Risk ladder checks: 5 pass / 1 watch / 5 fail.
Daily Market Read
Start here after the close: breadth, return dispersion, trend support, and RSI temperature across the ETF universe.
ETF universe above 50DMA / 200DMA.
28.3% outperforming SPY over 1M.
Median distance from trailing 1Y highs.
Used for changed-since-prior-run table.
113/113 ETFs at primary market date; fresh yfinance update
Positive 5D returns across the universe; best UUP 0.9%, worst SILJ -11.0%
Positive 1M returns; best USO 10.5%, worst URNM -14.8%
Share above 50DMA / 200DMA.
Daily RSI 14; 30 is washed out, 70 is extended.
Shared OHLCV history updates incrementally on each run.
Latest 2026-09-29 | DX-Y.NYB
Latest 2026-09-29 | CL=F
Latest 2026-09-29 | ^TNX
Changed Since Prior Run
Compared with prior run date 2026-09-28.
| Ticker | Name | Group | 1D | Δ 5D | Δ RS 1M | Δ RSI | Δ DD | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | Oil | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -4.4% | -1.8% | -5.0% | -7.2 | -4.1% | RSI -7.2; RS -5.0%; drawdown -4.1% |
| XES | Oil Services | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.9% | -2.4% | -2.5% | -5.1 | -2.4% | RS -2.5% |
| OIH | Oil Services | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.4% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -5.2 | -2.1% | Incremental tape change |
| XME | Metals & Mining | Metals / Miners | -1.4% | -3.9% | -1.1% | -2.1 | -1.1% | Incremental tape change |
| CRAK | Refiners | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.1% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -8.8 | -2.1% | RSI -8.8 |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | 1.5% | -2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2 | 1.1% | Incremental tape change |
| WOOD | Timber | Metals / Miners | -1.2% | -2.5% | -0.9% | -3.2 | -1.0% | Incremental tape change |
| GDX | Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | 1.3% | -2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3 | 1.0% | Incremental tape change |
| GSG | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -1.6% | -0.9% | -1.6% | -5.7 | -1.6% | volume 1.5x |
| DBC | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -1.5% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -5.7 | -1.5% | Incremental tape change |
| XLU | Utilities | Defensive Sectors | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 7.7 | 1.0% | RSI 7.7; volume 2.0x |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | 0.2% | -3.7% | 0.4% | 0.3 | 0.1% | Incremental tape change |
| ITB | Home Construction | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.4% | -3.5% | -0.2% | -0.9 | -0.3% | Incremental tape change |
| SIL | Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | 0.2% | -3.3% | 0.3% | 0.3 | 0.2% | Incremental tape change |
| XLB | Materials | Cyclical Sectors | -0.7% | -2.3% | -0.5% | -2.3 | -0.7% | Incremental tape change |
| COAL | Coal | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.8% | -2.3% | -0.6% | -1.5 | -0.7% | Incremental tape change |
| GLD | Gold | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 4.5 | 1.0% | Incremental tape change |
| IHE | Pharma | Financial / Health Care Industries | -0.9% | -1.6% | -0.7% | -4.3 | -0.9% | Incremental tape change |
| SMH | Semiconductors | Growth / Tech Leadership | 1.1% | -0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1 | 1.0% | Incremental tape change |
| XHB | Homebuilders | Cyclical Sectors | -0.3% | -2.8% | -0.1% | -0.8 | -0.3% | Incremental tape change |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | International Equity | -0.8% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -3.9 | -0.8% | Incremental tape change |
| UFO | Space | Thematic / Speculative Growth | -1.1% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -2.9 | -0.7% | Incremental tape change |
| PLTM | Platinum | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -0.7% | -2.2% | -0.5% | -1.1 | -0.4% | volume 3.9x |
| COPX | Copper Miners | Metals / Miners | 0.3% | -2.5% | 0.4% | 0.6 | 0.2% | Incremental tape change |
| FXI | China Large Cap | International Equity | -0.9% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -3.1 | -0.8% | Incremental tape change |
| EWU | United Kingdom | International Equity | -0.9% | -0.8% | -0.7% | -4.7 | -0.9% | Incremental tape change |
| CPER | Copper | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 0.6% | -1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8 | 0.6% | Incremental tape change |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -1.3% | 0.2% | -1.1% | -2.5 | -1.2% | Incremental tape change |
| XBI | Biotech | Financial / Health Care Industries | 0.1% | -2.1% | 0.3% | 0.4 | 0.1% | Incremental tape change |
| XLP | Consumer Staples | Defensive Sectors | -0.5% | -1.5% | -0.3% | -2.4 | -0.5% | Incremental tape change |
Risk Ladder
This condenses index trend, equal-weight confirmation, credit appetite, volatility, USD, rates, cyclicals, and breadth into one pre-chart checklist.
| Check | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| SPY trend confirmed | Pass | SPY Above 50/200 | RSI 49.7 |
| QQQ trend confirmed | Pass | QQQ Above 50/200 | RSI 59.3 |
| IWM risk appetite | Watch | IWM Fading | RSI 31.3 |
| Equal weight vs cap weight | Fail | RSP 1M RS -4.4% |
| Credit risk appetite | Pass | HYG minus LQD 1M 0.8% |
| VIX not pressuring risk | Pass | VIX 16.0 | 30D 1.3% |
| MOVE not pressuring rates | Fail | MOVE 106.6 | 30D 40.9% |
| USD not surging | Pass | USD 30D 1.7% | Z 0.90 |
| 10Y move orderly | Fail | 10Y 30D +53.1 bp |
| Cyclicals vs defensives | Fail | 1M median spread -1.3% |
| ETF breadth above 50D | Fail | 29.2% above 50DMA |
Median Returns And Trend Breadth
Sleeve-level medians reduce single-ticker noise. Percent above 50D and 200D separates price strength from durable trend confirmation.
| Sleeve | ETFs | 1D Median | 5D Median | 1M Median | 6M Median | 1Y Median | % > 50D | % > 200D | % RS > SPY | Median RSI | Median DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Core Index Beta | 6.0 | -0.2% | -1.3% | -0.2% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 66.7% | 100.0% | 50.0% | 51.0 | -1.6% |
| Style / Market Structure | 6.0 | -0.0% | -1.4% | -2.6% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 33.3% | 41.5 | -3.7% |
| Factors / Risk Appetite | 5.0 | 0.2% | -1.0% | -0.2% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 56.0 | -8.2% |
| Growth / Tech Leadership | 11.0 | 0.1% | -1.7% | 1.3% | 43.1% | 27.7% | 72.7% | 100.0% | 72.7% | 51.7 | -9.3% |
| Thematic / Speculative Growth | 4.0 | -0.0% | -1.6% | -2.5% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 25.0% | 75.0% | 25.0% | 44.4 | -6.6% |
| Cyclical Sectors | 7.0 | -0.3% | -1.8% | -6.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 38.1 | -8.5% |
| Defensive Sectors | 4.0 | -0.2% | -1.5% | -5.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 34.6 | -9.0% |
| Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | 16.0 | -0.3% | -2.8% | -5.7% | 2.0% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 37.5% | 12.5% | 38.4 | -16.0% |
| Financial / Health Care Industries | 10.0 | -0.3% | -1.3% | -5.5% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 60.0% | 10.0% | 37.3 | -8.4% |
| Rates / Credit | 14.0 | -0.1% | -2.0% | -2.7% | -0.5% | -1.6% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 27.9 | -5.5% |
| Metals / Miners | 9.0 | 0.2% | -8.6% | -10.6% | 3.7% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 39.9 | -23.1% |
| International Equity | 8.0 | -0.4% | -2.5% | -3.6% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 37.5% | 75.0% | 25.0% | 40.5 | -6.1% |
| Commodities / Crypto / USD | 13.0 | 0.2% | -2.9% | 0.3% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 53.8% | 61.5% | 53.8% | 48.4 | -11.4% |
Relative Strength Vs SPY
Absolute charts show whether price is working; this table shows whether the ETF is earning capital versus SPY over tactical 45-session and intermediate 100-session windows.
Top Relative Leaders
| Ticker | Name | Group | RS 5D | RS 1M | RS 45D | RS 100D | RS Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -1.7% | 8.3% | 28.0% | -1.6% | Outperforming |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | Thematic / Speculative Growth | -1.2% | 6.5% | 19.9% | 8.0% | Outperforming |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | Growth / Tech Leadership | -0.5% | 6.5% | 16.1% | 58.1% | Outperforming |
| CLOU | Cloud | Growth / Tech Leadership | -1.8% | -1.9% | 14.5% | 21.4% | Outperforming |
| GDX | Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | -7.9% | -10.0% | 14.2% | -8.1% | Underperforming |
| CRAK | Refiners | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.6% | 5.2% | 13.7% | 21.1% | Outperforming |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | Metals / Miners | -8.4% | -9.5% | 13.6% | -10.1% | Underperforming |
| IGV | Software | Growth / Tech Leadership | -0.2% | -3.3% | 12.3% | 15.4% | Outperforming |
| SIL | Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | -9.4% | -11.5% | 11.6% | -12.2% | Underperforming |
| USO | Oil | Commodities / Crypto / USD | 0.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 2.6% | Outperforming |
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | Style / Market Structure | -0.4% | 4.1% | 9.9% | -0.1% | Outperforming |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | Financial / Health Care Industries | 1.3% | 1.7% | 8.7% | 17.0% | Outperforming |
| XLK | Technology | Growth / Tech Leadership | 0.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | Outperforming |
| AIQ | AI Theme | Growth / Tech Leadership | -1.3% | 2.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | Outperforming |
| GSG | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -0.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 2.5% | Outperforming |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | Metals / Miners | -10.0% | -12.2% | 7.6% | -15.3% | Underperforming |
| SMH | Semiconductors | Growth / Tech Leadership | 1.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | Outperforming |
| DBC | Commodities | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -0.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 1.5% | Outperforming |
| COPX | Copper Miners | Metals / Miners | -3.9% | -8.9% | 6.3% | -2.1% | Underperforming |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | Core Index Beta | -0.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | Outperforming |
Relative Laggards
| Ticker | Name | Group | RS 5D | RS 1M | RS 45D | RS 100D | RS Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -1.0% | -9.5% | -17.6% | -10.7% | Underperforming |
| XLU | Utilities | Defensive Sectors | -0.8% | -6.4% | -16.5% | -17.0% | Underperforming |
| XTN | Transportation | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.7% | -6.3% | -15.6% | -9.6% | Underperforming |
| XHB | Homebuilders | Cyclical Sectors | -1.3% | -6.7% | -14.6% | -12.6% | Underperforming |
| ITB | Home Construction | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -1.7% | -7.7% | -13.2% | -11.5% | Underperforming |
| XLRE | Real Estate | Defensive Sectors | -1.6% | -6.4% | -13.1% | -11.2% | Underperforming |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | Factors / Risk Appetite | -1.0% | -7.5% | -11.6% | -6.1% | Underperforming |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.0% | -3.7% | -11.3% | -13.6% | Underperforming |
| SPLV | Low Vol | Factors / Risk Appetite | 0.1% | -4.5% | -11.2% | -6.8% | Underperforming |
| JETS | Airlines | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -0.7% | -1.5% | -11.2% | 0.4% | Underperforming |
| XLI | Industrials | Cyclical Sectors | 0.5% | -3.9% | -11.1% | -8.5% | Underperforming |
| KRE | Regional Banks | Financial / Health Care Industries | -0.7% | -5.4% | -10.9% | -5.1% | Underperforming |
| IAK | Insurance | Financial / Health Care Industries | 0.2% | -4.3% | -10.9% | 1.0% | Underperforming |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | Rates / Credit | -3.2% | -4.6% | -9.6% | -12.8% | Underperforming |
| PEJ | Leisure | Thematic / Speculative Growth | 1.7% | -5.7% | -9.4% | -2.5% | Underperforming |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -3.2% | -6.6% | -9.2% | -24.9% | Underperforming |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | Financial / Health Care Industries | -1.9% | -8.2% | -9.1% | -4.5% | Underperforming |
| PALL | Palladium | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -5.7% | -13.6% | -8.9% | -25.2% | Underperforming |
| XLF | Financials | Cyclical Sectors | -0.3% | -6.4% | -8.4% | 0.1% | Underperforming |
| SOCL | Social Media | Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | -2.0% | -3.4% | -8.3% | -12.7% | Underperforming |
Volume And Range Confirmation
Upside confirmation requires expanded participation and a close near the high of the daily range. Downside pressure flags wide-range closes near the low.
Upside Confirmation
| Ticker | Name | Group | 1D | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | Rates / Credit | 0.1% | 2.4 | 86.9% | 84.2% |
| XLU | Utilities | Defensive Sectors | 1.2% | 2.0 | 82.5% | 88.3% |
| LQD | IG Credit | Rates / Credit | -0.1% | 1.7 | 72.2% | 65.8% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | Rates / Credit | -0.1% | 1.6 | 73.4% | 73.4% |
| MBB | MBS | Rates / Credit | -0.2% | 1.3 | 77.0% | 71.4% |
| XLV | Health Care | Defensive Sectors | -0.3% | 1.2 | 65.5% | 71.4% |
Downside Pressure
| Ticker | Name | Group | 1D | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | Oil | Commodities / Crypto / USD | -4.4% | 1.1 | 74.6% | 1.3% |
| KRE | Regional Banks | Financial / Health Care Industries | -1.0% | 1.4 | 68.7% | 24.5% |
Returns, RSI, And Moving-Average Distance By Sleeve
Green cells mark positive return or trend distance; red cells mark drawdowns, underperformance, or broken moving-average structure. RSI is blue below 40, neutral green in the middle, and orange/red as it gets extended.
