Risk ladder checks: 6 pass / 3 watch / 2 fail.
Daily Market Read
Start here after the close: breadth, return dispersion, trend support, and RSI temperature across the ETF universe.
ETF universe above 50DMA / 200DMA.
59.3% outperforming SPY over 1M.
Median distance from trailing 1Y highs.
Used for changed-since-prior-run table.
113/113 ETFs at primary market date; fresh yfinance update
Positive 5D returns across the universe; best HERO 11.3%, worst USO -8.6%
Positive 1M returns; best GDXJ 93.0%, worst SMH -17.8%
Share above 50DMA / 200DMA.
Daily RSI 14; 30 is washed out, 70 is extended.
Shared OHLCV history updates incrementally on each run.
Latest 2026-07-30 | DX-Y.NYB
Latest 2026-07-30 | CL=F
Latest 2026-07-30 | ^TNX
SPY Candlestick With Dispersion, Correlation, And Tail-Risk Lines
Each card keeps the same structure: SPY candlestick with 50D/200D moving averages on top and one Alpha Vantage index line underneath. The second compact chart removes SPY and compares the index directly against VIX so dispersion, skew, and surface signals can be checked for volatility divergence. This risk tape starts in 2023-01-01 where history is available.
VIXEQ is the direct constituent-volatility read. DSPX and the correlation pair explain whether single-stock volatility is turning into dispersion or broad index co-movement.
These help separate a calm index tape from hidden protection demand. Rising tail gauges or vol-of-vol while SPY holds trend is a fragility warning.
Useful for spotting current-vol, convexity, range-premium, and protective-put regimes that VIX alone can miss.
The monthly VIX futures mark indexes are converted into a curve so PMs can see contango, flattening, or backwardation like a rates curve.
VIX Futures Term Structure
The UZ monthly CBOE VIX futures 4pm mark indexes are plotted like a yield curve. Curves are aligned by forward tenor, so prior snapshots compare front-to-back shape instead of today's calendar-month labels. Hover and the audit table show the exact month and symbol behind each point.
17.05
Nearest listed contract month in the current run-month order.
Positive means term structure is upward sloping by the third contract.
Back point is the farthest live contract in the curve: Apr (UZJ).
Coverage 10/12; as of 2026-07-29.
Curve Inputs
Latest, one-week, and one-month changes are level-point changes for each monthly VIX futures mark index, not percent returns.
| Tenor | Month | Symbol | Latest | 1W Chg | 1M Chg | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul | UZN | 17.1 | 0.0 | n/a | 2026-07-21 |
| 2 | Aug | UZQ | 20.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2026-07-29 |
| 3 | Sep | UZU | 20.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2026-07-29 |
| 4 | Oct | UZV | 21.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2026-07-29 |
| 5 | Nov | UZX | 21.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2026-07-29 |
| 6 | Dec | UZZ | 21.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2026-07-29 |
| 7 | Jan | UZF | 22.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2026-07-29 |
| 8 | Feb | UZG | 22.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2026-07-29 |
| 9 | Mar | UZH | 22.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2026-07-29 |
| 10 | Apr | UZJ | 22.6 | n/a | 0.4 | 2026-07-29 |
| 11 | May | UZK | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 12 | Jun | UZM | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
SPY, VIX, MOVE, And Index-Tape Risk Read
SPY rows show percent returns; VIX, MOVE, and Alpha Vantage index rows show level changes. Movement and moving-average gap cells are colored against that row's own historical distribution, so a large VIX increase reads as stress while a large SPY gain reads as constructive.
| Ticker | Name | Type | Latest | 1D | 5D | 21D | 63D | 1Y Z | 1Y Pctl | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Risk Read | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | Equity tape | 741.69 | 1.7% | 0.5% | -0.7% | 4.5% | 1.50 | 88.1% | -0.3% | 6.4% | Neutral equity tape | 2026-07-30 |
| VIX | CBOE Volatility Index | Volatility / risk | 17.09 | -3.57 | -1.61 | 0.64 | 0.20 | -0.33 | 48.0% | -1.8% | -8.7% | Pressure rebuilding | 2026-07-30 |
| MOVE | ICE BofA MOVE Index | Volatility / risk | 77.09 | 2.91 | 8.93 | 8.31 | 7.21 | 0.34 | 67.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | Pressure rebuilding | 2026-07-30 |
| VIXEQ | Cboe S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index | Constituent Vol | 47.88 | 0.08 | -2.30 | 0.39 | 4.33 | 1.59 | 94.0% | 2.9% | 15.5% | Stress rising from elevated level | 2026-07-29 |
| DSPX | Cboe S&P 500 Dispersion Index | Dispersion | 43.37 | -0.80 | -3.89 | -0.76 | 3.62 | 1.53 | 90.1% | 0.6% | 18.1% | High stress percentile | 2026-07-29 |
| COR1M | Implied Correlation 1M 50 Delta | 1M Implied Correlation | 11.97 | 4.21 | 7.67 | 4.41 | 1.79 | -0.23 | 50.8% | 44.9% | -14.3% | Pressure rebuilding | 2026-07-29 |
| COR3M | Implied Correlation 3M Delta Relative | 3M Implied Correlation | 12.99 | 2.91 | 5.45 | 4.01 | -1.18 | -0.43 | 29.4% | 35.1% | -12.7% | Pressure rebuilding | 2026-07-29 |
| SKEW | Cboe SKEW Index | Tail Skew | 139.55 | -3.43 | -10.64 | -4.91 | 1.39 | -1.20 | 12.7% | -3.0% | -3.8% | Pressure cooling | 2026-07-29 |
| LTV | Cboe S&P 500 Left Tail Index | Left Tail | 11.78 | 1.57 | 1.45 | 2.64 | 3.69 | 0.46 | 79.8% | 18.5% | 8.3% | Pressure rebuilding | 2026-07-29 |
| VVIX | Cboe VIX of VIX Index | Vol-of-Vol | 109.47 | 10.96 | 13.92 | 20.76 | 18.44 | 0.82 | 82.1% | 17.1% | 7.6% | Pressure elevated | 2026-07-29 |
| SPOTVOL | CBOE S&P 500 Spot Volatility Index | Spot Vol | 15.52 | 4.78 | 7.82 | 5.53 | 4.37 | 1.64 | 92.1% | 49.3% | 43.9% | Stress rising from elevated level | 2026-07-29 |
| SMILE | Cboe S&P 500 SMILE Index | Option Smile | 2,505.70 | -10.20 | -4.12 | 21.30 | 84.35 | 1.21 | 95.2% | 0.6% | 2.6% | High stress percentile | 2026-07-29 |
| BFLY | Cboe S&P 500 Iron Butterfly Index | Iron Butterfly | 408.96 | -0.50 | 2.26 | 15.20 | 20.50 | 1.30 | 88.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | Stress rising from elevated level | 2026-07-29 |
| PPUT | The CBOE S&P 500 5 Put Protection Index | Put Protection | 2,120.87 | -25.38 | -44.77 | -35.35 | 36.26 | 0.93 | 77.8% | -2.1% | 2.5% | Pressure elevated | 2026-07-29 |
VIXEQ Constituent Vol
Cboe S&P 500 Constituent Volatility Index
Single-stock volatility proxy for S&P 500 constituents. Higher readings mean the average underlying stock-vol tape is heating up even if index volatility is muted. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
DSPX Dispersion
Cboe S&P 500 Dispersion Index
Single-name volatility versus index volatility. Higher dispersion means stock-specific risk and selection matter more. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
COR1M 1M Implied Correlation
Implied Correlation 1M 50 Delta
Macro co-movement gauge. Higher correlation means the index is behaving more like one block; lower correlation usually pairs with more idiosyncratic stock action. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
COR3M 3M Implied Correlation
Implied Correlation 3M Delta Relative
Medium-term co-movement gauge. Useful confirmation when 1M correlation is moving but the broader options surface has not fully repriced. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
SKEW Tail Skew
Cboe SKEW Index
Crash-tail pricing. Rising skew says investors are paying more for far-left-tail protection even if spot is calm. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
LTV Left Tail
Cboe S&P 500 Left Tail Index
Left-tail stress proxy. Useful for spotting whether protection demand is confirming or diverging from the SPY tape. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
VVIX Vol-of-Vol
Cboe VIX of VIX Index
Volatility-of-volatility gauge. Higher VVIX says options on VIX are becoming more expensive, often an early warning that hedging demand is spreading beneath spot VIX. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
SPOTVOL Spot Vol
CBOE S&P 500 Spot Volatility Index
Spot volatility reference point. Helpful cross-check for whether the index-vol read is a current tape issue or mostly term-structure noise. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
SMILE Option Smile
Cboe S&P 500 SMILE Index
Option-surface shape. Helps identify whether convexity demand is broadening beyond vanilla index volatility. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
BFLY Iron Butterfly
Cboe S&P 500 Iron Butterfly Index
Range-premium / short-vol structure proxy. Helpful when SPY is grinding but option markets are pricing a tight tape. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
PPUT Put Protection
The CBOE S&P 500 5 Put Protection Index
Protective-put strategy proxy. This is not a put/call ratio; it helps show whether hedged equity exposure is holding up versus the unhedged SPY tape. Latest index date 2026-07-29; source fresh-api.
ETF Blow-Off Screen
This screen uses the warning profile selected from the internal threshold sweep: 5-year return at least 175%, 6-month return above 20%, price at least 2 standard deviations above that ETF's own prior 200DMA gap history, and price at an all-time high. All four tests must be true on the same trading date. Red condition cells mean that trigger test is active; green means it is still below the trigger point.
All four blow-off tests are currently true on the latest trading date.
Three of four tests are true, so this is the highest-priority watchlist.
Two tests are true and the remaining shortfall is not large.
Close watch
ETFs with enough local price history to evaluate the blow-off checklist.
| Ticker | Name | Group | Status | Met | Distance | Close | 5Y >= 175% | 6M > 20% | 200D >= 2z | At ATH | Last Trigger | Days Since | Trigger Days | Avg 6M Max DD | PM Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRAK | Refiners | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | Close watch | 2 | 0.3 | 55.82 | 141.2% | 33.2% | 1.8z / 25.1% | 0.0% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | Momentum extended but incomplete |
| IHE | Pharma | Financial / Health Care Industries | Not close | 0 | 0.8 | 102.5 | 74.8% | 18.9% | 1.8z / 17.3% | -1.4% | 2015-04-23 | 4,116 | 13 | -9.4% (n=7) | No blow-off setup |
| IWD | Value | Style / Market Structure | Not close | 0 | 1.2 | 250.7 | 72.5% | 14.8% | 1.4z / 13.1% | -0.5% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | International Equity | Not close | 1 | 1.2 | 174.9 | 235.6% | 14.5% | 0.7z / 11.3% | -2.7% | 2026-02-25 | 155 | 13 | -2.5% (n=2) | No blow-off setup |
| XLE | Energy | Cyclical Sectors | Not close | 1 | 1.2 | 58.96 | 186.4% | 17.1% | 0.8z / 13.5% | -5.1% | 2026-03-27 | 125 | 6 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| IHF | Health Providers | Financial / Health Care Industries | Not close | 1 | 1.4 | 56.75 | 11.1% | 25.1% | 1.6z / 16.3% | -2.3% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| IAK | Insurance | Financial / Health Care Industries | Not close | 0 | 1.6 | 147.6 | 110.2% | 13.0% | 0.9z / 11.4% | -2.9% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| EWU | United Kingdom | International Equity | Not close | 1 | 1.8 | 48.68 | 80.4% | 7.0% | 0.9z / 8.8% | 0.0% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| DBC | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Not close | 1 | 1.8 | 29.32 | 72.8% | 20.0% | 1.1z / 12.5% | -7.5% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | Growth / Tech Leadership | Not close | 1 | 1.9 | 145.9 | 110.3% | 29.3% | 1.5z / 17.8% | -12.6% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| EWA | Australia | International Equity | Not close | 0 | 1.9 | 29.82 | 42.1% | 9.0% | 0.8z / 8.3% | -0.1% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| XLK | Technology | Growth / Tech Leadership | Not close | 1 | 1.9 | 175.7 | 137.9% | 22.4% | 0.8z / 13.4% | -11.2% | 2026-06-02 | 58 | 29 | -5.7% (n=11) | No blow-off setup |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | Core Index Beta | Not close | 0 | 2.0 | 215.4 | 53.3% | 9.6% | 0.6z / 8.7% | -1.1% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| PEJ | Leisure | Thematic / Speculative Growth | Not close | 0 | 2.0 | 67.05 | 39.0% | 11.8% | 0.6z / 10.0% | -1.2% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | Core Index Beta | Not close | 0 | 2.0 | 292.6 | 40.9% | 13.2% | 0.7z / 10.5% | -2.6% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| VO | Mid Cap | Style / Market Structure | Not close | 0 | 2.0 | 80.99 | 45.4% | 10.2% | 0.5z / 7.9% | -0.4% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| QUAL | Quality | Factors / Risk Appetite | Not close | 0 | 2.0 | 218.9 | 69.1% | 8.6% | 0.4z / 7.6% | -0.8% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| EZU | Eurozone | International Equity | Not close | 0 | 2.1 | 69.65 | 61.3% | 6.4% | 0.6z / 7.9% | -0.3% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| XLF | Financials | Cyclical Sectors | Not close | 0 | 2.1 | 57.00 | 70.2% | 7.6% | 0.5z / 8.6% | -1.0% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
| KRE | Regional Banks | Financial / Health Care Industries | Not close | 0 | 2.1 | 75.90 | 39.1% | 11.6% | 0.7z / 12.9% | -2.6% | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a (n=0) | No blow-off setup |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | history starts 2015-08-20; chart view starts 2015-08-20. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Style / Market Structure | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Cyclical Sectors | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Growth / Tech Leadership | history starts 2011-02-18; chart view starts 2011-02-18. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Growth / Tech Leadership | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Core Index Beta | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Core Index Beta | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Style / Market Structure | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Factors / Risk Appetite | history starts 2013-07-18; chart view starts 2013-07-18. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
International Equity | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Cyclical Sectors | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Financial / Health Care Industries | history starts 2010-01-04; chart view starts 2010-01-04. Shaded bands mark dates when all four blow-off tests fired on the same day.
Changed Since Prior Run
Compared with prior run date 2026-07-29.
| Ticker | Name | Group | 1D | Δ 5D | Δ RS 1M | Δ RSI | Δ DD | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | 5.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 7.7 | 3.0% | RSI 7.7; RS 3.4%; drawdown 3.0% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | 4.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.7 | 4.0% | RS 3.9%; drawdown 4.0% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | Growth / Tech Leadership | 6.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 9.3 | 5.2% | RSI 9.3; drawdown 5.2% |
| PALL | Palladium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 4.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 7.4 | 2.6% | RSI 7.4; RS 3.8%; drawdown 2.6% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | Growth / Tech Leadership | 6.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 11.9 | 4.8% | RSI 11.9; drawdown 4.8% |
| CARZ | Autos | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 5.8% | 7.6% | 1.1% | 10.9 | 4.6% | RSI 10.9; drawdown 4.6% |
| URA | Uranium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 10.1 | 3.6% | RSI 10.1; RS 4.8%; drawdown 3.6% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | Growth / Tech Leadership | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 15.3 | 4.6% | RSI 15.3; drawdown 4.6% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | 4.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 7.6 | 2.8% | RSI 7.6; RS 3.3%; drawdown 2.8% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 7.6 | 2.8% | RSI 7.6; RS 3.7%; drawdown 2.8% |
| XLK | Technology | Growth / Tech Leadership | 5.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 12.6 | 4.6% | RSI 12.6; drawdown 4.6%; volume 1.6x |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 13.6 | 4.0% | RSI 13.6; RS 3.8%; drawdown 4.0% |
| MTUM | Momentum | Factors / Risk Appetite | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 10.7 | 4.5% | RSI 10.7; drawdown 4.5% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | Metals / Miners | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.6 | 2.8% | RSI 8.6; RS 4.6%; drawdown 2.8% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | Metals / Miners | 4.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 6.9 | 3.5% | RSI 6.9; drawdown 3.5% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | Growth / Tech Leadership | 4.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 10.0 | 3.9% | RSI 10.0; drawdown 3.9% |
| PLTM | Platinum | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 3.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.5 | 1.8% | RSI 6.5; RS 3.7% |
| XME | Metals & Mining | Metals / Miners | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 9.4 | 3.2% | RSI 9.4; RS 2.9%; drawdown 3.2% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | Thematic / Speculative Growth | 3.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 7.3 | 2.5% | RSI 7.3; drawdown 2.5% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | International Equity | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 10.6 | 3.5% | RSI 10.6; drawdown 3.5% |
| USO | Oil | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -1.4% | -6.8% | -2.1% | -1.8 | -1.2% | Incremental tape change |
| SLV | Silver | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 3.3% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 6.3 | 1.6% | RSI 6.3 |
| EWZ | Brazil | International Equity | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 8.5 | 2.6% | RSI 8.5; drawdown 2.6% |
| SPHB | High Beta | Factors / Risk Appetite | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 9.4 | 3.3% | RSI 9.4; drawdown 3.3% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | Growth / Tech Leadership | 3.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 9.8 | 2.8% | RSI 9.8; drawdown 2.8% |
| XES | Oil Services | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 7.5 | 2.4% | RSI 7.5 |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | Core Index Beta | 3.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 10.8 | 2.9% | RSI 10.8; drawdown 2.9%; volume 1.6x |
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | Style / Market Structure | 2.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 7.3 | 1.9% | RSI 7.3 |
| CWB | Convertibles | Rates / Credit | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 12.8 | 2.8% | RSI 12.8; drawdown 2.8% |
| EZU | Eurozone | International Equity | 2.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 11.2 | 2.8% | RSI 11.2; drawdown 2.8% |
Risk Ladder
This condenses index trend, equal-weight confirmation, credit appetite, volatility, USD, rates, cyclicals, and breadth into one pre-chart checklist.
| Check | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| SPY trend confirmed | Watch | SPY Fading | RSI 49.4 |
| QQQ trend confirmed | Watch | QQQ Fading | RSI 43.2 |
| IWM risk appetite | Pass | IWM Above 50/200 | RSI 49.1 |
| Equal weight vs cap weight | Pass | RSP 1M RS 1.9% |
| Credit risk appetite | Pass | HYG minus LQD 1M 1.9% |
| VIX not pressuring risk | Pass | VIX 17.1 | 30D 4.1% |
| MOVE not pressuring rates | Fail | MOVE 77.1 | 30D 0.1% |
| USD not surging | Pass | USD 30D 0.5% | Z 0.22 |
| 10Y move orderly | Pass | 10Y 30D +23.5 bp |
| Cyclicals vs defensives | Fail | 1M median spread -3.9% |
| ETF breadth above 50D | Watch | 53.1% above 50DMA |
Median Returns And Trend Breadth
Sleeve-level medians reduce single-ticker noise. Percent above 50D and 200D separates price strength from durable trend confirmation.
| Sleeve | ETFs | 1D Median | 5D Median | 1M Median | 6M Median | 1Y Median | % > 50D | % > 200D | % RS > SPY | Median RSI | Median DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Core Index Beta | 6.0 | 1.9% | 0.3% | -1.2% | 8.7% | 18.2% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 33.3% | 49.2 | -2.9% |
| Style / Market Structure | 6.0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.0% | 6.4% | 14.3% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 48.9 | -2.3% |
| Factors / Risk Appetite | 5.0 | 1.4% | 0.0% | -0.2% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 60.0% | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0 | -2.1% |
| Growth / Tech Leadership | 11.0 | 3.7% | -0.0% | -7.8% | 20.5% | 26.1% | 36.4% | 81.8% | 27.3% | 46.7 | -13.0% |
| Thematic / Speculative Growth | 4.0 | 1.1% | 1.2% | -4.5% | 3.8% | 24.7% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9 | -11.4% |
| Cyclical Sectors | 7.0 | 0.5% | 1.1% | -0.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 46.3 | -5.1% |
| Defensive Sectors | 4.0 | -1.5% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 75.0% | 100.0% | 75.0% | 53.4 | -3.0% |
| Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 16.0 | 1.8% | -1.6% | -2.8% | 10.1% | 27.8% | 43.8% | 68.8% | 43.8% | 45.7 | -16.6% |
| Financial / Health Care Industries | 10.0 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 4.3% | 10.9% | 23.9% | 100.0% | 80.0% | 90.0% | 56.3 | -3.5% |
| Rates / Credit | 14.0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | -0.8% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 21.4% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.6 | -2.0% |
| Metals / Miners | 9.0 | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | -14.1% | 49.4% | 33.3% | 44.4% | 55.6% | 51.5 | -23.3% |
| International Equity | 8.0 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 23.7% | 87.5% | 75.0% | 87.5% | 58.5 | -6.4% |
| Commodities / Crypto / USD | 13.0 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 26.0% | 61.5% | 53.8% | 84.6% | 52.3 | -16.7% |
Relative Strength Vs SPY
Absolute charts show whether price is working; this table shows whether the ETF is earning capital versus SPY.
