDecileTail FreqCurrent SpellMed SpellP75 SpellP90 Spell1M Avg1M Med1M Win1M P101M N3M Avg3M Win6M Avg6M Win12M Avg12M Win
DBAAgriculture3.8%732.5%22.05.09.00.6%0.8%56.9%-4.0%4010.5%51.8%2.4%49.1%6.6%53.3%
DBBBase Metals6.1%730.8%272.04.08.00.6%0.8%52.3%-7.5%3842.3%62.7%3.9%61.0%1.3%50.3%
BTC-USDBitcoin-9.7%329.3%83.06.011.30.3%-2.0%42.8%-20.6%402-1.0%40.1%3.2%38.8%29.9%68.3%
DBCCommodities12.5%912.7%42.07.016.52.4%2.2%60.4%-4.9%3917.8%72.1%10.8%75.3%6.1%53.5%
GSGCommodities15.1%910.2%13.08.517.92.3%1.7%62.8%-4.8%3926.4%67.7%8.9%65.7%4.2%38.6%
USOOil27.6%106.2%143.016.283.82.3%2.6%57.0%-11.0%3916.4%73.3%10.8%69.5%28.7%61.0%
GLDGold-8.4%16.5%183.08.021.00.8%1.1%61.5%-4.9%3843.4%72.2%4.0%64.5%3.6%50.1%
SLVSilver-15.8%15.0%184.07.818.52.8%2.2%63.1%-7.6%3856.2%73.7%6.5%51.3%0.5%43.7%
URAUranium-18.5%213.6%13.08.013.01.7%0.1%50.3%-11.5%3685.5%59.0%3.1%48.6%0.0%29.1%
PLTMPlatinum-13.6%14.4%292.05.021.65.1%5.1%83.9%-1.6%1808.8%82.5%10.5%86.6%20.2%79.5%
PALLPalladium-13.0%215.5%162.05.010.0-1.2%-1.5%43.5%-12.6%386-1.2%47.2%-3.6%39.2%-5.3%38.7%
CPERCopper10.5%917.9%12.06.011.00.4%0.2%51.6%-6.5%3532.8%57.8%6.9%63.6%9.2%58.9%
UUPUS Dollar2.4%733.6%12.04.06.00.4%0.8%62.6%-1.9%4040.9%71.0%1.9%70.8%2.1%56.3%
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Core Index Beta

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

SPY S&P 500

Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
QQQ Nasdaq 100

Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IWM Russell 2000

Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
OEF S&P 100

Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
RSP Equal Weight S&P

Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLG Mega Cap

Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Style / Market Structure

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

MAGS Magnificent 7

Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XMAG Ex-Mag 7

Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
VO Mid Cap

Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IWF Growth

Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IWD Value

Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SPXT Ex-Tech S&P

Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Factors / Risk Appetite

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

SPHB High Beta

Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
MTUM Momentum

Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
QUAL Quality

Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SPHD High Dividend Low Vol

Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SPLV Low Vol

Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Growth / Tech Leadership

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

XLK Technology

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SMH Semiconductors

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IGV Software

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
CLOU Cloud

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
BUG Cybersecurity

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
GRID Smart Grid

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
AIQ AI Theme

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
QTUM Quantum/AI

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
ROBO Robotics

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
NXTG 5G / Digital Infra

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
PNQI Internet

Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Thematic / Speculative Growth

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

PINK Health Innovators

Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
ARKK Speculative Tech

Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
UFO Space

Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
PEJ Leisure

Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Cyclical Sectors

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

XLY Consumer Discretionary

Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLC Communication Services

Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLE Energy

Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLF Financials

Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLI Industrials

Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLB Materials

Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XHB Homebuilders

Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Defensive Sectors

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

XLP Consumer Staples

Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLV Health Care

Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLU Utilities

Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XLRE Real Estate

Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

XTL Telecom

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SOCL Social Media

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
HERO Video Games

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XES Oil Services

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XOP Oil E&P

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
OIH Oil Services

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
CRAK Refiners

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
FCG Natural Gas Equities

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
COAL Coal

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
NUKZ Nuclear

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
JETS Airlines

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
PAVE Infrastructure

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
ITA Aerospace & Defense

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XTN Transportation

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
CARZ Autos

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
ITB Home Construction

Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Financial / Health Care Industries

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

KRE Regional Banks

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IAK Insurance

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
PSP Private Equity

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IYG Financial Services

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IAI Broker Dealers

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
XBI Biotech

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IBB Biotech Large Cap

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IHF Health Providers

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IHI Medical Devices

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IHE Pharma

Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Rates / Credit

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

STIP Short TIPS

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SHY 1-3Y Treasury

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
TIP TIPS

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
IEF 7-10Y Treasury

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
TLT 20Y Treasury

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
AGG Aggregate Bonds

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
CWB Convertibles

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
EMLC EM Local Debt

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
EMB EM USD Debt

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
HYG High Yield

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
LQD IG Credit

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
BKLN Bank Loans

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
MBB MBS

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
PFF Preferreds

Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Metals / Miners

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

XME Metals & Mining

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
COPX Copper Miners

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
HAP Hard Assets

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
WOOD Timber

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
GDX Gold Miners

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
GDXJ Junior Gold Miners

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SIL Silver Miners

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SILJ Junior Silver Miners

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
URNM Uranium Miners

Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

International Equity

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

EWA Australia

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
EWZ Brazil

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
FXI China Large Cap

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
EEM Emerging Markets

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
EZU Eurozone

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
INDA India

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
DXJ Japan Hedged

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
EWU United Kingdom

International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Ticker-level moving-average tail studies

Commodities / Crypto / USD

The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.

DBA Agriculture

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
DBB Base Metals

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
BTC-USD Bitcoin

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
DBC Commodities

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
GSG Commodities

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
USO Oil

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
GLD Gold

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
SLV Silver

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
URA Uranium

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
PLTM Platinum

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
PALL Palladium

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
CPER Copper

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
UUP US Dollar

Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.

50DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
200DMA Current-Deviation Tail Study
Methodology

How To Read This Deck

Data And Cache

Prices come from yfinance and reuse the shared ETF OHLCV history. Alpha Vantage index data uses INDEX_DATA and stores raw daily responses by symbol and run date. Each run refreshes stale or missing rows and writes the latest summary table to the local latest metrics table.

Returns

1D, 5D, 21D, and 120D use trading-session lookbacks. 1M, 6M, and 1Y use calendar lookbacks with the nearest available prior trading date. Missing history is shown as n/a instead of forced.

Trend And RSI

Daily charts plot 50DMA and 200DMA. Weekly charts plot 50-week and 200-week moving averages. Lines begin at the first plotted candle using available-history warm-up values, then become full-window indicators once enough bars exist. RSI 14 uses the shared Wilder-style helper with a neutral warm-up only where the series has not yet accumulated enough observations. The drawdown panel plots latest close versus the trailing 252-session high across the same rolling daily window.

DMA Tail Appendix

The 50DMA and 200DMA appendix does not use a fixed threshold. For each ETF, it uses the latest moving-average deviation as the comparison point, then asks how often history has been at least as stretched or depressed, what forward returns followed, and how long similar spells lasted.