Core Index Beta
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | -0.2% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 49.7 | 0.3% | 6.5% | 0.8 | 15.1% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 0.2% | -1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 21.9% | 31.3% | 23.7% | 3.7% | 59.3 | 3.3% | 10.8% | 0.8 | 5.2% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | -0.4% | -2.9% | -5.7% | -5.7% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | -5.0% | 31.3 | -4.9% | 1.3% | 0.9 | 36.5% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | -0.3% | -1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 15.9% | 23.8% | 16.1% | 0.9% | 52.2 | 1.1% | 7.6% | 1.0 | 18.7% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | -0.1% | -1.6% | -5.1% | -5.1% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | -4.4% | 34.0 | -3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0 | 28.6% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | -0.3% | -1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 11.6% | 2.2% | 55.1 | 1.9% | 5.9% | 0.7 | 19.4% |
Core Index Beta Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | -0.4% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +1.6% | 0.0% | -0.7% | -0.1% | +0.5% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +1.1% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 0.0% | +1.7% | +0.6% | +2.9% | +0.8% | -0.8% | 0.0% | +0.5% | -1.1% | +0.2% | +4.8% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | -0.4% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -2.1% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | -0.4% | +1.3% | +0.1% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -0.9% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.8% | -0.3% | +1.5% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | -0.8% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +0.4% | -0.6% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | -0.3% | +1.5% | +0.3% | +2.1% | 0.0% | -0.9% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +2.3% |
Style / Market Structure
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | -0.2% | -1.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 19.3% | 28.7% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 57.3 | 4.4% | 8.8% | 1.5 | 15.9% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 0.2% | -1.3% | -1.9% | -1.9% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 16.5% | -1.2% | 44.8 | -1.1% | 5.5% | 0.5 | 8.7% |
| VO | Mid Cap | 0.1% | -1.8% | -4.2% | -4.2% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | -3.5% | 35.1 | -3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4 | 21.4% |
| IWF | Growth | 0.1% | -1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 13.2% | 21.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 57.2 | 2.4% | 5.6% | 0.7 | 17.1% |
| IWD | Value | -0.4% | -1.5% | -3.6% | -3.6% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 24.0% | -3.0% | 37.8 | -2.1% | 7.0% | 1.0 | 34.5% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | -0.1% | -1.4% | -3.4% | -3.4% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | -2.7% | 38.1 | -2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0 | 22.2% |
Style / Market Structure Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | -0.1% | +1.8% | -0.5% | +3.6% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -0.2% | +2.6% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | -0.5% | +0.9% | -0.1% | +1.5% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -1.0% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| VO | Mid Cap | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.2% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -1.2% | +0.1% | -1.3% |
| IWF | Growth | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +0.4% | -1.0% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -0.8% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| IWD | Value | -0.9% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | -0.6% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.9% | -0.3% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.8% | -0.1% | -1.3% |
Factors / Risk Appetite
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 0.9% | -1.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 24.3% | 33.9% | 39.1% | 4.5% | 56.5 | 3.5% | 12.9% | 0.8 | 20.6% |
| MTUM | Momentum | 0.4% | -0.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 22.2% | 34.6% | 24.6% | 6.5% | 59.4 | 3.3% | 11.7% | 0.7 | 6.0% |
| QUAL | Quality | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 0.5% | 56.0 | 0.7% | 6.6% | 1.4 | 18.7% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | -0.3% | -2.2% | -8.1% | -8.1% | -0.9% | 0.6% | 3.3% | -7.5% | 19.4 | -6.4% | -2.8% | 2.4 | 20.6% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | 0.1% | -1.0% | -5.2% | -5.2% | -3.9% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -4.5% | 24.4 | -4.9% | -3.4% | 0.8 | 31.3% |
Factors / Risk Appetite Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | +0.2% | +2.3% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +1.2% | -1.0% | -0.2% | +1.1% | -1.7% | +0.9% | +7.0% |
| MTUM | Momentum | +0.1% | +2.1% | +1.1% | +2.1% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -0.9% | +0.4% | +5.8% |
| QUAL | Quality | -0.6% | +0.7% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +2.1% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | -1.3% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.9% | -0.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -0.3% | -4.9% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.3% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -2.8% |
Growth / Tech Leadership
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | -0.0% | -0.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 37.4% | 49.9% | 39.3% | 5.5% | 61.2 | 5.0% | 18.6% | 0.9 | 10.7% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 1.1% | -0.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 43.5% | 62.2% | 88.7% | 10.5% | 61.8 | 6.9% | 22.5% | 0.9 | 27.0% |
| IGV | Software | -0.2% | -1.4% | -3.9% | -3.9% | 32.0% | 36.9% | -9.3% | -3.3% | 51.7 | 3.3% | 12.4% | 0.8 | 18.7% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 0.0% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -2.6% | 44.0% | 49.5% | 18.6% | -1.9% | 51.3 | 3.3% | 23.2% | 0.6 | 13.5% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 0.1% | -1.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 74.6% | 88.9% | 27.7% | 6.5% | 57.5 | 8.7% | 36.9% | 0.6 | 37.7% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | 0.4% | -2.3% | -0.5% | -0.5% | 2.4% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 0.2% | 48.6 | -1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1 | 17.5% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 0.5% | -2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 31.1% | 43.1% | 32.0% | 2.0% | 54.3 | 3.4% | 13.9% | 1.4 | 11.1% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 0.3% | -1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 31.3% | 44.8% | 46.5% | 3.1% | 55.2 | 2.5% | 13.5% | 2.9 | 9.5% |
| ROBO | Robotics | 0.0% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 9.5% | 20.2% | 23.7% | 0.4% | 51.4 | -0.2% | 2.9% | 0.6 | 13.9% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | -0.1% | -2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 28.9% | 41.2% | 51.5% | 2.4% | 51.5 | 1.8% | 15.6% | 1.3 | 13.5% |
| PNQI | Internet | 0.3% | -2.2% | -5.3% | -5.3% | 10.1% | 17.8% | -10.6% | -4.6% | 45.3 | -0.7% | 2.7% | 0.7 | 6.0% |
Growth / Tech Leadership Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | +0.1% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +0.7% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +0.8% | -0.9% | 0.0% | +6.0% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | +0.6% | +2.8% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +1.9% | -1.0% | -0.1% | +1.0% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +12.0% |
| IGV | Software | -0.6% | +0.8% | -1.4% | +2.7% | -0.4% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
| CLOU | Cloud | -0.6% | +1.1% | -1.8% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | -0.3% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | -0.8% | +0.8% | -2.2% | +3.7% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -1.0% | -4.2% | +1.5% | +0.1% | +0.3% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | +0.9% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -1.8% | -0.5% | +0.7% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +3.4% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | +0.1% | +2.2% | -0.4% | +3.4% | +0.6% | -1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.9% | +0.5% | +3.3% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | +0.4% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +3.6% | +0.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | +0.8% | -1.5% | +0.3% | +6.7% |
| ROBO | Robotics | +0.4% | +1.4% | -0.2% | +2.3% | +1.4% | -1.5% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -0.8% | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | -0.2% | +1.9% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -0.3% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -0.1% | +1.3% |
| PNQI | Internet | -0.9% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +2.7% | -0.5% | -1.2% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -1.7% | +0.3% | -1.8% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | -0.0% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -1.5% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 23.8% | -0.8% | 46.5 | -1.4% | 4.7% | 1.1 | 31.3% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | 0.2% | -2.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 27.1% | 38.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 58.0 | 8.8% | 15.2% | 0.8 | 10.3% |
| UFO | Space | -1.1% | -4.1% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -16.7% | -3.8% | 19.8% | -2.9% | 38.6 | -5.1% | -10.2% | 1.0 | 39.3% |
| PEJ | Leisure | -0.1% | 0.5% | -6.3% | -6.3% | 3.2% | 11.4% | 1.9% | -5.7% | 42.3 | -4.4% | 0.3% | 0.3 | 31.0% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | -0.1% | +1.4% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +0.4% | -2.4% | +1.5% | +0.6% | -0.4% | 0.0% | +0.4% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | -0.4% | +4.5% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +1.0% | -2.0% | +2.1% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +0.2% | +7.1% |
| UFO | Space | +0.2% | +1.6% | -1.0% | +2.2% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -1.5% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| PEJ | Leisure | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -1.4% | +0.8% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -0.1% | +0.5% |
Cyclical Sectors
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | 0.1% | -2.8% | -6.9% | -6.9% | -1.3% | 3.5% | -8.8% | -6.2% | 35.5 | -4.7% | -6.1% | 1.2 | 6.0% |
| XLC | Communication Services | 0.3% | -1.8% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.8% | 4.4% | -5.1% | -0.7% | 47.8 | 0.2% | -1.8% | 2.0 | 14.3% |
| XLE | Energy | -0.9% | -0.4% | -1.8% | -1.8% | 6.8% | -0.9% | 39.4% | -1.2% | 42.4 | -0.5% | 10.1% | 0.9 | 50.8% |
| XLF | Financials | -0.3% | -1.4% | -7.0% | -7.0% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 1.0% | -6.4% | 29.2 | -5.1% | 0.9% | 1.5 | 41.3% |
| XLI | Industrials | 0.2% | -0.7% | -4.5% | -4.5% | -0.5% | 6.5% | 11.5% | -3.9% | 38.1 | -4.7% | -1.5% | 0.9 | 42.5% |
| XLB | Materials | -0.7% | -2.8% | -7.7% | -7.7% | -4.8% | 0.8% | 11.6% | -7.0% | 34.0 | -4.9% | -2.6% | 1.1 | 40.1% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -0.3% | -2.5% | -7.3% | -7.3% | -5.1% | 0.6% | -11.8% | -6.7% | 40.7 | -6.5% | -8.6% | 0.8 | 33.7% |
Cyclical Sectors Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | -0.6% | +1.1% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -0.3% | +0.2% | -1.4% | +0.1% | -1.3% |
| XLC | Communication Services | -0.9% | -0.6% | -1.4% | +3.9% | -1.1% | -0.9% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +0.3% | -1.9% |
| XLE | Energy | -2.9% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -2.3% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +0.1% | -0.9% | -6.1% |
| XLF | Financials | -1.6% | -0.1% | 0.0% | +0.4% | -2.0% | -0.5% | 0.0% | +0.6% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -4.7% |
| XLI | Industrials | -0.1% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +0.9% | -1.0% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| XLB | Materials | -0.7% | +0.7% | -1.4% | -0.1% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -1.2% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -2.8% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -1.0% | +0.3% | -0.7% | +1.2% | +2.5% | -2.3% | -0.3% | +1.6% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
Defensive Sectors
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | -0.5% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -4.2% | -0.4% | 0.8% | 7.0% | -3.6% | 39.4 | -3.1% | -1.5% | 1.3 | 47.2% |
| XLV | Health Care | -0.3% | 0.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 27.2% | 0.4% | 56.4 | 1.6% | 9.6% | 1.2 | 65.5% |
| XLU | Utilities | 1.2% | -2.0% | -7.1% | -7.1% | -14.6% | -12.3% | -6.9% | -6.4% | 29.7 | -7.6% | -10.0% | 2.0 | 82.5% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | -0.0% | -2.7% | -7.1% | -7.1% | -1.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | -6.4% | 26.7 | -6.3% | -3.5% | 1.1 | 35.7% |
Defensive Sectors Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| XLV | Health Care | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +0.5% | -0.6% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +2.2% |
| XLU | Utilities | 0.0% | +0.9% | -1.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -1.0% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +1.2% | -3.2% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | -0.6% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +1.0% | -0.2% | -1.6% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.5% | 0.0% | -3.2% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | -0.0% | -2.9% | -3.4% | -3.4% | -1.6% | 8.7% | 46.9% | -2.7% | 39.6 | -3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4 | 12.3% |
| SOCL | Social Media | -0.2% | -3.2% | -4.0% | -4.0% | -3.0% | 4.4% | -28.9% | -3.4% | 42.1 | -3.7% | -9.2% | 0.6 | 23.4% |
| HERO | Video Games | -0.3% | -3.2% | -2.1% | -2.1% | 2.5% | 6.5% | -20.1% | -1.4% | 45.2 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 2.2 | 7.1% |
| XES | Oil Services | -2.9% | -5.1% | -9.9% | -9.9% | -8.6% | -9.3% | 48.3% | -9.3% | 29.3 | -7.8% | -3.4% | 0.9 | 62.7% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | -0.8% | -1.6% | -3.9% | -3.9% | 4.6% | -4.6% | 36.0% | -3.3% | 38.8 | -2.1% | 10.2% | 0.9 | 30.6% |
| OIH | Oil Services | -2.4% | -3.7% | -9.1% | -9.1% | -7.3% | -8.6% | 46.2% | -8.5% | 31.3 | -5.9% | -1.7% | 1.1 | 57.9% |
| CRAK | Refiners | -2.1% | -1.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 30.1% | 28.9% | 70.9% | 5.2% | 49.9 | 4.7% | 27.4% | 0.7 | 90.9% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | -1.3% | -2.8% | -7.2% | -7.2% | -5.7% | -12.8% | 22.0% | -6.6% | 33.8 | -5.2% | 1.2% | 0.8 | 31.0% |
| COAL | Coal | -0.8% | -5.0% | -11.5% | -11.5% | -9.6% | -15.2% | 11.5% | -10.9% | 33.6 | -4.9% | -4.8% | 0.5 | 21.8% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | 0.1% | -4.4% | -7.2% | -7.2% | -13.2% | -6.5% | -6.5% | -6.6% | 36.1 | -6.3% | -10.9% | 1.2 | 12.3% |
| JETS | Airlines | 0.2% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -2.1% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 14.9% | -1.5% | 46.6 | -4.4% | 0.1% | 0.7 | 40.1% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | -0.3% | -1.2% | -4.3% | -4.3% | -1.6% | 6.5% | 12.9% | -3.7% | 37.9 | -5.0% | -2.4% | 1.8 | 57.9% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | 0.0% | -2.2% | -10.1% | -10.1% | -9.8% | -3.1% | 2.0% | -9.5% | 26.3 | -9.9% | -9.1% | 1.0 | 37.3% |
| XTN | Transportation | 0.4% | -1.9% | -7.0% | -7.0% | -2.4% | 9.7% | 18.1% | -6.3% | 33.4 | -7.2% | -4.3% | 0.8 | 13.9% |
| CARZ | Autos | 0.0% | -2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 22.3% | 36.7% | 50.6% | 2.4% | 51.6 | 1.6% | 10.0% | 0.1 | 0.8% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -0.4% | -2.9% | -8.3% | -8.3% | -5.3% | -0.4% | -17.4% | -7.7% | 41.4 | -6.3% | -9.2% | 1.4 | 30.6% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | -0.4% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +1.7% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -1.3% | 0.0% | -1.5% |
| SOCL | Social Media | -1.7% | 0.0% | -1.0% | +3.6% | -0.3% | -2.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -2.7% |
| HERO | Video Games | -2.1% | +1.1% | -0.9% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -0.3% | -2.9% |
| XES | Oil Services | -2.6% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -2.9% | -9.5% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | -4.0% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -1.7% | +0.6% | +0.8% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -10.2% |
| OIH | Oil Services | -2.8% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -2.4% | -7.6% |
| CRAK | Refiners | -0.5% | +1.9% | -1.6% | -0.8% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -2.1% | -4.1% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | -5.6% | 0.0% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -1.5% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -2.1% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -12.2% |
| COAL | Coal | -1.1% | -0.1% | -3.1% | -0.1% | +1.5% | -2.7% | -0.9% | 0.0% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -7.7% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | +0.2% | +2.2% | -1.8% | +1.8% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -1.5% | +0.1% | -1.4% | +0.1% | -2.0% |