Top Relative Leaders
| Ticker | Name | Group | RS 5D | RS 1M | RS 50D | RS Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | 1.0% | 56.2% | 43.2% | Outperforming |
| CRAK | Refiners | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.3% | 22.0% | 12.8% | Outperforming |
| USO | Oil | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -9.0% | 20.6% | 3.3% | Outperforming |
| FXI | China Large Cap | International Equity | 5.5% | 16.4% | 7.1% | RS repairing |
| XOP | Oil E&P | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.9% | 14.1% | 6.9% | Outperforming |
| GSG | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -4.0% | 12.5% | 3.4% | Outperforming |
| XLE | Energy | Cyclical Sectors | -1.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | Outperforming |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -1.0% | 11.2% | -0.8% | Underperforming |
| DBC | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -3.7% | 10.7% | 2.5% | Outperforming |
| CLOU | Cloud | Growth / Tech Leadership | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | Outperforming |
| HERO | Video Games | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | RS repairing |
| WOOD | Timber | Metals / Miners | 4.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | RS repairing |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.1% | 9.0% | 2.6% | Outperforming |
| PALL | Palladium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 4.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | RS repairing |
| PSP | Private Equity | Financial / Health Care Industries | 3.5% | 8.3% | 4.1% | RS repairing |
| PNQI | Internet | Growth / Tech Leadership | 5.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | RS repairing |
| IHI | Medical Devices | Financial / Health Care Industries | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | RS repairing |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | Financial / Health Care Industries | -0.7% | 7.3% | 1.9% | RS repairing |
| PLTM | Platinum | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 3.3% | 7.1% | -3.2% | Underperforming |
| XLF | Financials | Cyclical Sectors | 1.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | Outperforming |
Relative Laggards
| Ticker | Name | Group | RS 5D | RS 1M | RS 50D | RS Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | Semiconductors | Growth / Tech Leadership | -7.6% | -17.3% | -9.3% | RS fading |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | Growth / Tech Leadership | -2.7% | -14.6% | -8.6% | RS fading |
| CARZ | Autos | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.1% | -13.0% | -8.2% | RS fading |
| UFO | Space | Thematic / Speculative Growth | -0.2% | -12.9% | -14.2% | Underperforming |
| MTUM | Momentum | Factors / Risk Appetite | -5.3% | -12.3% | -5.3% | RS fading |
| AIQ | AI Theme | Growth / Tech Leadership | -1.5% | -9.9% | -6.6% | RS fading |
| SPHB | High Beta | Factors / Risk Appetite | -3.0% | -9.5% | -4.4% | RS fading |
| XTL | Telecom | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.8% | -9.3% | -7.2% | RS fading |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | Thematic / Speculative Growth | -1.7% | -9.2% | -5.7% | Underperforming |
| XHB | Homebuilders | Cyclical Sectors | -2.5% | -8.9% | -2.1% | Underperforming |
| URA | Uranium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -3.9% | -8.5% | -10.6% | Underperforming |
| ITB | Home Construction | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 0.5% | -8.0% | -0.9% | Underperforming |
| ROBO | Robotics | Growth / Tech Leadership | -0.1% | -7.6% | -5.3% | Underperforming |
| GRID | Smart Grid | Growth / Tech Leadership | -2.2% | -7.2% | -4.8% | Underperforming |
| XLK | Technology | Growth / Tech Leadership | -2.0% | -7.1% | -3.6% | RS fading |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | Core Index Beta | -1.7% | -6.5% | -4.1% | Underperforming |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | International Equity | -2.0% | -6.4% | -4.0% | RS fading |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.4% | -5.7% | -5.2% | Underperforming |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | Metals / Miners | -3.6% | -5.3% | -8.7% | Underperforming |
| CWB | Convertibles | Rates / Credit | -2.1% | -5.1% | -3.5% | Underperforming |
Volume And Range Confirmation
Upside confirmation requires expanded participation and a close near the high of the daily range. Downside pressure flags wide-range closes near the low.
Upside Confirmation
| Ticker | Name | Group | 1D | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | Style / Market Structure | -0.3% | 2.2 | 79.4% | 84.5% |
| HERO | Video Games | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 1.3% | 1.8 | 77.0% | 68.7% |
| IHF | Health Providers | Financial / Health Care Industries | -0.5% | 1.8 | 75.8% | 74.1% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | Rates / Credit | 0.8% | 1.7 | 86.5% | 80.0% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | Core Index Beta | 2.0% | 1.7 | 95.2% | 90.0% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | Core Index Beta | 3.3% | 1.6 | 96.8% | 86.7% |
| XLK | Technology | Growth / Tech Leadership | 5.5% | 1.6 | 98.8% | 90.8% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | Core Index Beta | -0.2% | 1.6 | 74.6% | 80.9% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 5.0% | 1.5 | 94.4% | 99.0% |
| CRAK | Refiners | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 2.9% | 1.5 | 93.7% | 88.7% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 0.8% | 1.5 | 73.0% | 100.0% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | International Equity | 4.1% | 1.4 | 95.6% | 96.3% |
| PALL | Palladium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 4.2% | 1.4 | 71.8% | 97.2% |
| SPY | S&P 500 | Core Index Beta | 1.7% | 1.4 | 87.7% | 90.3% |
| DBB | Base Metals | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 1.3% | 1.4 | 66.7% | 73.7% |
| QUAL | Quality | Factors / Risk Appetite | 1.4% | 1.3 | 82.5% | 85.8% |
| XME | Metals & Mining | Metals / Miners | 4.4% | 1.3 | 79.4% | 95.5% |
| XLC | Communication Services | Cyclical Sectors | -2.7% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 94.0% |
Downside Pressure
| Ticker | Name | Group | 1D | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAK | Insurance | Financial / Health Care Industries | -2.3% | 1.2 | 98.4% | 36.2% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | Defensive Sectors | -1.4% | 1.4 | 97.6% | 33.0% |
| UUP | US Dollar | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -1.0% | 2.2 | 97.2% | 8.3% |
| XLU | Utilities | Defensive Sectors | -0.6% | 1.3 | 84.9% | 34.5% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | Cyclical Sectors | -0.2% | 1.5 | 77.4% | 37.2% |
| XLB | Materials | Cyclical Sectors | -0.2% | 0.9 | 75.8% | 35.3% |
| ITB | Home Construction | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -1.1% | 0.6 | 72.6% | 34.0% |
Returns, RSI, And Moving-Average Distance By Sleeve
Green cells mark positive return or trend distance; red cells mark drawdowns, underperformance, or broken moving-average structure. RSI is blue below 40, neutral green in the middle, and orange/red as it gets extended.
Core Index Beta
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | 1.7% | 0.5% | -0.7% | -0.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 49.4 | -0.3% | 6.4% | 1.4 | 87.7% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 3.3% | -1.2% | -7.2% | -7.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 20.9% | -6.5% | 43.2 | -4.4% | 6.2% | 1.6 | 96.8% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 1.4% | 0.2% | -2.6% | -2.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 33.4% | -1.9% | 49.1 | 0.2% | 10.5% | 1.0 | 40.1% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | 2.0% | 0.7% | -0.1% | -0.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 17.8% | 0.6% | 49.6 | -0.5% | 5.7% | 1.7 | 95.2% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | -0.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 18.1% | 1.9% | 57.5 | 2.2% | 8.7% | 1.6 | 74.6% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | 2.5% | 0.0% | -1.8% | -1.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 12.4% | -1.1% | 45.8 | -2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9 | 97.6% |
Core Index Beta Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | -1.0% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -1.2% | +0.1% | 0.0% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +1.7% | -1.2% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | -1.5% | +0.1% | +1.9% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -2.0% | +3.3% | -3.2% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | -0.5% | -0.6% | +1.4% | -0.9% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +0.6% | +0.2% | -1.6% | +1.4% | -1.0% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | -1.2% | 0.0% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.3% | -1.6% | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | -0.8% | -0.4% | +0.2% | 0.0% | -0.4% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | -1.2% | 0.0% | +1.1% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +2.5% | -2.1% |
Style / Market Structure
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | 2.2% | 1.1% | -0.6% | -0.6% | 1.8% | -3.4% | 12.2% | 0.1% | 43.9 | -3.5% | -1.3% | 0.7 | 77.8% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 1.3% | -0.3% | -2.7% | -2.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 18.8% | -2.1% | 49.0 | 0.1% | 8.2% | 0.4 | 74.2% |
| VO | Mid Cap | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 1.2% | 56.7 | 1.6% | 7.9% | 0.7 | 74.2% |
| IWF | Growth | 3.0% | -1.0% | -5.4% | -5.4% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 7.1% | -4.8% | 43.3 | -3.9% | -0.2% | 0.8 | 96.8% |
| IWD | Value | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 29.3% | 4.1% | 61.6 | 3.3% | 13.1% | 0.9 | 64.7% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | -0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 13.9% | 1.2% | 48.8 | 0.5% | 3.8% | 2.2 | 79.4% |
Style / Market Structure Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | -1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.0% | -4.6% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.7% | -1.4% | +2.2% | -6.2% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | -0.3% | -0.7% | +1.4% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -1.7% | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| VO | Mid Cap | -0.5% | -0.4% | +0.7% | 0.0% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +0.5% |
| IWF | Growth | -1.5% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -0.6% | -2.1% | +3.0% | -3.1% |
| IWD | Value | -0.6% | -0.4% | +0.2% | 0.0% | -0.5% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +0.9% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.5% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | -1.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +1.1% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -1.9% |
Factors / Risk Appetite
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 3.8% | -2.5% | -10.2% | -10.2% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 35.0% | -9.5% | 43.6 | -4.7% | 10.1% | 1.3 | 92.1% |
| MTUM | Momentum | 5.5% | -4.8% | -12.9% | -12.9% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 24.7% | -12.3% | 43.9 | -5.6% | 10.1% | 1.1 | 99.2% |
| QUAL | Quality | 1.4% | 1.4% | -0.2% | -0.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 0.5% | 55.1 | 1.3% | 7.6% | 1.3 | 82.5% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | -1.8% | 0.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 4.3% | 54.5 | 3.0% | 7.5% | 1.4 | 100.0% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | -1.5% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 53.0 | 2.4% | 4.8% | 1.3 | 100.0% |
Factors / Risk Appetite Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | -1.4% | -0.2% | +3.1% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -3.2% | +3.8% | -2.2% |
| MTUM | Momentum | -0.4% | +0.2% | +3.9% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -3.2% | +5.5% | -1.5% |
| QUAL | Quality | -1.3% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -1.1% | +1.4% | -0.8% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | -0.6% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +1.3% | +0.2% | +1.3% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -1.0% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | -0.5% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +1.1% | 0.0% | +1.0% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -0.5% |
Growth / Tech Leadership
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | 5.5% | -1.5% | -7.8% | -7.8% | 29.9% | 22.4% | 33.5% | -7.1% | 46.7 | -3.9% | 13.4% | 1.6 | 98.8% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 6.9% | -7.1% | -17.8% | -17.8% | 41.4% | 33.6% | 82.5% | -17.3% | 42.3 | -9.6% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 98.0% |
| IGV | Software | 1.0% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 17.1% | 3.3% | -17.2% | 3.7% | 55.0 | 0.5% | -1.6% | 0.9 | 32.9% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 0.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 31.4% | 20.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 62.4 | 6.5% | 13.7% | 1.1 | 46.4% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 1.2% | 0.7% | -1.8% | -1.8% | 42.8% | 31.0% | 6.5% | -1.1% | 47.7 | 2.1% | 20.1% | 0.5 | 52.0% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | 5.4% | -1.8% | -7.9% | -7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 24.3% | -7.2% | 44.7 | -5.1% | 3.8% | 0.9 | 99.6% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 4.8% | -1.1% | -10.5% | -10.5% | 21.1% | 12.9% | 31.1% | -9.9% | 44.3 | -6.9% | 7.9% | 0.9 | 96.4% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 6.1% | -2.2% | -15.2% | -15.2% | 27.9% | 21.5% | 51.4% | -14.6% | 42.5 | -8.8% | 11.9% | 0.9 | 97.6% |
| ROBO | Robotics | 3.7% | 0.3% | -8.3% | -8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 26.1% | -7.6% | 45.1 | -5.6% | 4.2% | 0.6 | 94.8% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | 3.3% | -0.0% | -4.9% | -4.9% | 30.2% | 29.3% | 52.4% | -4.2% | 47.1 | -3.7% | 17.8% | 0.6 | 94.4% |
| PNQI | Internet | -0.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.0% | -5.1% | -6.8% | 7.5% | 56.5 | 2.8% | -2.3% | 0.6 | 54.0% |
Growth / Tech Leadership Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | -1.1% | +0.1% | +2.9% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -1.4% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -2.6% | +5.5% | -1.0% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | -2.2% | +0.4% | +4.5% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -3.3% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -4.8% | +6.9% | -5.3% |
| IGV | Software | -1.0% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -3.0% | -2.2% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +1.0% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -0.4% |
| CLOU | Cloud | -0.4% | +0.7% | -1.7% | -3.0% | -2.8% | +2.4% | +3.3% | +1.9% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +2.6% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | +0.4% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -2.6% | +1.5% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -1.1% | +1.2% | -7.9% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | +0.1% | -0.4% | +1.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -2.2% | -2.9% | +5.4% | -0.6% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | -1.0% | +0.7% | +3.1% | -1.4% | -1.3% | -2.3% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -2.2% | +4.8% | -1.0% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | -0.8% | -0.4% | +2.8% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -2.7% | +0.9% | -2.8% | -3.4% | +6.1% | -1.8% |
| ROBO | Robotics | -1.9% | -0.7% | +2.7% | 0.0% | -1.4% | -0.6% | +1.0% | -1.4% | -2.2% | +3.7% | -1.0% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | -0.2% | -0.5% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +3.3% | +0.9% |
| PNQI | Internet | -1.4% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -2.1% | -3.0% | +1.2% | +2.8% | +2.3% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.9% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 33.8% | 1.7% | 59.4 | 3.4% | 9.7% | 0.4 | 42.9% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | 3.3% | -1.3% | -9.8% | -9.8% | 9.9% | -2.6% | -3.6% | -9.2% | 41.7 | -6.0% | -5.8% | 1.0 | 58.7% |
| UFO | Space | 2.2% | 0.2% | -13.5% | -13.5% | 4.2% | -3.4% | 46.8% | -12.9% | 38.9 | -14.5% | -3.2% | 0.5 | 40.1% |
| PEJ | Leisure | -1.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 1.4% | 58.1 | 3.6% | 9.9% | 0.5 | 77.4% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | -0.1% | -1.8% | +1.5% | -1.3% | +1.1% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -0.1% | 0.0% | +1.5% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | -1.9% | -0.3% | +3.7% | -2.1% | -2.9% | -2.6% | +0.9% | -0.1% | -2.6% | +3.3% | -4.9% |
| UFO | Space | -0.1% | -1.4% | +2.2% | -0.6% | -0.1% | -1.7% | +2.2% | -0.1% | -2.2% | +2.2% | +0.3% |
| PEJ | Leisure | -0.8% | +0.1% | -0.2% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +1.2% |
Cyclical Sectors
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | 0.7% | 3.3% | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.0% | -6.9% | 1.5% | -3.5% | 44.2 | -3.1% | -3.7% | 0.9 | 27.0% |
| XLC | Communication Services | -2.7% | 1.1% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -7.8% | -10.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 40.8 | -3.8% | -6.4% | 1.3 | 100.0% |
| XLE | Energy | 0.5% | -0.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 38.7% | 11.8% | 61.0 | 4.3% | 13.5% | 0.8 | 49.6% |
| XLF | Financials | 0.6% | 2.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 63.0 | 5.6% | 8.6% | 0.9 | 69.4% |
| XLI | Industrials | 1.0% | -2.0% | -3.7% | -3.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 18.9% | -3.0% | 46.3 | 0.2% | 7.2% | 1.1 | 72.6% |
| XLB | Materials | -0.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 18.4% | 2.3% | 54.6 | 1.3% | 6.3% | 0.9 | 75.8% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -0.2% | -2.0% | -9.6% | -9.6% | -9.0% | -3.1% | 2.3% | -8.9% | 41.4 | -2.4% | -1.9% | 1.5 | 77.4% |
Cyclical Sectors Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | -1.6% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -4.6% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.5% | -0.8% | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| XLC | Communication Services | -1.8% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -3.5% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -2.7% | -5.4% |
| XLE | Energy | +1.2% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +1.2% | +0.3% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -1.4% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +3.4% |
| XLF | Financials | -0.9% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +1.3% | -1.6% | +0.6% | +0.4% |
| XLI | Industrials | -0.4% | -0.7% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -3.2% | +1.0% | -1.0% |
| XLB | Materials | -0.7% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +1.4% | -1.0% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +1.8% | -1.1% | -0.2% | +1.5% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -2.3% | -2.0% | -0.1% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +1.6% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -4.5% | -0.2% | -5.7% |
Defensive Sectors
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | -2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | -0.4% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 53.4 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 1.4 | 98.0% |
| XLV | Health Care | -1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 24.0% | 3.8% | 57.6 | 5.0% | 8.1% | 1.2 | 96.4% |
| XLU | Utilities | -0.6% | -3.3% | -1.5% | -1.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | -0.8% | 43.4 | -0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3 | 84.9% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | -1.4% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 53.5 | 1.8% | 7.7% | 1.4 | 97.6% |
Defensive Sectors Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | -0.7% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.4% | -1.4% | +1.1% | +1.5% | +2.0% | +0.3% | -2.2% | -0.4% |
| XLV | Health Care | -0.4% | -1.1% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +1.3% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +2.4% | -0.6% | -1.6% | +1.1% |
| XLU | Utilities | -0.7% | -0.5% | 0.0% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +2.2% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -0.4% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | 2.8% | -2.4% | -9.9% | -9.9% | 28.4% | 24.7% | 72.9% | -9.3% | 40.6 | -7.5% | 10.5% | 1.1 | 68.3% |
| SOCL | Social Media | 0.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | -9.5% | -17.2% | -13.4% | 6.1% | 54.2 | 1.5% | -7.9% | 1.4 | 22.2% |
| HERO | Video Games | 1.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.2% | -8.0% | -11.7% | 9.9% | 71.9 | 7.9% | -2.5% | 1.8 | 77.0% |
| XES | Oil Services | 3.1% | -5.1% | -3.8% | -3.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 61.1% | -3.1% | 41.8 | -7.3% | 4.4% | 0.5 | 73.0% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | 1.6% | -0.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 24.7% | 25.8% | 38.0% | 14.1% | 61.8 | 6.6% | 16.4% | 0.5 | 69.4% |
| OIH | Oil Services | 2.1% | -1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 54.0% | 1.7% | 45.3 | -5.7% | 4.6% | 0.6 | 36.9% |
| CRAK | Refiners | 2.9% | 0.2% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 29.3% | 33.2% | 67.7% | 22.0% | 70.3 | 12.5% | 25.1% | 1.5 | 93.7% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | 0.4% | -1.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 9.0% | 56.8 | 2.3% | 7.9% | 1.1 | 38.5% |
| COAL | Coal | 1.1% | -3.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | -8.8% | -10.5% | 21.9% | 1.3% | 44.7 | -5.6% | -5.8% | 0.2 | 40.9% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | 5.0% | -1.9% | -6.4% | -6.4% | -4.5% | -8.1% | 6.3% | -5.7% | 45.3 | -5.5% | -7.0% | 1.5 | 94.4% |
| JETS | Airlines | 2.3% | 8.0% | -4.6% | -4.6% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 32.8% | -4.0% | 55.2 | 4.6% | 14.8% | 0.5 | 55.2% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | 2.0% | -2.5% | -4.8% | -4.8% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 22.8% | -4.1% | 45.9 | -1.4% | 6.8% | 0.6 | 81.3% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | 0.8% | -0.0% | -1.8% | -1.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 20.5% | -1.1% | 51.6 | 1.4% | 5.7% | 1.5 | 73.0% |
| XTN | Transportation | -0.6% | -3.5% | -5.4% | -5.4% | 6.3% | 14.2% | 32.8% | -4.8% | 35.3 | -3.3% | 10.2% | 0.9 | 70.2% |
| CARZ | Autos | 5.8% | -1.6% | -13.6% | -13.6% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 60.8% | -13.0% | 43.6 | -8.5% | 12.3% | 0.3 | 97.6% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -1.1% | 1.0% | -8.6% | -8.6% | -11.4% | -6.1% | -2.1% | -8.0% | 45.5 | -1.1% | -3.3% | 0.6 | 72.6% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | +0.4% | +0.2% | +2.8% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -1.1% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -3.6% | +2.8% | -1.3% |
| SOCL | Social Media | -1.9% | +1.2% | -0.1% | -3.3% | -0.8% | -0.6% | +3.4% | +1.1% | 0.0% | +0.1% | -1.0% |
| HERO | Video Games | -0.4% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +0.7% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +1.3% | +7.8% |
| XES | Oil Services | +0.7% | -0.9% | +3.0% | +1.0% | -1.8% | -0.6% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -1.3% | +3.1% | -3.3% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | +2.2% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -1.6% | +3.4% | +1.6% | +5.1% |
| OIH | Oil Services | +0.5% | -1.0% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -1.4% | +2.3% | -1.5% | -3.7% | -0.9% | +2.1% | -0.3% |
| CRAK | Refiners | +1.2% | +1.0% | +1.6% | -0.2% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +2.9% | +4.1% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | +1.9% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +2.7% | 0.0% | -0.5% | -4.0% | -1.3% | +3.8% | +0.4% | +4.7% |
| COAL | Coal | +0.1% | +1.6% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +0.7% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | -0.5% | -0.2% | +3.1% | +0.8% | +0.5% | -1.3% | +0.2% | -2.5% | -3.1% | +5.0% | +1.7% |
| JETS | Airlines | -2.5% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -1.3% | -2.6% | +2.7% | +2.9% | +2.9% | -2.8% | +2.3% | +1.4% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | -0.8% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -3.7% | +2.0% | -1.2% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | -0.1% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +0.4% | -3.6% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| XTN | Transportation | -1.3% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +0.2% | -0.6% | 0.0% | -2.7% | -0.6% | -7.1% |