| JETS | Airlines | -0.3% | +1.3% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +0.4% | -3.0% | +0.7% | +1.8% | -1.7% | +0.2% | +2.4% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.7% | -0.3% | +0.1% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | +0.6% | -0.6% | 0.0% | +1.1% | -1.0% | 0.0% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -2.1% | 0.0% | -2.2% |
| XTN | Transportation | -2.0% | +0.8% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -2.8% |
| CARZ | Autos | -0.3% | +2.8% | +0.1% | +3.0% | +1.0% | -1.6% | 0.0% | +0.6% | -1.9% | 0.0% | +3.8% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -1.1% | +0.5% | -1.3% | +0.9% | +3.2% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +1.3% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -0.8% |
Financial / Health Care Industries
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | -1.0% | -1.9% | -6.0% | -6.0% | 2.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | -5.4% | 30.8 | -6.4% | -0.4% | 1.4 | 68.7% |
| IAK | Insurance | 0.1% | -1.0% | -4.9% | -4.9% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 6.1% | -4.3% | 33.6 | -4.7% | 1.5% | 0.5 | 29.0% |
| PSP | Private Equity | -0.1% | -3.6% | -11.1% | -11.1% | -0.3% | 5.8% | -15.1% | -10.5% | 32.5 | -7.1% | -6.2% | 1.4 | 36.1% |
| IYG | Financial Services | -0.4% | -1.5% | -6.9% | -6.9% | 6.0% | 13.9% | 1.8% | -6.3% | 30.6 | -5.0% | 0.8% | 0.6 | 46.4% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | -0.3% | -3.0% | -8.8% | -8.8% | 3.4% | 12.7% | 1.0% | -8.2% | 33.0 | -5.7% | -1.3% | 0.4 | 43.3% |
| XBI | Biotech | 0.1% | -3.1% | -3.4% | -3.4% | 20.1% | 31.3% | 58.4% | -2.8% | 47.4 | -0.7% | 13.4% | 1.0 | 33.7% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 22.8% | 31.6% | 48.5% | 1.7% | 57.5 | 4.1% | 17.0% | 1.1 | 53.2% |
| IHF | Health Providers | -0.6% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -2.6% | 23.3% | 35.1% | 13.6% | -1.9% | 41.0 | -2.3% | 9.7% | 0.4 | 35.7% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | -0.3% | -1.0% | -6.2% | -6.2% | -4.6% | -2.5% | -12.6% | -5.5% | 43.3 | -2.8% | -5.1% | 1.2 | 33.7% |
| IHE | Pharma | -0.9% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 46.6% | -1.0% | 48.4 | -0.8% | 10.4% | 0.7 | 71.0% |
Financial / Health Care Industries Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | -1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.5% | -1.1% | -1.1% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -5.2% |
| IAK | Insurance | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -1.4% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -4.9% |
| PSP | Private Equity | -0.9% | +0.8% | -0.9% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -2.1% | -1.3% | +1.3% | -1.4% | -0.1% | -3.6% |
| IYG | Financial Services | -1.8% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -2.0% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -4.6% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | -2.2% | +0.7% | +1.3% | +1.2% | -2.0% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -0.3% | -4.0% |
| XBI | Biotech | +0.1% | +2.6% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +2.3% | -4.1% | +0.5% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | +0.2% | +2.3% | -1.2% | +1.3% | +1.8% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +4.5% |
| IHF | Health Providers | -0.7% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -0.7% | -0.9% | 0.0% | +1.6% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -0.8% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -0.3% | 0.0% |
| IHE | Pharma | +0.3% | +1.0% | -0.7% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -1.6% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -0.9% | +1.4% |
Rates / Credit
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | 0.1% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -0.5% | 0.5% | -0.2% | 32.4 | -0.8% | -0.8% | 2.4 | 86.9% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 0.1% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 36.8 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 1.1 | 66.3% |
| TIP | TIPS | -0.1% | -1.5% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -2.6% | -3.0% | -2.1% | 26.1 | -2.4% | -3.4% | 1.7 | 61.9% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | -0.1% | -1.9% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -5.4% | -4.2% | -4.3% | -2.7% | 27.7 | -2.9% | -4.6% | 1.4 | 59.9% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | -0.5% | -4.3% | -5.2% | -5.2% | -9.0% | -7.2% | -9.4% | -4.6% | 26.6 | -4.5% | -7.6% | 1.9 | 81.7% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | -0.1% | -1.7% | -2.6% | -2.6% | -4.2% | -3.0% | -2.8% | -2.0% | 27.6 | -2.3% | -3.6% | 1.6 | 73.4% |
| CWB | Convertibles | 0.2% | -2.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | 5.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | -0.3% | 44.6 | -1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6 | 25.4% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | -0.0% | -2.3% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -2.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | -2.0% | 30.5 | -2.5% | -2.4% | 1.4 | 50.4% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | -0.1% | -2.6% | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.2% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -2.7% | 24.9 | -3.0% | -3.6% | 1.1 | 67.5% |
| HYG | High Yield | -0.2% | -1.7% | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -1.8% | 22.1 | -2.1% | -1.9% | 2.9 | 91.7% |
| LQD | IG Credit | -0.1% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -5.4% | -3.4% | -4.7% | -2.6% | 26.2 | -2.9% | -4.7% | 1.7 | 72.2% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | -0.0% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 42.5 | -0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8 | 32.5% |
| MBB | MBS | -0.2% | -2.1% | -3.6% | -3.6% | -4.8% | -3.5% | -2.6% | -2.9% | 28.2 | -3.1% | -4.2% | 1.3 | 77.0% |
| PFF | Preferreds | -0.2% | -2.1% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -2.7% | -0.4% | -3.0% | -2.2% | 34.5 | -2.5% | -3.5% | 1.1 | 65.9% |
Rates / Credit Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | -0.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +0.1% | 0.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -0.6% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | 0.0% | -0.2% | 0.0% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| TIP | TIPS | -0.4% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | -0.1% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +0.4% | 0.0% | -1.1% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -0.1% | -1.5% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | +0.2% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.5% | -3.1% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | 0.0% | +0.5% | -0.4% | +0.3% | 0.0% | -0.9% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -0.1% | -1.3% |
| CWB | Convertibles | +0.1% | +1.2% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -0.1% | 0.0% | -1.1% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | -0.4% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.8% | 0.0% | -1.7% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -0.5% | 0.0% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| HYG | High Yield | +0.1% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +0.2% | 0.0% | -0.7% | -0.3% | 0.0% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| LQD | IG Credit | +0.2% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +0.4% | 0.0% | -1.1% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | -0.1% | +0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% | 0.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| MBB | MBS | 0.0% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -0.7% | +0.5% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -1.9% |
| PFF | Preferreds | +0.2% | +0.8% | -0.4% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -0.2% | -1.1% |
Metals / Miners
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | -1.4% | -7.2% | -12.5% | -12.5% | -8.3% | -1.9% | 11.4% | -11.9% | 35.3 | -7.1% | -8.8% | 1.5 | 44.0% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | 0.3% | -5.0% | -9.5% | -9.5% | 4.2% | 19.4% | 47.7% | -8.9% | 44.5 | -1.6% | 3.5% | 0.6 | 4.0% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | -0.4% | -3.3% | -3.6% | -3.6% | -0.1% | 3.7% | 31.6% | -3.0% | 37.8 | -1.5% | 3.9% | 0.5 | 16.3% |
| WOOD | Timber | -1.2% | -6.1% | -6.4% | -6.4% | -5.2% | -1.1% | -5.6% | -5.8% | 31.1 | -5.3% | -4.8% | 0.4 | 76.2% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | 1.3% | -9.0% | -10.6% | -10.6% | -9.3% | 3.8% | 18.5% | -10.0% | 42.0 | -1.8% | -2.2% | 0.9 | 1.2% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | 1.5% | -9.5% | -10.1% | -10.1% | -9.0% | 4.7% | 20.6% | -9.5% | 43.4 | -1.7% | -3.2% | 0.8 | 2.0% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | 0.2% | -10.5% | -12.1% | -12.1% | -9.0% | 3.7% | 24.3% | -11.5% | 40.3 | -3.2% | -4.3% | 0.8 | 1.6% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | 0.2% | -11.0% | -12.8% | -12.8% | -11.8% | -0.7% | 22.3% | -12.2% | 39.9 | -5.0% | -8.3% | 0.9 | 2.0% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | 0.7% | -8.6% | -14.8% | -14.8% | -25.5% | -19.3% | -17.3% | -14.3% | 36.0 | -9.4% | -20.2% | 0.5 | 8.3% |
Metals / Miners Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | -0.6% | +2.3% | -2.4% | +0.4% | +2.7% | -2.1% | -1.5% | +0.3% | -2.7% | -1.4% | -5.0% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | -0.5% | +2.9% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +2.8% | -3.3% | -0.9% | +0.6% | -1.7% | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | -1.6% | +1.6% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +0.9% | -1.2% | -0.6% | 0.0% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -4.5% |
| WOOD | Timber | 0.0% | +1.2% | -1.4% | +0.3% | +1.5% | -1.8% | -1.9% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -4.5% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | -1.4% | +3.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +3.6% | -4.4% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -5.4% | +1.3% | -5.4% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | -1.9% | +4.8% | +0.7% | -1.4% | +4.3% | -5.2% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -5.8% | +1.5% | -3.7% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | -1.9% | +4.5% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +3.9% | -5.3% | -1.4% | +0.7% | -5.0% | +0.2% | -6.0% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | -1.9% | +5.2% | +0.3% | -1.3% | +4.4% | -5.4% | -1.6% | +1.0% | -5.5% | +0.2% | -5.2% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | -0.4% | +2.2% | -1.9% | +3.3% | +1.5% | -4.1% | -2.9% | 0.0% | -2.5% | +0.7% | -4.3% |
International Equity
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | -0.5% | -2.5% | -5.4% | -5.4% | -2.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | -4.8% | 38.8 | -3.7% | 0.1% | 1.0 | 38.5% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 0.7% | -4.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | -6.9% | 0.5% | 23.0% | 3.3% | 45.6 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1 | 25.0% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | -0.9% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -4.6% | -6.2% | -2.1% | -15.9% | -4.0% | 39.7 | -3.8% | -6.3% | 0.9 | 54.8% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 0.3% | -2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 29.2% | 1.1% | 51.2 | 1.7% | 7.7% | 0.7 | 10.3% |
| EZU | Eurozone | -0.4% | -1.3% | -3.7% | -3.7% | 4.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% | -3.0% | 41.3 | -2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6 | 56.7% |
| INDA | India | -0.3% | -2.8% | -5.3% | -5.3% | -4.7% | 2.4% | -10.0% | -4.6% | 33.3 | -4.4% | -6.0% | 0.9 | 24.2% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | -0.8% | -1.7% | -1.0% | -1.0% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 38.5% | -0.4% | 49.2 | 0.2% | 7.3% | 0.7 | 49.2% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | -0.9% | -1.7% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -0.6% | 7.7% | 16.4% | -2.9% | 37.6 | -2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6 | 79.8% |
International Equity Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | -1.4% | +2.2% | -1.3% | +1.0% | +0.2% | -2.5% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.8% |
| EWZ | Brazil | -0.8% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -0.2% | -1.7% | +0.7% | -3.5% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | -1.4% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -1.6% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | -0.1% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +0.4% | -2.0% | -0.7% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +2.5% |
| EZU | Eurozone | -0.2% | +0.9% | -0.9% | +1.2% | +0.2% | -1.6% | +0.2% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
| INDA | India | -0.3% | +1.2% | 0.0% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -0.3% | -1.4% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | +0.9% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +0.9% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | -0.7% | +1.0% | -1.4% | +0.9% | 0.0% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -2.0% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Use this as the first tape read: where return momentum, RSI, and moving-average confirmation are aligned or diverging.
| Ticker | Name | 1D | 5D | 21D | 1M | 120D | 6M | 1Y | RS 1M | RSI | 50D Gap | 200D Gap | Vol x20D | Range Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | 0.0% | -1.1% | -3.2% | -3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 8.8% | -2.6% | 43.4 | -0.3% | 4.3% | 0.5 | 32.5% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 0.2% | -2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 27.6% | 1.0% | 49.1 | 0.5% | 4.1% | 1.4 | 33.3% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 0.2% | -2.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 26.2% | -26.8% | 8.3% | 63.9 | 14.3% | 13.9% | 0.8 | 11.9% |
| DBC | Commodities | -1.5% | -1.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 46.2% | 4.6% | 48.6 | 3.1% | 14.3% | 0.9 | 60.7% |
| GSG | Commodities | -1.6% | -1.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 52.5% | 5.9% | 49.3 | 3.8% | 16.7% | 1.5 | 59.1% |
| USO | Oil | -4.4% | -0.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 92.2% | 11.3% | 48.4 | 5.0% | 25.8% | 1.1 | 74.6% |
| GLD | Gold | 1.3% | -4.3% | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.9% | -7.7% | 8.6% | -5.7% | 39.9 | -3.3% | -8.0% | 0.8 | 31.3% |
| SLV | Silver | 1.0% | -8.6% | -7.6% | -7.6% | -17.8% | -12.5% | 30.5% | -6.9% | 41.4 | -3.7% | -15.9% | 0.8 | 0.4% |
| URA | Uranium | -0.2% | -8.5% | -12.1% | -12.1% | -22.1% | -14.1% | -13.9% | -11.5% | 37.9 | -7.5% | -16.8% | 0.8 | 7.9% |
| PLTM | Platinum | -0.7% | -7.0% | -6.3% | -6.3% | -16.7% | -8.8% | 6.1% | -5.7% | 42.1 | -2.6% | -12.6% | 3.9 | 29.8% |
| PALL | Palladium | 0.6% | -6.8% | -14.2% | -14.2% | -22.3% | -11.8% | -4.0% | -13.6% | 38.1 | -7.3% | -17.9% | 0.7 | 3.6% |
| CPER | Copper | 0.6% | -3.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 31.8% | 1.3% | 50.2 | 0.5% | 6.9% | 0.4 | 8.3% |
| UUP | US Dollar | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 72.2 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 1.2 | 55.2% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD Daily Return Map
Each row has its own red/green color scale: the darkest daily cell is that ETF's largest absolute move over the displayed 10 trading sessions. CUM compounds the visible daily returns.
| Ticker | Name | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/21 | 9/22 | 9/23 | 9/24 | 9/25 | 9/28 | Latest9/29 | CUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | -0.2% | -1.4% | -0.9% | +1.9% | -0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.0% | 0.0% | -2.2% |
| DBB | Base Metals | +0.2% | +2.1% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +1.1% | -1.4% | +0.5% | 0.0% | -1.7% | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | +0.7% | +0.3% | +5.9% | +7.0% | -0.5% | -2.1% | 0.0% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +10.7% |
| DBC | Commodities | -1.5% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -1.1% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +0.9% | -1.7% | -0.4% | -1.5% | -5.0% |
| GSG | Commodities | -1.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +0.9% | -1.6% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -5.5% |
| USO | Oil | -3.5% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -3.7% | -2.8% | +3.3% | +2.9% | -3.1% | +1.1% | -4.4% | -11.4% |
| GLD | Gold | -0.6% | +1.7% | +0.7% | -0.7% | +0.4% | -1.8% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -3.9% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
| SLV | Silver | -0.8% | +3.4% | +1.6% | -0.5% | +1.8% | -4.2% | -0.9% | +0.9% | -5.5% | +1.0% | -3.6% |
| URA | Uranium | -1.0% | +3.2% | -2.4% | +3.2% | +1.8% | -4.0% | -2.7% | +0.1% | -1.9% | -0.2% | -4.1% |
| PLTM | Platinum | -1.6% | +1.4% | +1.8% | 0.0% | +1.7% | -4.6% | +0.4% | +1.1% | -3.3% | -0.7% | -3.9% |
| PALL | Palladium | -2.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.4% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -4.2% | +0.6% | -6.1% |
| CPER | Copper | -0.2% | +2.8% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +1.9% | -2.0% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -2.3% | +0.6% | +3.3% |
| UUP | US Dollar | +0.6% | -0.1% | 0.0% | +0.3% | 0.0% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +1.9% |
RSI / Trend Tables By Sleeve
This helps distinguish early recovery, broad trend support, and extended chase risk before drilling into the candles.
Core Index Beta
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | 49.7 | n/a | n/a | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS fading | 21.2% | -1.8% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 15.1% | 40.2% | 11.2% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 59.3 | 67.9 | -3.7 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 32.3% | -1.3% | 3.7% | 0.8 | 5.2% | 49.4% | 16.4% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 31.3 | 23.8 | -5.9 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 22.7% | -8.5% | -5.0% | 0.9 | 36.5% | 44.0% | 12.3% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | 52.2 | 63.5 | -12.0 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 24.1% | -1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 24.2% | 12.2% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | 34.0 | 24.6 | +0.5 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 16.4% | -6.0% | -4.4% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 62.8% | 10.0% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | 55.1 | 69.3 | -8.7 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 20.6% | -1.4% | 2.2% | 0.7 | 19.4% | 19.2% | 13.1% |
Style / Market Structure
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | 57.3 | 62.0 | -7.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 28.9% | -2.2% | 4.1% | 1.5 | 15.9% | 51.3% | 20.0% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 44.8 | 38.7 | +5.1 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 19.2% | -3.7% | -1.2% | 0.5 | 8.7% | 50.0% | 11.3% |
| VO | Mid Cap | 35.1 | 21.8 | +1.2 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 15.0% | -6.4% | -3.5% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 64.5% | 10.5% |
| IWF | Growth | 57.2 | 65.7 | -1.7 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 22.1% | -2.6% | 2.8% | 0.7 | 17.1% | 30.9% | 15.2% |
| IWD | Value | 37.8 | 29.3 | -0.4 pts | Soft | Fading | RS fading | 26.3% | -3.8% | -3.0% | 1.0 | 34.5% | 57.4% | 9.5% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | 38.1 | 31.6 | +1.7 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 10.7% | -4.2% | -2.7% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 99.8% | 9.8% |
Factors / Risk Appetite
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 56.5 | 59.3 | -1.0 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 46.0% | -3.1% | 4.5% | 0.8 | 20.6% | 54.1% | 26.6% |
| MTUM | Momentum | 59.4 | 61.8 | +2.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 37.5% | -8.2% | 6.5% | 0.7 | 6.0% | 63.7% | 19.7% |
| QUAL | Quality | 56.0 | 63.4 | +21.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 19.9% | -1.7% | 0.5% | 1.4 | 18.7% | 78.4% | 10.6% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | 19.4 | 23.3 | -1.3 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 7.3% | -9.3% | -7.5% | 2.4 | 20.6% | 61.5% | 8.0% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | 24.4 | 29.6 | +6.0 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 3.0% | -8.7% | -4.5% | 0.8 | 31.3% | 82.8% | 6.6% |
Growth / Tech Leadership
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | 61.2 | 66.5 | -0.3 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 52.7% | -1.8% | 5.5% | 0.9 | 10.7% | 24.8% | 18.9% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 61.8 | 64.3 | +1.6 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 88.7% | -9.3% | 10.5% | 0.9 | 27.0% | 23.1% | 32.0% |
| IGV | Software | 51.7 | 52.1 | -2.2 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 40.9% | -10.1% | -3.3% | 0.8 | 18.7% | 82.5% | 32.4% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 51.3 | 51.7 | -7.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 59.7% | -3.6% | -1.9% | 0.6 | 13.5% | 92.6% | 33.2% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 57.5 | 57.6 | -5.1 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 95.0% | -3.6% | 6.5% | 0.6 | 37.7% | 65.5% | 52.1% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | 48.6 | 48.2 | -3.8 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 22.5% | -10.4% | 0.2% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 60.7% | 24.9% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 54.3 | 56.2 | -9.5 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 45.3% | -7.3% | 2.0% | 1.4 | 11.1% | 65.2% | 21.6% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 55.2 | 57.4 | -1.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 52.5% | -9.9% | 3.1% | 2.9 | 9.5% | 44.4% | 24.9% |
| ROBO | Robotics | 51.4 | 52.4 | -0.4 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 28.1% | -11.0% | 0.4% | 0.6 | 13.9% | 46.3% | 20.4% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | 51.5 | 52.5 | -7.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 54.5% | -7.5% | 2.4% | 1.3 | 13.5% | 42.0% | 20.0% |
| PNQI | Internet | 45.3 | 44.4 | -3.2 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 17.8% | -11.2% | -4.6% | 0.7 | 6.0% | 96.3% | 21.6% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | 46.5 | 46.3 | +5.1 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 23.8% | -4.0% | -0.8% | 1.1 | 31.3% | 54.6% | 15.4% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | 58.0 | 60.0 | -8.0 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 40.8% | -3.3% | 6.5% | 0.8 | 10.3% | 33.8% | 33.3% |
| UFO | Space | 38.6 | 34.5 | -9.3 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 35.4% | -37.4% | -2.9% | 1.0 | 39.3% | 17.5% | 21.7% |
| PEJ | Leisure | 42.3 | 41.7 | +12.9 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 13.0% | -9.2% | -5.7% | 0.3 | 31.0% | 74.8% | 16.0% |
Cyclical Sectors
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | 35.5 | 27.2 | -4.1 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 3.5% | -12.0% | -6.2% | 1.2 | 6.0% | 53.1% | 16.0% |
| XLC | Communication Services | 47.8 | 47.6 | -2.2 pts | Neutral | Repairing | Underperforming | 5.8% | -6.6% | -0.7% | 2.0 | 14.3% | 95.1% | 22.3% |
| XLE | Energy | 42.4 | 44.2 | +3.5 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 47.7% | -6.1% | -1.2% | 0.9 | 50.8% | 70.2% | 19.1% |
| XLF | Financials | 29.2 | 23.5 | +1.0 pts | Washed out | Fading | Underperforming | 13.4% | -7.8% | -6.4% | 1.5 | 41.3% | 46.4% | 14.1% |
| XLI | Industrials | 38.1 | 35.9 | +8.6 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 15.4% | -9.3% | -3.9% | 0.9 | 42.5% | 39.5% | 12.8% |
| XLB | Materials | 34.0 | 33.0 | -4.6 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 17.8% | -8.5% | -7.0% | 1.1 | 40.1% | 30.2% | 14.8% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | 40.7 | 37.8 | -1.4 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.4% | -19.7% | -6.7% | 0.8 | 33.7% | 40.7% | 24.0% |
Defensive Sectors
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | 39.4 | 41.4 | +3.0 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 10.5% | -7.9% | -3.6% | 1.3 | 47.2% | 96.6% | 11.1% |
| XLV | Health Care | 56.4 | 56.1 | +8.0 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 27.2% | -2.8% | 0.4% | 1.2 | 65.5% | 71.4% | 14.4% |
| XLU | Utilities | 29.7 | 30.0 | +5.3 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 1.2% | -15.7% | -6.4% | 2.0 | 82.5% | 88.3% | 14.1% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | 26.7 | 23.4 | -1.4 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 5.2% | -10.1% | -6.4% | 1.1 | 35.7% | 60.0% | 11.3% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | 39.6 | 36.7 | -5.8 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 54.1% | -17.8% | -2.7% | 1.4 | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| SOCL | Social Media | 42.1 | 40.5 | -5.7 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 4.7% | -28.9% | -3.4% | 0.6 | 23.4% | 81.7% | 22.4% |
| HERO | Video Games | 45.2 | 44.2 | -7.7 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 13.7% | -20.4% | -1.4% | 2.2 | 7.1% | 58.5% | 19.7% |
| XES | Oil Services | 29.3 | 30.2 | -6.8 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 59.9% | -19.1% | -9.3% | 0.9 | 62.7% | 2.5% | 26.5% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | 38.8 | 40.5 | +0.2 pts | Soft | Fading | RS fading | 47.2% | -10.2% | -3.3% | 0.9 | 30.6% | 67.5% | 25.3% |
| OIH | Oil Services | 31.3 | 33.1 | -4.4 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 59.6% | -16.2% | -8.5% | 1.1 | 57.9% | 17.0% | 24.9% |
| CRAK | Refiners | 49.9 | 50.0 | -3.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 80.7% | -5.4% | 5.2% | 0.7 | 90.9% | 79.7% | 21.4% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | 33.8 | 36.5 | -0.9 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 31.6% | -12.8% | -6.6% | 0.8 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 27.8% |
| COAL | Coal | 33.6 | 34.5 | -6.0 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 18.3% | -15.3% | -10.9% | 0.5 | 21.8% | 54.6% | 26.2% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | 36.1 | 32.5 | -6.9 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.1% | -20.5% | -6.6% | 1.2 | 12.3% | 57.8% | 24.4% |
| JETS | Airlines | 46.6 | 45.5 | -0.0 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 21.6% | -14.8% | -1.5% | 0.7 | 40.1% | 46.9% | 23.5% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | 37.9 | 34.8 | +1.7 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 17.2% | -11.6% | -3.7% | 1.8 | 57.9% | 39.7% | 14.5% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | 26.3 | 23.7 | +1.6 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 5.7% | -17.3% | -9.5% | 1.0 | 37.3% | 23.5% | 14.3% |
| XTN | Transportation | 33.4 | 30.2 | +4.4 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 25.9% | -15.8% | -6.3% | 0.8 | 13.9% | 64.2% | 17.6% |
| CARZ | Autos | 51.6 | 52.4 | -7.6 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 53.7% | -12.6% | 2.4% | 0.1 | 0.8% | n/a | 25.0% |
| ITB | Home Construction | 41.4 | 39.3 | -3.1 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.7% | -21.9% | -7.7% | 1.4 | 30.6% | 43.1% | 25.9% |
Financial / Health Care Industries
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | 30.8 | 30.8 | +1.4 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 22.3% | -10.4% | -5.4% | 1.4 | 68.7% | 24.5% | 16.9% |
| IAK | Insurance | 33.6 | 36.3 | +2.9 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 12.6% | -9.3% | -4.3% | 0.5 | 29.0% | 92.8% | 14.6% |
| PSP | Private Equity | 32.5 | 23.8 | -1.0 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 5.8% | -17.7% | -10.5% | 1.4 | 36.1% | 65.3% | 19.7% |
| IYG | Financial Services | 30.6 | 23.5 | +1.0 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 13.9% | -7.4% | -6.3% | 0.6 | 46.4% | 46.9% | 14.6% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | 33.0 | 27.5 | -3.8 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 12.7% | -9.9% | -8.2% | 0.4 | 43.3% | 46.9% | 22.5% |
| XBI | Biotech | 47.4 | 47.6 | -3.5 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 58.4% | -7.5% | -2.8% | 1.0 | 33.7% | 69.9% | 25.0% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 57.5 | 58.0 | +3.5 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 48.5% | -2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1 | 53.2% | 70.6% | 20.1% |
| IHF | Health Providers | 41.0 | 41.9 | +6.9 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 35.2% | -4.7% | -1.9% | 0.4 | 35.7% | 63.6% | 12.8% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | 43.3 | 44.1 | +3.1 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 9.1% | -19.4% | -5.5% | 1.2 | 33.7% | 81.6% | 17.3% |
| IHE | Pharma | 48.4 | 48.6 | +4.0 pts | Neutral | Fading | RS fading | 46.6% | -5.5% | -1.0% | 0.7 | 71.0% | 44.1% | 14.0% |
Rates / Credit
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | 32.4 | 46.2 | +8.5 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.5% | -1.9% | -0.2% | 2.4 | 86.9% | 84.2% | 2.2% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | 36.8 | 47.7 | +9.1 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.8% | -1.1% | 0.1% | 1.1 | 66.3% | 73.7% | 1.8% |
| TIP | TIPS | 26.1 | 35.8 | +0.9 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.0% | -4.6% | -2.1% | 1.7 | 61.9% | 56.1% | 4.7% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | 27.7 | 32.4 | -1.2 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.0% | -7.2% | -2.7% | 1.4 | 59.9% | 82.7% | 6.2% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | 26.6 | 25.6 | -13.3 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.0% | -12.2% | -4.6% | 1.9 | 81.7% | 57.4% | 10.4% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | 27.6 | 35.6 | -0.7 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.0% | -5.5% | -2.0% | 1.6 | 73.4% | 73.4% | 5.2% |
| CWB | Convertibles | 44.6 | 42.0 | -4.4 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 18.3% | -8.5% | -0.3% | 1.6 | 25.4% | 37.3% | 14.1% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | 30.5 | 30.2 | -4.7 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.1% | -4.9% | -2.0% | 1.4 | 50.4% | 47.6% | 7.2% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | 24.9 | 28.9 | -6.6 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.0% | -5.6% | -2.7% | 1.1 | 67.5% | 42.9% | 6.8% |
| HYG | High Yield | 22.1 | 35.4 | -1.0 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 1.1% | -3.1% | -1.8% | 2.9 | 91.7% | 44.4% | 3.9% |
| LQD | IG Credit | 26.2 | 31.9 | -6.1 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.0% | -6.6% | -2.6% | 1.7 | 72.2% | 65.8% | 7.1% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | 42.5 | 48.3 | +5.6 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 2.8% | -0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8 | 32.5% | 33.3% | 3.0% |
| MBB | MBS | 28.2 | 29.5 | -4.2 pts | Washed out | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.0% | -6.0% | -2.9% | 1.3 | 77.0% | 71.4% | 7.0% |
| PFF | Preferreds | 34.5 | 28.3 | -5.3 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 0.6% | -6.1% | -2.2% | 1.1 | 65.9% | 40.9% | 8.6% |
Metals / Miners
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | 35.3 | 33.6 | -10.6 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 19.1% | -21.7% | -11.9% | 1.5 | 44.0% | 39.7% | 30.1% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | 44.5 | 43.8 | -7.2 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 52.3% | -11.4% | -8.9% | 0.6 | 4.0% | 60.0% | 40.9% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | 37.8 | 37.7 | -7.4 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 34.2% | -6.3% | -3.0% | 0.5 | 16.3% | 50.7% | 15.8% |
| WOOD | Timber | 31.1 | 29.1 | -18.8 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 5.4% | -17.4% | -5.8% | 0.4 | 76.2% | 68.0% | 15.1% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | 42.0 | 41.2 | -12.2 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 31.4% | -23.1% | -10.0% | 0.9 | 1.2% | 87.1% | 43.8% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | 43.4 | 42.7 | -11.9 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 35.3% | -25.9% | -9.5% | 0.8 | 2.0% | 92.4% | 51.7% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | 40.3 | 39.4 | -14.2 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 41.8% | -26.0% | -11.5% | 0.8 | 1.6% | 91.9% | 47.1% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | 39.9 | 39.0 | -13.9 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 35.7% | -31.4% | -12.2% | 0.9 | 2.0% | 88.1% | 51.2% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | 36.0 | 34.2 | -9.4 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 2.4% | -42.6% | -14.3% | 0.5 | 8.3% | 43.0% | 39.8% |
International Equity
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | 38.8 | 34.5 | -0.3 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 17.3% | -6.8% | -4.8% | 1.0 | 38.5% | 57.0% | 18.5% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 45.6 | 45.3 | -12.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 32.4% | -11.8% | 3.3% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 96.2% | 24.2% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | 39.7 | 39.3 | -5.2 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 7.2% | -17.4% | -4.0% | 0.9 | 54.8% | 81.0% | 17.8% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 51.2 | 51.9 | -6.8 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 32.3% | -5.4% | 1.1% | 0.7 | 10.3% | 91.8% | 21.8% |
| EZU | Eurozone | 41.3 | 37.0 | +4.6 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 16.7% | -5.2% | -3.0% | 0.6 | 56.7% | 53.8% | 13.2% |
| INDA | India | 33.3 | 26.0 | -5.2 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 3.3% | -15.1% | -4.6% | 0.9 | 24.2% | 77.8% | 14.0% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 49.2 | 49.2 | -3.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS fading | 40.8% | -2.4% | -0.4% | 0.7 | 49.2% | 49.1% | 16.2% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | 37.6 | 34.6 | +1.7 pts | Soft | Fading | Underperforming | 17.2% | -5.1% | -2.9% | 0.6 | 79.8% | 64.4% | 11.5% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD
ETF/SPY RSI is the 14-day Wilder RSI of the ETF-to-SPY price ratio. The 5D delta is its change in RSI points over five trading sessions: positive means relative momentum is improving versus SPY.
| Ticker | Name | RSI | ETF/SPY RSI | ETF/SPY 5D Delta | RSI State | Trend | RS Trend | Run From 1Y Low | Drawdown From 1Y High | RS 1M | Vol x20D | Range Pctl | Close Loc | 20D Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | 43.4 | 44.8 | +1.1 pts | Neutral | Fading | Underperforming | 14.0% | -4.2% | -2.6% | 0.5 | 32.5% | 55.5% | 13.2% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 49.1 | 49.3 | -5.2 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 27.8% | -4.0% | 1.0% | 1.4 | 33.3% | 100.0% | 20.1% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 63.9 | 65.5 | -5.8 pts | Strong | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 42.9% | -27.4% | 8.3% | 0.8 | 11.9% | 54.3% | 42.4% |
| DBC | Commodities | 48.6 | 49.0 | -1.9 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 49.9% | -5.0% | 4.6% | 0.9 | 60.7% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| GSG | Commodities | 49.3 | 49.5 | -2.4 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 56.4% | -5.5% | 5.9% | 1.5 | 59.1% | 9.3% | 21.9% |
| USO | Oil | 48.4 | 48.7 | -0.3 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 116.6% | -11.4% | 11.3% | 1.1 | 74.6% | 1.3% | 48.3% |
| GLD | Gold | 39.9 | 38.4 | -6.6 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 8.6% | -22.8% | -5.7% | 0.8 | 31.3% | 96.7% | 25.1% |
| SLV | Silver | 41.4 | 40.5 | -13.5 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 30.9% | -47.5% | -6.9% | 0.8 | 0.4% | 97.8% | 42.0% |
| URA | Uranium | 37.9 | 35.9 | -10.7 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 6.7% | -35.2% | -11.5% | 0.8 | 7.9% | 31.6% | 40.1% |
| PLTM | Platinum | 42.1 | 41.3 | -11.9 pts | Neutral | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 12.8% | -38.7% | -5.7% | 3.9 | 29.8% | 100.0% | 40.1% |
| PALL | Palladium | 38.1 | 37.4 | -8.2 pts | Soft | Below 50/200 | Underperforming | 4.8% | -40.5% | -13.6% | 0.7 | 3.6% | 89.4% | 43.7% |
| CPER | Copper | 50.2 | 50.3 | -8.5 pts | Neutral | Above 50/200 | Outperforming | 33.1% | -3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4 | 8.3% | 92.8% | 29.7% |
| UUP | US Dollar | 72.2 | 57.9 | +9.9 pts | Extended | Above 50/200 | RS repairing | 8.6% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 1.2 | 55.2% | 25.0% | 4.7% |
ETF/SPY Relative Return Wall
This section shows whether leadership is actually beating SPY. The 45D and 100D lines are rolling ETF return minus rolling SPY return, in percentage points; statistical bands are calculated from each ETF's full relative-return history.