| CARZ | Autos | -1.1% | 0.0% | +3.4% | 0.0% | -2.4% | -2.6% | -0.4% | -1.5% | -2.7% | +5.8% | -1.7% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -2.9% | -2.0% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +2.7% | +0.9% | +2.4% | -3.7% | -1.1% | -4.7% |
Financial / Health Care Industries
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | -0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 27.9% | 2.1% | 55.5 | 4.1% | 12.9% | 0.6 | 13.5% |
| IAK | Insurance | -2.3% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 5.7% | 56.5 | 6.0% | 11.4% | 1.2 | 98.4% |
| PSP | Private Equity | 1.4% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | -2.3% | -9.4% | -9.8% | 8.3% | 62.3 | 3.7% | -1.5% | 0.2 | 61.1% |
| IYG | Financial Services | 1.1% | 1.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 60.0 | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.3 | 66.3% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | 1.4% | -0.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 50.5 | 1.6% | 5.8% | 0.4 | 50.4% |
| XBI | Biotech | 2.4% | -0.5% | -4.3% | -4.3% | 25.6% | 21.5% | 76.4% | -3.6% | 50.9 | 4.5% | 17.8% | 0.7 | 85.7% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 0.8% | 0.5% | -0.1% | -0.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 42.4% | 0.6% | 56.0 | 5.2% | 10.9% | 1.1 | 77.8% |
| IHF | Health Providers | -0.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 27.5% | 25.1% | 34.0% | 3.3% | 55.3 | 4.7% | 16.3% | 1.8 | 75.8% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | -1.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | -8.8% | -12.0% | -13.7% | 7.5% | 59.3 | 5.0% | -6.3% | 0.8 | 77.4% |
| IHE | Pharma | -1.0% | 0.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 55.0% | 4.2% | 59.8 | 6.3% | 17.3% | 0.8 | 71.4% |
Financial / Health Care Industries Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | -1.6% | -1.0% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +1.7% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -2.6% |
| IAK | Insurance | +2.2% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +2.1% | +0.6% | +2.0% | -0.6% | -2.3% | +3.2% |
| PSP | Private Equity | -0.4% | -1.7% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +1.2% | -1.0% | +1.4% | +2.0% |
| IYG | Financial Services | -1.3% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +1.0% | -1.9% | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | -2.0% | -0.3% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -2.4% | +1.4% | -2.8% |
| XBI | Biotech | +1.5% | -2.2% | +2.4% | -1.5% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -1.2% | +2.4% | -0.4% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | +0.1% | -1.7% | +1.5% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -1.0% | +0.8% | +0.2% |
| IHF | Health Providers | +0.4% | -0.3% | +1.6% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +2.5% | -1.8% | -0.5% | +0.6% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | -3.2% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -1.1% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +2.6% | +1.2% | -1.1% | +1.0% |
| IHE | Pharma | +0.8% | -2.1% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -1.0% | +2.3% |
Rates / Credit
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 56.3 | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.8 | 20.6% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 58.5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1 | 30.2% |
| TIP | TIPS | -0.0% | 0.2% | -0.6% | -0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 44.6 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 1.3 | 26.2% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | 0.0% | 0.4% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -0.9% | 2.1% | -0.4% | 44.3 | -0.5% | -1.1% | 0.8 | 15.1% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | -0.1% | -0.4% | -3.8% | -3.8% | -3.6% | -2.8% | -0.3% | -3.2% | 35.2 | -2.3% | -3.6% | 1.7 | 14.3% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | 0.1% | 0.3% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -0.9% | 2.7% | -0.4% | 42.5 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.0 | 12.7% |
| CWB | Convertibles | 3.2% | -1.6% | -5.8% | -5.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 21.4% | -5.1% | 44.0 | -3.8% | 5.3% | 0.8 | 97.6% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | 8.5% | 1.1% | 55.6 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7 | 86.5% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | 0.2% | 0.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 7.0% | -0.6% | 41.4 | -0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1 | 20.2% |
| HYG | High Yield | 0.3% | 0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 49.2 | -0.0% | 1.1% | 1.0 | 67.9% |
| LQD | IG Credit | 0.2% | 0.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% | -1.9% | -1.6% | 2.0% | -1.4% | 37.9 | -1.3% | -1.5% | 1.0 | 29.0% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 52.5 | -0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8 | 41.3% |
| MBB | MBS | 0.1% | 0.4% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.6% | -0.4% | 4.5% | -0.3% | 44.7 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 0.9 | 33.3% |
| PFF | Preferreds | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -0.4% | -1.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 49.8 | -0.7% | -0.3% | 1.1 | 95.2% |
Rates / Credit Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | +0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TIP | TIPS | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.3% | 0.0% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.4% | 0.0% | -0.5% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | +0.4% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -1.7% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.5% |
| CWB | Convertibles | 0.0% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +0.3% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -1.9% | +3.2% | 0.0% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | -0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | -0.8% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | -0.1% | -0.2% | 0.0% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
| HYG | High Yield | -0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| LQD | IG Credit | +0.1% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.4% | 0.0% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -1.0% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | 0.0% | +0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
| MBB | MBS | 0.0% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +0.1% | -0.5% |
| PFF | Preferreds | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.0% | +0.4% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.9% | +1.1% | +0.2% |
Metals / Miners
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | 4.4% | -1.3% | -4.7% | -4.7% | -11.8% | -14.1% | 38.8% | -4.1% | 45.0 | -8.4% | -7.6% | 1.3 | 79.4% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | 4.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | -2.2% | -6.3% | 89.6% | 4.0% | 53.2 | -1.4% | 3.6% | 1.2 | 77.4% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | 1.9% | 0.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 39.7% | 5.3% | 61.3 | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.3 | 85.3% |
| WOOD | Timber | 1.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | -5.2% | -2.6% | 0.7% | 9.6% | 67.2 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.0 | 76.2% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | -16.9% | -18.5% | 49.4% | 2.5% | 51.5 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 1.1 | 64.3% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | 4.3% | 1.5% | 94.5% | 93.0% | 114.7% | 93.0% | 93.0% | 56.2% | 75.3 | 63.5% | 104.2% | 1.1 | 84.5% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | 4.5% | 1.2% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -17.0% | -19.1% | 60.9% | -1.0% | 48.8 | -5.3% | -11.6% | 0.8 | 61.1% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | 5.1% | 0.5% | -3.7% | -3.7% | -18.4% | -21.5% | 73.2% | -3.1% | 47.4 | -6.6% | -13.2% | 1.0 | 56.7% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | 4.9% | -3.1% | -6.0% | -6.0% | -24.8% | -33.5% | 10.2% | -5.3% | 43.8 | -9.0% | -18.8% | 0.9 | 64.3% |
Metals / Miners Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | -0.6% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +1.9% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +1.3% | -1.6% | -3.8% | +4.4% | +2.9% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | -1.8% | +0.7% | +5.9% | +2.2% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +0.2% | -1.8% | -0.5% | +4.4% | +6.5% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | +0.5% | -0.5% | +1.7% | +1.5% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -0.6% | 0.0% | +1.9% | +3.8% |
| WOOD | Timber | +0.3% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -2.0% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +2.0% | -0.6% | +1.4% | +4.5% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | -0.1% | -0.8% | +4.9% | +3.4% | -2.2% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -2.0% | -0.9% | +4.4% | +7.5% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | -0.5% | -0.6% | +5.9% | +3.6% | -2.9% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -2.2% | -1.9% | +4.3% | +6.9% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | -0.2% | -0.5% | +5.8% | +2.5% | -2.7% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -1.4% | +4.5% | +6.0% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | -0.1% | -0.3% | +5.6% | +3.0% | -3.8% | -0.2% | +0.6% | -3.1% | -1.7% | +5.1% | +4.7% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | -1.1% | +0.1% | +4.0% | +1.8% | -0.1% | -3.2% | +1.2% | -3.3% | -2.5% | +4.9% | +1.4% |
International Equity
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 6.6% | 66.9 | 4.7% | 8.3% | 1.0 | 91.3% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 3.0% | 1.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | -0.1% | -0.4% | 42.0% | 6.6% | 58.8 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 1.0 | 86.1% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | 1.1% | 6.0% | 15.6% | 15.6% | -3.7% | -7.1% | -1.6% | 16.4% | 72.4 | 6.8% | -1.2% | 0.8 | 36.1% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 4.1% | -1.6% | -7.0% | -7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 32.8% | -6.4% | 45.4 | -4.3% | 6.3% | 1.4 | 95.6% |
| EZU | Eurozone | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 21.7% | 0.9% | 58.1 | 2.3% | 7.9% | 1.0 | 94.4% |
| INDA | India | 1.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | -6.1% | -3.9% | -5.7% | 1.3% | 58.1 | 2.1% | -2.6% | 1.3 | 75.0% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 0.9% | -0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 47.7% | 1.5% | 50.8 | 1.0% | 11.3% | 0.5 | 78.6% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | 1.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 25.7% | 6.2% | 69.0 | 4.8% | 8.7% | 0.7 | 83.7% |
International Equity Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/17 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | +0.4% | -0.8% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -1.3% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +2.4% | +4.2% |
| EWZ | Brazil | -0.3% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +2.8% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +3.0% | +3.4% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | -1.2% | +2.7% | -1.2% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +5.8% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | -1.4% | +0.4% | +2.8% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -2.0% | +0.5% | -2.0% | -2.1% | +4.1% | -0.9% |
| EZU | Eurozone | -0.4% | -0.7% | +1.6% | +0.4% | -1.8% | +0.5% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +2.9% | +2.1% |
| INDA | India | +0.5% | -0.7% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -1.2% | +0.8% | +1.8% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +1.1% | +2.1% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | -2.0% | +0.1% | +2.6% | 0.0% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -0.7% | +0.9% | -0.3% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | -0.1% | -1.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +1.6% | +3.6% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | -0.0% | -2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 48.0 | 0.9% | 3.8% | 1.5 | 48.8% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 32.9% | 4.6% | 57.1 | 0.0% | 6.1% | 1.4 | 66.7% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 10.5% | -5.0% | -23.1% | -45.1% | 11.2% | 52.3 | 2.0% | -9.7% | 1.1 | 29.0% |
| DBC | Commodities | -0.3% | -3.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 23.4% | 20.0% | 33.9% | 10.7% | 55.6 | 2.2% | 12.5% | 0.6 | 7.9% |
| GSG | Commodities | -0.6% | -3.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 29.4% | 25.4% | 38.6% | 12.5% | 56.4 | 3.1% | 15.1% | 0.9 | 13.9% |
| USO | Oil | -1.4% | -8.6% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 66.2% | 60.3% | 57.3% | 20.6% | 54.2 | 3.0% | 27.6% | 0.5 | 25.4% |
| GLD | Gold | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | -14.6% | -15.2% | 25.3% | 3.1% | 50.3 | -2.3% | -8.4% | 0.9 | 56.3% |
| SLV | Silver | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | -19.8% | -29.1% | 59.7% | 0.7% | 47.3 | -8.2% | -15.8% | 1.0 | 48.4% |
| URA | Uranium | 5.9% | -3.4% | -9.1% | -9.1% | -19.1% | -27.8% | 3.8% | -8.5% | 42.7 | -10.9% | -18.5% | 1.0 | 78.2% |
| PLTM | Platinum | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | -17.4% | -22.7% | 26.0% | 7.1% | 51.2 | -3.5% | -13.6% | 1.1 | 60.7% |
| PALL | Palladium | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | -20.5% | -22.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 55.6 | 2.4% | -13.0% | 1.4 | 71.8% |
| CPER | Copper | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 39.3% | 5.0% | 57.8 | 2.4% | 10.5% | 1.0 | 77.8% |
| UUP | US Dollar | -1.0% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -1.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | -0.3% | 40.1 | -0.2% | 2.4% | 2.2 | 97.2% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/25 | 7/26 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | Latest7/30 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | +0.5% | +0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | n/a | n/a | -2.2% | +0.8% | -1.3% | 0.0% | -1.9% |
| DBB | Base Metals | +1.6% | 0.0% | -0.9% | 0.0% | n/a | n/a | +0.6% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +2.1% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | +2.0% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -1.5% | +0.3% | +1.6% | -2.5% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -0.8% |
| DBC | Commodities | +1.5% | +1.0% | +1.5% | -0.7% | n/a | n/a | -3.6% | -1.4% | +2.9% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
| GSG | Commodities | +1.7% | +0.9% | +2.1% | -1.1% | n/a | n/a | -3.9% | -1.3% | +3.3% | -0.6% | +1.0% |
| USO | Oil | +2.7% | +2.2% | +5.9% | -2.0% | n/a | n/a | -8.7% | -3.4% | +7.3% | -1.4% | +1.6% |
| GLD | Gold | +2.0% | +1.1% | -2.0% | +0.1% | n/a | n/a | +0.7% | -1.4% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +2.6% |
| SLV | Silver | +4.1% | +1.6% | -3.4% | +1.0% | n/a | n/a | +0.6% | -2.3% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
| URA | Uranium | +4.1% | +1.8% | +0.4% | -3.0% | n/a | n/a | +1.1% | -3.4% | -3.7% | +5.9% | +2.7% |
| PLTM | Platinum | +2.7% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -0.1% | n/a | n/a | +2.1% | -1.5% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +3.9% |
| PALL | Palladium | +2.1% | +1.0% | -3.1% | -1.0% | n/a | n/a | +3.8% | -2.2% | -0.1% | +4.2% | +4.6% |
| CPER | Copper | +2.9% | -0.7% | -2.6% | +0.3% | n/a | n/a | +1.1% | -1.1% | +0.1% | +2.6% | +2.4% |
| UUP | US Dollar | +0.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +0.1% | n/a | n/a | +0.1% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -0.9% |
RSI / Trend Tables By Sleeve
This helps distinguish early recovery, broad trend support, and extended chase risk before drilling into the candles.
Core Index Beta
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | 49.4 | n/a | n/a | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 20.6% | -2.1% | 0.0% | 1.4 | 87.7% | 90.3% | 12.4% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 43.2 | 39.1 | -1.3 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 24.0% | -8.3% | -6.5% | 1.6 | 96.8% | 86.7% | 24.2% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 49.1 | 49.5 | -2.6 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 37.6% | -2.6% | -1.9% | 1.0 | 40.1% | 93.6% | 13.5% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | 49.6 | 50.7 | +6.0 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 20.1% | -3.1% | 0.6% | 1.7 | 95.2% | 90.0% | 14.1% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | 57.5 | 56.7 | +0.6 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 20.6% | -1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6 | 74.6% | 80.9% | 10.2% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | 45.8 | 40.3 | +2.4 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 14.6% | -6.7% | -1.1% | 0.9 | 97.6% | 84.9% | 17.4% |
Style / Market Structure
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | 43.9 | 40.7 | +4.4 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 15.4% | -9.9% | 0.1% | 0.7 | 77.8% | 85.2% | 25.8% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 49.0 | 49.4 | -7.7 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 21.4% | -2.7% | -2.1% | 0.4 | 74.2% | 92.3% | 12.6% |
| VO | Mid Cap | 56.7 | 57.4 | -3.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 17.8% | -0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7 | 74.2% | 77.6% | 7.4% |
| IWF | Growth | 43.3 | 38.4 | -1.5 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 14.4% | -8.7% | -4.8% | 0.8 | 96.8% | 95.7% | 22.8% |
| IWD | Value | 61.6 | 61.3 | +1.5 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 32.2% | -0.5% | 4.1% | 0.9 | 64.7% | 89.2% | 10.1% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | 48.8 | 49.5 | +1.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 15.9% | -1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2 | 79.4% | 84.5% | 11.5% |
Factors / Risk Appetite
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 43.6 | 41.2 | -4.9 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 39.5% | -10.8% | -9.5% | 1.3 | 92.1% | 93.8% | 33.0% |
| MTUM | Momentum | 43.9 | 42.9 | -7.6 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 29.6% | -13.5% | -12.3% | 1.1 | 99.2% | 83.4% | 39.9% |
| QUAL | Quality | 55.1 | 61.8 | +6.5 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 21.2% | -0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3 | 82.5% | 85.8% | 10.2% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | 54.5 | 53.4 | -4.2 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 16.0% | -2.1% | 4.3% | 1.4 | 100.0% | 49.0% | 16.5% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | 53.0 | 52.2 | -5.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 10.5% | -2.0% | 2.9% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 40.3% | 15.6% |
Growth / Tech Leadership
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | 46.7 | 45.9 | -1.7 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 38.0% | -11.2% | -7.1% | 1.6 | 98.8% | 90.8% | 34.3% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 42.3 | 40.9 | -6.9 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 90.4% | -19.4% | -17.3% | 1.0 | 98.0% | 71.4% | 52.2% |
| IGV | Software | 55.0 | 55.7 | +19.0 pts | Neutral | Repairing | RS repairing | 25.0% | -20.8% | 3.7% | 0.9 | 32.9% | 90.7% | 23.7% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 62.4 | 61.7 | +18.5 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 41.2% | -5.8% | 10.0% | 1.1 | 46.4% | 96.5% | 26.9% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 47.7 | 47.9 | +0.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 61.0% | -10.7% | -1.1% | 0.5 | 52.0% | 94.8% | 38.1% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | 44.7 | 43.4 | -1.2 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 26.8% | -11.2% | -7.2% | 0.9 | 99.6% | 86.9% | 31.3% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 44.3 | 42.7 | +1.3 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 35.1% | -16.3% | -9.9% | 0.9 | 96.4% | 96.0% | 37.1% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 42.5 | 40.7 | +1.7 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 56.7% | -16.7% | -14.6% | 0.9 | 97.6% | 89.7% | 40.3% |
| ROBO | Robotics | 45.1 | 43.0 | +4.1 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 27.7% | -13.0% | -7.6% | 0.6 | 94.8% | 81.3% | 34.4% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | 47.1 | 46.1 | +0.6 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 54.6% | -12.6% | -4.2% | 0.6 | 94.4% | 98.3% | 24.3% |
| PNQI | Internet | 56.5 | 56.1 | +14.8 pts | Neutral | Repairing | RS repairing | 13.5% | -14.7% | 7.5% | 0.6 | 54.0% | 98.3% | 22.6% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | 59.4 | 57.3 | +3.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 40.0% | -1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4 | 42.9% | 92.8% | 16.3% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | 41.7 | 39.0 | +0.5 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 14.8% | -21.2% | -9.2% | 1.0 | 58.7% | 93.6% | 35.7% |
| UFO | Space | 38.9 | 37.6 | +2.7 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 49.3% | -35.3% | -12.9% | 0.5 | 40.1% | 94.4% | 27.9% |
| PEJ | Leisure | 58.1 | 56.8 | +8.6 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 20.8% | -1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5 | 77.4% | 45.2% | 16.8% |
Cyclical Sectors
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | 44.2 | 43.1 | +16.6 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 6.6% | -9.4% | -3.5% | 0.9 | 27.0% | 69.7% | 22.4% |
| XLC | Communication Services | 40.8 | 41.9 | +7.1 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 1.7% | -10.7% | 0.2% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 94.0% | 22.3% |
| XLE | Energy | 61.0 | 58.3 | -8.2 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 44.3% | -5.1% | 11.8% | 0.8 | 49.6% | 86.6% | 20.8% |
| XLF | Financials | 63.0 | 63.7 | +1.0 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 19.6% | -1.0% | 7.1% | 0.9 | 69.4% | 94.2% | 14.4% |
| XLI | Industrials | 46.3 | 46.3 | -14.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 21.7% | -3.9% | -3.0% | 1.1 | 72.6% | 77.3% | 16.7% |
| XLB | Materials | 54.6 | 54.9 | +5.6 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 23.9% | -2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9 | 75.8% | 35.3% | 19.0% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | 41.4 | 41.5 | -6.9 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 10.3% | -13.5% | -8.9% | 1.5 | 77.4% | 37.2% | 26.9% |
Defensive Sectors
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | 53.4 | 52.8 | +3.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 15.4% | -3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4 | 98.0% | 44.5% | 21.5% |
| XLV | Health Care | 57.6 | 55.9 | -2.5 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 29.0% | -2.2% | 3.8% | 1.2 | 96.4% | 79.7% | 21.4% |
| XLU | Utilities | 43.4 | 45.6 | -13.7 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 11.1% | -5.2% | -0.8% | 1.3 | 84.9% | 34.5% | 16.2% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | 53.5 | 52.4 | -3.0 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 15.3% | -1.5% | 3.6% | 1.4 | 97.6% | 33.0% | 15.9% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | 40.6 | 38.1 | -4.3 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 77.3% | -16.9% | -9.3% | 1.1 | 68.3% | 93.8% | 30.9% |
| SOCL | Social Media | 54.2 | 54.4 | +10.6 pts | Neutral | Repairing | RS repairing | 11.4% | -25.9% | 6.1% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 100.0% | 22.4% |
| HERO | Video Games | 71.9 | 71.8 | +30.5 pts | Extended | Repairing | RS repairing | 15.2% | -20.2% | 9.9% | 1.8 | 77.0% | 68.7% | 22.2% |
| XES | Oil Services | 41.8 | 41.3 | -10.1 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 71.3% | -19.1% | -3.1% | 0.5 | 73.0% | 88.1% | 31.4% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | 61.8 | 60.7 | -7.3 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 46.9% | -6.6% | 14.1% | 0.5 | 69.4% | 93.6% | 29.5% |
| OIH | Oil Services | 45.3 | 45.1 | -5.0 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 63.7% | -17.2% | 1.7% | 0.6 | 36.9% | 90.1% | 27.1% |
| CRAK | Refiners | 70.3 | 68.7 | -10.6 pts | Extended | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 72.6% | 0.0% | 22.0% | 1.5 | 93.7% | 88.7% | 22.5% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | 56.8 | 55.4 | -8.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 32.7% | -12.0% | 9.0% | 1.1 | 38.5% | 98.3% | 31.1% |
| COAL | Coal | 44.7 | 45.5 | -9.8 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 25.0% | -18.6% | 1.3% | 0.2 | 40.9% | 62.5% | 25.9% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | 45.3 | 44.3 | -3.2 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 13.5% | -16.3% | -5.7% | 1.5 | 94.4% | 99.0% | 32.8% |