Core Index Beta
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
QQQ
Nasdaq 100
IWM
Russell 2000
OEF
S&P 100
RSP
Equal Weight S&P
XLG
Mega Cap
Style / Market Structure
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
MAGS
Magnificent 7
XMAG
Ex-Mag 7
VO
Mid Cap
IWF
Growth
IWD
Value
SPXT
Ex-Tech S&P
Factors / Risk Appetite
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
SPHB
High Beta
MTUM
Momentum
QUAL
Quality
SPHD
High Dividend Low Vol
SPLV
Low Vol
Growth / Tech Leadership
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
XLK
Technology
SMH
Semiconductors
IGV
Software
CLOU
Cloud
BUG
Cybersecurity
GRID
Smart Grid
AIQ
AI Theme
QTUM
Quantum/AI
ROBO
Robotics
NXTG
5G / Digital Infra
PNQI
Internet
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
PINK
Health Innovators
ARKK
Speculative Tech
UFO
Space
PEJ
Leisure
Cyclical Sectors
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
XLY
Consumer Discretionary
XLC
Communication Services
XLE
Energy
XLF
Financials
XLI
Industrials
XLB
Materials
XHB
Homebuilders
Defensive Sectors
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
XLP
Consumer Staples
XLV
Health Care
XLU
Utilities
XLRE
Real Estate
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
XTL
Telecom
SOCL
Social Media
HERO
Video Games
XES
Oil Services
XOP
Oil E&P
OIH
Oil Services
CRAK
Refiners
FCG
Natural Gas Equities
COAL
Coal
NUKZ
Nuclear
JETS
Airlines
PAVE
Infrastructure
ITA
Aerospace & Defense
XTN
Transportation
CARZ
Autos
ITB
Home Construction
Financial / Health Care Industries
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
KRE
Regional Banks
IAK
Insurance
PSP
Private Equity
IYG
Financial Services
IAI
Broker Dealers
XBI
Biotech
IBB
Biotech Large Cap
IHF
Health Providers
IHI
Medical Devices
IHE
Pharma
Rates / Credit
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
STIP
Short TIPS
SHY
1-3Y Treasury
TIP
TIPS
IEF
7-10Y Treasury
TLT
20Y Treasury
AGG
Aggregate Bonds
CWB
Convertibles
EMLC
EM Local Debt
EMB
EM USD Debt
HYG
High Yield
LQD
IG Credit
BKLN
Bank Loans
MBB
MBS
PFF
Preferreds
Metals / Miners
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
XME
Metals & Mining
COPX
Copper Miners
HAP
Hard Assets
WOOD
Timber
GDX
Gold Miners
GDXJ
Junior Gold Miners
SIL
Silver Miners
SILJ
Junior Silver Miners
URNM
Uranium Miners
International Equity
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
EWA
Australia
EWZ
Brazil
FXI
China Large Cap
EEM
Emerging Markets
EZU
Eurozone
INDA
India
DXJ
Japan Hedged
EWU
United Kingdom
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Each card shows 45D and 100D rolling excess return versus SPY, in percentage points, over a rolling 39-month display. Bands are calculated from each ETF's full available relative-return history: +/-1 standard deviation marks normal stretch, and +/-2 standard deviations marks the tail zone.
DBA
Agriculture
DBB
Base Metals
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
DBC
Commodities
GSG
Commodities
USO
Oil
GLD
Gold
SLV
Silver
URA
Uranium
PLTM
Platinum
PALL
Palladium
CPER
Copper
UUP
US Dollar
Recent Regime History
Each run appends one snapshot per ETF to the local history file, then this table summarizes the last 20 run dates.
| Run Date | Market Date | % > 50D | % > 200D | % RS > SPY | Median RSI | Median DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-01 | 61.9% | 75.2% | 45.1% | 48.6 | -5.3% |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-02 | 64.6% | 76.1% | 46.9% | 49.5 | -5.0% |
| 2026-09-03 | 2026-09-03 | 68.1% | 76.1% | 47.8% | 53.3 | -4.3% |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-04 | 66.4% | 76.1% | 52.2% | 53.2 | -4.5% |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-08 | 63.7% | 76.1% | 60.2% | 50.0 | -4.6% |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-09 | 56.6% | 74.3% | 57.5% | 48.0 | -5.4% |
| 2026-09-10 | 2026-09-10 | 38.1% | 69.0% | 54.9% | 44.7 | -6.4% |
| 2026-09-11 | 2026-09-11 | 46.0% | 71.7% | 41.6% | 46.4 | -5.7% |
| 2026-09-14 | 2026-09-14 | 38.1% | 65.5% | 50.4% | 44.0 | -5.9% |
| 2026-09-15 | 2026-09-15 | 34.5% | 64.6% | 53.1% | 43.1 | -6.5% |
| 2026-09-16 | 2026-09-16 | 31.9% | 61.1% | 50.4% | 41.7 | -6.9% |
| 2026-09-17 | 2026-09-17 | 43.4% | 66.4% | 48.7% | 46.3 | -6.2% |
| 2026-09-18 | 2026-09-18 | 40.7% | 61.1% | 45.1% | 44.0 | -6.9% |
| 2026-09-21 | 2026-09-21 | 46.0% | 62.8% | 26.5% | 48.2 | -6.9% |
| 2026-09-22 | 2026-09-22 | 51.3% | 64.6% | 26.5% | 49.2 | -6.6% |
| 2026-09-23 | 2026-09-23 | 41.6% | 61.1% | 26.5% | 43.8 | -7.5% |
| 2026-09-24 | 2026-09-24 | 41.6% | 60.2% | 27.4% | 43.7 | -7.6% |
| 2026-09-25 | 2026-09-25 | 41.6% | 61.1% | 24.8% | 44.8 | -7.7% |
| 2026-09-28 | 2026-09-28 | 28.3% | 55.8% | 27.4% | 41.8 | -7.8% |
| 2026-09-29 | 2026-09-29 | 29.2% | 54.9% | 28.3% | 41.0 | -8.5% |
Inverted USD And ETF Trend Breadth
The teal line is ETF breadth. Macro overlays are rebased to 100 on the first available October 2024 observation. USD, 10Y, and WTI are inverted, so a rising macro line means weaker dollar, lower yield pressure, or lower oil pressure.
AAII Bull-Bear Spread And Weekly Shock
This recreates the AAII sentiment view in the house style: SPY price on top, AAII bull-bear spread in the middle, and the 1-week percentage-point change below. The component charts underneath show bullish and bearish sentiment with 4-week moving averages so the PM can separate one-week noise from trend.
Latest survey week: 2026-09-24
Week-over-week change in bull minus bear spread.
Bullish respondents, percent of survey.
Bearish respondents, percent of survey.
History starts 1987-08-07; 2,040 rows.
AAII bull-bear spread is shown as a 4-week average in percentage points. SPY price stretch is the latest SPY close versus its own 200DMA, expressed as percent above or below trend. Latest: -5.9 pts AAII 4W spread and 7.2% SPY vs 200DMA.
Fed Net Liquidity: 13-Week Driver Decomposition
Net liquidity is calculated from FRED as Fed balance sheet minus Treasury General Account minus reverse repo. The chart shows weekly observations of trailing 13-week changes: Fed balance sheet change, inverted TGA change, and inverted RRP change as stacked bars, with the net 13-week liquidity impulse as the line. The dashed trigger is included only as a legend item and visual reference, not an in-chart label.
Latest net liquidity level $5.76T through 2026-09-29.
WALCL converted from millions to billions; latest WALCL print 2026-09-23.
WTREGEN is converted from millions to billions and inverted: rising Treasury cash drains liquidity; falling cash adds liquidity.
RRP contribution is inverted: falling reverse repo balances release liquidity back into the market plumbing.
Net 13W change minus the sum of Fed, TGA, and RRP contributions. Small residuals are rounding/alignment noise.
Cache / Download Notes
- Repaired 6 OHLC cache rows with invalid open/high/low values before charting: IAI, MAGS, MTUM, OIH, PEJ, UUP.
USD, Oil, And 10Y Before Volatility
Macro drivers are shown before VIX/MOVE so the ETF tape is framed by dollar pressure, crude impulse, and rates direction first.
DX-Y.NYB | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses price returns.
CL=F | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses price returns.
^TNX | daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window. Side panel uses basis-point yield changes.
DXY, USD Futures Positioning, And SOFR Positioning
This recreates the institutional dollar-positioning read in the house style: DXY price on top, broad USD futures positioning in the middle, and 3-month SOFR leveraged-money positioning underneath. Positive USD positioning means non-commercial futures are net long USD after FX legs are converted to USD notional and sign-flipped. Negative SOFR positioning means leveraged accounts are short SOFR futures, typically a hawkish/rate-up bet.
Current Read
Latest broad USD net 18.3B as of 2026-09-22; SOFR leveraged-money net -2.44M as of 2026-09-22.
USD Panel
Broad USD net aggregates major FX futures, converts contracts into USD notional, and flips foreign-currency longs into USD shorts.
SOFR Panel
SOFR uses CFTC leveraged-money long minus short contracts. Large negative readings flag heavy short-rate-futures exposure.
VIX And MOVE Before The ETF Tape
A quick volatility and rates-volatility check before the sleeve chart run. These are candle-only views with RSI context, no moving-average overlays or right-side return panel.
Daily and weekly volatility/risk tape. These charts intentionally exclude moving-average overlays and stat panels.
Daily and weekly volatility/risk tape. These charts intentionally exclude moving-average overlays and stat panels.
Core Index Beta
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Core Index Beta | latest close 764.2 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 737.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 279.0 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 381.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 209.5 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Core Index Beta | latest close 63.59 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 71.39 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 25.57 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 79.04 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 125.3 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 249.0 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Style / Market Structure | latest close 108.0 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 151.8 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 316.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 223.2 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 48.55 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Factors / Risk Appetite | latest close 71.19 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 194.5 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 606.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 105.2 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 28.10 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 45.44 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 178.3 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 65.05 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 151.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 80.39 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 154.5 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Growth / Tech Leadership | latest close 50.55 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 38.79 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 89.45 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 42.42 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | latest close 62.68 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 109.2 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 111.5 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 61.54 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 54.01 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 169.1 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 49.10 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Cyclical Sectors | latest close 96.97 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 81.85 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 170.7 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 39.71 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Defensive Sectors | latest close 41.34 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 202.8 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 43.39 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 26.69 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 107.8 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 178.6 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 380.3 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 62.87 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 28.56 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 24.09 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 60.64 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 28.56 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 52.91 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 209.3 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 99.14 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 107.6 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | latest close 88.38 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 69.83 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 137.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 56.63 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 91.03 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 177.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 156.8 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 211.0 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 55.37 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 51.79 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Financial / Health Care Industries | latest close 102.3 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Rates / Credit | latest close 99.72 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 81.16 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 104.0 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 89.45 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 78.23 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 94.60 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 101.3 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 24.76 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 91.28 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 77.36 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 102.4 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 20.46 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 89.52 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Rates / Credit | latest close 29.51 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Metals / Miners | latest close 103.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 85.48 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 73.53 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 67.49 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 89.07 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 115.8 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 87.17 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 27.66 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Metals / Miners | latest close 48.25 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
International Equity | latest close 28.37 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 36.47 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 33.86 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 67.40 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 68.23 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 46.94 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 178.2 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
International Equity | latest close 46.85 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Charts are rendered in the same sleeve order used by the broader ETF work. The right panel is the daily PM checklist for return stack, trend distance, RSI, and one-year run/drawdown.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 28.25 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 25.56 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 83,701.2 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 32.00 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 35.11 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 143.3 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 382.9 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 55.48 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 40.04 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 16.37 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 22.14 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 39.93 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | latest close 28.75 on 2026-09-29. Daily view is a rolling 2-year window; weekly view is a rolling 5-year window.
50DMA And 200DMA Current-Deviation Studies
These appendix charts answer whether each ETF is unusually stretched or depressed versus its own moving averages. Tail frequency still uses the latest deviation as the rarity threshold; forward returns and spell survival use the latest deviation's historical decile so the comparison set is stable and easier to audit.