| JETS | Airlines | 55.2 | 56.7 | +18.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 38.1% | -5.0% | -4.0% | 0.5 | 55.2% | 84.1% | 32.0% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | 45.9 | 45.0 | -13.4 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 25.7% | -6.3% | -4.1% | 0.6 | 81.3% | 68.4% | 21.4% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | 51.6 | 52.1 | -4.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 23.9% | -5.0% | -1.1% | 1.5 | 73.0% | 100.0% | 25.6% |
| XTN | Transportation | 35.3 | 34.5 | -15.2 pts | Soft | Fading | RS fading | 38.9% | -7.1% | -4.8% | 0.9 | 70.2% | 48.7% | 19.8% |
| CARZ | Autos | 43.6 | 42.0 | +1.2 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 67.0% | -16.9% | -13.0% | 0.3 | 97.6% | 100.0% | 43.0% |
| ITB | Home Construction | 45.5 | 45.6 | +1.4 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 10.9% | -18.0% | -8.0% | 0.6 | 72.6% | 34.0% | 30.9% |
Financial / Health Care Industries
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | 55.5 | 55.2 | -1.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 32.9% | -2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6 | 13.5% | 11.9% | 19.8% |
| IAK | Insurance | 56.5 | 55.0 | -1.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 20.5% | -2.9% | 5.7% | 1.2 | 98.4% | 36.2% | 24.9% |
| PSP | Private Equity | 62.3 | 66.3 | +11.2 pts | Strong | Repairing | RS repairing | 11.9% | -13.0% | 8.3% | 0.2 | 61.1% | 100.0% | 17.3% |
| IYG | Financial Services | 60.0 | 62.6 | +1.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 19.4% | -0.9% | 6.2% | 0.3 | 66.3% | 89.4% | 16.3% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | 50.5 | 51.3 | -4.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 18.4% | -4.8% | 7.3% | 0.4 | 50.4% | 83.1% | 23.4% |
| XBI | Biotech | 50.9 | 51.5 | -2.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 78.7% | -7.8% | -3.6% | 0.7 | 85.7% | 92.6% | 27.6% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 56.0 | 56.2 | -1.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 45.1% | -4.2% | 0.6% | 1.1 | 77.8% | 95.0% | 20.8% |
| IHF | Health Providers | 55.3 | 55.0 | -1.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 40.6% | -2.3% | 3.3% | 1.8 | 75.8% | 74.1% | 17.2% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | 59.3 | 57.5 | +9.7 pts | Neutral | Repairing | RS repairing | 11.1% | -17.9% | 7.5% | 0.8 | 77.4% | 52.7% | 34.0% |
| IHE | Pharma | 59.8 | 57.7 | -4.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 58.6% | -1.4% | 4.2% | 0.8 | 71.4% | 67.6% | 22.3% |
Rates / Credit
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | 56.3 | 51.2 | -3.6 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 3.5% | -0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8 | 20.6% | 53.2% | 1.3% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 58.5 | 51.5 | -3.2 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.1 | 30.2% | 25.0% | 1.3% |
| TIP | TIPS | 44.6 | 49.3 | -2.4 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.6% | -1.2% | 0.1% | 1.3 | 26.2% | 33.3% | 2.6% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | 44.3 | 48.4 | -1.4 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.1% | -3.3% | -0.4% | 0.8 | 15.1% | 47.5% | 4.1% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | 35.2 | 40.6 | -4.4 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.5% | -7.1% | -3.2% | 1.7 | 14.3% | 74.0% | 8.5% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | 42.5 | 48.1 | -1.9 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.7% | -2.4% | -0.4% | 1.0 | 12.7% | 49.5% | 3.6% |
| CWB | Convertibles | 44.0 | 41.6 | -5.5 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 22.7% | -8.4% | -5.1% | 0.8 | 97.6% | 95.7% | 20.9% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | 55.6 | 55.3 | +6.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 8.6% | -2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7 | 86.5% | 80.0% | 6.6% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | 41.4 | 46.1 | -1.4 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 7.0% | -2.0% | -0.6% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 91.8% | 5.0% |
| HYG | High Yield | 49.2 | 50.5 | -2.6 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS repairing | 4.9% | -0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0 | 67.9% | 81.4% | 2.8% |
| LQD | IG Credit | 37.9 | 45.3 | -1.5 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.0% | -3.0% | -1.4% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 45.1% | 4.9% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | 52.5 | 50.9 | -4.5 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS repairing | 3.0% | -0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8 | 41.3% | 0.0% | 1.7% |
| MBB | MBS | 44.7 | 48.5 | -1.1 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 4.6% | -2.0% | -0.3% | 0.9 | 33.3% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| PFF | Preferreds | 49.8 | 50.8 | +4.4 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 3.8% | -3.2% | 1.0% | 1.1 | 95.2% | 100.0% | 9.2% |
Metals / Miners
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | 45.0 | 44.2 | -0.7 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 41.2% | -23.3% | -4.1% | 1.3 | 79.4% | 95.5% | 36.5% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | 53.2 | 53.9 | +2.0 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 90.3% | -16.9% | 4.0% | 1.2 | 77.4% | 91.4% | 48.5% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | 61.3 | 62.0 | -1.4 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 40.6% | -3.7% | 5.3% | 0.3 | 85.3% | 96.1% | 13.8% |
| WOOD | Timber | 67.2 | 71.1 | +12.4 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 12.6% | -11.8% | 9.6% | 1.0 | 76.2% | 60.0% | 18.7% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | 51.5 | 51.9 | +4.0 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 49.8% | -33.7% | 2.5% | 1.1 | 64.3% | 98.8% | 43.6% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | 75.3 | 75.0 | -3.5 pts | Extended | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 192.5% | -1.5% | 56.2% | 1.1 | 84.5% | 97.9% | 306.8% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | 48.8 | 48.7 | +2.4 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 62.9% | -35.4% | -1.0% | 0.8 | 61.1% | 95.7% | 46.0% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | 47.4 | 47.2 | +1.7 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 75.1% | -38.1% | -3.1% | 1.0 | 56.7% | 99.6% | 51.7% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | 43.8 | 43.0 | -2.6 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 15.8% | -41.1% | -5.3% | 0.9 | 64.3% | 93.8% | 47.9% |
International Equity
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | 66.9 | 73.5 | +17.2 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 23.3% | -0.1% | 6.6% | 1.0 | 91.3% | 100.0% | 14.7% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 58.8 | 62.4 | +0.2 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 43.8% | -11.6% | 6.6% | 1.0 | 86.1% | 96.5% | 23.9% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | 72.4 | 69.7 | +11.1 pts | Extended | Repairing | RS repairing | 15.6% | -10.9% | 16.4% | 0.8 | 36.1% | 91.5% | 18.2% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 45.4 | 44.2 | -2.2 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 34.5% | -10.7% | -6.4% | 1.4 | 95.6% | 96.3% | 32.2% |
| EZU | Eurozone | 58.1 | 63.7 | +13.9 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 24.5% | -0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0 | 94.4% | 97.6% | 17.7% |
| INDA | India | 58.1 | 59.7 | +19.2 pts | Neutral | Repairing | RS repairing | 9.4% | -10.1% | 1.3% | 1.3 | 75.0% | 44.9% | 14.6% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 50.8 | 51.4 | -6.7 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 49.4% | -2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5 | 78.6% | 85.5% | 21.5% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | 69.0 | 70.8 | +13.7 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 26.4% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 0.7 | 83.7% | 94.8% | 15.5% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | 48.0 | 48.9 | -16.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 10.9% | -4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5 | 48.8% | 9.5% | 16.8% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 57.1 | 57.6 | +2.0 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 34.0% | -6.0% | 4.6% | 1.4 | 66.7% | 73.7% | 12.2% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 52.3 | 51.5 | -2.5 pts | Neutral | Repairing | Underperforming | 10.5% | -33.3% | 11.2% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 75.9% | 25.5% |
| DBC | Commodities | 55.6 | 54.5 | -15.9 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 40.2% | -7.5% | 10.7% | 0.6 | 7.9% | 48.3% | 24.9% |
| GSG | Commodities | 56.4 | 55.4 | -16.0 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 44.8% | -8.1% | 12.5% | 0.9 | 13.9% | 42.1% | 28.8% |
| USO | Oil | 54.2 | 53.9 | -17.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 92.7% | -16.7% | 20.6% | 0.5 | 25.4% | 23.1% | 63.2% |
| GLD | Gold | 50.3 | 50.7 | +4.6 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 25.3% | -23.9% | 3.1% | 0.9 | 56.3% | 82.9% | 22.0% |
| SLV | Silver | 47.3 | 47.2 | +6.0 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 60.6% | -49.3% | 0.7% | 1.0 | 48.4% | 96.3% | 39.1% |
| URA | Uranium | 42.7 | 41.5 | -1.8 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 14.2% | -35.7% | -8.5% | 1.0 | 78.2% | 93.2% | 47.7% |
| PLTM | Platinum | 51.2 | 51.6 | +9.1 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 27.4% | -40.5% | 7.1% | 1.1 | 60.7% | 87.5% | 32.6% |
| PALL | Palladium | 55.6 | 56.6 | +8.4 pts | Neutral | Repairing | RS repairing | 19.5% | -35.9% | 8.8% | 1.4 | 71.8% | 97.2% | 41.2% |
| CPER | Copper | 57.8 | 59.9 | +6.5 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 44.6% | -3.1% | 5.0% | 1.0 | 77.8% | 89.3% | 22.4% |
| UUP | US Dollar | 40.1 | 46.9 | -11.7 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS repairing | 7.3% | -1.6% | -0.3% | 2.2 | 97.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
ETF/SPY Ratio Candlestick Wall
This replaces the old top-side USD correlation tables with a cleaner visual read of ETF leadership versus SPY. Ratios are ETF price divided by SPY and scaled by 100; the 50D and 200D moving averages are calculated on full ratio history before the rolling 1.5-year chart window is displayed.
Core Index Beta
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
QQQ
Nasdaq 100
IWM
Russell 2000
OEF
S&P 100
RSP
Equal Weight S&P
XLG
Mega Cap
Style / Market Structure
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
MAGS
Magnificent 7
XMAG
Ex-Mag 7
VO
Mid Cap
IWF
Growth
IWD
Value
SPXT
Ex-Tech S&P
Factors / Risk Appetite
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
SPHB
High Beta
MTUM
Momentum
QUAL
Quality
SPHD
High Dividend Low Vol
SPLV
Low Vol
Growth / Tech Leadership
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
XLK
Technology
SMH
Semiconductors
IGV
Software
CLOU
Cloud
BUG
Cybersecurity
GRID
Smart Grid
AIQ
AI Theme
QTUM
Quantum/AI
ROBO
Robotics
NXTG
5G / Digital Infra
PNQI
Internet
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
PINK
Health Innovators
ARKK
Speculative Tech
UFO
Space
PEJ
Leisure
Cyclical Sectors
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
XLY
Consumer Discretionary
XLC
Communication Services
XLE
Energy
XLF
Financials
XLI
Industrials
XLB
Materials
XHB
Homebuilders
Defensive Sectors
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
XLP
Consumer Staples
XLV
Health Care
XLU
Utilities
XLRE
Real Estate
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
XTL
Telecom
SOCL
Social Media
HERO
Video Games
XES
Oil Services
XOP
Oil E&P
OIH
Oil Services
CRAK
Refiners
FCG
Natural Gas Equities
COAL
Coal
NUKZ
Nuclear
JETS
Airlines
PAVE
Infrastructure
ITA
Aerospace & Defense
XTN
Transportation
CARZ
Autos
ITB
Home Construction
Financial / Health Care Industries
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
KRE
Regional Banks
IAK
Insurance
PSP
Private Equity
IYG
Financial Services
IAI
Broker Dealers
XBI
Biotech
IBB
Biotech Large Cap
IHF
Health Providers
IHI
Medical Devices
IHE
Pharma
Rates / Credit
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
STIP
Short TIPS
SHY
1-3Y Treasury
TIP
TIPS
IEF
7-10Y Treasury
TLT
20Y Treasury
AGG
Aggregate Bonds
CWB
Convertibles
EMLC
EM Local Debt
EMB
EM USD Debt
HYG
High Yield
LQD
IG Credit
BKLN
Bank Loans
MBB
MBS
PFF
Preferreds
Metals / Miners
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
XME
Metals & Mining
COPX
Copper Miners
HAP
Hard Assets
WOOD
Timber
GDX
Gold Miners
GDXJ
Junior Gold Miners
SIL
Silver Miners
SILJ
Junior Silver Miners
URNM
Uranium Miners
International Equity
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
EWA
Australia
EWZ
Brazil
FXI
China Large Cap
EEM
Emerging Markets
EZU
Eurozone
INDA
India
DXJ
Japan Hedged
EWU
United Kingdom
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Each chart is a rolling 1.5-year ETF/SPY ratio candlestick with 50D and 200D moving averages. Rising ratios mean the ETF is outperforming SPY; falling ratios mean it is lagging SPY.
DBA
Agriculture
DBB
Base Metals
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
DBC
Commodities
GSG
Commodities
USO
Oil
GLD
Gold
SLV
Silver
URA
Uranium
PLTM
Platinum
PALL
Palladium
CPER
Copper
UUP
US Dollar
Recent Regime History
Each run appends one snapshot per ETF to the local history file, then this table summarizes the last 20 run dates.
| Run Date | Market Date | % > 50D | % > 200D | % RS > SPY | Median RSI | Median DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-02 | 51.3% | 74.3% | 48.7% | 49.1 | -6.0% |
| 2026-07-06 | 2026-07-06 | 63.7% | 75.2% | 46.9% | 52.2 | -5.0% |
| 2026-07-07 | 2026-07-07 | 47.8% | 72.6% | 43.4% | 50.4 | -6.1% |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-08 | 46.0% | 69.0% | 39.8% | 48.3 | -6.4% |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-09 | 53.1% | 71.7% | 37.2% | 50.6 | -5.6% |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-10 | 56.6% | 71.7% | 31.0% | 51.8 | -5.3% |
| 2026-07-12 | 2026-07-10 | 56.6% | 71.7% | 31.9% | 51.8 | -5.3% |
| 2026-07-13 | 2026-07-13 | 46.0% | 69.9% | 31.0% | 49.5 | -6.3% |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-14 | 54.9% | 70.8% | 26.5% | 51.1 | -6.0% |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-15 | 54.9% | 71.7% | 40.7% | 51.1 | -5.9% |
| 2026-07-16 | 2026-07-16 | 54.0% | 69.9% | 42.5% | 53.2 | -6.0% |
| 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-17 | 46.0% | 68.1% | 43.4% | 48.8 | -7.1% |
| 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-20 | 42.5% | 67.3% | 51.3% | 47.1 | -7.4% |
| 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-21 | 46.9% | 68.1% | 48.7% | 50.2 | -6.4% |
| 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-22 | 45.1% | 69.0% | 46.0% | 49.7 | -6.2% |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-23 | 39.8% | 67.3% | 44.2% | 46.2 | -7.0% |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-27 | 50.4% | 68.1% | 41.6% | 49.6 | -7.8% |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-07-28 | 50.4% | 69.9% | 42.5% | 49.7 | -7.7% |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-07-29 | 46.9% | 65.5% | 61.9% | 46.7 | -7.2% |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-07-30 | 53.1% | 68.1% | 59.3% | 50.8 | -6.7% |
Inverted USD And ETF Trend Breadth
The teal line is ETF breadth. Macro overlays are rebased to 100 on the first available October 2024 observation. USD, 10Y, and WTI are inverted, so a rising macro line means weaker dollar, lower yield pressure, or lower oil pressure.
AAII Bull-Bear Spread And Weekly Shock
This recreates the AAII sentiment view in the house style: SPY price on top, AAII bull-bear spread in the middle, and the 1-week percentage-point change below. The component charts underneath show bullish and bearish sentiment with 4-week moving averages so the PM can separate one-week noise from trend.
Latest survey week: 2026-07-02
Week-over-week change in bull minus bear spread.
Bullish respondents, percent of survey.
Bearish respondents, percent of survey.
History starts 1987-08-07; 2,028 rows.
Cache / Download Notes
- Repaired 7 OHLC cache rows with invalid open/high/low values before charting: DBB, IAK, OIH, PEJ, XES, XTL, XTN.
USD, Oil, And 10Y Before Volatility
Macro drivers are shown before VIX/MOVE so the ETF tape is framed by dollar pressure, crude impulse, and rates direction first.
DX-Y.NYB | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses price returns.
CL=F | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses price returns.
^TNX | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses basis-point yield changes.
DXY, USD Futures Positioning, And SOFR Positioning
This recreates the institutional dollar-positioning read in the house style: DXY price on top, broad USD futures positioning in the middle, and 3-month SOFR leveraged-money positioning underneath. Positive USD positioning means non-commercial futures are net long USD after FX legs are converted to USD notional and sign-flipped. Negative SOFR positioning means leveraged accounts are short SOFR futures, typically a hawkish/rate-up bet.
Current Read
Latest broad USD net 43.3B as of 2026-07-21; SOFR leveraged-money net -2.69M as of 2026-07-21.
USD Panel
Broad USD net aggregates major FX futures, converts contracts into USD notional, and flips foreign-currency longs into USD shorts.
SOFR Panel
SOFR uses CFTC leveraged-money long minus short contracts. Large negative readings flag heavy short-rate-futures exposure.
VIX And MOVE Before The ETF Tape
A quick volatility and rates-volatility check before the sleeve chart run. These are candle-only views with RSI context, no moving-average overlays or right-side return panel.
Daily and weekly volatility/risk tape. These charts intentionally exclude moving-average overlays and stat panels.
Daily and weekly volatility/risk tape. These charts intentionally exclude moving-average overlays and stat panels.
Core Index Beta
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Core Index Beta | latest close 741.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 683.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 292.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 365.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 215.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 60.13 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 63.92 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 25.37 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 80.99 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 117.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 250.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 108.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 139.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 298.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 218.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 52.45 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 76.38 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 175.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 538.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 93.31 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 24.85 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 37.51 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 176.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 58.69 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 140.3 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 78.58 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 145.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 48.68 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 39.54 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 72.90 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 43.82 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 67.05 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 112.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 106.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 58.96 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 57.00 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 178.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 51.64 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 104.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 85.47 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 163.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 44.66 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 45.30 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 204.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 46.19 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 27.04 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 107.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 174.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 375.8 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 55.82 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 28.80 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 23.10 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 63.81 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 31.68 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 56.10 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 238.1 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 109.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 102.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 95.47 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 75.90 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 147.6 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 59.92 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 95.46 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 186.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 151.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 190.0 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 56.75 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 52.74 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 102.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Rates / Credit | latest close 101.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 82.01 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 107.7 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 93.21 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 82.80 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 97.62 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 101.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 25.51 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 94.79 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 79.47 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 106.4 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 20.38 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 93.29 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 30.44 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Metals / Miners | latest close 101.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 79.50 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 71.78 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 72.08 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 76.78 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 99.04 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 76.19 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 24.95 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 49.45 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
International Equity | latest close 29.82 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 36.53 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 36.52 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 63.59 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 69.65 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 49.70 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 174.9 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 48.68 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 27.48 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 25.04 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 64,679.0 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 29.32 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 31.95 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 127.5 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 377.2 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 53.50 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 39.72 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 15.89 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 23.85 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 39.34 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 28.14 on 2026-07-30. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Correlation And Factor Regime Appendix
This section asks whether each ETF is trading on its own sleeve theme or simply behaving like market beta, growth beta, credit risk, USD, rates, oil, gold, VIX, or MOVE. Correlations use daily returns except 10Y/VIX/MOVE, where daily level changes are used. Z-scores compare the current 63D correlation against each ETF's own rolling history.
ETFs with 63D correlation to SPY at or above +0.85. High counts mean the tape is behaving more like one macro block.
63D corr 0.97 | High positive SPY linkage
3M change -0.83 | current corr -0.28
Correlation z-score -6.49 | Gold relationship shifted
Current 63D Factor Correlation By Sleeve
Sleeve medians reduce single-ETF noise and show which parts of the book are currently most exposed to macro factors.
| Sleeve | ETFs | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Core Index Beta | 6 | 0.92 | 0.88 | 0.74 | -0.08 | -0.40 | -0.43 | -0.35 | 0.60 | -0.78 | -0.34 |
| Style / Market Structure | 6 | 0.79 | 0.66 | 0.71 | -0.15 | -0.36 | -0.47 | -0.35 | 0.57 | -0.68 | -0.33 |
| Factors / Risk Appetite | 5 | 0.75 | 0.81 | 0.71 | -0.05 | -0.27 | -0.26 | -0.20 | 0.47 | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| Growth / Tech Leadership | 11 | 0.81 | 0.89 | 0.72 | -0.07 | -0.29 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.53 | -0.65 | -0.20 |
| Thematic / Speculative Growth | 4 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.52 | -0.23 | -0.36 | -0.43 | -0.35 | 0.41 | -0.36 | -0.37 |
| Cyclical Sectors | 7 | 0.52 | 0.33 | 0.61 | -0.23 | -0.24 | -0.46 | -0.41 | 0.29 | -0.43 | -0.37 |
| Defensive Sectors | 4 | -0.11 | -0.35 | 0.10 | -0.08 | -0.05 | -0.15 | -0.18 | 0.01 | 0.07 | -0.18 |
| Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 16 | 0.45 | 0.33 | 0.48 | -0.06 | -0.28 | -0.30 | -0.16 | 0.32 | -0.37 | -0.21 |
| Financial / Health Care Industries | 10 | 0.25 | 0.07 | 0.42 | -0.11 | -0.21 | -0.27 | -0.30 | 0.21 | -0.23 | -0.23 |
| Rates / Credit | 14 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.68 | -0.45 | -0.47 | -0.75 | -0.50 | 0.48 | -0.49 | -0.60 |
| Metals / Miners | 9 | 0.68 | 0.64 | 0.65 | -0.11 | -0.55 | -0.41 | -0.21 | 0.69 | -0.58 | -0.40 |
| International Equity | 8 | 0.61 | 0.49 | 0.62 | -0.12 | -0.49 | -0.43 | -0.30 | 0.58 | -0.56 | -0.33 |
| Commodities / Crypto / USD | 13 | 0.55 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 0.04 | -0.40 | -0.25 | -0.13 | 0.57 | -0.45 | -0.27 |
Most Unusual Correlation Links
Largest absolute 63D correlation z-scores across the ETF universe. This is the fastest way to spot factor relationships that are unusually strong or unusually inverse versus each ETF's own history.
| Ticker | Name | Factor | 63D | Z | Δ3M | 21D | 126D | Beta | N | PM Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | Gold | -0.18 | -6.49 | -0.99 | -0.36 | -0.01 | -2.0 | 63 | Gold relationship shifted |
| PNQI | Internet | QQQ | 0.14 | -5.53 | -0.64 | -0.10 | 0.42 | 0.1 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| PNQI | Internet | SPY | 0.35 | -5.06 | -0.41 | 0.23 | 0.58 | 0.6 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | IWM | 0.69 | -4.97 | -0.19 | 0.38 | 0.80 | 0.4 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | SPY | 0.50 | -4.81 | -0.40 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 0.4 | 63 | Extreme positive SPY linkage |
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | QQQ | 0.66 | -4.57 | -0.26 | 0.58 | 0.76 | 0.6 | 63 | Extreme positive QQQ linkage |
| PEJ | Leisure | IWM | 0.41 | -4.49 | -0.41 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 0.4 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | IWM | 0.46 | -4.29 | -0.34 | 0.33 | 0.65 | 0.3 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| PEJ | Leisure | SPY | 0.24 | -4.28 | -0.56 | 0.02 | 0.57 | 0.3 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| XLC | Communication Services | QQQ | 0.12 | -4.21 | -0.50 | -0.12 | 0.33 | 0.1 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | QQQ | 0.20 | -4.10 | -0.62 | -0.01 | 0.48 | 0.1 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| PEJ | Leisure | QQQ | 0.06 | -3.75 | -0.65 | -0.27 | 0.37 | 0.0 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| XLF | Financials | IWM | 0.27 | -3.74 | -0.40 | 0.46 | 0.51 | 0.2 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| XLC | Communication Services | SPY | 0.37 | -3.73 | -0.32 | 0.19 | 0.52 | 0.5 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| IYG | Financial Services | IWM | 0.39 | -3.66 | -0.33 | 0.60 | 0.59 | 0.3 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| IWF | Growth | QQQ | 0.89 | -3.63 | -0.08 | 0.98 | 0.92 | 0.7 | 63 | Extreme positive QQQ linkage |
| OEF | S&P 100 | QQQ | 0.89 | -3.60 | -0.07 | 0.83 | 0.91 | 0.5 | 63 | Extreme positive QQQ linkage |
| IHI | Medical Devices | QQQ | -0.28 | -3.55 | -0.83 | -0.42 | 0.01 | -0.3 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| IHI | Medical Devices | SPY | -0.04 | -3.49 | -0.67 | -0.11 | 0.24 | -0.1 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| XLV | Health Care | SPY | -0.13 | -3.46 | -0.70 | -0.28 | 0.20 | -0.2 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| HERO | Video Games | IWM | 0.18 | -3.42 | -0.41 | 0.08 | 0.42 | 0.2 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| XLG | Mega Cap | QQQ | 0.88 | -3.40 | -0.07 | 0.92 | 0.90 | 0.6 | 63 | Extreme positive QQQ linkage |
| PNQI | Internet | IWM | 0.17 | -3.38 | -0.43 | 0.17 | 0.41 | 0.2 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| IAK | Insurance | VIX | 0.43 | 3.38 | 0.59 | 0.44 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 63 | VIX relationship shifted |
| IGV | Software | QQQ | 0.24 | -3.36 | -0.29 | 0.11 | 0.37 | 0.3 | 63 | Moderate positive QQQ linkage |
| HERO | Video Games | QQQ | 0.25 | -3.35 | -0.42 | -0.00 | 0.44 | 0.2 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| PEJ | Leisure | VIX | -0.23 | 3.33 | 0.46 | -0.05 | -0.52 | -0.0 | 63 | VIX relationship shifted |
| SPLV | Low Vol | IWM | -0.12 | -3.27 | -0.42 | -0.33 | 0.07 | -0.1 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| XLV | Health Care | QQQ | -0.35 | -3.15 | -0.80 | -0.60 | -0.04 | -0.3 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| SPLV | Low Vol | VIX | 0.22 | 3.14 | 0.49 | 0.26 | -0.03 | 0.0 | 63 | VIX relationship shifted |
| IAK | Insurance | IWM | -0.26 | -3.13 | -0.45 | -0.34 | -0.05 | -0.3 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| IAK | Insurance | SPY | -0.42 | -3.12 | -0.63 | -0.42 | -0.13 | -0.6 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | USD | 0.06 | 3.11 | 0.49 | 0.25 | -0.02 | 1.6 | 63 | USD relationship shifted |
| IHI | Medical Devices | IWM | -0.00 | -3.08 | -0.61 | -0.07 | 0.26 | -0.0 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | IWM | 0.44 | -3.07 | -0.28 | 0.49 | 0.60 | 0.5 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | VIX | -0.46 | 3.05 | 0.33 | -0.42 | -0.65 | -0.0 | 63 | Extreme negative VIX linkage |
| STIP | Short TIPS | HYG/LQD | -0.11 | 3.05 | 0.26 | -0.07 | -0.25 | -0.1 | 63 | Low factor linkage |
| HERO | Video Games | VIX | -0.20 | 3.04 | 0.35 | -0.06 | -0.42 | -0.0 | 63 | Low factor linkage |
| SPLV | Low Vol | SPY | -0.28 | -3.02 | -0.55 | -0.32 | -0.04 | -0.3 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | IWM | 0.01 | -3.01 | -0.29 | -0.27 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 63 | Low factor linkage |
| XLF | Financials | VIX | -0.23 | 3.01 | 0.38 | -0.44 | -0.47 | -0.0 | 63 | VIX relationship shifted |
| XLRE | Real Estate | VIX | 0.12 | 2.99 | 0.57 | 0.24 | -0.20 | 0.0 | 63 | VIX relationship shifted |
| XLF | Financials | SPY | 0.25 | -2.98 | -0.45 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.3 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| KRE | Regional Banks | IWM | 0.48 | -2.98 | -0.17 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 0.5 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| CLOU | Cloud | QQQ | 0.16 | -2.97 | -0.26 | -0.12 | 0.26 | 0.2 | 63 | Low factor linkage |
| IWF | Growth | SPY | 0.89 | -2.96 | -0.08 | 0.91 | 0.93 | 1.3 | 63 | Extreme positive SPY linkage |
| HERO | Video Games | SPY | 0.32 | -2.96 | -0.30 | 0.06 | 0.50 | 0.5 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| PNQI | Internet | VIX | -0.36 | 2.96 | 0.26 | -0.20 | -0.51 | -0.0 | 63 | Moderate negative VIX linkage |
| XLRE | Real Estate | SPY | -0.10 | -2.96 | -0.59 | -0.26 | 0.19 | -0.1 | 63 | SPY relationship shifted |
| XLV | Health Care | VIX | 0.02 | 2.95 | 0.56 | 0.23 | -0.26 | 0.0 | 63 | VIX relationship shifted |
| XLV | Health Care | IWM | 0.07 | -2.95 | -0.46 | -0.10 | 0.28 | 0.1 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| IGV | Software | SPY | 0.31 | -2.93 | -0.19 | 0.27 | 0.41 | 0.8 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| XLP | Consumer Staples | IWM | -0.25 | -2.93 | -0.41 | -0.37 | -0.04 | -0.2 | 63 | IWM relationship shifted |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | Gold | 0.50 | 2.89 | 0.34 | 0.65 | 0.24 | 0.7 | 63 | Extreme positive Gold linkage |
| CLOU | Cloud | IWM | 0.10 | -2.89 | -0.24 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 0.2 | 63 | Low factor linkage |
| PEJ | Leisure | HYG/LQD | -0.42 | -2.86 | -0.55 | -0.21 | -0.08 | -2.5 | 63 | HYG/LQD relationship shifted |
| SPLV | Low Vol | QQQ | -0.54 | -2.86 | -0.66 | -0.66 | -0.30 | -0.3 | 63 | Extreme negative QQQ linkage |
| XLRE | Real Estate | QQQ | -0.34 | -2.85 | -0.69 | -0.58 | -0.05 | -0.2 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| CLOU | Cloud | MOVE | 0.13 | 2.81 | 0.34 | 0.22 | -0.08 | 0.0 | 63 | Low factor linkage |
| JETS | Airlines | HYG/LQD | -0.46 | -2.80 | -0.56 | -0.35 | -0.14 | -5.5 | 63 | Extreme negative HYG/LQD linkage |
Primary Factor By ETF
Primary factor is the highest absolute current 63D correlation for each ETF. The table keeps 21D, 63D, and 126D side by side so the PM can see whether the relationship is new, persistent, or fading.
| Ticker | Name | Group | Primary | 21D | 63D | 126D | Z | Δ3M | Beta | N | PM Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | Core Index Beta | QQQ | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.92 | -1.17 | -0.05 | 0.5 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | Cyclical Sectors | SPY | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.79 | -1.97 | -0.15 | 1.1 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| XLP | Consumer Staples | Defensive Sectors | QQQ | -0.63 | -0.51 | -0.28 | -2.59 | -0.56 | -0.4 | 63 | Extreme negative QQQ linkage |
| XLC | Communication Services | Cyclical Sectors | Oil | -0.54 | -0.38 | -0.31 | -1.49 | -0.08 | -0.1 | 63 | Moderate negative Oil linkage |
| XLE | Energy | Cyclical Sectors | Oil | 0.80 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 1.32 | 0.20 | 0.3 | 63 | Moderate positive Oil linkage |
| XLF | Financials | Cyclical Sectors | Oil | -0.61 | -0.41 | -0.35 | -1.53 | -0.11 | -0.1 | 63 | Moderate negative Oil linkage |
| XLV | Health Care | Defensive Sectors | QQQ | -0.60 | -0.35 | -0.04 | -3.15 | -0.80 | -0.3 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| XLI | Industrials | Cyclical Sectors | IWM | 0.59 | 0.70 | 0.76 | -2.60 | -0.12 | 0.8 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| XLK | Technology | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 1.3 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| XLB | Materials | Cyclical Sectors | IWM | 0.21 | 0.61 | 0.62 | -1.51 | -0.02 | 0.7 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| XLRE | Real Estate | Defensive Sectors | QQQ | -0.58 | -0.34 | -0.05 | -2.85 | -0.69 | -0.2 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| XLU | Utilities | Defensive Sectors | MOVE | -0.02 | -0.21 | -0.23 | -0.03 | 0.06 | -0.0 | 63 | Moderate negative MOVE linkage |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | Factors / Risk Appetite | QQQ | -0.63 | -0.46 | -0.26 | -2.51 | -0.52 | -0.3 | 63 | Extreme negative QQQ linkage |
| IWF | Growth | Style / Market Structure | SPY | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.93 | -2.96 | -0.08 | 1.3 | 63 | Extreme positive SPY linkage |
| SPHB | High Beta | Factors / Risk Appetite | QQQ | 0.96 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 1.19 | 0.03 | 1.3 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| SPLV | Low Vol | Factors / Risk Appetite | QQQ | -0.66 | -0.54 | -0.30 | -2.86 | -0.66 | -0.3 | 63 | Extreme negative QQQ linkage |
| OEF | S&P 100 | Core Index Beta | SPY | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.98 | -0.82 | -0.01 | 1.1 | 63 | High positive SPY linkage |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | Core Index Beta | SPY | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.92 | -1.17 | -0.05 | 1.7 | 63 | High positive SPY linkage |
| VO | Mid Cap | Style / Market Structure | IWM | 0.78 | 0.85 | 0.90 | -2.05 | -0.08 | 0.5 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| MTUM | Momentum | Factors / Risk Appetite | QQQ | 0.89 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.14 | -0.01 | 1.4 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| QUAL | Quality | Factors / Risk Appetite | SPY | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.94 | -2.63 | -0.05 | 0.8 | 63 | Extreme positive SPY linkage |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | Core Index Beta | SPY | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.85 | -0.04 | -0.10 | 1.1 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| IWD | Value | Style / Market Structure | IWM | 0.40 | 0.78 | 0.84 | -2.80 | -0.12 | 0.5 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| EWA | Australia | International Equity | USD | -0.62 | -0.70 | -0.70 | -1.08 | -0.01 | -2.8 | 63 | Moderate negative USD linkage |
| EWZ | Brazil | International Equity | IWM | 0.45 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.11 | 0.8 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| FXI | China Large Cap | International Equity | USD | -0.17 | -0.43 | -0.48 | -1.01 | 0.09 | -1.9 | 63 | Moderate negative USD linkage |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | International Equity | QQQ | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 1.66 | 0.09 | 1.3 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| EZU | Eurozone | International Equity | SPY | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.70 | -0.05 | 1.2 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| INDA | India | International Equity | IWM | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.63 | 1.20 | 0.04 | 0.6 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | International Equity | QQQ | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.59 | 0.94 | 0.16 | 0.5 | 63 | Moderate positive QQQ linkage |
| EWU | United Kingdom | International Equity | USD | -0.58 | -0.69 | -0.59 | -1.19 | -0.16 | -2.4 | 63 | Moderate negative USD linkage |
| STIP | Short TIPS | Rates / Credit | USD | -0.59 | -0.48 | -0.25 | -0.54 | -0.41 | -0.2 | 63 | USD relationship shifted |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.72 | -0.75 | -0.81 | 0.36 | 0.10 | -0.0 | 63 | Moderate negative 10Y linkage |
| TIP | TIPS | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.73 | -0.75 | -0.77 | 1.10 | 0.04 | -0.0 | 63 | Moderate negative 10Y linkage |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.87 | -0.93 | -0.94 | 0.81 | 0.01 | -0.1 | 63 | High negative 10Y linkage |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.70 | -0.86 | -0.86 | 0.63 | -0.01 | -0.1 | 63 | High negative 10Y linkage |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.81 | -0.89 | -0.91 | 1.07 | 0.03 | -0.1 | 63 | High negative 10Y linkage |
| CWB | Convertibles | Rates / Credit | QQQ | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 1.08 | 0.02 | 0.7 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | Rates / Credit | SPY | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.73 | 1.82 | 0.07 | 0.4 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.60 | -0.81 | -0.77 | -0.61 | -0.06 | -0.1 | 63 | High negative 10Y linkage |
| HYG | High Yield | Rates / Credit | IWM | 0.67 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.94 | 0.02 | 0.2 | 63 | High positive IWM linkage |
| LQD | IG Credit | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.75 | -0.86 | -0.83 | 0.03 | -0.05 | -0.1 | 63 | High negative 10Y linkage |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | Rates / Credit | VIX | -0.16 | -0.51 | -0.59 | 0.52 | 0.12 | -0.0 | 63 | Moderate negative VIX linkage |
| MBB | MBS | Rates / Credit | 10Y | -0.79 | -0.89 | -0.90 | 0.39 | 0.02 | -0.1 | 63 | High negative 10Y linkage |
| PFF | Preferreds | Rates / Credit | SPY | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 1.13 | -0.04 | 0.5 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| DBA | Agriculture | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Oil | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.19 | -0.16 | 0.0 | 63 | Low factor linkage |
| DBB | Base Metals | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Gold | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 1.65 | -0.03 | 0.5 | 63 | Moderate positive Gold linkage |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Gold | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.24 | 2.89 | 0.34 | 0.7 | 63 | Extreme positive Gold linkage |
| DBC | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Oil | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.18 | 0.4 | 63 | High positive Oil linkage |
| USO | Oil | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Oil | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.90 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 0.9 | 63 | High positive Oil linkage |
| GLD | Gold | Commodities / Crypto / USD | SPY | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.43 | 1.95 | 0.33 | 1.2 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| UUP | US Dollar | Commodities / Crypto / USD | USD | 0.98 | 0.96 | 0.95 | -0.14 | 0.01 | 1.1 | 63 | High positive USD linkage |
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | Style / Market Structure | SPY | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.84 | -1.22 | -0.13 | 1.4 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | Style / Market Structure | QQQ | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.50 | -0.01 | 0.5 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| XLG | Mega Cap | Core Index Beta | SPY | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.96 | -0.55 | -0.02 | 1.1 | 63 | High positive SPY linkage |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | Core Index Beta | SPY | 0.34 | 0.69 | 0.78 | -1.98 | -0.16 | 0.6 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | Style / Market Structure | Oil | -0.69 | -0.57 | -0.54 | -1.89 | -0.04 | -0.1 | 63 | Moderate negative Oil linkage |
| SMH | Semiconductors | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 1.20 | 0.04 | 2.1 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| GSG | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Oil | 0.94 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 0.52 | 0.09 | 0.4 | 63 | High positive Oil linkage |
| GDX | Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | Gold | 0.88 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 1.68 | 0.04 | 1.9 | 63 | High positive Gold linkage |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | Oil | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 1.65 | 0.22 | 2.0 | 63 | Moderate positive Oil linkage |
| SIL | Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | Gold | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 1.82 | 0.01 | 2.1 | 63 | High positive Gold linkage |
| COPX | Copper Miners | Metals / Miners | Gold | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.74 | 1.74 | 0.06 | 1.8 | 63 | Moderate positive Gold linkage |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | Metals / Miners | Gold | 0.73 | 0.68 | 0.65 | 1.91 | 0.04 | 1.5 | 63 | Moderate positive Gold linkage |
| XME | Metals & Mining | Metals / Miners | IWM | 0.66 | 0.76 | 0.75 | 0.26 | 0.01 | 1.7 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| HAP | Hard Assets | Metals / Miners | Gold | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.98 | -0.12 | 0.4 | 63 | Moderate positive Gold linkage |
| WOOD | Timber | Metals / Miners | 10Y | -0.51 | -0.64 | -0.55 | -1.67 | -0.17 | -0.2 | 63 | Moderate negative 10Y linkage |
| XTL | Telecom | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | IWM | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.72 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 1.3 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| SOCL | Social Media | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | SPY | 0.29 | 0.56 | 0.69 | -0.82 | -0.25 | 1.1 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| HERO | Video Games | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | USD | -0.28 | -0.40 | -0.47 | -0.44 | 0.12 | -1.6 | 63 | Moderate negative USD linkage |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.97 | 0.02 | 1.2 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| XES | Oil Services | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | Oil | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.27 | -0.25 | 0.36 | 0.3 | 63 | Oil relationship shifted |