Core Index Beta
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | 0.3% | 3 | 70.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 66.4% | -5.4% | 411 | 3.9% | 78.5% | 6.7% | 78.0% | 14.7% | 91.4% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 3.3% | 7 | 39.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 70.4% | -3.6% | 415 | 4.2% | 79.5% | 7.5% | 80.5% | 17.8% | 91.6% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | -4.9% | 2 | 10.0% | 14 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 63.8% | -6.7% | 403 | 3.4% | 62.5% | 6.0% | 69.3% | 11.8% | 78.2% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | 1.1% | 4 | 61.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 69.7% | -4.6% | 412 | 3.2% | 74.4% | 6.3% | 78.3% | 13.4% | 90.9% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | -3.3% | 1 | 9.6% | 2 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 15.4 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 73.6% | -4.6% | 416 | 7.7% | 83.2% | 13.0% | 91.1% | 22.9% | 94.1% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | 1.9% | 6 | 49.6% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 63.1% | -3.4% | 415 | 3.1% | 73.0% | 6.4% | 83.3% | 12.8% | 88.7% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | 6.5% | 5 | 50.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 72.3% | -3.2% | 404 | 4.2% | 84.7% | 6.5% | 79.1% | 13.4% | 86.2% |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | 10.8% | 7 | 32.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 67.6% | -4.1% | 407 | 3.6% | 77.9% | 7.8% | 79.7% | 16.3% | 89.7% |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 1.3% | 4 | 67.7% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 62.6% | -5.8% | 404 | 3.9% | 69.5% | 6.7% | 74.9% | 10.2% | 69.0% |
| OEF | S&P 100 | 7.6% | 7 | 39.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 71.7% | -3.0% | 399 | 2.6% | 72.6% | 6.7% | 84.7% | 14.8% | 93.8% |
| RSP | Equal Weight S&P | 2.4% | 3 | 72.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 68.1% | -4.7% | 407 | 3.4% | 76.4% | 5.2% | 73.1% | 12.8% | 84.4% |
| XLG | Mega Cap | 5.9% | 5 | 55.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 75.4% | -2.2% | 403 | 5.1% | 89.6% | 7.1% | 85.0% | 15.8% | 92.4% |
Style / Market Structure
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | 4.4% | 6 | 46.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.1% | 3.4% | 77.2% | -2.6% | 79 | 8.4% | 78.7% | 13.9% | 84.9% | 38.5% | 100.0% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | -1.1% | 2 | 18.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.5% | 3.6% | 68.4% | -5.9% | 38 | 5.0% | 78.4% | 11.0% | 100.0% | 15.6% | 100.0% |
| VO | Mid Cap | -3.1% | 2 | 11.0% | 12 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.4% | 2.3% | 63.7% | -5.9% | 405 | 3.9% | 72.1% | 7.6% | 80.8% | 13.6% | 84.0% |
| IWF | Growth | 2.4% | 6 | 46.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 66.0% | -4.0% | 415 | 3.1% | 77.2% | 7.6% | 82.8% | 15.8% | 91.4% |
| IWD | Value | -2.1% | 2 | 13.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 68.4% | -5.8% | 414 | 3.9% | 78.0% | 7.4% | 82.2% | 12.4% | 83.7% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | -2.3% | 2 | 12.3% | 6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 63.2% | -4.5% | 261 | 3.4% | 77.4% | 6.6% | 84.8% | 10.8% | 82.3% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGS | Magnificent 7 | 8.8% | 4 | 63.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 69.1% | -6.6% | 68 | 11.9% | 82.3% | 26.0% | 98.1% | 43.0% | 100.0% |
| XMAG | Ex-Mag 7 | 5.5% | 3 | 72.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.7% | 2.9% | 93.5% | 0.8% | 31 | 6.4% | 100.0% | 10.6% | 100.0% | 22.9% | 100.0% |
| VO | Mid Cap | 2.4% | 3 | 72.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.4 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 70.0% | -4.7% | 407 | 5.1% | 83.5% | 7.6% | 80.1% | 16.7% | 93.1% |
| IWF | Growth | 5.6% | 4 | 61.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 73.8% | -3.0% | 404 | 5.3% | 84.8% | 8.2% | 86.3% | 18.0% | 92.1% |
| IWD | Value | 7.0% | 7 | 34.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 62.7% | -3.7% | 408 | 2.0% | 71.3% | 4.4% | 78.1% | 9.2% | 73.9% |
| SPXT | Ex-Tech S&P | 0.9% | 2 | 81.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 67.7% | -5.1% | 263 | 3.2% | 71.9% | 6.9% | 80.5% | 15.8% | 86.3% |
Factors / Risk Appetite
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 3.5% | 7 | 35.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 56.6% | -5.8% | 380 | 2.9% | 70.6% | 8.0% | 73.2% | 14.0% | 70.6% |
| MTUM | Momentum | 3.2% | 7 | 32.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 62.9% | -4.2% | 332 | 1.9% | 72.5% | 6.4% | 82.8% | 14.2% | 87.3% |
| QUAL | Quality | 0.7% | 4 | 66.4% | 4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 68.4% | -4.1% | 320 | 3.2% | 81.7% | 6.0% | 79.4% | 12.7% | 93.2% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | -6.5% | 1 | 2.3% | 10 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 79.8% | -2.2% | 336 | 5.7% | 83.9% | 8.8% | 89.0% | 16.6% | 83.6% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | -4.9% | 1 | 2.4% | 15 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 2.8% | 3.2% | 80.5% | -2.3% | 369 | 5.9% | 91.1% | 9.9% | 94.8% | 14.9% | 93.3% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHB | High Beta | 12.9% | 8 | 20.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 61.7% | -4.6% | 368 | 2.7% | 71.4% | 9.2% | 80.7% | 16.8% | 81.3% |
| MTUM | Momentum | 11.7% | 9 | 19.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 63.1% | -6.1% | 320 | 4.4% | 82.3% | 9.8% | 94.8% | 17.3% | 89.3% |
| QUAL | Quality | 6.6% | 6 | 41.9% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 69.3% | -2.2% | 313 | 2.7% | 78.7% | 6.0% | 83.8% | 13.0% | 93.7% |
| SPHD | High Dividend Low Vol | -2.8% | 1 | 9.8% | 1 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 27.4 | 2.6% | 2.9% | 73.6% | -4.0% | 337 | 7.0% | 90.8% | 11.6% | 89.6% | 26.8% | 92.6% |
| SPLV | Low Vol | -3.4% | 1 | 5.0% | 10 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 27.2 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 77.3% | -3.6% | 365 | 5.9% | 88.5% | 9.2% | 95.0% | 16.2% | 93.3% |
Growth / Tech Leadership
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | 5.0% | 8 | 21.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 60.4% | -4.5% | 417 | 3.2% | 72.2% | 6.7% | 78.1% | 18.1% | 89.6% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 6.9% | 8 | 22.5% | 5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 56.3% | -6.9% | 412 | 5.9% | 70.9% | 14.6% | 82.0% | 26.7% | 79.4% |
| IGV | Software | 3.3% | 6 | 40.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 68.4% | -6.3% | 415 | 4.0% | 72.3% | 7.1% | 80.8% | 17.7% | 86.5% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 3.3% | 7 | 37.6% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 61.1% | -8.7% | 180 | -0.8% | 46.9% | -2.6% | 46.0% | 4.0% | 56.8% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 8.7% | 9 | 11.7% | 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 0.9% | -0.2% | 49.4% | -8.8% | 166 | 0.9% | 45.6% | 4.4% | 62.1% | 8.3% | 54.2% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | -1.0% | 3 | 27.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 59.4% | -7.6% | 411 | 2.1% | 60.2% | 4.0% | 60.9% | 10.4% | 60.6% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 3.4% | 6 | 41.6% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 60.1% | -5.3% | 198 | 3.8% | 68.0% | 7.8% | 77.1% | 16.4% | 74.6% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 2.5% | 5 | 53.2% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 60.6% | -7.8% | 198 | 6.8% | 72.3% | 9.7% | 77.2% | 19.3% | 60.6% |
| ROBO | Robotics | -0.2% | 4 | 35.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 59.0% | -5.9% | 317 | 1.6% | 55.4% | 2.3% | 52.4% | 4.9% | 48.5% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | 1.8% | 6 | 48.7% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 64.2% | -4.5% | 385 | 2.9% | 73.9% | 6.5% | 73.1% | 11.0% | 66.0% |
| PNQI | Internet | -0.7% | 3 | 29.8% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 60.6% | -7.4% | 416 | 4.2% | 69.1% | 8.8% | 74.0% | 21.3% | 82.7% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Technology | 18.6% | 10 | 6.2% | 8 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 16.7 | -0.4% | 0.7% | 54.0% | -6.4% | 398 | 1.5% | 56.6% | 11.5% | 91.9% | 27.1% | 97.0% |
| SMH | Semiconductors | 22.5% | 9 | 12.9% | 7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.9 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 59.7% | -7.2% | 399 | 7.4% | 74.1% | 19.1% | 85.4% | 33.8% | 74.4% |
| IGV | Software | 12.4% | 8 | 24.4% | 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 56.8% | -5.8% | 400 | 1.6% | 61.3% | 4.0% | 67.6% | 11.8% | 77.8% |
| CLOU | Cloud | 23.2% | 10 | 9.9% | 7 | 4.0 | 10.5 | 17.9 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 62.7% | -6.9% | 161 | 5.5% | 69.0% | 13.1% | 86.9% | 15.3% | 73.1% |
| BUG | Cybersecurity | 36.9% | 10 | 1.2% | 41 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 15.0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 50.3% | -8.9% | 141 | -1.4% | 31.1% | 11.6% | 87.4% | 20.0% | 89.3% |
| GRID | Smart Grid | 1.2% | 4 | 67.9% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.2% | -0.1% | 49.4% | -6.6% | 393 | 0.8% | 52.6% | 4.2% | 58.2% | 9.0% | 61.7% |
| AIQ | AI Theme | 13.9% | 8 | 28.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 56.6% | -6.1% | 189 | 3.6% | 73.1% | 13.5% | 98.3% | 23.5% | 87.2% |
| QTUM | Quantum/AI | 13.5% | 6 | 41.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 65.2% | -6.2% | 184 | 6.7% | 76.0% | 12.8% | 77.0% | 29.4% | 78.0% |
| ROBO | Robotics | 2.9% | 5 | 54.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.8 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 50.8% | -6.1% | 303 | -1.5% | 37.7% | -2.0% | 40.2% | 5.2% | 48.6% |
| NXTG | 5G / Digital Infra | 15.6% | 10 | 7.3% | 118 | 2.5 | 7.8 | 16.6 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 59.4% | -4.5% | 360 | 5.5% | 83.3% | 12.4% | 100.0% | 15.7% | 95.7% |
| PNQI | Internet | 2.7% | 4 | 67.4% | 5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 70.2% | -4.2% | 396 | 4.1% | 65.9% | 7.9% | 72.9% | 20.6% | 86.8% |
Thematic / Speculative Growth
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | -1.4% | 4 | 30.7% | 4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -0.0% | -1.0% | 40.5% | -5.2% | 111 | 1.0% | 45.1% | 3.5% | 63.9% | 11.1% | 81.7% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | 8.8% | 9 | 18.2% | 3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 61.5% | -11.4% | 288 | 2.1% | 53.9% | 16.7% | 73.3% | 41.0% | 84.4% |
| UFO | Space | -5.1% | 2 | 19.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 0.0% | -0.8% | 44.2% | -9.5% | 174 | 2.4% | 48.2% | 3.9% | 36.2% | 8.4% | 37.8% |
| PEJ | Leisure | -4.4% | 2 | 11.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 64.9% | -6.2% | 410 | 4.6% | 77.3% | 6.6% | 72.6% | 10.4% | 69.4% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINK | Health Innovators | 4.7% | 6 | 41.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 54.8% | -6.1% | 104 | 0.7% | 30.8% | 0.5% | 48.9% | 10.2% | 75.8% |
| ARKK | Speculative Tech | 15.2% | 8 | 28.0% | 8 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 61.8% | -8.9% | 280 | 2.6% | 51.1% | 11.9% | 57.5% | 32.5% | 78.4% |
| UFO | Space | -10.2% | 2 | 17.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.9 | -1.4% | -1.1% | 44.2% | -11.9% | 174 | -0.5% | 48.3% | -0.1% | 35.6% | 7.9% | 41.9% |
| PEJ | Leisure | 0.3% | 4 | 69.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -0.3% | 0.2% | 51.4% | -6.0% | 403 | 1.0% | 59.8% | 2.2% | 61.4% | 5.2% | 67.1% |
Cyclical Sectors
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | -4.7% | 1 | 8.8% | 2 | 3.0 | 7.8 | 16.9 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 63.5% | -7.0% | 414 | 7.6% | 78.6% | 13.1% | 78.1% | 20.2% | 87.1% |
| XLC | Communication Services | 0.2% | 4 | 64.8% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 59.1% | -7.3% | 198 | 2.2% | 65.5% | 6.7% | 63.5% | 16.6% | 81.0% |
| XLE | Energy | -0.5% | 4 | 38.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 60.9% | -5.5% | 417 | 2.6% | 60.1% | 5.3% | 63.8% | 8.9% | 64.7% |
| XLF | Financials | -5.1% | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 70.6% | -5.5% | 415 | 5.5% | 77.1% | 10.6% | 83.9% | 22.9% | 83.9% |
| XLI | Industrials | -4.7% | 1 | 7.2% | 16 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 15.6 | 3.2% | 3.8% | 67.5% | -5.6% | 400 | 8.5% | 82.8% | 15.8% | 94.2% | 25.8% | 97.2% |
| XLB | Materials | -4.9% | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 17.0 | 3.6% | 4.5% | 71.9% | -6.1% | 417 | 7.2% | 75.1% | 12.7% | 86.3% | 21.1% | 91.2% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -6.5% | 1 | 9.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 15.4 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 60.2% | -7.6% | 402 | 9.4% | 70.7% | 20.2% | 73.2% | 36.2% | 85.7% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary | -6.2% | 1 | 6.8% | 5 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 16.6 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 66.8% | -8.4% | 398 | 6.5% | 72.1% | 12.0% | 67.5% | 21.9% | 88.6% |
| XLC | Communication Services | -1.8% | 3 | 21.8% | 7 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 9.6 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 67.8% | -6.6% | 177 | 3.3% | 62.1% | 7.7% | 79.7% | 15.4% | 69.4% |
| XLE | Energy | 10.1% | 8 | 23.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 55.6% | -4.5% | 408 | 3.2% | 62.2% | 4.9% | 58.3% | 5.6% | 50.1% |
| XLF | Financials | 0.9% | 3 | 70.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 60.8% | -7.1% | 408 | 3.3% | 69.1% | 7.3% | 65.5% | 12.3% | 63.6% |
| XLI | Industrials | -1.5% | 2 | 15.2% | 12 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 57.1% | -7.2% | 396 | 4.0% | 67.2% | 6.6% | 69.7% | 16.1% | 95.5% |
| XLB | Materials | -2.5% | 2 | 16.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 60.4% | -8.6% | 407 | 3.8% | 73.0% | 6.8% | 80.8% | 13.8% | 88.7% |
| XHB | Homebuilders | -8.6% | 2 | 11.8% | 16 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 11.0 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 61.5% | -10.3% | 390 | 4.1% | 63.6% | 9.7% | 69.7% | 18.9% | 83.0% |
Defensive Sectors
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | -3.1% | 1 | 7.3% | 5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 13.9 | 2.4% | 2.9% | 72.1% | -2.9% | 409 | 5.2% | 82.9% | 9.9% | 95.7% | 15.1% | 98.7% |
| XLV | Health Care | 1.6% | 6 | 49.6% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 64.2% | -3.9% | 414 | 3.2% | 72.5% | 5.9% | 68.8% | 12.2% | 82.3% |
| XLU | Utilities | -7.6% | 1 | 1.5% | 15 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 77.4% | -3.2% | 399 | 5.1% | 74.1% | 8.6% | 84.5% | 15.4% | 85.9% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | -6.3% | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 3.2% | 3.4% | 69.8% | -4.9% | 262 | 7.2% | 80.2% | 7.6% | 77.1% | 12.0% | 70.9% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Consumer Staples | -1.5% | 2 | 10.0% | 3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 72.0% | -2.7% | 396 | 3.8% | 79.3% | 6.5% | 85.9% | 11.6% | 97.0% |