| XOP | Oil E&P | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | Oil | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 1.42 | 0.13 | 0.4 | 63 | Moderate positive Oil linkage |
| OIH | Oil Services | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | Oil | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.19 | -0.32 | 0.43 | 0.2 | 63 | Oil relationship shifted |
| CRAK | Refiners | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | Oil | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 1.19 | 0.09 | 0.2 | 63 | Moderate positive Oil linkage |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | Oil | 0.83 | 0.76 | 0.69 | 1.36 | 0.10 | 0.4 | 63 | Moderate positive Oil linkage |
| COAL | Coal | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | USD | -0.35 | -0.33 | -0.17 | -1.51 | -0.29 | -2.1 | 63 | Moderate negative USD linkage |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | IWM | 0.69 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 1.14 | -0.03 | 1.5 | 63 | High positive IWM linkage |
| JETS | Airlines | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | Oil | -0.88 | -0.78 | -0.66 | -2.12 | -0.20 | -0.5 | 63 | Extreme negative Oil linkage |
| KRE | Regional Banks | Financial / Health Care Industries | IWM | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.58 | -2.98 | -0.17 | 0.5 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| IAK | Insurance | Financial / Health Care Industries | QQQ | -0.64 | -0.60 | -0.36 | -2.74 | -0.65 | -0.5 | 63 | Extreme negative QQQ linkage |
| PSP | Private Equity | Financial / Health Care Industries | USD | -0.36 | -0.61 | -0.47 | -1.07 | -0.24 | -2.7 | 63 | Moderate negative USD linkage |
| IYG | Financial Services | Financial / Health Care Industries | Oil | -0.62 | -0.45 | -0.37 | -1.73 | -0.14 | -0.1 | 63 | Moderate negative Oil linkage |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | Financial / Health Care Industries | SPY | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.65 | -1.80 | -0.18 | 0.8 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | IWM | 0.65 | 0.75 | 0.78 | -2.64 | -0.07 | 1.0 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | IWM | 0.42 | 0.54 | 0.61 | -0.58 | -0.14 | 0.8 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| XTN | Transportation | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | IWM | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.66 | -2.07 | -0.04 | 0.9 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| CARZ | Autos | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | QQQ | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.93 | 1.56 | 0.06 | 1.7 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| IGV | Software | Growth / Tech Leadership | SPY | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.41 | -2.93 | -0.19 | 0.8 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| CLOU | Cloud | Growth / Tech Leadership | SPY | 0.02 | 0.22 | 0.30 | -2.74 | -0.16 | 0.6 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.34 | -2.22 | -0.08 | 0.5 | 63 | Moderate positive QQQ linkage |
| GRID | Smart Grid | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 1.13 | 0.08 | 1.1 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| PINK | Health Innovators | Thematic / Speculative Growth | IWM | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.66 | -1.91 | -0.35 | 0.4 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| XBI | Biotech | Financial / Health Care Industries | IWM | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0.65 | -1.62 | -0.21 | 0.9 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | Financial / Health Care Industries | IWM | 0.35 | 0.46 | 0.61 | -2.15 | -0.29 | 0.6 | 63 | Extreme positive IWM linkage |
| IHF | Health Providers | Financial / Health Care Industries | Oil | -0.31 | -0.21 | -0.15 | -0.96 | -0.11 | -0.1 | 63 | Moderate negative Oil linkage |
| IHI | Medical Devices | Financial / Health Care Industries | QQQ | -0.42 | -0.28 | 0.01 | -3.55 | -0.83 | -0.3 | 63 | QQQ relationship shifted |
| IHE | Pharma | Financial / Health Care Industries | 10Y | -0.09 | -0.25 | -0.35 | -0.42 | 0.22 | -0.1 | 63 | Moderate negative 10Y linkage |
| XHB | Homebuilders | Cyclical Sectors | 10Y | -0.44 | -0.74 | -0.63 | -1.68 | -0.23 | -0.4 | 63 | Moderate negative 10Y linkage |
| ITB | Home Construction | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 10Y | -0.50 | -0.73 | -0.63 | -1.53 | -0.20 | -0.4 | 63 | Moderate negative 10Y linkage |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | Thematic / Speculative Growth | SPY | 0.80 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.35 | -0.03 | 2.2 | 63 | Moderate positive SPY linkage |
| UFO | Space | Thematic / Speculative Growth | IWM | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.63 | -1.50 | -0.12 | 1.7 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| AIQ | AI Theme | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 1.5 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 1.6 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| PEJ | Leisure | Thematic / Speculative Growth | 10Y | -0.46 | -0.65 | -0.50 | -1.94 | -0.26 | -0.2 | 63 | Moderate negative 10Y linkage |
| PNQI | Internet | Growth / Tech Leadership | Oil | -0.63 | -0.37 | -0.31 | -1.60 | -0.10 | -0.2 | 63 | Moderate negative Oil linkage |
| ROBO | Robotics | Growth / Tech Leadership | QQQ | 0.87 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 1.36 | 0.08 | 1.2 | 63 | High positive QQQ linkage |
| SLV | Silver | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Gold | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 1.05 | -0.02 | 1.8 | 63 | High positive Gold linkage |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | Gold | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.85 | 1.80 | 0.01 | 2.2 | 63 | High positive Gold linkage |
| CPER | Copper | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Gold | 0.67 | 0.72 | 0.66 | 1.88 | 0.08 | 0.9 | 63 | Moderate positive Gold linkage |
| URA | Uranium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | IWM | 0.63 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 1.44 | -0.01 | 2.1 | 63 | Moderate positive IWM linkage |
| PLTM | Platinum | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Gold | 0.79 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 1.96 | 0.03 | 1.4 | 63 | High positive Gold linkage |
| PALL | Palladium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | Gold | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.72 | 1.71 | 0.03 | 1.3 | 63 | Moderate positive Gold linkage |
Core Index Beta
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | n/a | 0.92 | 0.79 | -0.09 | -0.44 | -0.45 | -0.34 | 0.65 | -0.83 | -0.35 |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 0.92 | n/a | 0.75 | -0.04 | -0.35 | -0.34 | -0.21 | 0.59 | -0.76 | -0.28 |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 0.79 | 0.75 | n/a | -0.27 | -0.39 | -0.63 | -0.44 | 0.58 | -0.69 | -0.48 |
| OEF | S&P 100 | 0.97 | 0.89 | 0.74 | -0.07 | -0.43 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.67 | -0.84 | -0.36 |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | 0.69 | 0.46 | 0.69 | -0.24 | -0.38 | -0.55 | -0.42 | 0.43 | -0.56 | -0.33 |
| XLG | Mega Cap | 0.95 | 0.88 | 0.64 | -0.01 | -0.42 | -0.32 | -0.29 | 0.62 | -0.80 | -0.29 |
Style / Market Structure
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | 0.77 | 0.66 | 0.48 | -0.02 | -0.34 | -0.33 | -0.38 | 0.51 | -0.67 | -0.36 |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.84 | -0.16 | -0.36 | -0.45 | -0.25 | 0.59 | -0.72 | -0.27 |
| VO | Mid Cap | 0.81 | 0.67 | 0.85 | -0.18 | -0.40 | -0.54 | -0.35 | 0.59 | -0.69 | -0.29 |
| IWF | Growth | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.64 | -0.06 | -0.35 | -0.34 | -0.29 | 0.58 | -0.77 | -0.25 |
| IWD | Value | 0.72 | 0.54 | 0.78 | -0.14 | -0.43 | -0.49 | -0.35 | 0.57 | -0.62 | -0.39 |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.46 | -0.16 | -0.33 | -0.49 | -0.57 | 0.40 | -0.46 | -0.41 |
Factors / Risk Appetite
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.82 | -0.15 | -0.33 | -0.41 | -0.26 | 0.59 | -0.72 | -0.28 |
| MTUM | Momentum | 0.75 | 0.90 | 0.71 | -0.04 | -0.27 | -0.26 | -0.08 | 0.47 | -0.60 | -0.19 |
| QUAL | Quality | 0.92 | 0.81 | 0.78 | -0.10 | -0.43 | -0.46 | -0.38 | 0.54 | -0.78 | -0.33 |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | -0.19 | -0.46 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.11 | -0.17 | -0.20 | -0.07 | 0.13 | -0.20 |
| SPLV | Low Vol | -0.28 | -0.54 | -0.12 | -0.04 | 0.05 | -0.08 | -0.18 | -0.18 | 0.22 | -0.07 |
Growth / Tech Leadership
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | 0.84 | 0.96 | 0.69 | -0.04 | -0.29 | -0.26 | -0.12 | 0.53 | -0.68 | -0.18 |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 0.79 | 0.94 | 0.72 | -0.04 | -0.26 | -0.28 | -0.11 | 0.49 | -0.65 | -0.24 |
| IGV | Software | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0.12 | -0.02 | -0.14 | -0.12 | -0.09 | 0.25 | -0.25 | 0.08 |
| CLOU | Cloud | 0.22 | 0.16 | 0.10 | -0.03 | -0.16 | -0.14 | -0.05 | 0.15 | -0.13 | 0.13 |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.12 | -0.07 | -0.11 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.23 | -0.18 | 0.07 |
| GRID | Smart Grid | 0.81 | 0.87 | 0.78 | -0.12 | -0.43 | -0.36 | -0.17 | 0.59 | -0.64 | -0.25 |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 0.82 | 0.95 | 0.73 | -0.07 | -0.32 | -0.33 | -0.16 | 0.55 | -0.68 | -0.20 |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 0.82 | 0.92 | 0.78 | -0.10 | -0.32 | -0.33 | -0.16 | 0.54 | -0.67 | -0.21 |
| ROBO | Robotics | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.78 | -0.10 | -0.38 | -0.37 | -0.26 | 0.62 | -0.69 | -0.30 |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | 0.81 | 0.89 | 0.78 | -0.12 | -0.36 | -0.39 | -0.15 | 0.58 | -0.66 | -0.23 |
| PNQI | Internet | 0.35 | 0.14 | 0.17 | -0.08 | -0.20 | -0.31 | -0.37 | 0.29 | -0.36 | -0.16 |
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.46 | -0.30 | -0.29 | -0.40 | -0.36 | 0.36 | -0.31 | -0.43 |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | 0.79 | 0.77 | 0.72 | -0.16 | -0.45 | -0.45 | -0.35 | 0.64 | -0.69 | -0.38 |
| UFO | Space | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.59 | -0.16 | -0.42 | -0.41 | -0.18 | 0.46 | -0.41 | -0.29 |
| PEJ | Leisure | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.41 | -0.42 | -0.18 | -0.65 | -0.61 | 0.24 | -0.23 | -0.36 |
Cyclical Sectors
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | 0.71 | 0.56 | 0.62 | -0.23 | -0.38 | -0.60 | -0.63 | 0.47 | -0.66 | -0.46 |
| XLC | Communication Services | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -0.06 | -0.23 | -0.37 | -0.38 | 0.26 | -0.29 | -0.37 |
| XLE | Energy | -0.37 | -0.34 | -0.37 | 0.44 | 0.09 | 0.57 | 0.74 | -0.28 | 0.19 | 0.47 |
| XLF | Financials | 0.25 | -0.05 | 0.27 | -0.09 | -0.24 | -0.24 | -0.41 | 0.29 | -0.23 | -0.09 |
| XLI | Industrials | 0.66 | 0.57 | 0.70 | -0.26 | -0.29 | -0.46 | -0.37 | 0.48 | -0.48 | -0.28 |
| XLB | Materials | 0.52 | 0.33 | 0.61 | -0.33 | -0.38 | -0.54 | -0.46 | 0.54 | -0.43 | -0.43 |
| XHB | Homebuilders | 0.53 | 0.40 | 0.66 | -0.48 | -0.20 | -0.74 | -0.56 | 0.29 | -0.46 | -0.48 |
Defensive Sectors
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | -0.30 | -0.51 | -0.25 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 | -0.26 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| XLV | Health Care | -0.13 | -0.35 | 0.07 | -0.15 | -0.03 | -0.14 | -0.18 | -0.00 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| XLU | Utilities | -0.04 | -0.20 | 0.14 | -0.04 | -0.07 | -0.16 | -0.12 | 0.01 | -0.02 | -0.21 |
| XLRE | Real Estate | -0.10 | -0.34 | 0.15 | -0.08 | -0.18 | -0.26 | -0.30 | 0.06 | 0.12 | -0.29 |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.72 | -0.05 | -0.30 | -0.31 | -0.13 | 0.39 | -0.56 | -0.17 |
| SOCL | Social Media | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.41 | -0.01 | -0.35 | -0.28 | -0.19 | 0.38 | -0.48 | -0.24 |
| HERO | Video Games | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 0.12 | -0.40 | -0.18 | -0.14 | 0.26 | -0.20 | -0.05 |
| XES | Oil Services | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.33 | -0.18 | 0.21 | 0.46 | 0.20 | -0.26 | 0.24 |
| XOP | Oil E&P | -0.34 | -0.26 | -0.35 | 0.39 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 0.77 | -0.28 | 0.16 | 0.48 |
| OIH | Oil Services | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.32 | -0.25 | 0.15 | 0.42 | 0.25 | -0.27 | 0.20 |
| CRAK | Refiners | 0.04 | 0.07 | -0.01 | 0.27 | -0.26 | 0.24 | 0.57 | 0.04 | -0.08 | 0.21 |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | -0.36 | -0.29 | -0.36 | 0.42 | 0.08 | 0.55 | 0.76 | -0.26 | 0.16 | 0.44 |
| COAL | Coal | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.32 | -0.08 | -0.33 | -0.12 | 0.23 | 0.25 | -0.22 | -0.07 |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.80 | -0.17 | -0.44 | -0.43 | -0.27 | 0.66 | -0.63 | -0.32 |
| JETS | Airlines | 0.57 | 0.45 | 0.65 | -0.46 | -0.27 | -0.69 | -0.78 | 0.43 | -0.48 | -0.44 |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | 0.65 | 0.62 | 0.75 | -0.30 | -0.29 | -0.48 | -0.33 | 0.43 | -0.50 | -0.34 |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.54 | -0.37 | -0.39 | -0.53 | -0.46 | 0.53 | -0.34 | -0.37 |
| XTN | Transportation | 0.53 | 0.43 | 0.64 | -0.27 | -0.21 | -0.55 | -0.53 | 0.42 | -0.43 | -0.43 |
| CARZ | Autos | 0.83 | 0.96 | 0.78 | -0.07 | -0.37 | -0.35 | -0.19 | 0.58 | -0.69 | -0.26 |
| ITB | Home Construction | 0.42 | 0.25 | 0.55 | -0.47 | -0.17 | -0.73 | -0.60 | 0.23 | -0.40 | -0.48 |
Financial / Health Care Industries
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.48 | -0.14 | -0.17 | -0.46 | -0.46 | 0.11 | -0.20 | -0.37 |
| IAK | Insurance | -0.42 | -0.60 | -0.26 | 0.03 | 0.22 | 0.05 | -0.09 | -0.24 | 0.43 | 0.15 |
| PSP | Private Equity | 0.59 | 0.40 | 0.61 | -0.12 | -0.61 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.52 | -0.49 | -0.31 |
| IYG | Financial Services | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.39 | -0.11 | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.45 | 0.38 | -0.36 | -0.17 |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | 0.55 | 0.38 | 0.44 | -0.01 | -0.37 | -0.19 | -0.29 | 0.55 | -0.49 | -0.23 |
| XBI | Biotech | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.54 | -0.29 | -0.29 | -0.37 | -0.33 | 0.38 | -0.32 | -0.27 |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.46 | -0.30 | -0.25 | -0.36 | -0.32 | 0.31 | -0.26 | -0.30 |
| IHF | Health Providers | 0.06 | -0.10 | 0.09 | -0.08 | 0.03 | -0.05 | -0.21 | 0.09 | -0.05 | -0.08 |
| IHI | Medical Devices | -0.04 | -0.28 | -0.00 | -0.02 | -0.05 | -0.15 | -0.23 | 0.03 | -0.07 | -0.17 |
| IHE | Pharma | -0.02 | -0.17 | 0.23 | -0.20 | -0.11 | -0.25 | -0.22 | 0.09 | -0.04 | -0.22 |
Rates / Credit
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.28 | -0.11 | -0.48 | -0.37 | 0.10 | 0.36 | -0.31 | -0.39 |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.58 | -0.40 | -0.59 | -0.75 | -0.44 | 0.53 | -0.50 | -0.67 |
| TIP | TIPS | 0.50 | 0.42 | 0.53 | -0.51 | -0.48 | -0.75 | -0.28 | 0.41 | -0.39 | -0.60 |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | 0.53 | 0.41 | 0.67 | -0.67 | -0.44 | -0.93 | -0.59 | 0.44 | -0.44 | -0.66 |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | 0.43 | 0.34 | 0.58 | -0.80 | -0.20 | -0.86 | -0.56 | 0.25 | -0.31 | -0.53 |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.70 | -0.64 | -0.46 | -0.89 | -0.58 | 0.47 | -0.49 | -0.65 |
| CWB | Convertibles | 0.81 | 0.87 | 0.71 | -0.13 | -0.32 | -0.28 | -0.16 | 0.54 | -0.63 | -0.21 |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | 0.77 | 0.64 | 0.69 | -0.25 | -0.70 | -0.64 | -0.51 | 0.73 | -0.65 | -0.51 |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | 0.76 | 0.62 | 0.79 | -0.50 | -0.47 | -0.81 | -0.61 | 0.59 | -0.61 | -0.62 |
| HYG | High Yield | 0.78 | 0.68 | 0.82 | -0.24 | -0.56 | -0.70 | -0.49 | 0.61 | -0.66 | -0.60 |
| LQD | IG Credit | 0.59 | 0.49 | 0.72 | -0.75 | -0.44 | -0.86 | -0.57 | 0.44 | -0.46 | -0.63 |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.02 | -0.23 | -0.20 | -0.09 | 0.35 | -0.51 | -0.01 |
| MBB | MBS | 0.58 | 0.48 | 0.69 | -0.64 | -0.46 | -0.89 | -0.60 | 0.48 | -0.45 | -0.67 |
| PFF | Preferreds | 0.79 | 0.70 | 0.64 | -0.28 | -0.50 | -0.55 | -0.38 | 0.61 | -0.67 | -0.48 |
Metals / Miners
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.76 | -0.20 | -0.48 | -0.41 | -0.19 | 0.69 | -0.59 | -0.31 |
| COPX | Copper Miners | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.70 | -0.06 | -0.55 | -0.40 | -0.19 | 0.79 | -0.64 | -0.40 |
| HAP | Hard Assets | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.56 | 0.04 | -0.57 | -0.21 | 0.11 | 0.63 | -0.51 | -0.19 |
| WOOD | Timber | 0.59 | 0.43 | 0.59 | -0.31 | -0.47 | -0.64 | -0.54 | 0.55 | -0.52 | -0.45 |
| GDX | Gold Miners | 0.68 | 0.62 | 0.65 | -0.11 | -0.63 | -0.44 | -0.31 | 0.89 | -0.58 | -0.40 |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | -0.02 | -0.08 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.45 | -0.18 | 0.04 | 0.26 |
| SIL | Silver Miners | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.65 | -0.11 | -0.61 | -0.43 | -0.30 | 0.87 | -0.59 | -0.40 |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.67 | -0.11 | -0.59 | -0.42 | -0.28 | 0.86 | -0.59 | -0.40 |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.11 | -0.47 | -0.34 | -0.21 | 0.68 | -0.56 | -0.29 |
International Equity
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | 0.64 | 0.52 | 0.66 | -0.22 | -0.70 | -0.57 | -0.33 | 0.63 | -0.60 | -0.38 |
| EWZ | Brazil | 0.48 | 0.40 | 0.58 | -0.09 | -0.54 | -0.37 | -0.28 | 0.54 | -0.47 | -0.25 |
| FXI | China Large Cap | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.18 | -0.43 | -0.11 | -0.07 | 0.30 | -0.20 | -0.17 |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.78 | -0.12 | -0.39 | -0.40 | -0.23 | 0.58 | -0.68 | -0.31 |
| EZU | Eurozone | 0.79 | 0.73 | 0.78 | -0.17 | -0.61 | -0.56 | -0.39 | 0.70 | -0.64 | -0.41 |
| INDA | India | 0.57 | 0.45 | 0.65 | -0.30 | -0.38 | -0.60 | -0.65 | 0.48 | -0.52 | -0.35 |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.58 | -0.00 | -0.20 | -0.20 | -0.25 | 0.58 | -0.59 | -0.27 |
| EWU | United Kingdom | 0.50 | 0.31 | 0.54 | -0.11 | -0.69 | -0.47 | -0.31 | 0.58 | -0.43 | -0.39 |
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Cells show current 63D return correlation. Positive values mean the ETF has recently moved with the factor; negative values mean inverse factor sensitivity.
| Ticker | Name | SPY | QQQ | IWM | HYG/LQD | USD | 10Y | Oil | Gold | VIX | MOVE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.13 | -0.07 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.10 | -0.07 | -0.03 |
| DBB | Base Metals | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.07 | -0.40 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.65 | -0.45 | -0.25 |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.03 | -0.39 | -0.13 | -0.14 | 0.50 | -0.38 | -0.29 |
| DBC | Commodities | -0.19 | -0.08 | -0.30 | 0.46 | 0.02 | 0.48 | 0.89 | -0.06 | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| GSG | Commodities | -0.24 | -0.11 | -0.34 | 0.47 | 0.10 | 0.52 | 0.91 | -0.15 | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| USO | Oil | -0.35 | -0.22 | -0.45 | 0.46 | 0.20 | 0.58 | 0.95 | -0.29 | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| GLD | Gold | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.58 | -0.04 | -0.60 | -0.39 | -0.30 | n/a | -0.62 | -0.39 |
| SLV | Silver | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.04 | -0.56 | -0.31 | -0.20 | 0.85 | -0.52 | -0.35 |
| URA | Uranium | 0.73 | 0.72 | 0.73 | -0.13 | -0.49 | -0.40 | -0.26 | 0.71 | -0.63 | -0.33 |
| PLTM | Platinum | 0.56 | 0.44 | 0.55 | -0.01 | -0.65 | -0.35 | -0.27 | 0.83 | -0.48 | -0.38 |
| PALL | Palladium | 0.59 | 0.50 | 0.56 | -0.03 | -0.66 | -0.34 | -0.28 | 0.75 | -0.50 | -0.27 |
| CPER | Copper | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.02 | -0.49 | -0.36 | -0.13 | 0.72 | -0.58 | -0.28 |
| UUP | US Dollar | -0.48 | -0.39 | -0.42 | 0.12 | 0.96 | 0.42 | 0.18 | -0.63 | 0.46 | 0.40 |
50DMA And 200DMA Current-Deviation Studies
These appendix charts answer whether each ETF is unusually stretched or depressed versus its own moving averages. Tail frequency still uses the latest deviation as the rarity threshold; forward returns and spell survival use the latest deviation's historical decile so the comparison set is stable and easier to audit.
Core Index Beta
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | -0.3% | 3 | 24.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 65.6% | -5.4% | 407 | 3.9% | 78.2% | 6.6% | 77.8% | 14.6% | 91.2% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | -4.4% | 1 | 8.9% | 5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 13.7 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 67.7% | -6.2% | 408 | 7.9% | 75.5% | 14.0% | 79.8% | 25.5% | 89.3% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 0.2% | 4 | 63.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 65.8% | -6.5% | 410 | 2.1% | 62.7% | 4.3% | 65.5% | 8.0% | 67.2% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | -0.5% | 3 | 23.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 69.0% | -4.9% | 410 | 4.3% | 80.8% | 7.3% | 80.2% | 15.5% | 92.3% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | 2.2% | 6 | 43.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 61.9% | -3.8% | 409 | 1.7% | 71.9% | 4.8% | 73.9% | 10.9% | 80.3% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | -2.4% | 2 | 13.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 69.3% | -4.8% | 401 | 5.3% | 80.2% | 10.3% | 86.8% | 17.9% | 91.0% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | 6.4% | 5 | 50.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 71.8% | -3.2% | 400 | 4.2% | 83.9% | 6.3% | 77.8% | 13.4% | 86.9% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 6.2% | 4 | 63.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 78.8% | -4.0% | 401 | 6.1% | 80.3% | 8.9% | 78.9% | 19.7% | 90.3% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 10.5% | 8 | 21.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 51.5% | -4.7% | 402 | 1.6% | 60.1% | 5.0% | 70.9% | 8.9% | 73.4% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | 5.7% | 5 | 57.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 77.1% | -2.1% | 401 | 5.0% | 88.7% | 7.4% | 84.6% | 15.3% | 91.3% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | 8.7% | 8 | 21.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.0% | 0.8% | 61.7% | -4.6% | 394 | -0.2% | 59.9% | 4.5% | 78.3% | 10.6% | 84.9% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | 1.6% | 2 | 80.1% | 5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 1.4% | 3.0% | 67.5% | -6.4% | 400 | 5.2% | 78.1% | 10.2% | 84.7% | 17.6% | 90.3% |
Style / Market Structure
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | -3.5% | 2 | 14.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 58.7% | -5.7% | 75 | 13.4% | 95.6% | 24.8% | 97.7% | 46.7% | 100.0% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 0.1% | 3 | 76.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 71.4% | -3.3% | 35 | 3.2% | 71.4% | 8.6% | 100.0% | 14.9% | 100.0% |
| VO | Mid Cap | 1.6% | 5 | 51.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 70.2% | -4.7% | 406 | 1.7% | 69.4% | 3.4% | 69.8% | 8.9% | 79.8% |
| IWF | Growth | -3.9% | 1 | 9.6% | 5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 16.2 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 64.0% | -6.0% | 408 | 7.5% | 76.5% | 14.0% | 80.4% | 21.9% | 88.4% |
| IWD | Value | 3.3% | 8 | 23.9% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 62.6% | -3.6% | 406 | 1.7% | 68.6% | 4.5% | 77.8% | 9.7% | 78.1% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | 0.4% | 4 | 68.2% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 72.1% | -3.6% | 265 | 3.4% | 84.4% | 5.6% | 84.6% | 10.4% | 84.9% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | -1.3% | 2 | 10.6% | 1 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 8.9 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 50.8% | -9.0% | 59 | 12.5% | 100.0% | 28.3% | 100.0% | 46.1% | 100.0% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 8.2% | 8 | 22.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 78.1% | -2.1% | 32 | 1.6% | 77.8% | 8.5% | 100.0% | n/a | n/a |
| VO | Mid Cap | 7.9% | 8 | 28.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 55.4% | -3.7% | 392 | 1.1% | 65.0% | 5.4% | 74.0% | 11.8% | 82.3% |
| IWF | Growth | -0.2% | 2 | 16.2% | 6 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 59.4% | -7.5% | 399 | 6.2% | 80.7% | 11.5% | 88.9% | 18.8% | 92.1% |
| IWD | Value | 13.1% | 10 | 4.9% | 34 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.8 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 70.3% | -2.8% | 384 | 4.4% | 85.1% | 6.5% | 84.1% | 11.7% | 87.6% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | 3.8% | 4 | 62.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 79.5% | -0.7% | 258 | 4.4% | 89.3% | 6.5% | 84.6% | 13.2% | 90.6% |
Factors / Risk Appetite
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | -4.7% | 2 | 12.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 61.8% | -9.0% | 374 | 6.2% | 66.3% | 6.6% | 69.4% | 15.1% | 71.3% |
| MTUM | Momentum | -5.6% | 1 | 5.2% | 4 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 65.1% | -6.0% | 324 | 7.2% | 73.8% | 11.7% | 81.7% | 15.7% | 76.1% |
| QUAL | Quality | 1.3% | 5 | 58.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 71.2% | -3.8% | 320 | 3.3% | 78.4% | 5.5% | 77.7% | 12.4% | 90.4% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | 3.0% | 8 | 23.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 53.4% | -3.3% | 335 | 1.4% | 60.6% | 2.7% | 67.6% | 6.8% | 77.3% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | 2.4% | 8 | 29.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 60.2% | -3.1% | 372 | 1.8% | 70.4% | 3.7% | 76.4% | 9.7% | 85.8% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 10.1% | 7 | 30.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 56.4% | -5.7% | 369 | 2.6% | 64.0% | 8.5% | 73.4% | 15.0% | 73.1% |
| MTUM | Momentum | 10.1% | 8 | 27.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 64.7% | -3.5% | 320 | 3.5% | 74.4% | 8.2% | 87.9% | 19.7% | 89.5% |
| QUAL | Quality | 7.6% | 7 | 31.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 56.0% | -3.8% | 307 | 3.3% | 88.4% | 4.8% | 77.7% | 11.3% | 89.3% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | 7.5% | 8 | 21.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.2% | -0.2% | 46.2% | -3.4% | 320 | 1.7% | 65.0% | 4.0% | 72.4% | 6.6% | 83.6% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | 4.8% | 6 | 48.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 71.7% | -2.4% | 364 | 2.4% | 75.0% | 4.6% | 82.2% | 10.1% | 84.2% |
Growth / Tech Leadership
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | -3.9% | 2 | 10.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0% | 3.4% | 71.8% | -5.9% | 408 | 8.3% | 77.7% | 12.7% | 85.7% | 22.0% | 91.6% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | -9.6% | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.4 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 63.3% | -8.2% | 406 | 11.0% | 77.8% | 18.5% | 72.8% | 41.2% | 90.8% |
| IGV | Software | 0.5% | 4 | 64.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 69.4% | -6.1% | 408 | 4.7% | 70.8% | 7.6% | 78.6% | 19.4% | 91.3% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 6.5% | 9 | 18.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.6 | -0.8% | 0.0% | 50.3% | -11.0% | 177 | -1.2% | 40.4% | 8.0% | 64.3% | 12.7% | 61.4% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 2.1% | 6 | 45.2% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 54.3% | -7.3% | 162 | 3.2% | 60.9% | 4.1% | 65.8% | 13.0% | 71.6% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | -5.1% | 1 | 9.7% | 5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 3.7% | 3.8% | 64.9% | -6.4% | 405 | 8.1% | 70.9% | 14.9% | 86.1% | 29.0% | 94.0% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | -6.9% | 1 | 8.1% | 6 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 17.2 | 3.3% | 2.1% | 57.7% | -7.9% | 194 | 9.1% | 67.5% | 14.8% | 62.4% | 29.4% | 77.1% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | -8.8% | 1 | 4.5% | 7 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 8.1 | 4.5% | 3.5% | 64.3% | -6.9% | 185 | 12.4% | 74.1% | 20.0% | 74.2% | 40.6% | 84.4% |
| ROBO | Robotics | -5.5% | 2 | 12.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 59.9% | -9.5% | 309 | 3.7% | 67.6% | 4.9% | 75.3% | 8.9% | 63.7% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | -3.7% | 2 | 13.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 62.3% | -6.8% | 377 | 4.8% | 69.5% | 6.1% | 66.0% | 13.1% | 72.7% |
| PNQI | Internet | 2.8% | 6 | 43.8% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 66.8% | -5.9% | 410 | 4.3% | 65.9% | 7.8% | 77.0% | 17.8% | 79.9% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | 13.4% | 9 | 19.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 53.9% | -5.6% | 399 | 3.0% | 66.7% | 8.7% | 82.2% | 11.6% | 73.0% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 20.0% | 9 | 16.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 59.1% | -7.3% | 403 | 7.1% | 73.2% | 18.1% | 83.6% | 29.9% | 71.8% |
| IGV | Software | -1.6% | 2 | 17.6% | 5 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 2.7% | 3.8% | 66.0% | -7.3% | 385 | 9.9% | 86.9% | 15.3% | 88.0% | 22.9% | 89.6% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 13.7% | 8 | 20.1% | 4 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 8.7 | -1.9% | -1.4% | 45.6% | -12.2% | 158 | -4.5% | 39.6% | -3.6% | 46.1% | -2.5% | 45.5% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 20.1% | 9 | 10.5% | 3 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.4 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 56.2% | -8.6% | 153 | 4.8% | 59.7% | 7.4% | 64.4% | 14.5% | 66.4% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | 3.8% | 5 | 59.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0% | 2.9% | 67.0% | -5.4% | 397 | 3.6% | 68.8% | 6.4% | 73.1% | 10.2% | 63.7% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 7.9% | 5 | 57.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 79.6% | -2.8% | 191 | 6.1% | 83.2% | 8.6% | 74.6% | 17.4% | 68.1% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 11.9% | 6 | 46.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 61.8% | -6.7% | 183 | 6.7% | 75.4% | 11.6% | 74.7% | 27.0% | 75.4% |
| ROBO | Robotics | 4.2% | 6 | 48.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 48.3% | -6.5% | 302 | -0.4% | 43.7% | -1.1% | 44.8% | 5.5% | 53.1% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | 17.8% | 10 | 3.7% | 77 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 16.0 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 57.0% | -4.7% | 356 | 6.0% | 85.4% | 11.2% | 99.3% | 14.4% | 94.8% |
| PNQI | Internet | -2.3% | 2 | 17.7% | 21 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.1 | 2.5% | 2.9% | 63.3% | -6.5% | 384 | 8.7% | 79.7% | 12.9% | 92.4% | 22.9% | 94.5% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | 3.4% | 8 | 28.4% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 0.1% | -0.3% | 46.4% | -5.2% | 112 | 1.4% | 53.8% | 3.6% | 56.7% | 8.3% | 58.0% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | -6.0% | 2 | 18.9% | 5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 53.7% | -13.1% | 287 | 5.7% | 71.4% | 6.5% | 65.2% | 15.6% | 72.2% |
| UFO | Space | -14.5% | 1 | 2.8% | 18 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 11.5 | 2.3% | 2.5% | 61.1% | -8.6% | 162 | 12.7% | 78.1% | 16.7% | 55.5% | 30.1% | 56.6% |
| PEJ | Leisure | 3.6% | 8 | 29.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 49.9% | -5.7% | 407 | -0.2% | 55.4% | 3.4% | 65.7% | 8.4% | 73.7% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | 9.7% | 8 | 21.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 76.5% | -2.3% | 98 | 4.3% | 77.0% | 3.2% | 65.8% | -1.3% | 24.3% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | -5.8% | 2 | 19.2% | 5 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 10.0 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 82.0% | -9.5% | 278 | 13.7% | 78.7% | 14.8% | 74.6% | 26.1% | 77.8% |
| UFO | Space | -3.2% | 4 | 37.6% | 11 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 50.9% | -7.9% | 161 | 0.5% | 42.9% | 5.3% | 42.2% | 20.5% | 60.2% |
| PEJ | Leisure | 10.0% | 8 | 24.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 56.3% | -4.3% | 396 | 1.3% | 57.4% | 4.2% | 68.0% | 12.7% | 79.9% |
Cyclical Sectors
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | -3.1% | 2 | 12.8% | 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 65.5% | -6.4% | 406 | 5.2% | 85.2% | 10.5% | 91.5% | 18.2% | 93.0% |
| XLC | Communication Services | -3.9% | 2 | 12.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.1% | 0.0% | 50.0% | -8.2% | 194 | -0.6% | 44.6% | 1.6% | 53.8% | 7.9% | 72.0% |
| XLE | Energy | 4.3% | 8 | 25.9% | 2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -0.2% | 0.3% | 51.1% | -8.8% | 409 | -1.9% | 41.1% | 0.1% | 49.6% | 4.9% | 58.2% |
| XLF | Financials | 5.6% | 9 | 12.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 57.5% | -4.4% | 402 | 1.5% | 65.6% | 3.6% | 71.1% | 10.6% | 66.8% |
| XLI | Industrials | 0.2% | 4 | 66.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 60.9% | -4.2% | 412 | 2.8% | 67.0% | 6.0% | 71.0% | 11.5% | 78.1% |
| XLB | Materials | 1.3% | 6 | 49.9% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 56.6% | -4.2% | 410 | 1.6% | 62.5% | 3.8% | 70.3% | 7.6% | 66.4% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -2.4% | 3 | 23.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 62.6% | -8.6% | 412 | 2.3% | 64.5% | 5.8% | 63.2% | 12.9% | 74.7% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | -3.7% | 2 | 10.1% | 1 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 7.7 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 64.7% | -6.8% | 388 | 6.7% | 85.4% | 12.5% | 88.5% | 17.2% | 89.0% |
| XLC | Communication Services | -6.4% | 2 | 15.5% | 8 | 3.0 | 10.2 | 15.0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 57.1% | -11.2% | 177 | 1.1% | 54.9% | 3.5% | 55.3% | 13.8% | 60.2% |
| XLE | Energy | 13.5% | 9 | 14.8% | 11 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 0.2% | -1.2% | 42.9% | -6.7% | 392 | 5.0% | 54.8% | 6.9% | 55.1% | 9.2% | 49.9% |
| XLF | Financials | 8.6% | 7 | 30.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.2% | -0.0% | 49.4% | -4.6% | 391 | 2.5% | 73.9% | 4.7% | 77.0% | 10.4% | 77.3% |
| XLI | Industrials | 7.2% | 6 | 44.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 58.3% | -4.1% | 403 | 2.0% | 67.3% | 5.1% | 78.5% | 11.9% | 77.6% |
| XLB | Materials | 6.3% | 7 | 38.8% | 2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.7 | -0.1% | 0.3% | 53.1% | -4.6% | 401 | 0.4% | 62.6% | 2.2% | 64.4% | 7.5% | 70.7% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -1.9% | 3 | 24.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 55.0% | -7.4% | 400 | 2.6% | 60.1% | 5.9% | 60.4% | 13.2% | 78.0% |
Defensive Sectors
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | 1.7% | 6 | 42.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 65.5% | -2.9% | 409 | 2.8% | 77.0% | 5.3% | 79.0% | 11.0% | 92.9% |
| XLV | Health Care | 5.0% | 10 | 9.0% | 6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 55.8% | -3.4% | 398 | 1.1% | 66.9% | 4.5% | 70.7% | 12.3% | 84.7% |
| XLU | Utilities | -0.4% | 3 | 29.7% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 75.8% | -2.9% | 413 | 3.6% | 72.7% | 7.1% | 80.4% | 13.6% | 90.8% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | 1.8% | 6 | 41.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 58.2% | -4.3% | 263 | 1.8% | 65.9% | 3.2% | 66.1% | 8.3% | 72.8% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | 5.0% | 6 | 44.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 65.0% | -3.3% | 397 | 2.6% | 72.2% | 4.7% | 76.3% | 8.2% | 82.2% |
| XLV | Health Care | 8.1% | 7 | 31.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 69.2% | -3.0% | 396 | 2.8% | 70.8% | 5.3% | 66.8% | 14.5% | 82.6% |
| XLU | Utilities | 0.6% | 3 | 76.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 60.2% | -4.6% | 400 | 3.8% | 69.2% | 7.2% | 77.5% | 12.4% | 85.4% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | 7.7% | 8 | 23.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.1% | 0.2% | 51.4% | -6.4% | 249 | 2.1% | 66.2% | 5.6% | 64.7% | 6.9% | 70.5% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | -7.5% | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 67.3% | -5.7% | 376 | 9.3% | 77.4% | 14.0% | 80.0% | 24.2% | 68.5% |
| SOCL | Social Media | 1.5% | 6 | 49.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 61.5% | -8.4% | 361 | 3.8% | 60.3% | 7.9% | 63.6% | 17.1% | 65.8% |
| HERO | Video Games | 7.9% | 9 | 11.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 54.9% | -8.2% | 164 | 6.1% | 78.0% | 15.4% | 82.3% | 24.4% | 73.0% |
| XES | Oil Services | -7.3% | 3 | 21.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 47.2% | -16.7% | 405 | -0.1% | 45.4% | -2.2% | 45.4% | -2.2% | 46.1% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | 6.6% | 8 | 21.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 51.2% | -9.4% | 410 | -0.2% | 46.9% | -0.3% | 51.9% | 0.8% | 51.8% |
| OIH | Oil Services | -5.7% | 3 | 24.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 52.4% | -12.6% | 408 | 0.6% | 44.7% | -1.6% | 42.3% | -1.2% | 41.8% |
| CRAK | Refiners | 12.5% | 10 | 2.2% | 13 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 0.4% | -0.1% | 48.9% | -7.8% | 260 | 3.2% | 61.8% | 5.5% | 58.5% | 15.2% | 75.4% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | 2.3% | 7 | 38.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.1% | -0.9% | 41.7% | -10.4% | 410 | -2.3% | 40.9% | -4.0% | 46.0% | -5.0% | 46.2% |
| COAL | Coal | -5.6% | 3 | 23.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -1.3% | -1.0% | 47.2% | -11.0% | 53 | 1.6% | 59.5% | 3.4% | 48.7% | 11.4% | 52.9% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | -5.5% | 2 | 12.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.3% | 4.1% | 64.7% | -6.0% | 51 | 17.1% | 83.7% | 32.1% | 100.0% | 77.1% | 100.0% |
| JETS | Airlines | 4.7% | 8 | 27.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 49.3% | -9.7% | 276 | -2.0% | 38.7% | -3.0% | 36.7% | 1.8% | 52.8% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | -1.4% | 3 | 25.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 64.3% | -5.8% | 227 | 5.3% | 73.6% | 9.3% | 84.8% | 14.8% | 75.4% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | 1.4% | 5 | 56.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 65.7% | -4.2% | 411 | 2.5% | 70.0% | 7.4% | 75.0% | 15.2% | 80.1% |
| XTN | Transportation | -3.3% | 2 | 17.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 60.9% | -6.8% | 386 | 2.3% | 63.2% | 4.4% | 63.9% | 4.5% | 53.4% |
| CARZ | Autos | -8.5% | 1 | 5.5% | 6 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 66.2% | -7.3% | 370 | 7.6% | 69.5% | 14.0% | 74.7% | 28.6% | 80.2% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -1.1% | 4 | 31.8% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 53.9% | -8.1% | 408 | 1.4% | 55.6% | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.1% | 68.6% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | 10.5% | 8 | 21.8% | 2 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 8.4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 52.9% | -5.2% | 376 | 2.6% | 60.9% | 7.5% | 73.4% | 14.3% | 81.6% |
| SOCL | Social Media | -7.9% | 2 | 18.8% | 21 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 59.4% | -8.2% | 337 | 5.7% | 63.9% | 9.2% | 80.2% | 23.1% | 87.2% |
| HERO | Video Games | -2.5% | 4 | 34.4% | 2 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.8 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 46.8% | -7.9% | 156 | -1.3% | 55.1% | -3.8% | 49.4% | -0.4% | 61.8% |
| XES | Oil Services | 4.4% | 7 | 38.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 53.6% | -7.8% | 401 | 1.8% | 57.6% | 2.5% | 55.6% | -11.2% | 37.1% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | 16.4% | 9 | 14.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.6 | -0.1% | -1.1% | 43.8% | -10.6% | 397 | 4.2% | 56.0% | -2.2% | 45.2% | -7.6% | 29.9% |
| OIH | Oil Services | 4.6% | 7 | 36.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -0.0% | 0.1% | 51.6% | -9.7% | 395 | 2.2% | 62.2% | 6.5% | 70.0% | -6.3% | 39.6% |
| CRAK | Refiners | 25.1% | 10 | 3.0% | 13 | 4.5 | 14.0 | 28.5 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 55.8% | -7.1% | 251 | 4.3% | 70.8% | 9.5% | 73.7% | 3.5% | 62.4% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | 7.9% | 8 | 27.7% | 2 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 50.6% | -8.6% | 399 | 1.2% | 44.8% | -1.0% | 45.6% | -13.6% | 22.9% |
| COAL | Coal | -5.8% | 4 | 34.6% | 5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.8 | -1.5% | -0.8% | 47.1% | -11.4% | 34 | 5.0% | 75.9% | -9.4% | 13.8% | -0.5% | 34.5% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | -7.0% | 1 | 1.8% | 24 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 76.7% | -6.5% | 30 | 47.8% | 100.0% | 74.8% | 100.0% | 89.7% | 100.0% |
| JETS | Airlines | 14.8% | 9 | 14.7% | 4 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 49.6% | -10.3% | 258 | -3.8% | 33.3% | 1.0% | 56.4% | 1.8% | 54.3% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | 6.8% | 6 | 48.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.1% | 1.3% | 59.5% | -8.1% | 217 | 2.1% | 66.7% | 3.6% | 62.6% | 15.2% | 68.1% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | 5.7% | 5 | 57.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 67.7% | -4.4% | 399 | 0.2% | 61.7% | 3.0% | 62.1% | 11.2% | 78.1% |
| XTN | Transportation | 10.2% | 8 | 26.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 55.9% | -5.7% | 376 | 3.6% | 63.4% | 8.3% | 72.3% | 11.5% | 65.8% |