| XLV | Health Care | 9.6% | 8 | 21.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 63.7% | -3.3% | 402 | 2.7% | 72.8% | 6.6% | 70.8% | 14.0% | 79.7% |
| XLU | Utilities | -10.0% | 1 | 0.9% | 15 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 24.4 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 79.5% | -2.6% | 391 | 4.8% | 78.7% | 9.4% | 84.8% | 19.1% | 87.9% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | -3.5% | 2 | 14.6% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 67.6% | -4.3% | 259 | 3.0% | 77.6% | 4.0% | 73.4% | 13.3% | 85.7% |
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | -3.7% | 2 | 15.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 58.8% | -7.4% | 381 | 2.9% | 64.5% | 6.5% | 60.3% | 13.7% | 67.9% |
| SOCL | Social Media | -3.7% | 3 | 22.3% | 5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.4% | -0.4% | 48.3% | -8.6% | 360 | 1.3% | 59.1% | 3.0% | 61.4% | 14.8% | 75.7% |
| HERO | Video Games | -0.6% | 4 | 37.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.7% | -1.6% | 47.9% | -9.5% | 169 | -0.4% | 40.0% | -0.7% | 36.0% | 1.6% | 48.5% |
| XES | Oil Services | -7.8% | 2 | 19.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -0.9% | -1.2% | 47.7% | -18.2% | 417 | 3.1% | 53.5% | 3.6% | 58.4% | 8.0% | 54.9% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | -2.1% | 4 | 35.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 49.2% | -10.3% | 417 | 0.8% | 57.1% | 4.2% | 57.2% | 2.6% | 47.9% |
| OIH | Oil Services | -5.9% | 3 | 23.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 53.5% | -12.6% | 417 | 0.7% | 44.8% | -1.7% | 42.4% | -1.4% | 41.5% |
| CRAK | Refiners | 4.7% | 8 | 28.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 64.1% | -5.7% | 276 | 2.3% | 67.0% | 6.2% | 65.3% | 11.9% | 65.0% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | -5.2% | 3 | 24.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 55.3% | -12.7% | 416 | -0.6% | 51.1% | 3.1% | 53.0% | 4.6% | 49.2% |
| COAL | Coal | -4.9% | 3 | 25.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 63.5% | -10.2% | 63 | 2.9% | 66.0% | 2.9% | 50.0% | 5.9% | 45.7% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | -6.3% | 1 | 9.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 13.4 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 67.7% | -8.6% | 62 | 34.8% | 100.0% | 55.1% | 93.9% | 80.2% | 100.0% |
| JETS | Airlines | -4.4% | 3 | 21.0% | 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 56.3% | -9.0% | 279 | 3.6% | 63.4% | 4.5% | 63.2% | 1.3% | 54.5% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | -5.0% | 2 | 10.5% | 6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 66.7% | -5.8% | 225 | 7.0% | 81.8% | 11.2% | 88.1% | 16.8% | 83.1% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | -9.9% | 1 | 1.7% | 21 | 3.5 | 9.2 | 19.5 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 66.8% | -5.8% | 397 | 9.5% | 90.2% | 14.1% | 90.8% | 25.7% | 97.0% |
| XTN | Transportation | -7.2% | 1 | 7.7% | 16 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 18.8 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 64.4% | -9.6% | 371 | 10.1% | 80.5% | 13.2% | 87.8% | 27.1% | 87.3% |
| CARZ | Autos | 1.6% | 6 | 46.8% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.0% | 0.5% | 55.5% | -5.6% | 382 | 1.3% | 62.2% | 3.7% | 63.7% | 9.2% | 65.5% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -6.3% | 2 | 11.7% | 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 50.7% | -9.3% | 408 | 4.0% | 65.4% | 9.1% | 66.2% | 14.0% | 67.3% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XTL | Telecom | 1.9% | 5 | 57.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 48.6% | -7.2% | 381 | 0.5% | 54.1% | 4.4% | 62.2% | 11.6% | 69.3% |
| SOCL | Social Media | -9.2% | 2 | 15.8% | 5 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 9.9 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 58.3% | -7.7% | 345 | 4.9% | 58.8% | 7.9% | 75.5% | 23.4% | 87.1% |
| HERO | Video Games | -0.7% | 4 | 38.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 10.1 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 46.4% | -7.7% | 153 | -1.2% | 53.9% | -3.9% | 48.2% | -0.1% | 62.1% |
| XES | Oil Services | -3.4% | 5 | 41.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.6% | 1.8% | 59.5% | -9.3% | 407 | 3.2% | 54.8% | 5.9% | 62.6% | 2.2% | 50.5% |
| XOP | Oil E&P | 10.2% | 8 | 28.7% | 3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 51.0% | -8.0% | 404 | -0.3% | 45.4% | -0.9% | 49.9% | -4.3% | 35.9% |
| OIH | Oil Services | -1.7% | 5 | 46.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.7% | 0.5% | 52.0% | -9.9% | 408 | 0.4% | 53.9% | 3.1% | 53.7% | 1.1% | 50.9% |
| CRAK | Refiners | 27.4% | 10 | 2.0% | 37 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 24.4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 60.3% | -7.0% | 247 | 4.6% | 71.8% | 13.9% | 78.3% | 7.6% | 63.6% |
| FCG | Natural Gas Equities | 1.2% | 6 | 45.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -0.9% | -1.2% | 41.8% | -10.6% | 407 | -1.3% | 44.9% | 2.1% | 55.4% | -0.1% | 50.8% |
| COAL | Coal | -4.8% | 4 | 34.1% | 5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 6.4 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 62.0% | -10.4% | 50 | 1.6% | 68.6% | -11.7% | 10.3% | -0.9% | 41.4% |
| NUKZ | Nuclear | -10.9% | 1 | 1.1% | 14 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.2 | 7.0% | 4.2% | 80.6% | -2.6% | 36 | 49.0% | 100.0% | 85.8% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 100.0% |
| JETS | Airlines | 0.1% | 5 | 56.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.1% | 0.8% | 52.4% | -10.7% | 269 | 4.1% | 69.5% | -1.2% | 54.3% | -1.5% | 54.5% |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | -2.4% | 2 | 14.9% | 12 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 8.9 | 1.6% | 3.2% | 64.8% | -8.8% | 216 | 5.9% | 69.9% | 11.6% | 81.5% | 20.6% | 88.4% |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | -9.1% | 1 | 4.7% | 12 | 4.0 | 8.2 | 26.2 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 70.0% | -4.7% | 397 | 10.2% | 87.2% | 18.0% | 95.5% | 28.6% | 99.0% |
| XTN | Transportation | -4.3% | 2 | 18.2% | 4 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 56.9% | -9.7% | 378 | 2.1% | 57.4% | 5.1% | 64.8% | 12.9% | 74.9% |
| CARZ | Autos | 10.0% | 8 | 26.8% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 55.6% | -5.7% | 358 | 4.7% | 59.1% | 7.8% | 65.2% | 8.2% | 48.2% |
| ITB | Home Construction | -9.2% | 2 | 13.3% | 16 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.1 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 56.7% | -9.4% | 390 | 4.8% | 62.1% | 12.6% | 71.8% | 21.0% | 78.5% |
Financial / Health Care Industries
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | -6.4% | 1 | 9.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.8 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 61.3% | -9.9% | 416 | 9.3% | 76.7% | 13.2% | 76.9% | 27.6% | 80.3% |
| IAK | Insurance | -4.7% | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 2.7% | 3.1% | 72.6% | -5.7% | 412 | 6.1% | 85.7% | 11.8% | 90.0% | 23.3% | 93.8% |
| PSP | Private Equity | -7.1% | 1 | 7.8% | 2 | 5.0 | 11.5 | 21.8 | 2.8% | 3.6% | 62.4% | -8.5% | 415 | 5.3% | 65.3% | 10.1% | 77.1% | 22.3% | 80.7% |
| IYG | Financial Services | -5.0% | 2 | 10.8% | 6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 63.3% | -8.2% | 409 | 3.0% | 66.0% | 6.2% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 67.6% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | -5.7% | 1 | 9.2% | 2 | 3.5 | 8.2 | 15.0 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 59.9% | -6.1% | 416 | 5.3% | 71.2% | 9.7% | 78.6% | 21.8% | 83.7% |
| XBI | Biotech | -0.7% | 4 | 35.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 65.1% | -8.9% | 410 | 5.3% | 65.6% | 8.0% | 64.5% | 18.7% | 72.3% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 4.2% | 7 | 30.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 63.6% | -7.1% | 412 | 2.3% | 55.5% | 6.0% | 62.3% | 13.0% | 65.6% |
| IHF | Health Providers | -2.3% | 2 | 18.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 52.9% | -7.1% | 414 | 2.9% | 66.4% | 7.3% | 73.9% | 12.7% | 73.3% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | -2.8% | 2 | 16.4% | 5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 61.1% | -5.7% | 404 | 3.2% | 69.1% | 7.1% | 72.5% | 13.1% | 78.0% |
| IHE | Pharma | -0.8% | 3 | 27.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 61.5% | -4.8% | 410 | 3.9% | 69.3% | 6.0% | 72.8% | 13.4% | 81.1% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE | Regional Banks | -0.4% | 4 | 31.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 55.7% | -10.1% | 404 | 2.1% | 62.1% | 5.3% | 66.3% | 9.2% | 71.3% |
| IAK | Insurance | 1.5% | 3 | 72.6% | 5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 68.6% | -3.4% | 404 | 3.9% | 78.7% | 7.2% | 81.0% | 14.5% | 87.5% |
| PSP | Private Equity | -6.2% | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 14.0 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 57.2% | -9.6% | 402 | 3.9% | 70.7% | 8.6% | 80.2% | 16.8% | 85.9% |
| IYG | Financial Services | 0.8% | 3 | 70.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 59.8% | -6.8% | 408 | 3.5% | 70.8% | 8.5% | 69.0% | 17.9% | 74.5% |
| IAI | Broker Dealers | -1.2% | 3 | 25.9% | 2 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 55.5% | -6.8% | 407 | 3.7% | 72.2% | 11.1% | 69.0% | 23.9% | 74.9% |
| XBI | Biotech | 13.4% | 8 | 28.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 54.0% | -9.9% | 400 | 5.7% | 67.5% | 11.4% | 84.0% | 20.6% | 79.9% |
| IBB | Biotech Large Cap | 17.0% | 9 | 12.5% | 9 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.9 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 74.1% | -3.9% | 397 | 4.5% | 69.0% | 9.0% | 78.3% | 18.7% | 77.8% |
| IHF | Health Providers | 9.7% | 8 | 27.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 60.1% | -5.1% | 403 | 4.0% | 73.2% | 9.1% | 82.4% | 15.3% | 80.1% |
| IHI | Medical Devices | -5.1% | 2 | 12.2% | 12 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.2 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 55.0% | -7.8% | 393 | 2.4% | 64.4% | 7.8% | 73.3% | 12.9% | 73.9% |
| IHE | Pharma | 10.4% | 8 | 21.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 69.7% | -4.4% | 402 | 3.9% | 69.9% | 10.0% | 85.0% | 17.7% | 89.4% |
Rates / Credit
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | -0.8% | 1 | 3.0% | 13 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 12.0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 67.5% | -0.8% | 381 | 0.2% | 60.3% | 0.7% | 63.2% | 1.4% | 66.6% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | -0.6% | 1 | 2.9% | 14 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 52.1% | -0.8% | 403 | -0.1% | 54.9% | 0.1% | 58.4% | 0.7% | 77.0% |
| TIP | TIPS | -2.4% | 1 | 2.7% | 5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 65.5% | -2.0% | 411 | 0.5% | 61.5% | 0.9% | 59.1% | 2.4% | 62.3% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | -2.9% | 1 | 3.5% | 5 | 3.0 | 7.2 | 21.5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 54.8% | -2.8% | 407 | 0.7% | 59.5% | 1.0% | 67.5% | 2.3% | 60.6% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | -4.5% | 1 | 7.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -0.4% | -0.8% | 42.1% | -6.3% | 416 | 0.7% | 53.6% | 0.3% | 60.3% | 2.6% | 58.9% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | -2.3% | 1 | 2.7% | 5 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 27.0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 55.3% | -2.8% | 407 | 0.4% | 60.6% | 0.5% | 67.9% | 1.7% | 62.4% |
| CWB | Convertibles | -1.4% | 2 | 18.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 61.8% | -4.4% | 408 | 2.6% | 67.9% | 4.5% | 75.3% | 9.3% | 80.2% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | -2.5% | 2 | 14.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 49.1% | -4.4% | 401 | 0.7% | 57.1% | 0.5% | 61.5% | 1.1% | 57.3% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | -3.0% | 1 | 5.7% | 4 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.6 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 64.0% | -4.5% | 414 | 2.1% | 63.5% | 2.8% | 68.1% | 5.7% | 72.6% |
| HYG | High Yield | -2.1% | 1 | 6.3% | 4 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 15.2 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 64.5% | -2.8% | 414 | 2.9% | 70.5% | 4.8% | 77.8% | 9.3% | 83.2% |
| LQD | IG Credit | -2.9% | 1 | 4.4% | 4 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 24.0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 55.1% | -3.6% | 412 | 1.4% | 63.8% | 1.5% | 68.7% | 3.2% | 71.9% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | -0.1% | 3 | 21.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.1% | 0.4% | 70.3% | -1.3% | 387 | 0.6% | 79.8% | 1.2% | 76.1% | 2.5% | 80.2% |
| MBB | MBS | -3.1% | 1 | 1.4% | 15 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 18.6 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 56.7% | -3.1% | 402 | 0.8% | 60.7% | 0.9% | 67.7% | 2.7% | 68.4% |
| PFF | Preferreds | -2.5% | 1 | 7.8% | 2 | 4.0 | 11.8 | 21.3 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 70.0% | -3.2% | 416 | 4.0% | 72.9% | 5.4% | 74.1% | 9.3% | 77.5% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STIP | Short TIPS | -0.8% | 1 | 7.2% | 6 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 35.5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 63.8% | -0.9% | 378 | 0.4% | 69.3% | 0.8% | 64.5% | 1.6% | 77.0% |
| SHY | 1-3Y Treasury | -0.6% | 1 | 6.0% | 12 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 28.4 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 42.8% | -1.0% | 397 | -0.4% | 40.1% | -0.4% | 46.4% | 0.5% | 72.0% |
| TIP | TIPS | -3.4% | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 78.0 | -0.1% | 0.2% | 53.7% | -3.3% | 402 | -0.1% | 54.7% | 0.0% | 56.2% | 1.4% | 63.2% |
| IEF | 7-10Y Treasury | -4.6% | 1 | 5.7% | 5 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 32.0 | 0.0% | 0.4% | 56.3% | -3.6% | 403 | 0.6% | 65.0% | 0.3% | 64.3% | -0.4% | 41.2% |
| TLT | 20Y Treasury | -7.6% | 2 | 10.2% | 5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.1 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 56.4% | -5.5% | 399 | 1.0% | 67.9% | 3.9% | 71.7% | 8.3% | 74.2% |
| AGG | Aggregate Bonds | -3.6% | 1 | 4.8% | 14 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 26.8 | -0.1% | 0.2% | 52.4% | -3.3% | 395 | 0.0% | 61.3% | 0.1% | 61.0% | 0.6% | 49.6% |
| CWB | Convertibles | 2.3% | 4 | 68.6% | 3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 64.7% | -3.0% | 402 | 2.2% | 69.7% | 4.0% | 72.6% | 10.4% | 74.0% |
| EMLC | EM Local Debt | -2.4% | 3 | 29.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 49.4% | -4.4% | 393 | 0.6% | 51.6% | 1.0% | 62.6% | 0.5% | 46.8% |
| EMB | EM USD Debt | -3.6% | 1 | 9.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 6.2 | 42.6 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 52.8% | -5.9% | 407 | 1.2% | 59.0% | 1.9% | 65.1% | 6.0% | 75.7% |