| CARZ | Autos | 12.2% | 8 | 21.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 8.3 | 1.2% | 0.1% | 51.5% | -5.9% | 367 | 4.0% | 58.0% | 6.5% | 64.4% | 6.7% | 48.3% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -3.3% | 3 | 23.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 60.5% | -10.4% | 390 | 2.6% | 61.9% | 5.0% | 66.4% | 15.7% | 74.9% |
Financial / Health Care Industries
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | 4.1% | 8 | 29.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 56.1% | -7.0% | 408 | 2.3% | 61.4% | 5.5% | 69.2% | 8.8% | 64.5% |
| IAK | Insurance | 6.0% | 10 | 8.0% | 5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 64.7% | -4.5% | 397 | 3.5% | 74.6% | 8.2% | 78.4% | 17.4% | 96.7% |
| PSP | Private Equity | 3.8% | 8 | 27.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 59.8% | -4.6% | 413 | 1.4% | 70.8% | 2.9% | 67.0% | 4.3% | 56.5% |
| IYG | Financial Services | 4.9% | 8 | 20.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 57.1% | -5.1% | 406 | 2.2% | 68.2% | 6.4% | 79.8% | 12.7% | 73.2% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | 1.6% | 5 | 52.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0% | 2.5% | 68.9% | -4.8% | 412 | 5.3% | 74.9% | 8.6% | 66.7% | 17.0% | 64.8% |
| XBI | Biotech | 4.5% | 7 | 33.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 59.0% | -7.8% | 410 | 4.9% | 66.2% | 10.6% | 72.7% | 17.8% | 71.6% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 5.2% | 8 | 22.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 62.0% | -4.7% | 408 | 3.7% | 62.4% | 9.3% | 74.2% | 13.6% | 73.8% |
| IHF | Health Providers | 4.8% | 9 | 18.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 61.0% | -4.7% | 408 | 2.9% | 65.4% | 4.8% | 61.9% | 10.2% | 73.2% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | 5.0% | 9 | 15.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 60.0% | -5.1% | 410 | 1.2% | 60.2% | 4.8% | 74.2% | 11.6% | 82.8% |
| IHE | Pharma | 6.3% | 10 | 6.5% | 8 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 59.1% | -3.5% | 394 | 1.0% | 59.0% | 4.8% | 66.8% | 10.9% | 81.6% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | 12.9% | 9 | 16.0% | 10 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -0.0% | 0.4% | 52.3% | -6.7% | 386 | 0.9% | 55.8% | 2.2% | 62.2% | 6.9% | 69.5% |
| IAK | Insurance | 11.4% | 9 | 17.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 62.6% | -4.9% | 393 | 3.1% | 63.9% | 5.8% | 86.0% | 10.6% | 80.2% |
| PSP | Private Equity | -1.5% | 3 | 26.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.3 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 56.0% | -6.7% | 400 | 2.0% | 61.6% | 6.2% | 69.8% | 12.8% | 79.3% |
| IYG | Financial Services | 7.9% | 7 | 38.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 58.5% | -4.4% | 400 | 3.4% | 67.0% | 4.4% | 67.2% | 10.4% | 69.0% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | 5.8% | 5 | 50.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 61.0% | -8.3% | 400 | 2.9% | 67.9% | 7.0% | 65.5% | 13.5% | 67.3% |
| XBI | Biotech | 17.8% | 9 | 17.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 54.7% | -7.7% | 395 | 4.6% | 67.4% | 9.5% | 77.9% | 12.0% | 79.7% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 10.9% | 8 | 28.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 58.3% | -8.1% | 396 | 2.7% | 61.4% | 9.3% | 77.2% | 21.3% | 83.9% |
| IHF | Health Providers | 16.3% | 10 | 5.1% | 24 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 28.8 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 59.9% | -3.4% | 384 | 0.4% | 65.9% | -0.2% | 50.4% | 6.6% | 63.2% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | -6.2% | 2 | 10.5% | 3 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 55.7% | -7.9% | 402 | 2.5% | 64.9% | 9.0% | 79.0% | 13.5% | 75.7% |
| IHE | Pharma | 17.3% | 10 | 3.5% | 26 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 13.6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 55.2% | -4.4% | 384 | 2.3% | 70.0% | 5.1% | 72.6% | 8.6% | 67.0% |
Rates / Credit
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | 0.1% | 4 | 60.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 69.3% | -0.4% | 384 | 0.4% | 69.4% | 0.6% | 73.4% | 1.6% | 74.6% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 0.2% | 8 | 29.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 63.2% | -0.2% | 408 | 0.7% | 81.3% | 1.1% | 83.8% | 2.3% | 93.0% |
| TIP | TIPS | -0.4% | 3 | 23.8% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 59.4% | -1.5% | 399 | 0.7% | 69.0% | 1.2% | 73.0% | 2.7% | 74.7% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | -0.5% | 3 | 29.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -0.0% | 0.0% | 52.6% | -2.3% | 407 | 0.3% | 56.5% | 1.1% | 55.1% | 1.9% | 55.5% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | -2.3% | 3 | 20.6% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 53.4% | -4.0% | 408 | 0.5% | 56.4% | 1.9% | 54.5% | 4.0% | 58.8% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | -0.7% | 2 | 15.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | -0.0% | 0.2% | 57.8% | -1.8% | 405 | 0.4% | 61.9% | 1.2% | 69.0% | 2.9% | 80.3% |
| CWB | Convertibles | -3.8% | 1 | 7.2% | 5 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 19.2 | 2.1% | 2.0% | 65.9% | -4.4% | 405 | 4.7% | 73.6% | 8.4% | 73.5% | 13.9% | 75.3% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | 0.5% | 6 | 47.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 62.6% | -3.9% | 393 | 0.2% | 57.7% | 0.2% | 62.1% | 0.3% | 53.1% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | -0.9% | 3 | 21.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 57.8% | -2.5% | 408 | 1.6% | 71.5% | 2.3% | 72.3% | 6.6% | 81.4% |
| HYG | High Yield | -0.0% | 3 | 28.1% | 6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 70.8% | -1.6% | 408 | 1.1% | 69.3% | 1.9% | 74.2% | 3.3% | 68.7% |
| LQD | IG Credit | -1.4% | 2 | 13.0% | 9 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0% | 0.4% | 61.0% | -2.7% | 403 | 0.9% | 63.1% | 1.9% | 64.4% | 5.0% | 84.8% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | -0.0% | 3 | 24.8% | 9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.2% | 0.4% | 69.1% | -1.4% | 375 | 0.6% | 78.7% | 1.1% | 75.5% | 2.5% | 80.9% |
| MBB | MBS | -0.5% | 2 | 16.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 58.0% | -1.3% | 407 | 0.4% | 65.8% | 0.9% | 70.5% | 1.9% | 74.1% |
| PFF | Preferreds | -0.8% | 2 | 19.8% | 18 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -0.3% | 0.1% | 52.0% | -4.3% | 394 | 1.0% | 63.9% | 3.4% | 78.0% | 6.3% | 82.6% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | 1.0% | 6 | 45.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 62.5% | -0.5% | 363 | 0.4% | 67.0% | 0.8% | 80.7% | 1.7% | 79.5% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 0.6% | 7 | 36.7% | 3 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 62.3% | -0.2% | 390 | 0.4% | 78.4% | 0.8% | 80.6% | 1.6% | 86.3% |
| TIP | TIPS | -0.2% | 3 | 25.7% | 9 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 67.9% | -1.2% | 393 | 0.4% | 64.2% | 0.8% | 64.7% | 2.2% | 76.8% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | -1.1% | 3 | 23.1% | 9 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 59.0% | -1.6% | 388 | 0.6% | 61.0% | 1.3% | 62.3% | 3.6% | 63.9% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | -3.6% | 3 | 23.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 57.3% | -3.2% | 396 | 0.6% | 67.3% | 2.2% | 62.4% | 6.8% | 69.6% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | -0.8% | 2 | 16.7% | 9 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 64.3% | -1.5% | 395 | 0.8% | 77.7% | 1.5% | 84.5% | 2.9% | 84.0% |
| CWB | Convertibles | 5.3% | 6 | 42.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 65.2% | -2.7% | 402 | 1.8% | 67.9% | 4.6% | 82.0% | 10.7% | 84.2% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | 1.2% | 5 | 52.0% | 4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 70.0% | -1.9% | 376 | 2.6% | 80.8% | 2.4% | 72.1% | 2.8% | 68.4% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | 0.2% | 3 | 70.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 59.1% | -2.3% | 401 | 0.6% | 61.1% | 0.9% | 60.7% | 3.2% | 71.0% |
| HYG | High Yield | 1.1% | 3 | 71.1% | 6 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 56.4% | -1.6% | 399 | 0.9% | 65.7% | 0.7% | 65.8% | 3.2% | 62.9% |
| LQD | IG Credit | -1.5% | 2 | 15.7% | 8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 62.6% | -1.8% | 396 | 1.8% | 79.2% | 3.1% | 83.3% | 6.5% | 87.3% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | 0.3% | 2 | 81.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.8 | 0.0% | 0.4% | 60.6% | -2.0% | 360 | 0.7% | 58.9% | 1.2% | 66.0% | 3.2% | 69.8% |
| MBB | MBS | -0.3% | 3 | 21.7% | 4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 60.5% | -0.8% | 397 | 0.3% | 52.3% | 0.2% | 52.5% | 0.3% | 61.7% |
| PFF | Preferreds | -0.4% | 3 | 24.0% | 1 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -0.0% | 0.4% | 54.2% | -4.2% | 389 | 1.7% | 74.9% | 3.8% | 81.6% | 7.1% | 91.1% |
Metals / Miners
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | -8.4% | 2 | 12.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.1% | -0.7% | 46.0% | -12.9% | 409 | 0.4% | 50.2% | 5.3% | 54.8% | 13.3% | 56.8% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | -1.4% | 5 | 40.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.7% | 1.0% | 54.4% | -9.6% | 406 | 6.4% | 58.3% | 7.9% | 55.5% | 9.0% | 50.9% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | 2.0% | 6 | 41.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 62.5% | -4.9% | 413 | 1.7% | 60.0% | 3.3% | 57.9% | 6.1% | 62.2% |
| WOOD | Timber | 7.0% | 10 | 6.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 13.8 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 55.8% | -5.7% | 412 | 3.0% | 61.2% | 5.0% | 54.1% | 14.4% | 73.7% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | -2.8% | 4 | 37.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.5% | -1.3% | 44.1% | -11.3% | 413 | 4.4% | 60.7% | 3.5% | 48.6% | 4.8% | 45.1% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | 63.5% | 10 | 0.3% | 14 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 13.6 | 2.3% | 2.5% | 59.3% | -12.8% | 366 | 6.0% | 49.2% | 6.4% | 52.6% | -1.6% | 41.8% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | -5.3% | 3 | 29.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.0% | -0.4% | 46.9% | -12.2% | 403 | 3.4% | 55.8% | 4.0% | 37.1% | 5.2% | 37.2% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | -6.6% | 3 | 29.7% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.0% | -0.9% | 46.1% | -13.8% | 336 | 4.9% | 58.9% | 5.8% | 36.7% | 17.2% | 43.2% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | -9.0% | 2 | 16.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.1% | 1.3% | 53.9% | -12.5% | 152 | 22.1% | 78.7% | 33.1% | 73.9% | 71.7% | 84.5% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | -7.6% | 3 | 25.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 53.3% | -10.9% | 390 | 1.2% | 50.5% | 6.6% | 49.5% | 12.9% | 51.3% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | 3.6% | 6 | 45.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 48.1% | -11.7% | 387 | -5.0% | 42.1% | -3.9% | 33.2% | 0.4% | 39.8% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | 7.3% | 8 | 23.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 60.8% | -4.7% | 400 | 1.6% | 63.1% | 3.5% | 53.8% | 6.2% | 58.6% |
| WOOD | Timber | 2.7% | 6 | 48.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 52.2% | -5.0% | 404 | 0.2% | 57.9% | 1.6% | 62.2% | 1.9% | 53.1% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | -12.1% | 2 | 19.0% | 8 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | -0.1% | -0.7% | 47.6% | -14.7% | 389 | 6.3% | 63.2% | 14.1% | 64.8% | 5.1% | 52.0% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | 104.2% | 10 | 0.2% | 14 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 19.2 | 2.0% | 0.1% | 50.1% | -11.3% | 357 | 3.0% | 45.4% | -1.0% | 37.4% | -7.6% | 23.7% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | -11.6% | 3 | 24.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -0.6% | -1.2% | 47.0% | -15.2% | 383 | -2.2% | 45.3% | -0.3% | 39.5% | 1.9% | 37.6% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | -13.2% | 3 | 25.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.4% | -1.8% | 41.8% | -12.9% | 323 | 3.1% | 51.1% | 9.9% | 51.4% | 18.0% | 42.1% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | -18.9% | 1 | 5.2% | 14 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 20.5 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 58.8% | -8.5% | 136 | 21.0% | 92.4% | 30.2% | 80.9% | 55.5% | 95.4% |
International Equity
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | 4.7% | 9 | 15.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 55.9% | -5.2% | 413 | -0.1% | 57.4% | 1.0% | 59.3% | 4.2% | 55.8% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 4.2% | 7 | 31.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 56.7% | -8.2% | 409 | 0.5% | 49.6% | 0.1% | 54.9% | 0.8% | 44.1% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | 6.8% | 10 | 10.0% | 1 | 3.0 | 7.8 | 14.0 | -2.1% | -2.6% | 31.7% | -10.0% | 413 | -4.5% | 31.5% | -3.6% | 41.9% | -2.4% | 46.3% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | -4.3% | 2 | 13.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 57.2% | -7.1% | 407 | 0.9% | 52.3% | 1.8% | 62.7% | 5.3% | 57.4% |
| EZU | Eurozone | 2.3% | 7 | 38.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 55.0% | -4.3% | 411 | 0.7% | 63.9% | 2.4% | 64.3% | 3.7% | 53.2% |
| INDA | India | 2.1% | 6 | 40.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 57.3% | -5.1% | 356 | 0.3% | 51.4% | 0.4% | 48.1% | 4.8% | 60.2% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 1.0% | 5 | 56.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 57.5% | -5.9% | 412 | 2.4% | 63.7% | 7.6% | 74.1% | 12.8% | 72.0% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | 4.9% | 9 | 10.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 55.2% | -4.2% | 413 | 0.6% | 62.0% | 1.2% | 60.7% | 5.1% | 64.4% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | 8.3% | 9 | 18.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.1 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 44.1% | -4.9% | 404 | 0.1% | 52.4% | 3.2% | 71.2% | 2.5% | 65.1% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 4.8% | 7 | 39.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 53.3% | -7.0% | 403 | -0.3% | 54.7% | -3.6% | 41.3% | -6.7% | 33.7% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | -1.2% | 5 | 40.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 54.5% | -7.6% | 404 | -0.0% | 45.9% | -0.7% | 49.9% | 4.3% | 56.7% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 6.3% | 7 | 32.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 5.9 | -0.1% | 0.3% | 51.1% | -6.6% | 401 | 0.0% | 52.4% | 1.1% | 48.0% | 6.5% | 55.1% |
| EZU | Eurozone | 7.9% | 7 | 32.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 59.4% | -4.3% | 394 | 0.9% | 67.0% | 2.8% | 61.0% | 7.5% | 62.6% |
| INDA | India | -2.6% | 3 | 25.9% | 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 64.6% | -6.9% | 345 | 1.9% | 60.2% | 2.7% | 56.8% | 9.4% | 73.4% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 11.3% | 8 | 26.9% | 11 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 67.0% | -3.6% | 391 | 4.0% | 71.1% | 8.5% | 70.2% | 10.6% | 72.7% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | 8.8% | 9 | 18.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 54.9% | -3.4% | 404 | 2.1% | 65.9% | 4.3% | 79.6% | 6.0% | 62.0% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | 0.9% | 7 | 38.8% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 51.1% | -4.2% | 403 | 0.3% | 47.4% | 2.1% | 52.3% | 2.6% | 47.6% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 0.0% | 5 | 52.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 0.1% | -0.1% | 49.4% | -5.5% | 413 | 1.8% | 56.7% | 1.5% | 52.6% | 3.4% | 49.0% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 2.0% | 6 | 49.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.6% | 1.2% | 53.5% | -14.4% | 422 | 16.8% | 57.6% | 39.3% | 65.5% | 123.4% | 74.9% |
| DBC | Commodities | 2.2% | 7 | 33.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.1% | -0.2% | 48.4% | -5.1% | 411 | 0.4% | 49.0% | 1.8% | 40.1% | -0.1% | 40.3% |
| GSG | Commodities | 3.1% | 8 | 27.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 53.2% | -6.2% | 410 | 0.1% | 50.1% | 1.5% | 42.4% | 3.1% | 47.4% |
| USO | Oil | 3.0% | 7 | 37.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.3 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 46.5% | -9.1% | 411 | -0.4% | 49.6% | -1.6% | 43.5% | -0.6% | 44.2% |
| GLD | Gold | -2.3% | 2 | 19.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.1% | 0.1% | 51.3% | -5.9% | 411 | 0.7% | 49.6% | 2.6% | 61.5% | 4.7% | 60.0% |
| SLV | Silver | -8.2% | 1 | 8.1% | 30 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.2 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 65.0% | -8.0% | 392 | 3.5% | 63.1% | 6.5% | 52.9% | 6.1% | 50.1% |
| URA | Uranium | -10.9% | 2 | 11.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.2% | -0.5% | 48.1% | -12.5% | 389 | 7.1% | 64.0% | 5.4% | 56.4% | 6.6% | 42.4% |
| PLTM | Platinum | -3.5% | 3 | 28.0% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 47.4% | -6.9% | 209 | 2.6% | 60.2% | 5.5% | 58.8% | 15.4% | 68.9% |
| PALL | Palladium | 2.4% | 6 | 41.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.7% | -0.1% | 49.4% | -10.0% | 413 | 2.5% | 57.6% | 5.0% | 52.8% | 6.4% | 58.3% |
| CPER | Copper | 2.4% | 7 | 31.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 51.1% | -6.2% | 364 | -0.0% | 43.9% | 0.3% | 45.6% | 2.8% | 43.9% |
| UUP | US Dollar | -0.2% | 5 | 40.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 55.0% | -2.0% | 413 | 1.1% | 65.5% | 2.0% | 65.6% | 3.4% | 64.9% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | 3.8% | 7 | 32.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 56.9% | -4.0% | 401 | 0.5% | 51.8% | 2.4% | 49.1% | 6.6% | 53.3% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 6.1% | 7 | 30.8% | 27 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 52.3% | -7.5% | 384 | 2.3% | 62.7% | 3.9% | 61.0% | 1.3% | 50.3% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | -9.7% | 3 | 29.3% | 8 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.3 | 0.3% | -2.0% | 42.8% | -20.6% | 402 | -1.0% | 40.1% | 3.2% | 38.8% | 29.9% | 68.3% |
| DBC | Commodities | 12.5% | 9 | 12.7% | 4 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 16.5 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 60.4% | -4.9% | 391 | 7.8% | 72.1% | 10.8% | 75.3% | 6.1% | 53.5% |
| GSG | Commodities | 15.1% | 9 | 10.2% | 1 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 17.9 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 62.8% | -4.8% | 392 | 6.4% | 67.7% | 8.9% | 65.7% | 4.2% | 38.6% |
| USO | Oil | 27.6% | 10 | 6.2% | 14 | 3.0 | 16.2 | 83.8 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 57.0% | -11.0% | 391 | 6.4% | 73.3% | 10.8% | 69.5% | 28.7% | 61.0% |
| GLD | Gold | -8.4% | 1 | 6.5% | 18 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 61.5% | -4.9% | 384 | 3.4% | 72.2% | 4.0% | 64.5% | 3.6% | 50.1% |
| SLV | Silver | -15.8% | 1 | 5.0% | 18 | 4.0 | 7.8 | 18.5 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 63.1% | -7.6% | 385 | 6.2% | 73.7% | 6.5% | 51.3% | 0.5% | 43.7% |
| URA | Uranium | -18.5% | 2 | 13.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 1.7% | 0.1% | 50.3% | -11.5% | 368 | 5.5% | 59.0% | 3.1% | 48.6% | 0.0% | 29.1% |
| PLTM | Platinum | -13.6% | 1 | 4.4% | 29 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 21.6 | 5.1% | 5.1% | 83.9% | -1.6% | 180 | 8.8% | 82.5% | 10.5% | 86.6% | 20.2% | 79.5% |
| PALL | Palladium | -13.0% | 2 | 15.5% | 16 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -1.2% | -1.5% | 43.5% | -12.6% | 386 | -1.2% | 47.2% | -3.6% | 39.2% | -5.3% | 38.7% |
| CPER | Copper | 10.5% | 9 | 17.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 51.6% | -6.5% | 353 | 2.8% | 57.8% | 6.9% | 63.6% | 9.2% | 58.9% |
| UUP | US Dollar | 2.4% | 7 | 33.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 62.6% | -1.9% | 404 | 0.9% | 71.0% | 1.9% | 70.8% | 2.1% | 56.3% |
Core Index Beta
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
How To Read This Deck
Data And Cache
Prices come from yfinance and reuse the shared ETF OHLCV history. Alpha Vantage index data uses INDEX_DATA and stores raw daily responses by symbol and run date. Each run refreshes stale or missing rows and writes the latest summary table to the local latest metrics table.
Returns
1D, 5D, 21D, and 120D use trading-session lookbacks. 1M, 6M, and 1Y use calendar lookbacks with the nearest available prior trading date. Missing history is shown as n/a instead of forced.
Trend And RSI
Daily charts plot 50DMA and 200DMA. Weekly charts plot 50-week and 200-week moving averages. Lines begin at the first plotted candle using available-history warm-up values, then become full-window indicators once enough bars exist. RSI 14 uses the shared Wilder-style helper with a neutral warm-up only where the series has not yet accumulated enough observations. The drawdown panel plots latest close versus the trailing 252-session high across the same rolling daily window.
DMA Tail Appendix
The 50DMA and 200DMA appendix does not use a fixed threshold. For each ETF, it uses the latest moving-average deviation as the comparison point, then asks how often history has been at least as stretched or depressed, what forward returns followed, and how long similar spells lasted.