| HYG | High Yield | -1.9% | 2 | 10.3% | 14 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 65.6% | -2.4% | 395 | 1.6% | 75.2% | 2.9% | 77.0% | 6.2% | 78.1% |
| LQD | IG Credit | -4.7% | 1 | 5.5% | 5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 52.5% | -4.7% | 398 | 0.7% | 63.6% | 1.1% | 60.1% | 2.8% | 62.6% |
| BKLN | Bank Loans | 0.4% | 2 | 80.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 11.7 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 62.8% | -1.8% | 379 | 0.7% | 59.8% | 1.3% | 67.0% | 3.3% | 70.7% |
| MBB | MBS | -4.2% | 1 | 3.8% | 14 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 38.2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 49.6% | -3.7% | 395 | 0.1% | 59.5% | -0.1% | 58.0% | 1.1% | 51.9% |
| PFF | Preferreds | -3.5% | 1 | 9.0% | 2 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 23.0 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 69.5% | -4.3% | 407 | 3.7% | 68.1% | 4.7% | 68.1% | 8.3% | 65.1% |
Metals / Miners
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | -7.1% | 2 | 15.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 46.6% | -13.0% | 416 | 0.5% | 50.6% | 5.3% | 54.9% | 13.5% | 56.6% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | -1.6% | 4 | 39.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 53.3% | -11.3% | 409 | 4.5% | 54.2% | 5.6% | 53.1% | 10.3% | 50.9% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | -1.5% | 3 | 26.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 55.6% | -6.0% | 417 | 1.4% | 58.4% | 2.2% | 59.8% | 5.5% | 69.0% |
| WOOD | Timber | -5.3% | 2 | 10.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 58.4% | -8.1% | 416 | 1.8% | 60.6% | 1.4% | 53.0% | 3.3% | 51.5% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | -1.8% | 5 | 41.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0% | -0.9% | 46.0% | -9.2% | 417 | 4.0% | 62.3% | 4.9% | 47.9% | 10.1% | 53.5% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | -1.7% | 5 | 44.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.7% | -2.2% | 41.0% | -15.2% | 417 | 1.2% | 52.4% | 3.8% | 44.7% | 13.7% | 52.2% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | -3.2% | 4 | 38.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | -0.1% | -1.0% | 45.0% | -11.9% | 409 | 2.6% | 54.5% | 0.8% | 41.1% | 6.3% | 37.8% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | -5.0% | 4 | 35.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.1% | -1.7% | 44.9% | -13.3% | 343 | 5.0% | 59.2% | 6.6% | 42.9% | 18.1% | 45.3% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | -9.4% | 2 | 15.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 5.0% | 2.4% | 56.6% | -12.3% | 166 | 20.6% | 74.0% | 31.8% | 71.6% | 71.3% | 84.9% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XME | Metals & Mining | -8.8% | 3 | 23.5% | 2 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.2 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 55.5% | -10.7% | 407 | 1.4% | 51.3% | 7.0% | 50.0% | 13.4% | 51.8% |
| COPX | Copper Miners | 3.5% | 6 | 46.3% | 5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.3% | -0.1% | 49.6% | -11.8% | 393 | -4.9% | 42.1% | -3.7% | 34.1% | 1.5% | 41.0% |
| HAP | Hard Assets | 4.0% | 6 | 44.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.1% | 0.0% | 49.9% | -4.9% | 407 | 0.7% | 60.2% | 2.3% | 54.6% | 2.9% | 59.1% |
| WOOD | Timber | -4.8% | 3 | 20.5% | 4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -0.4% | 0.5% | 51.1% | -9.2% | 405 | 0.9% | 50.2% | 2.2% | 46.5% | 5.7% | 52.4% |
| GDX | Gold Miners | -2.2% | 5 | 43.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -0.9% | -1.8% | 36.5% | -10.4% | 408 | -3.3% | 39.5% | -6.5% | 29.5% | -4.3% | 31.9% |
| GDXJ | Junior Gold Miners | -3.2% | 5 | 45.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 0.4% | -0.1% | 49.6% | -12.4% | 407 | 1.0% | 47.4% | -1.3% | 34.9% | 2.0% | 44.1% |
| SIL | Silver Miners | -4.3% | 5 | 43.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 5.0 | -0.9% | -2.4% | 37.2% | -10.4% | 400 | -2.7% | 32.4% | -7.0% | 24.4% | -6.7% | 23.9% |
| SILJ | Junior Silver Miners | -8.3% | 4 | 37.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.1% | -1.2% | 44.9% | -13.2% | 334 | 1.3% | 47.4% | 3.5% | 34.0% | 16.0% | 41.7% |
| URNM | Uranium Miners | -20.2% | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 3.0 | 15.2 | 21.0 | 7.5% | 7.8% | 64.9% | -7.9% | 148 | 21.4% | 92.1% | 30.9% | 80.7% | 57.1% | 96.0% |
International Equity
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | -3.7% | 2 | 14.1% | 5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 62.4% | -5.4% | 412 | 4.2% | 69.1% | 6.3% | 71.3% | 8.5% | 68.0% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 0.6% | 6 | 46.4% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -0.1% | -0.9% | 46.8% | -10.5% | 415 | 0.1% | 49.9% | -1.8% | 46.5% | -1.4% | 41.4% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | -3.8% | 3 | 23.2% | 4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 51.2% | -7.7% | 412 | 0.6% | 48.3% | 1.7% | 51.5% | 3.2% | 51.9% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 1.7% | 6 | 42.7% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 57.3% | -6.4% | 410 | 1.8% | 58.7% | 1.9% | 55.1% | 4.2% | 62.3% |
| EZU | Eurozone | -2.4% | 3 | 22.2% | 12 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 57.3% | -6.5% | 405 | 1.5% | 58.8% | 3.4% | 57.6% | 7.9% | 53.3% |
| INDA | India | -4.4% | 2 | 13.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.9 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 61.8% | -5.9% | 361 | 1.6% | 59.3% | 3.8% | 63.4% | 6.8% | 66.8% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 0.2% | 4 | 64.0% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 68.1% | -3.1% | 414 | 4.1% | 72.2% | 8.8% | 79.1% | 17.9% | 79.6% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | -2.5% | 2 | 17.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 69.5% | -5.1% | 417 | 2.7% | 65.2% | 5.2% | 70.7% | 9.0% | 62.9% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWA | Australia | 0.1% | 4 | 67.7% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 61.0% | -5.5% | 402 | 1.2% | 56.6% | 2.8% | 61.4% | 7.4% | 70.9% |
| EWZ | Brazil | 1.1% | 5 | 52.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -0.1% | 1.1% | 55.4% | -11.1% | 406 | -0.8% | 51.3% | -3.9% | 41.8% | -1.4% | 42.4% |
| FXI | China Large Cap | -6.3% | 3 | 24.5% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.2 | -0.4% | 0.3% | 50.4% | -9.2% | 397 | 1.4% | 55.6% | 2.7% | 59.2% | 9.6% | 69.5% |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | 7.7% | 8 | 27.6% | 5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 60.0% | -4.7% | 400 | 0.4% | 52.7% | 2.4% | 49.1% | 4.9% | 52.5% |
| EZU | Eurozone | 2.5% | 5 | 58.8% | 12 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.2% | -0.1% | 49.4% | -6.0% | 397 | 1.3% | 55.9% | 2.3% | 58.3% | 6.2% | 55.2% |
| INDA | India | -6.0% | 2 | 14.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 61.2% | -6.7% | 348 | 3.7% | 72.5% | 6.9% | 73.1% | 14.9% | 83.6% |
| DXJ | Japan Hedged | 7.3% | 7 | 39.3% | 13 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 55.2% | -7.8% | 395 | 1.5% | 59.1% | 5.0% | 60.9% | 12.4% | 78.8% |
| EWU | United Kingdom | 1.4% | 4 | 63.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 62.2% | -6.2% | 407 | 1.0% | 57.2% | 0.6% | 53.1% | 4.4% | 54.3% |
Commodities / Crypto / USD
Tail frequency is the share of historical days at least as stretched or depressed versus the moving average as the latest close. Forward returns, win rates, downside p10, and spell days use the latest gap's own historical decile. Median / P75 / P90 spell lengths use completed historical decile runs; current spell is shown separately.
50DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | -0.3% | 5 | 47.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0% | -0.2% | 46.8% | -3.9% | 415 | 0.1% | 46.5% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 1.3% | 42.4% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 0.5% | 6 | 49.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 56.1% | -5.4% | 415 | 0.6% | 51.6% | 3.6% | 64.2% | 5.6% | 50.5% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 14.3% | 8 | 26.5% | 5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 5.3% | 2.3% | 55.6% | -16.4% | 297 | 24.4% | 65.1% | 68.7% | 70.0% | 208.8% | 77.8% |
| DBC | Commodities | 3.1% | 8 | 25.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 52.5% | -5.2% | 417 | 0.5% | 53.5% | 3.1% | 51.6% | 6.2% | 54.1% |
| GSG | Commodities | 3.8% | 8 | 23.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 52.3% | -6.3% | 417 | -0.0% | 49.8% | 1.7% | 43.7% | 3.2% | 47.3% |
| USO | Oil | 5.0% | 8 | 26.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 54.0% | -8.5% | 417 | -0.8% | 46.6% | 0.7% | 48.7% | 2.8% | 45.8% |
| GLD | Gold | -3.3% | 2 | 12.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 51.6% | -5.9% | 417 | 0.7% | 49.4% | 2.6% | 61.2% | 4.8% | 60.3% |
| SLV | Silver | -3.7% | 3 | 26.2% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.2% | -0.4% | 47.1% | -8.2% | 416 | 2.4% | 58.9% | 3.6% | 55.9% | 8.5% | 48.8% |
| URA | Uranium | -7.5% | 3 | 20.7% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 47.6% | -13.7% | 393 | 6.8% | 61.1% | 6.0% | 48.6% | 10.9% | 44.9% |
| PLTM | Platinum | -2.6% | 4 | 32.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0% | -0.4% | 45.1% | -7.8% | 213 | 1.8% | 50.2% | 1.9% | 50.7% | 10.8% | 63.3% |
| PALL | Palladium | -7.3% | 2 | 13.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -0.1% | -0.6% | 46.9% | -11.7% | 416 | 0.6% | 48.7% | 2.7% | 49.0% | 10.1% | 55.4% |
| CPER | Copper | 0.5% | 6 | 49.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.1% | -0.1% | 49.5% | -6.2% | 368 | 0.4% | 46.7% | 0.6% | 43.2% | 2.4% | 44.3% |
| UUP | US Dollar | 1.8% | 9 | 17.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 52.6% | -2.3% | 416 | 0.8% | 58.2% | 1.3% | 61.6% | 1.9% | 58.7% |
200DMA Decile Study
| Ticker | Name | Gap | Decile | Tail Freq | Current Spell | Med Spell | P75 Spell | P90 Spell | 1M Avg | 1M Med | 1M Win | 1M P10 | 1M N | 3M Avg | 3M Win | 6M Avg | 6M Win | 12M Avg | 12M Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBA | Agriculture | 4.3% | 7 | 30.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.2 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 59.1% | -3.9% | 406 | 0.9% | 54.6% | 3.0% | 53.3% | 7.4% | 58.9% |
| DBB | Base Metals | 4.1% | 7 | 36.6% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 56.0% | -7.4% | 393 | 2.5% | 63.7% | 4.5% | 62.8% | 4.2% | 55.5% |
| BTC-USD | Bitcoin | 13.9% | 5 | 51.5% | 5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.7 | 5.5% | 2.9% | 57.0% | -17.1% | 291 | 18.4% | 70.9% | 48.2% | 68.2% | 96.8% | 62.5% |
| DBC | Commodities | 14.3% | 9 | 11.7% | 2 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 16.9 | 3.1% | 3.6% | 65.8% | -4.5% | 406 | 8.7% | 75.1% | 12.5% | 79.5% | 7.4% | 56.5% |
| GSG | Commodities | 16.7% | 10 | 9.7% | 21 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 77.2 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 62.2% | -8.6% | 389 | 2.8% | 59.6% | 6.2% | 63.4% | 20.5% | 58.3% |
| USO | Oil | 25.8% | 10 | 7.6% | 23 | 4.0 | 11.2 | 63.5 | 2.6% | 2.9% | 59.1% | -11.1% | 389 | 5.4% | 68.6% | 11.7% | 70.5% | 30.2% | 61.5% |
| GLD | Gold | -8.0% | 1 | 7.1% | 2 | 3.5 | 8.2 | 21.7 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 63.4% | -4.9% | 407 | 3.4% | 72.7% | 4.0% | 64.5% | 3.6% | 50.1% |
| SLV | Silver | -15.9% | 1 | 5.0% | 2 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 3.3% | 2.7% | 64.8% | -7.5% | 404 | 6.2% | 73.8% | 6.4% | 50.9% | 0.6% | 43.8% |
| URA | Uranium | -16.8% | 2 | 15.9% | 4 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 2.1% | 1.1% | 52.2% | -11.5% | 383 | 5.6% | 59.2% | 3.2% | 48.8% | 0.4% | 29.6% |
| PLTM | Platinum | -12.6% | 1 | 5.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 22.2 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 86.6% | -0.6% | 201 | 8.9% | 83.5% | 10.6% | 86.2% | 20.7% | 79.6% |
| PALL | Palladium | -17.9% | 2 | 10.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -1.0% | -1.4% | 44.4% | -12.5% | 394 | -1.5% | 46.3% | -4.2% | 38.1% | -6.1% | 37.2% |
| CPER | Copper | 6.9% | 8 | 26.9% | 5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 54.5% | -6.9% | 347 | -0.4% | 47.1% | 0.8% | 55.8% | 3.8% | 47.3% |
| UUP | US Dollar | 3.8% | 9 | 17.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 49.9% | -1.8% | 405 | 0.6% | 61.4% | 2.5% | 74.7% | 2.1% | 58.8% |
Core Index Beta
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Core Index Beta | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Style / Market Structure | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Factors / Risk Appetite | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Growth / Tech Leadership | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Thematic / Speculative Growth | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Cyclical Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Defensive Sectors | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Industries / Infrastructure / Housing | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Financial / Health Care Industries | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Rates / Credit | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Metals / Miners | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
International Equity | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD
The 50DMA and 200DMA studies use the same framework for every ETF: current distance history, historical distribution, forward returns for days in the latest gap's historical decile, and spell survival inside that decile.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
Commodities / Crypto / USD | each panel recalculates against that ETF's own current moving-average deviation.
How To Read This Deck
Data And Cache
Prices come from yfinance and reuse the shared ETF OHLCV history. Index-data rows are stored by symbol and run date when available. Each run refreshes stale or missing rows and writes the latest summary table to the local latest metrics table.
Returns
1D, 5D, 21D, and 120D use trading-session lookbacks. 1M, 6M, and 1Y use calendar lookbacks with the nearest available prior trading date. Missing history is shown as n/a instead of forced.
Trend And RSI
Daily charts plot 50DMA and 200DMA. Weekly charts plot 50-week and 200-week moving averages. Lines begin at the first plotted candle using available-history warm-up values, then become full-window indicators once enough bars exist. RSI 14 uses the shared Wilder-style helper with a neutral warm-up only where the series has not yet accumulated enough observations. The drawdown panel plots latest close versus the trailing 252-session high across the same rolling daily window.
DMA Tail Appendix
The 50DMA and 200DMA appendix does not use a fixed threshold. For each ETF, it uses the latest moving-average deviation as the comparison point, then asks how often history has been at least as stretched or depressed, what forward returns followed, and how long similar spells lasted.